Bryce Teodosio
LF Salt Lake Bees| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAALAA | 462 | .276/.344/.418 | 5 | 40 | 71 | — | .232/.288/.342 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA/ROKLAA | 97 | .330/.385/.511 | 1 | 10 | 87 | — | .267/.313/.422 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLBLAA | 150 | .203/.252/.304 | 1 | 7 | 55 | 0.5 | |
| 2026 | 27 | AAALAA | 298 | .249/.325/.400 | 8 | 27 | 61 | — | .210/.271/.316 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLBLAA | 76 | .214/.267/.243 | 0 | 5 | 46 | -0.5 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 28 | MLBLAA | 107 | .206/.267/.310 | 2 | 8 | 63 | -0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ53% MLB | 29 | MLBLAA | 144 | .204/.264/.304 | 2 | 10 | 61 | -0.5 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 30 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 73 | 68 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 279 | 329 | 441 | 770 | 162 | 462 | 38 | 7 | 341 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 33 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 424 | 560 | 984 | 320 | 267 | 24 | 24 | 426 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 425 | 369 | 71 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 43 | 166 | 11 | 28 | 5 | 192 | 296 | 333 | 629 | 141 | 300 | 39 | 10 | 288 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 57 | 48 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 188 | 304 | 354 | 658 | 167 | 258 | 30 | 12 | 295 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 419 | 368 | 78 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 141 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 212 | 301 | 315 | 616 | 103 | 318 | 34 | 9 | 283 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 462 | 409 | 113 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 35 | 120 | 7 | 40 | 4 | 276 | 344 | 418 | 762 | 142 | 372 | 26 | 8 | 332 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 150 | 138 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 47 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 203 | 252 | 304 | 556 | 101 | 293 | 31 | 3 | 247 | 55 | -8 | +1 | +8 | +1 | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 58 | 53 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 321 | 368 | 491 | 859 | 170 | 395 | 17 | 5 | 370 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 39 | 35 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 343 | 410 | 543 | 953 | 200 | 423 | 21 | 5 | 420 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 76 | 70 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 214 | 267 | 243 | 510 | 29 | 349 | 36 | 7 | 234 | 46 | -5 | +1 | +2 | -4 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 298 | 265 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 79 | 8 | 27 | 3 | 249 | 325 | 400 | 725 | 151 | 324 | 27 | 7 | 323 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 226 | 208 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 74 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 207 | 257 | 284 | 540 | 77 | 311 | 33 | 4 | 243 | 50 | -13 | +2 | +9 | -3 | +5 | -0.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 73 | 69 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 188 | 233 | 304 | 537 | 116 | 413 | 53 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 33 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 273 | 321 | 594 | 179 | 198 | 33 | 15 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 425 | 383 | 59 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 198 | 11 | 28 | 5 | 154 | 234 | 248 | 482 | 94 | 274 | 47 | 7 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 419 | 380 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 167 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 184 | 253 | 274 | 527 | 89 | 299 | 40 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 462 | 418 | 97 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 26 | 148 | 7 | 40 | 4 | 232 | 288 | 342 | 630 | 110 | 329 | 32 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 150 | 138 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 47 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 203 | 252 | 304 | 556 | 101 | 293 | 31 | 3 | 249 | 55 | -8 | +1 | +8 | +1 | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 58 | 54 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 278 | 316 | 426 | 742 | 148 | 354 | 21 | 3 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 39 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 250 | 308 | 417 | 724 | 167 | 307 | 31 | 3 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 76 | 70 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 214 | 267 | 243 | 510 | 29 | 349 | 36 | 7 | 236 | 46 | -5 | +1 | +2 | -4 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 298 | 272 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 95 | 8 | 27 | 3 | 210 | 271 | 316 | 587 | 107 | 292 | 32 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 106 | 97 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 51 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 175 | 245 | 309 | 555 | 134 | 341 | 48 | 8 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 106 | 93 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 36 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 269 | 358 | 473 | 832 | 204 | 407 | 34 | 12 | 368 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 434 | 67 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 225 | 12 | 34 | 6 | 154 | 234 | 253 | 487 | 99 | 280 | 47 | 7 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 482 | 417 | 80 | 13 | 1 | 15 | 50 | 183 | 12 | 34 | 6 | 192 | 296 | 336 | 632 | 144 | 294 | 38 | 10 | 289 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 419 | 380 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 167 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 184 | 253 | 274 | 527 | 89 | 305 | 40 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 419 | 368 | 78 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 141 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 212 | 301 | 315 | 616 | 103 | 318 | 34 | 9 | 283 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 462 | 418 | 97 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 26 | 148 | 7 | 40 | 4 | 232 | 288 | 342 | 630 | 110 | 342 | 32 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA RAW | Salt Lake Bees | — | 462 | 409 | 113 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 35 | 120 | 7 | 40 | 4 | 276 | 344 | 418 | 762 | 142 | 372 | 26 | 8 | 332 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 247 | 228 | 51 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 71 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 224 | 272 | 342 | 614 | 118 | 312 | 29 | 3 | 268 | 68 | -10 | +2 | +8 | +1 | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 247 | 226 | 57 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 65 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 252 | 305 | 385 | 689 | 133 | 342 | 26 | 4 | 303 | 68 | -10 | +2 | +8 | +1 | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 374 | 342 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 122 | 8 | 32 | 4 | 211 | 270 | 301 | 571 | 91 | 310 | 33 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 374 | 335 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 106 | 8 | 32 | 4 | 242 | 314 | 367 | 681 | 125 | 329 | 28 | 7 | 305 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 106 | 96 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 51 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 177 | 245 | 312 | 558 | 135 | 346 | 48 | 8 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 434 | 67 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 225 | 12 | 34 | 6 | 154 | 234 | 253 | 487 | 99 | 274 | 47 | 7 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 419 | 381 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 167 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 184 | 253 | 273 | 526 | 89 | 299 | 40 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 462 | 426 | 97 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 26 | 148 | 7 | 40 | 4 | 228 | 288 | 336 | 624 | 108 | 329 | 32 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 247 | 230 | 51 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 71 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 222 | 272 | 339 | 611 | 117 | 310 | 29 | 3 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 374 | 343 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 122 | 8 | 32 | 4 | 210 | 270 | 300 | 571 | 90 | 304 | 33 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 462 | 426 | 97 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 26 | 148 | 7 | 40 | 4 | 228 | 288 | 336 | 624 | 108 | 329 | 32 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 247 | 230 | 51 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 71 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 222 | 272 | 339 | 611 | 117 | 310 | 29 | 3 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 374 | 343 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 122 | 8 | 32 | 4 | 210 | 270 | 300 | 571 | 90 | 304 | 33 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAA | 45% | 380 | 348 | 73 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 109 | 7 | 28 | 5 | 207 | 268 | 312 | 579 | 105 | 281 | 29 | 6 | 262 | 63 | -17 | +4 | +1 | -4 | +8 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAA | 45% | 107 | 98 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 206 | 267 | 310 | 576 | 104 | 279 | 29 | 6 | 261 | 63 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAA | 53% | 272 | 249 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 79 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 205 | 265 | 306 | 571 | 101 | 280 | 29 | 6 | 258 | 61 | -13 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +6 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAA | 53% | 144 | 133 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 42 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 204 | 264 | 304 | 568 | 100 | 278 | 29 | 6 | 257 | 61 | -7 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +3 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 370 | 341 | 69 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 116 | 6 | 22 | 4 | 202 | 255 | 284 | 539 | 82 | 293 | 31 | 5 | 248 | 55 | -20 | +3 | +9 | -5 | +8 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 599 | 121 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 204 | 11 | 39 | 7 | 202 | 256 | 282 | 538 | 80 | 294 | 31 | 5 | 248 | 55 | -35 | +5 | +16 | -8 | +14 | -0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2600 | 2366 | 471 | 83 | 23 | 38 | 150 | 931 | 54 | 180 | 34 | 199 | 263 | 302 | 564 | 103 | 306 | 36 | 6 | 249 | 55 | -36 | +6 | +9 | -9 | +16 | -1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 119 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 233 | 14 | 45 | 8 | 201 | 266 | 307 | 574 | 106 | 309 | 36 | 6 | 249 | 55 | -32 | +6 | +8 | -8 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASalt Lake Bees · 298 PAwOBA .316 → .259 (−57)K% 26.5% → 31.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.51% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.68% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 2.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.001 | ×1.003 | 22.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | ×1.003 | 5.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.001 | ×1.003 | 1.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.02% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .316 → .259; ISO .151 → .113; BABIP .324 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASalt Lake Bees · 58 PAwOBA .361 → .315 (−46)K% 17.2% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.24% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.17% | ÷0.964 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.58% | ÷1.046 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 23.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.98% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 5.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.98% | ÷1.079 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 6.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 109, 2B 101, 3B 116, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .361 → .315; ISO .170 → .150; BABIP .395 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Angels · 39 PAwOBA .408 → .271 (−138)K% 20.5% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.51% | ÷0.969 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.13% | ÷1.082 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 2.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.13% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 3.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.63% | ÷1.015 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 22.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷0.992 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 5.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.134 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 2.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.873 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 3.11% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 127, K 94, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .408 → .271; ISO .200 → .133; BABIP .423 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASalt Lake Bees · 462 PAwOBA .328 → .273 (−54)K% 26.0% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.97% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.58% | ÷0.944 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.64% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | ×0.991 | ×1.033 | 24.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.57% | ÷1.141 | ×0.830 | ×0.991 | ×1.033 | 4.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.15% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.991 | ×1.033 | 3.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.73% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.41% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 106, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 94, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .328 → .273; ISO .142 → .112; BABIP .372 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 419 PAwOBA .278 → .234 (−43)K% 33.7% → 39.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.65% | ÷1.032 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.59% | ÷1.017 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 5.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.63% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 2.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.23% | ÷0.985 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×1.012 | 22.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.61% | ÷0.910 | ×0.910 | ×0.983 | ×1.012 | 6.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.44% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.983 | ×1.012 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.08% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.57% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 97, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 106, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .278 → .234; ISO .103 → .090; BABIP .318 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 425 PAwOBA .282 → .218 (−64)K% 39.1% → 46.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.06% | ÷1.023 | ×1.220 | — | — | 46.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.12% | ÷1.041 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 6.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.59% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 2.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.15% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 21.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.93% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 4.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.131 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 5.01% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 104, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .282 → .218; ISO .141 → .101; BABIP .300 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AInland Empire 66ers · 73 PAwOBA .332 → .223 (−108)K% 38.4% → 53.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.36% | ÷0.969 | ×1.360 | — | — | 53.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.85% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | — | 4.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | — | — | 22.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.940 | ×0.830 | — | — | 17.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.023 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.96% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .332 → .223; ISO .162 → .104; BABIP .462 → .413. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Angels · 33 PAwOBA .416 → .276 (−140)K% 24.2% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.24% | ÷1.003 | ×1.440 | — | — | 34.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 24.24% | ÷0.952 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 15.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷0.987 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 14.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.081 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.024 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 4.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.179 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 7.59% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 97, 2B 116, 3B 105, K 101, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .416 → .276; ISO .320 → .203; BABIP .267 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .