Payton Green

SS Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 205 lbs AA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2286ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421AMIA65.184/.365/.2240441—.151/.286/.189
202522AA/A+MIA382.266/.346/.4048966—.215/.279/.322
202623AAA/AAMIA288.226/.331/.403102160—.186/.268/.324
2027PROJMLE24MLBMIA4.184/.258/.2980063-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB25MLBMIA72.187/.262/.3042366-0.0
2029PROJ45% MLB26MLBMIA126.190/.265/.3083468-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed76
ISO73
wRC+56
wOBA54
BB%47
Chase%47
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.4, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%
CompsBryce Teodosio (age 25) · José Barrero (age 25) · Edward Salcedo (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .258 / .298
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%8
BABIP280
ISO126
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 AJupiter Hammerheads — 6549 9200 13141 41 184365224590 41250 2220 288 41 — — — — — —
202522 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos — 10793 22402 11242 31 237327344671 108299 2210 308 56 — — — — — —
202522 A+Beloit Sky Carp — 275241 671426 24634 66 278353427781 149343 239 342 70 — — — — — —
202623 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 3023 3000 681 01 130333130464 200 2720 255 28 — — — — — —
202623 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos — 258225 5312110 26876 213 236331431762 196336 3410 339 64 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 6553 8200 9191 41 151286189474 38216 2914 229 41 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEPensacola Blue Wahoos — 10798 19401 7292 31 194262265527 71273 277 251 56 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 275247 551125 18824 66 223286344630 121288 307 271 70 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLEJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 3025 3000 4101 01 120267120387 195 3313 210 28 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEPensacola Blue Wahoos — 258233 451018 181066 213 193268348616 155300 417 263 64 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 6553 8200 9191 41 151286189474 38229 2914 229 41 — — — — — —
202421 A RAWJupiter Hammerheads — 6549 9200 13141 41 184365224590 41250 2220 288 41 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 382345 751526 251126 97 217282325607 107296 297 265 66 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAW2 teams — 382334 891828 35876 97 266346404750 138331 239 333 66 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 288258 471018 221167 214 182265322587 140291 408 257 60 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAW2 teams — 288248 5612110 32957 214 226331403734 177322 3311 330 60 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 6555 8200 9191 41 145286182468 36216 2914 229 41 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 382348 751526 251126 97 216282322604 106284 297 265 66 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 288257 471018 221167 214 183265323588 140289 408 257 60 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 6555 8200 9191 41 145286182468 36216 2914 229 41 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 382348 751526 251126 97 216282322604 106284 297 265 66 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 288257 471018 221167 214 183265323588 140289 408 257 60 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEMIA 2% 338304 591218 251266 123 191264312576 121290 377 261 63 -15 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXMIA 2% 44 0000 010 00 184258298556 114280 250 253 63 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEMIA 31% 233210 40815 17854 82 194268319587 125290 367 266 66 -9 +1 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
202926 MLB MLEMIA 45% 283255 501017 211015 103 196271323594 127290 367 269 68 -11 +1 +0 +3 +6 -0.1
203027 MLB MLEMIA 49% 301270 541117 231065 103 198272325597 127290 358 270 69 -11 +1 +0 +3 +7 -0.1
203128 MLB MLEMIA 52% 312280 551117 241085 93 199273325598 126289 358 270 69 -11 +1 -1 +3 +7 -0.2
203229 MLB MLEMIA 52% 307276 551117 231065 82 199273323596 124288 357 270 69 -11 +1 -1 +3 +7 -0.2
202825 MLB CTXMIA 31% 7266 12202 5261 31 187262304566 117280 367 258 66 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
202926 MLB CTXMIA 45% 126114 21403 9452 41 190265308573 119280 367 260 68 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.0
203027 MLB CTXMIA 49% 148134 25503 11522 51 191266310576 119280 357 262 69 -5 +1 +0 +2 +3 -0.0
203128 MLB CTXMIA 52% 161145 27504 12563 51 192267310577 118279 357 262 69 -6 +1 -0 +2 +3 -0.0
203229 MLB CTXMIA 52% 158143 26503 12542 41 192266308575 116278 348 261 69 -6 +0 -1 +2 +3 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 665602 11121015 4923310 215 184257294551 110268 357 261 66 -25 +2 -1 +7 +14 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650588 10921015 4822810 215 185259298556 112269 357 261 66 -24 +2 -1 +7 +14 -0.2
Career— MLE — 23572114 41785951 17882241 8627 197273318591 121291 358 265 66 -62 +4 -2 +17 +35 -0.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 11423214 4922711 247 196270314584 118289 358 265 66 -25 +2 -1 +7 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 258 PAwOBA .329 → .263 (−66)K% 33.7% → 41.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.72%÷1.000×1.220——41.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.69%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0276.77%
HBP% /PA2.33%—×0.840—×1.0272.01%
Singles /BIP21.74%÷1.000×0.920×0.961×1.02719.74%
Doubles /BIP8.70%÷1.000×0.910×0.961×1.0277.81%
Triples /BIP0.72%÷1.000×0.880×0.961×1.0270.63%
Home runs /BIP7.25%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0275.95%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.

Result: wOBA .329 → .263; ISO .196 → .155; BABIP .336 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 30 PAwOBA .250 → .210 (−40)K% 26.7% → 32.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.67%÷1.000×1.200——32.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.00%÷1.000×0.690—×1.05014.49%
HBP% /PA3.33%—×0.940—×1.0503.29%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.000×0.930—×1.05019.53%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0500.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .250 → .210; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 275 PAwOBA .341 → .271 (−70)K% 22.9% → 29.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.91%÷0.972×1.270——29.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.73%÷0.978×0.710—×1.0126.41%
HBP% /PA1.45%—×0.790—×1.0121.16%
Singles /BIP25.28%÷1.028×0.920×0.950×1.01221.75%
Doubles /BIP7.87%÷0.961×0.810×0.950×1.0126.37%
Triples /BIP1.12%÷1.000×0.850×0.950×1.0120.92%
Home runs /BIP3.37%÷1.006×0.800—×1.0122.71%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 94, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .341 → .271; ISO .149 → .117; BABIP .343 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 107 PAwOBA .300 → .251 (−49)K% 22.4% → 27.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.43%÷0.995×1.220——27.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.28%÷1.045×0.680—×1.0426.97%
HBP% /PA1.87%—×0.840—×1.0421.64%
Singles /BIP23.19%÷1.017×0.920×0.969×1.04221.17%
Doubles /BIP5.80%÷0.955×0.910×0.969×1.0425.58%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.941×0.880×0.969×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP2.90%÷1.103×0.800—×1.0422.19%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 103, 2B 91, 3B 88, K 99, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .300 → .251; ISO .108 → .089; BABIP .299 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AJupiter Hammerheads · 65 PAwOBA .287 → .229 (−58)K% 21.5% → 28.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.54%÷1.029×1.360——28.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.00%÷0.993×0.690—×1.01514.10%
HBP% /PA1.54%—×0.780—×1.0151.22%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.065×0.920—×1.01517.53%
Doubles /BIP5.71%÷1.032×0.830—×1.0154.66%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.960×0.910—×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.888×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 113, 2B 106, 3B 92, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .287 → .229; ISO .041 → .035; BABIP .250 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).