Kerrington Cross3B Lake Elsinore Storm
Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs A HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION290 act + 193 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†104
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .329 / .380
PA193
HR6
SB7
K%28
BB%13
BABIP281
ISO165
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +6.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+6BATRUN: +2.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +13.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: +2.50+2.5WAR
0.01.42.72.12.22.22.11.91.61.41.00.50.0+$113M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT31
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE71
scouting grade only
SPEED54
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.9$10M+$10M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.6$8M+$8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.4$7M+$6M
2034Arb-1$2M+1.0$4M+$4M
2035Arb-2$1M+0.5$1M+$0.5M
2036Arb-3$0.6M
Totals $6M $30M +$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202523 ALake Elsinore Storm 6145 7100 11224 11 156367178544 22304 3618 262 59
202523 ALake Elsinore Storm 6142 8100 14154 11 190433214648 24296 2523 333 113
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 ASD 290243 5512112 40886 184 226349432782 206301 3014 336 116 +5 +2 +0 +1 +8 1.7
YTD24 ASD 290227 6515213 56666 184 286439542981 256351 2319 430 187 +29 +2 +0 +1 +8 4.1
ROS24 ASD 0% 193163 35716 25553 72 214329380709 165283 2813 322 104 +1 +1 +0 +1 +5 0.8
ROS24 MLBSD 0% 01 0000 000 00 279 305 92 +0 +0
FULL24 ASD 290244 5512112 40886 184 225349430780 205299 3014 336 116 +5 +2 +0 +1 +8 1.7
TOT24 ASD 483406 9019218 651439 256 221341411752 189292 3013 331 111 +6 +3 +0 +2 +14 2.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBSD 38% 528447 9919316 681518 133 221335385719 163287 2913 322 104 +3 +1 +0 +2 +15 2.1
202826 MLBSD 55% 542461 10320317 681528 123 223333390724 167287 2813 322 105 +3 +1 +0 +2 +15 2.2
202927 MLBSD 61% 547466 10420317 681528 123 223332388721 165287 2812 322 105 +3 +1 +0 +2 +15 2.2
203028 MLBSD 64% 546465 10420317 681528 123 224333389722 166287 2812 321 104 +2 +1 -1 +2 +15 2.1
203129 MLBSD 64% 542461 10019216 681528 113 217328371699 154286 2813 319 102 +1 +1 -1 +2 +15 1.9
203230 MLBSD 64% 535456 9919216 671517 103 217326373699 156284 2813 316 100 +0 +1 -2 +2 +15 1.6
203331 MLBSD 64% 527449 9618215 661517 102 214324363687 149281 2913 312 97 -2 +1 -3 +2 +15 1.4
203432 MLBSD 64% 518441 9217214 651507 92 209320351671 143277 2913 306 93 -4 +1 -4 +2 +15 1.0
203533 MLBSD 70% 448383 7814212 561326 82 204315345659 141273 2912 300 87 -6 +1 -4 +2 +13 0.5
203634 MLBSD 65% 379324 6411110 471145 61 198309330639 133266 3012 291 81 -8 +1 -5 +1 +11 -0.0
203735 MLBSD 61% 321275 52918 39994 51 189299316615 127259 3112 281 73 -10 +1 -6 +1 +9 -0.4
202725 MLBSD 38% 199168 37716 26573 51 220335381716 161283 2913 307 93 -2 +1 +0 +1 +6 0.5
202826 MLBSD 55% 300255 571129 38844 72 224333388722 165283 2813 307 93 -2 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.8
202927 MLBSD 61% 336286 6312210 42945 72 220330381711 161283 2812 307 93 -2 +1 +0 +1 +10 0.9
203028 MLBSD 64% 352300 6512210 44985 72 217327370697 153283 2812 307 93 -3 +1 -0 +1 +10 0.9
203129 MLBSD 64% 349297 6412210 44985 72 215327370697 155282 2813 305 91 -3 +1 -1 +1 +10 0.8
203230 MLBSD 64% 344293 6412210 43975 72 218328375704 157280 2812 302 89 -4 +1 -1 +1 +10 0.6
203331 MLBSD 64% 339289 601119 42975 62 208318346664 138278 2912 298 86 -5 +0 -2 +1 +10 0.4
203432 MLBSD 64% 333284 591119 42974 61 208318349667 141274 2913 293 82 -7 +1 -2 +1 +9 0.3
203533 MLBSD 70% 313267 541018 39924 51 202313337650 135269 2912 286 77 -8 +1 -3 +1 +9 -0.0
203634 MLBSD 65% 248212 41716 31753 41 193305321626 127263 3012 278 71 -8 +0 -3 +1 +7 -0.3
203735 MLBSD 61% 195167 31514 24602 31 186295299595 114256 3112 269 64 -8 +0 -3 +1 +6 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career 33082819 5951101691 41594945 6417 211322358680 147280 2913 297 86 -53 +6 -16 +12 +94 4.3
/ 162G 650554 11722318 821869 133 211323359682 148280 2913 297 86 -10 +1 -3 +2 +18 0.9
Career 56874836 103319425164 716163383 11629 214325366691 152283 2913 312 97 -20 +12 -25 +20 +161 15.1
/ 162G 650553 11822319 821879 133 213325367692 154282 2913 312 97 -2 +1 -3 +2 +18 1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202523 ALake Elsinore Storm 6142 8100 14154 11 190433214648 24296 2523 333 113 +1 -0 +2 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Aaron Hickslast yr '24
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,651 PA
123,65110971231330383+7-911.812.4
/1626642013+1.3-1.62.1pk7: 13
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#3Luis Valbuenalast yr '18
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA
103,52711310226311395+13+110.511.2
/162664212+2.4+0.12.0pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
83,4859969214320365+12+49.58.7
/1626641913+2.4+0.81.8pk7: 8
#4Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA
112,8717942226302380+10+168.18.5
/1626641810+2.3+3.71.9pk7: 9
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#6Ian Stewartlast yr '14
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA
61,6466017230317416+6+26.26.2
/162664247+2.4+0.92.5pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Kerrington Cross (OGILVIE) 24 31 50 54 71 221/341/411 189292 1825 30% 13% 111 +2.5
Jonny DeLuca
2022 · A
24 41→38 54→60 56→55 45 219/278/397 178254 2215 24% 7% 87 +0.8 226/291/414 188257 2316 22% 7% 97 +1.5 222/292/406184249221921%7%92+0.8
Anthony Seigler
2023 · A
24 40→39 42→50 46→55 56 195/303/310 115269 911 28% 13% 76 +0.0 199/299/319 120254 1120 24% 12% 76 +0.0 226/317/363137277122821%11%91+0.6
Zack Short
2019 · AA
24 39→38 49→50 47→45 50 199/291/349 150269 169 31% 11% 80 +0.4 196/288/337 141280 157 33% 10% 76 +0.1 180/281/31513524116931%11%66-0.5
Andrew Navigato
2022 · AA
24 41→38 45→60 46→50 44 204/280/325 122284 1213 31% 8% 69 -0.4 220/279/399 179271 2214 27% 6% 88 +0.9 220/277/428209258271727%5%92+0.8
Jared Keel
2009 · A
24 39→38 52→50 48→45 47 207/289/373 166249 2010 26% 8% 86 +0.8 205/291/350 145262 167 27% 9% 80 +0.4 182/282/32314122816127%11%69-0.3
Chris Williams
2021 · A
24 36→30 49→60 49→40 48 187/277/335 148272 175 36% 11% 71 -0.3 188/268/347 159301 204 41% 9% 70 -0.3 179/261/36818925028440%9%71-0.2
Davis Schneider
2023 · AAA
24 40→43 51→60 53→50 46 206/288/365 158297 1913 35% 10% 82 +0.5 218/317/412 194287 2410 31% 12% 107 +2.2 212/321/41420227025930%13%108+1.7
Luis Santana
2023 · A
24 43 44→45 48→50 43 215/283/333 118286 1211 28% 7% 72 -0.2 206/263/326 120268 137 28% 5% 62 -0.9 190/242/30711724015527%4%45-1.1
Mark Mathias
2019 · AA
24 44→47 44→50 52→50 46 217/293/343 126288 1110 27% 8% 79 +0.3 231/291/365 134292 1213 24% 7% 83 +0.6 246/320/384138320151726%9%98+1.0
Brandon Meredith
2014 · A
24 42→36 48→50 46→45 46 211/292/355 144284 158 30% 9% 82 +0.5 207/281/345 138281 167 30% 8% 75 -0.0 193/268/33514225318530%8%63-0.4
Aaron Luna
2011 · AAA
24 43→44 49→50 50→45 49 217/325/371 154268 167 25% 9% 101 +1.8 232/318/376 144295 169 26% 8% 98 +1.6 231/316/37214229419827%7%96+0.7
Jeferson Morales
2023 · A
24 38→45 47→50 49→50 43 195/276/331 137262 149 30% 7% 69 -0.4 215/289/349 134277 139 26% 7% 79 +0.3 221/296/35713627513823%7%81+0.2
Brian Joynt
2009 · A
24 46 49→60 49→45 46 232/297/390 157301 167 28% 8% 92 +1.2 215/261/348 133304 158 33% 5% 66 -0.6 192/227/31512327416636%4%41-1.5
Corey Joyce
2023 · AAA
24 43 48→45 49→50 47 214/311/358 144295 1611 31% 10% 92 +1.2 211/307/316 105308 1014 32% 10% 79 +0.3 212/300/316104302101431%9%72-0.1
Devin Mann
2021 · A
24 44→46 49→55 44→45 46 222/293/372 149287 177 28% 8% 86 +0.8 216/294/380 164285 195 30% 8% 89 +1.0 213/296/38517228220430%9%89+0.8
Javier Valdes
2023 · AA
24 44 49→60 50→30 46 225/307/367 143280 175 26% 7% 92 +1.2 227/314/397 170274 215 24% 9% 102 +1.9 222/338/42920826426226%12%118+1.5
Brett Harris
2022 · A
24 45→50 45→50 49→50 43 220/292/339 119296 1311 29% 7% 78 +0.2 243/315/397 154291 1810 22% 8% 102 +1.9 239/320/38314428617922%9%97+1.2
Jeremy Sy
2015 · A
25 38 51→55 50 47 202/277/365 162255 1912 29% 8% 78 +0.2 210/278/329 119300 1213 32% 8% 69 -0.4 199/270/2899029981534%8%50-0.8
Dallas Carroll
2018 · A
24 48→30 44→45 46→45 45 236/292/351 115285 129 22% 6% 80 +0.4 181/244/259 78253 77 30% 7% 36 -2.7 155/218/216612136629%7%12-4.3
Stefan Trosclair
2018 · A
24 43→42 47→50 50 45 217/293/356 139283 159 28% 8% 82 +0.5 218/282/357 139301 157 31% 6% 78 +0.2 208/270/35314429016432%5%69-0.3