Riley Tirotta3B
Buffalo Bisons
Age 27
R/R
6'2" / 195 lbs
AAA
HR +12%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.4 · 2027
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .288 / .341
PA250
HR7
SB6
K%35
BB%9
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
50→50
SPD
50→50
EYE
53↗55
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.0M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $2M | $-4M | -$6M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 119 | 100 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 2 | .280 | .385 | .350 | .735 | .070 | .386 | 26 | 12 | .331 | 111 | +2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 283 | 261 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 127 | 2 | 12 | 5 | .153 | .216 | .257 | .473 | .103 | .269 | 45 | 7 | .206 | 16 | -27 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -1.8 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | 2 teams | 376 | 333 | 65 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 142 | 5 | 12 | 5 | .195 | .278 | .339 | .617 | .144 | .299 | 38 | 9 | .269 | 64 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | 3 teams | 444 | 382 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 148 | 10 | 14 | 4 | .212 | .319 | .353 | .672 | .141 | .308 | 33 | 11 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 1.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 463 | 419 | 93 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 167 | 5 | 13 | 3 | .222 | .293 | .351 | .644 | .129 | .335 | 36 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 66 | 58 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .138 | .242 | .241 | .484 | .103 | .222 | 44 | 11 | .237 | 40 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | TOR | 184 | 162 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 67 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .204 | .291 | .340 | .631 | .136 | .298 | 36 | 9 | .280 | 72 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| TOT | 27 | MLB | TOR | 250 | 220 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 96 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .186 | .278 | .314 | .592 | .127 | .288 | 38 | 10 | .268 | 64 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 20% | TOR | 333 | 294 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 98 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .207 | .294 | .350 | .644 | .143 | .275 | 29 | 10 | .292 | 82 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 33% | TOR | 352 | 310 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 103 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .210 | .298 | .348 | .646 | .139 | .276 | 29 | 10 | .292 | 82 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 43% | TOR | 363 | 320 | 66 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 106 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .206 | .294 | .341 | .635 | .134 | .275 | 29 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -8 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 52% | TOR | 358 | 317 | 66 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 106 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .208 | .293 | .344 | .637 | .136 | .274 | 30 | 9 | .288 | 79 | -9 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 64% | TOR | 345 | 305 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 104 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .203 | .289 | .331 | .621 | .128 | .272 | 30 | 10 | .283 | 75 | -10 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 81% | TOR | 318 | 281 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 98 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .199 | .286 | .324 | .610 | .125 | .271 | 31 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -10 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +9 | -0.4 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 277 | 246 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 88 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .199 | .284 | .325 | .609 | .126 | .269 | 32 | 9 | .271 | 66 | -11 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +8 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4215 | 3730 | 765 | 128 | 18 | 108 | 394 | 1385 | 57 | 89 | 25 | .205 | .291 | .336 | .627 | .131 | .290 | 33 | 9 | .281 | 74 | -126 | +8 | -20 | +15 | +119 | -0.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 119 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 61 | 214 | 9 | 14 | 4 | .207 | .293 | .341 | .634 | .134 | .293 | 33 | 9 | .281 | 74 | -19 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +18 | -0.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 119 | 95 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 2 | .305 | .436 | .389 | .825 | .084 | .394 | 21 | 16 | .376 | 146 | +6 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 1.0 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 283 | 247 | 54 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 91 | 2 | 12 | 5 | .219 | .316 | .368 | .684 | .150 | .318 | 32 | 12 | .309 | 95 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 269 | 225 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 77 | 3 | 7 | 4 | .213 | .332 | .373 | .705 | .160 | .278 | 29 | 14 | .317 | 101 | +0 | -0 | — | — | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 107 | 89 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .303 | .415 | .539 | .954 | .236 | .421 | 28 | 14 | .414 | 175 | +9 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 1.3 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 342 | 287 | 69 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 96 | 9 | 6 | 2 | .240 | .361 | .425 | .786 | .185 | .317 | 28 | 13 | .354 | 129 | +11 | +0 | — | — | +10 | 2.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 73 | 56 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .286 | .444 | .464 | .909 | .179 | .389 | 26 | 22 | .404 | 167 | +6 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.7 |
| 2024 | 25 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 29 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | .235 | .552 | .471 | 1.022 | .235 | .300 | 21 | 38 | .468 | 217 | +4 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 463 | 403 | 108 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 53 | 137 | 5 | 13 | 3 | .268 | .360 | .417 | .777 | .149 | .375 | 30 | 11 | .349 | 125 | +13 | +1 | — | — | +13 | 2.8 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Riley Tirotta (OGILVIE) | 27 | 45 | 50 | 50 | 55 | .207/.288/.341 | .135 | .306 | 7 | 5 | 35% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Narciso Crook 2022 · AAA |
27 | 43 | 49→55 | 50 | 39 | .215/.277/.364 | .150 | .307 | 16 | 12 | 34% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .214/.286/.373 | .159 | .324 | 19 | 15 | 38% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .200/.278/.359 | .159 | .312 | 19 | 17 | 39% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA |
26 | 41→45 | 48→50 | 50 | 40 | .208/.269/.350 | .142 | .293 | 15 | 10 | 33% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .222/.287/.357 | .135 | .316 | 14 | 10 | 32% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .221/.286/.344 | .123 | .313 | 13 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Skye Bolt 2021 · AAA |
27 | 42→39 | 47→50 | 50 | 42 | .209/.273/.350 | .141 | .295 | 15 | 13 | 33% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .232/.296/.375 | .143 | .310 | 16 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .234/.302/.369 | .135 | .310 | 15 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 86 | +0.3 |
|
✕Nate Tenbrink 2014 · AAA |
27 | 45→52 | 48→50 | 49→50 | 43 | .219/.291/.368 | .148 | .315 | 16 | 13 | 34% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .222/.283/.354 | .132 | .336 | 14 | 11 | 36% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .198/.262/.300 | .101 | .360 | 8 | 0 | 44% | 8% | 50 | -0.3 |
|
✕Charles Leblanc 2023 · MLB |
27 | 47→53 | 50 | 48→45 | 40 | .230/.290/.388 | .158 | .336 | 18 | 10 | 36% | 7% | 89 | +1.0 | .222/.304/.363 | .141 | .315 | 16 | 8 | 32% | 10% | 89 | +0.9 | .198/.302/.335 | .138 | .275 | 16 | 5 | 32% | 12% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
✕Ben Harrison 2009 · AAA |
27 | 46→48 | 50 | 51→50 | 40 | .229/.292/.380 | .151 | .318 | 19 | 12 | 33% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .200/.268/.324 | .124 | .314 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .169/.249/.285 | .116 | .263 | 15 | 4 | 39% | 8% | 44 | -0.9 |
|
✕Chad Hermansen 2005 · MLB |
27 | 44→43 | 50→55 | 47→50 | 46 | .224/.291/.378 | .155 | .297 | 17 | 13 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .225/.297/.366 | .141 | .355 | 15 | 10 | 37% | 9% | 86 | +0.8 | .211/.266/.315 | .104 | .305 | 11 | 13 | 33% | 6% | 56 | -0.9 |
|
✕Scott Kingery 2022 · MLB |
28 | 42→51 | 48→55 | 52→55 | 43 | .214/.277/.362 | .149 | .292 | 15 | 13 | 31% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .202/.267/.327 | .125 | .300 | 13 | 21 | 35% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .201/.259/.337 | .136 | .285 | 17 | 26 | 34% | 7% | 59 | -0.8 |
|
✕Mike Ahmed 2018 · AAA |
26 | 44→46 | 45→50 | 46→50 | 44 | .216/.285/.341 | .124 | .300 | 13 | 11 | 31% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .205/.263/.320 | .115 | .324 | 12 | 8 | 38% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .187/.242/.291 | .104 | .306 | 10 | 6 | 40% | 5% | 41 | -1.0 |
|
✕Drew Robinson 2019 · MLB |
27 | 43→41 | 51→55 | 48→50 | 44 | .215/.286/.381 | .166 | .317 | 18 | 12 | 36% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .207/.283/.342 | .135 | .361 | 14 | 14 | 42% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .154/.243/.252 | .099 | .307 | 11 | 16 | 49% | 10% | 36 | -0.8 |
|
✕JaCoby Jones 2020 · MLB |
28 | 43→47 | 48→50 | 51→50 | 41 | .215/.279/.365 | .150 | .293 | 15 | 15 | 31% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .217/.278/.364 | .147 | .320 | 16 | 9 | 35% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .194/.249/.314 | .120 | .315 | 14 | 5 | 41% | 6% | 49 | -0.6 |
|
✕TJ Hopkins 2023 · AAA |
26 | 44→54 | 49→50 | 48→45 | 39 | .220/.276/.372 | .152 | .310 | 17 | 8 | 34% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .235/.302/.382 | .147 | .328 | 17 | 7 | 31% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .260/.335/.406 | .146 | .356 | 18 | 4 | 30% | 9% | 108 | +1.7 |
|
✕Sheldon Neuse 2022 · MLB |
27 | 47→53 | 48→45 | 48→45 | 40 | .235/.284/.376 | .141 | .321 | 17 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .243/.287/.362 | .119 | .326 | 14 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .253/.298/.351 | .098 | .334 | 12 | 11 | 27% | 5% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Robbie Glendinning 2023 · AA |
27 | 46→42 | 50 | 49→45 | 42 | .213/.301/.367 | .153 | .356 | 19 | 10 | 42% | 10% | 89 | +0.9 | .219/.299/.361 | .142 | .352 | 16 | 7 | 39% | 9% | 86 | +0.8 | .210/.293/.344 | .134 | .330 | 15 | 0 | 38% | 10% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB |
27 | 36→45 | 49→50 | 52→50 | 48 | .195/.277/.338 | .143 | .247 | 18 | 12 | 29% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .202/.293/.353 | .151 | .264 | 18 | 13 | 29% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .189/.291/.340 | .151 | .244 | 19 | 12 | 30% | 12% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jack Larsen 2022 · AA |
27 | 44→49 | 51→50 | 47→45 | 44 | .221/.291/.382 | .161 | .319 | 18 | 9 | 35% | 9% | 89 | +0.9 | .236/.313/.360 | .124 | .321 | 12 | 8 | 28% | 10% | 92 | +1.2 | .232/.318/.332 | .100 | .316 | 9 | 6 | 27% | 10% | 83 | +0.3 |
|
✕Zack Short 2021 · AAA |
26 | 40→39 | 47→50 | 46→45 | 46 | .199/.287/.342 | .143 | .292 | 15 | 7 | 35% | 10% | 76 | +0.1 | .191/.286/.326 | .135 | .262 | 15 | 9 | 31% | 11% | 72 | -0.2 | .179/.279/.311 | .132 | .240 | 16 | 9 | 31% | 11% | 63 | -0.6 |
|
✕Kevin Smith 2023 · MLB |
27 | 40→45 | 49→55 | 54→50 | 39 | .206/.260/.354 | .148 | .283 | 17 | 14 | 33% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .211/.255/.351 | .140 | .304 | 18 | 16 | 35% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .205/.244/.339 | .134 | .297 | 19 | 19 | 37% | 4% | 55 | -0.7 |
|
✕Luis Liberato 2023 · AAA |
27 | 42→51 | 49→50 | 52→50 | 43 | .216/.276/.370 | .154 | .295 | 17 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .219/.281/.353 | .134 | .307 | 14 | 12 | 31% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .217/.282/.332 | .115 | .306 | 10 | 13 | 31% | 8% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Ben Guez 2014 · AAA |
27 | 46→52 | 47→50 | 46→50 | 44 | .229/.300/.370 | .141 | .303 | 14 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .208/.282/.362 | .154 | .287 | 18 | 12 | 33% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .191/.268/.351 | .160 | .254 | 20 | 13 | 32% | 7% | 67 | -0.3 |