Chad Stevens — OGILVIE

Chad StevensSS Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 27 R/R 6'3" / 218 lbs MLB HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION278 act + 185 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .300 / .339

PA185

HR3

SB6

K%34

BB%8

BABIP339

ISO115

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

903.7%

xwOBA

100.198

POWER55

Barrel%

214.5

Avg EV

1081.6

Bat Spd

3469.7

EYE50

Chase%

909.4%

SPEED55

Sprint

4327.2

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.4	$2M	+$1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$10M	+$9M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$8M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$7M	+$5M
2030	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.4M
2031	Arb-3	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$30M	+$24M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	130	119	11	2	1	0	9	73	2	3	2	92	169	126	295	34	239	56	7	143	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	130	116	17	4	1	1	12	53	2	3	2	147	238	224	463	78	258	41	9	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	359	329	51	8	1	8	23	159	4	12	5	155	219	258	477	103	261	44	6	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	359	322	80	16	1	12	30	101	4	12	5	248	320	416	736	168	321	28	8	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	495	438	73	16	4	8	41	207	12	23	7	167	257	276	533	110	286	42	8	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	495	418	92	19	5	15	61	176	12	23	7	220	336	397	733	177	333	36	12	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	4 teams	—	453	422	83	22	1	9	19	178	9	8	6	197	247	318	564	121	312	39	4	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	4 teams	—	453	413	112	34	2	10	28	131	9	8	6	271	331	436	767	165	372	29	6	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	528	472	99	17	3	13	44	158	7	20	3	210	287	341	628	131	281	30	8	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	528	458	133	23	5	18	58	117	7	20	3	290	379	480	859	190	351	22	11	378	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	COL	—	278	248	59	13	2	4	25	97	4	11	3	238	318	355	673	117	372	35	9	296	84	-5	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.7
YTD	27	AAA	COL	—	278	240	71	17	3	5	33	78	4	11	3	296	390	454	844	158	418	28	12	377	146	+15	+1	+0	+3	+8	2.7
ROS	27	AAA	COL	100%	185	165	37	8	1	3	15	63	3	6	2	224	300	339	639	115	338	34	8	295	84	-3	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.4
ROS	27	MLB	COL	100%	185	165	41	9	1	4	15	62	3	6	2	248	322	388	710	139	364	34	8	304	91	-2	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.6
FULL	27	AAA	COL	—	463	413	100	22	3	8	40	159	7	17	5	242	320	368	688	126	371	34	9	299	87	-7	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.3
TOT	27	AAA	COL	—	463	413	96	21	3	7	40	160	7	17	5	232	311	348	659	116	358	35	9	295	84	-8	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	COL	82%	559	500	115	24	4	11	46	183	8	16	4	230	305	360	665	130	332	33	8	296	85	-10	+2	-1	+6	+16	1.3
2028	29	MLB	COL	82%	548	490	111	23	3	11	45	177	8	15	4	227	302	353	655	127	328	32	8	296	85	-9	+1	-1	+6	+16	1.2
2029	30	MLB	COL	82%	537	480	110	23	3	11	45	172	7	13	3	229	305	358	663	129	325	32	8	295	84	-10	+1	-2	+6	+15	1.1
2030	31	MLB	COL	82%	526	470	106	22	3	10	44	169	7	11	3	226	301	349	650	123	322	32	8	292	82	-11	+1	-3	+6	+15	0.8
2031	32	MLB	COL	82%	515	460	102	21	3	9	43	167	7	9	2	222	298	339	637	117	319	32	8	286	77	-13	+1	-4	+6	+15	0.5
2032	33	MLB	COL	82%	445	399	86	17	2	8	37	147	6	6	2	216	292	328	620	113	314	33	8	280	72	-14	+0	-4	+5	+13	-0.0
2033	34	MLB	COL	77%	375	336	70	13	2	6	31	126	5	4	1	208	285	312	597	104	308	34	8	271	66	-15	+0	-5	+4	+11	-0.5
2027	28	MLB	COL	82%	458	411	101	22	3	10	37	150	7	13	3	246	319	387	706	141	358	33	8	306	92	-4	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.5
2028	29	MLB	COL	82%	449	403	98	21	3	10	37	145	6	12	3	243	316	385	701	141	353	32	8	306	93	-4	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.4
2029	30	MLB	COL	82%	440	394	97	21	3	10	37	141	6	11	3	246	320	391	711	145	350	32	8	305	92	-4	+1	-2	+5	+12	1.3
2030	31	MLB	COL	82%	431	386	94	20	3	10	36	138	6	9	2	244	318	389	706	145	347	32	8	302	89	-5	+1	-2	+5	+12	1.1
2031	32	MLB	COL	82%	422	378	90	19	3	9	35	137	6	7	2	238	313	376	688	138	343	32	8	296	85	-7	+1	-3	+5	+12	0.7
2032	33	MLB	COL	82%	365	327	76	16	2	7	30	120	5	5	1	232	307	358	664	125	338	33	8	289	79	-9	+1	-3	+4	+10	0.3
2033	34	MLB	COL	77%	291	261	59	12	2	5	24	98	4	3	1	226	301	345	646	119	332	34	8	280	72	-9	+0	-4	+3	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3041	2725	656	140	20	65	251	991	43	66	17	241	315	378	693	138	351	33	8	299	87	-44	+6	-16	+33	+86	6.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	140	30	4	14	54	212	9	14	4	241	315	378	693	137	351	33	8	299	87	-9	+1	-3	+7	+18	1.4
Career	—			—	5655	5080	1054	216	31	107	442	1979	85	146	44	207	282	325	607	118	313	35	8	273	67	-211	+12	-21	+57	+160	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	121	25	4	12	51	227	10	17	5	207	283	325	608	118	312	35	8	273	67	-24	+1	-2	+7	+18	-0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	130	116	17	4	1	1	12	53	2	3	2	147	238	224	463	78	258	41	9	220	27	-11	-0	—	—	+4	-0.7
2022	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	359	322	80	16	1	12	30	101	4	12	5	248	320	416	736	168	321	28	8	326	108	+3	+0	—	—	+10	1.4
2023	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	495	418	92	19	5	15	61	176	12	23	7	220	336	397	733	177	333	36	12	329	110	+6	+2	—	—	+14	2.2
2024	25	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	91	84	20	9	0	0	3	25	3	2	1	238	289	345	634	107	339	27	3	284	75	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2024	25	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	159	142	31	8	0	3	12	46	3	4	2	218	293	338	631	120	295	29	8	284	76	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.0
2024	25	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	187	173	56	16	1	7	12	57	2	2	3	324	374	549	923	225	450	30	6	404	167	+14	-1	—	—	+5	1.9
2024	25	ROK	ACL Angels	—	16	14	5	1	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	357	438	571	1.009	214	455	19	6	440	195	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2025	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	528	458	133	23	5	18	58	117	7	20	3	290	379	480	859	190	351	22	11	378	147	+28	+3	—	—	+15	4.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	8	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.8	7.1
	/162	664	11	12	259	303	375	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,107	58	67	223	294	345	+31	-11	4.5	4.6
	/162	664	12	14	223	294	345	+6.7	-2.4	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Daniel Descalsolast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,856 PA	9	2,856	48	25	235	320	363	+16	-36	3.5	4.0
	/162	664	11	6	235	320	363	+3.8	-8.3	0.8	pk7: 4
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chad Stevens (OGILVIE)	27	55	55	55	50	232/311/348	116	358	7	17	35%	9%	84	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Derek Hill 2023 · MLB	27	48→51	44→50	55→60	39	232/278/357	125	327	11	16	32%	6%	75	-0.0	244/293/389	145	324	15	19	28%	6%	90	+1.0	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
●Tyler Greene 2011 · MLB	27	48→53	45→50	56→55	42	233/292/361	129	313	12	20	29%	6%	82	+0.5	235/298/383	148	321	15	24	30%	7%	91	+1.1	228/291/378	150	315	16	26	31%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Andruw Monasterio 2023 · AAA	26	47→55	44→45	48→55	44	228/294/350	122	313	12	13	30%	8%	81	+0.4	241/315/351	110	315	10	19	25%	9%	90	+1.0	246/325/351	106	317	10	23	24%	9%	92	+0.6
✕James Shanks 2006 · AAA	27	51→53	44→45	50→55	40	244/294/367	123	342	10	15	31%	6%	84	+0.6	240/287/361	121	326	10	15	28%	5%	79	+0.3	249/288/368	118	330	9	18	26%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Shawn McGill 2011 · AA	27	46	43→45	53→45	39	223/271/339	116	304	10	14	30%	5%	68	-0.5	231/281/335	104	284	9	9	21%	5%	71	-0.3	236/287/336	100	287	7	6	19%	5%	70	-0.1
✕Danny Worth 2013 · MLB	27	46→52	44→45	51→50	46	224/291/341	118	296	10	16	27%	8%	77	+0.1	204/264/293	89	306	6	13	32%	7%	53	-1.5	221/288/315	95	324	7	9	32%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Ryan Boldt 2022 · AAA	27	48	47→50	55	40	236/289/376	140	333	15	16	32%	6%	85	+0.7	218/267/341	123	312	13	15	33%	5%	67	-0.5	191/238/291	100	276	12	15	34%	4%	37	-1.2
✕Brandon Barnes 2013 · MLB	27	44→53	47→55	50	40	223/271/365	142	294	14	15	29%	6%	75	-0.0	225/273/339	114	306	10	14	29%	5%	68	-0.5	217/268/366	150	301	18	15	33%	5%	71	-0.2
✕Tyler Henson 2015 · AAA	27	48→51	45	51→55	38	228/278/354	126	333	11	16	34%	6%	75	-0.0	216/257/312	96	285	7	22	26%	4%	54	-1.4	199/233/266	67	258	3	28	23%	3%	30	-2.4
✕JaCoby Jones 2019 · MLB	27	43→46	46→50	52→50	38	213/268/352	139	299	13	16	32%	6%	70	-0.3	229/293/393	164	321	17	11	32%	7%	92	+1.2	222/288/377	154	325	17	7	35%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Lewis Brinson 2021 · MLB	27	40→50	45→55	52→50	38	203/259/327	124	288	13	13	33%	5%	60	-1.0	232/277/400	168	312	21	9	32%	5%	87	+0.8	233/275/413	180	309	24	6	32%	5%	86	+0.5
✕Franchy Cordero 2022 · MLB	27	48→54	45→55	53→50	42	230/294/363	133	333	12	14	33%	8%	84	+0.6	232/300/399	167	318	19	11	31%	8%	96	+1.5	221/292/387	166	294	21	9	31%	8%	86	+0.4
✕Jonathan Davis 2019 · MLB	27	47→52	43→45	54→55	46	228/302/343	115	291	10	20	24%	8%	82	+0.5	216/304/336	120	286	11	19	27%	8%	82	+0.5	224/306/341	117	313	11	22	29%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Franklin Barreto 2022 · MLB	26	42→48	48→55	54→50	38	210/268/352	141	310	15	15	36%	6%	70	-0.3	176/245/298	122	296	15	16	43%	8%	47	-1.9	126/203/233	107	203	15	17	45%	8%	11	-1.4
✕Vinny Capra 2022 · AA	26	47→50	47→45	52→50	41	230/288/371	140	317	14	10	31%	6%	83	+0.6	247/311/362	115	310	11	11	23%	8%	91	+1.1	246/313/340	94	302	9	11	20%	8%	82	+0.3
✕Scott Kingery 2022 · MLB	28	41→51	48→55	53→55	42	207/270/353	146	286	14	12	32%	7%	72	-0.2	199/262/324	125	297	13	22	35%	8%	60	-1.0	198/239/341	143	265	19	17	33%	5%	52	-0.8
●Mikie Mahtook 2017 · MLB	27	46→55	45→60	52→50	38	228/274/356	128	303	11	12	28%	4%	73	-0.1	237/293/410	173	295	21	11	26%	6%	96	+1.5	233/296/426	193	281	25	12	26%	7%	99	+1.3
✕Tim Torres 2011 · AAA	27	48→51	46→45	54→55	46	236/298/374	137	310	12	13	27%	8%	88	+0.9	218/280/323	105	319	9	16	32%	8%	67	-0.5	245/314/370	125	332	12	21	28%	9%	93	+0.5
✕Dylan Moore 2020 · MLB	27	42→47	47→50	50→65	44	214/283/357	143	275	14	20	27%	7%	79	+0.3	222/315/398	176	288	20	30	28%	9%	103	+1.9	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Riley Unroe 2023 · AAA	27	46→48	45→50	54→55	49	228/299/352	124	289	12	20	25%	9%	83	+0.6	228/305/365	137	299	15	23	27%	10%	89	+1.0	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5