Riley Tirotta — OGILVIE

Riley Tirotta3B Buffalo Bisons

Age 27 R/R 6'2" / 195 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION276 act + 184 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .280 / .331

PA184

HR5

K%34

BB%9

BABIP281

ISO135

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	119	99	28	2	1	1	15	31	3	4	2	283	393	354	747	71	391	26	13	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	119	95	29	3	1	1	19	25	3	4	2	305	436	389	825	84	394	21	16	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	283	261	40	7	2	5	19	127	2	12	5	153	216	253	469	100	269	45	7	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	283	247	54	15	2	6	33	91	2	12	5	219	316	368	684	150	318	32	12	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	2 teams	—	376	335	63	14	4	8	31	146	5	12	5	188	267	325	592	137	296	39	8	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	2 teams	—	376	314	75	16	4	11	52	107	5	12	5	239	356	420	776	182	318	28	14	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	3 teams	—	444	383	84	17	1	13	49	147	10	14	4	219	324	371	694	151	316	33	11	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	3 teams	—	444	360	89	18	2	15	72	121	10	14	4	247	387	433	820	186	327	27	16	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	463	419	93	13	2	14	37	169	5	13	3	222	293	363	656	141	332	37	8	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	463	403	108	20	2	12	53	137	5	13	3	268	360	417	777	149	375	30	11	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	TOR	—	276	246	43	6	1	7	24	94	5	5	1	175	262	293	555	118	247	34	9	248	48	-16	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
YTD	27	AAA	TOR	—	276	235	50	8	1	8	35	77	5	5	1	213	327	357	685	145	278	28	13	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.9
ROS	27	AAA	TOR	10%	184	163	32	5	1	5	16	63	3	4	1	196	280	331	612	135	281	34	9	277	70	-6	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.0
ROS	27	MLB	TOR	10%	18	16	3	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	188	278	250	528	62	283	33	11	267	62	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
FULL	27	AAA	TOR	—	294	262	46	7	1	7	26	100	5	5	1	176	263	290	553	115	250	34	9	249	49	-17	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
TOT	27	AAA	TOR	—	460	409	75	11	2	12	40	157	8	9	2	183	269	308	577	125	260	34	9	260	57	-22	+1	+0	+2	+13	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	TOR	38%	333	296	60	10	1	9	29	110	5	6	2	203	285	334	619	132	284	33	9	281	73	-10	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.0
2027	28	MLB	TOR	38%	125	111	22	4	0	3	11	41	2	2	1	198	282	315	598	117	285	33	9	271	66	-5	+0	-0	+0	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	143	127	25	5	0	3	13	47	2	2	1	197	282	307	589	110	282	33	9	271	65	-6	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	114	23	0	14	59	214	9	9	5	198	282	310	592	113	282	33	9	271	65	-26	-0	-1	+2	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	2202	1956	400	68	12	55	196	793	33	65	22	204	288	336	624	131	307	36	9	277	70	-74	+4	-1	+8	+62	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	118	20	4	16	58	234	10	19	6	205	288	336	625	132	308	36	9	277	70	-22	+1	-0	+2	+18	-0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	119	95	29	3	1	1	19	25	3	4	2	305	436	389	825	84	394	21	16	376	146	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2022	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	283	247	54	15	2	6	33	91	2	12	5	219	316	368	684	150	318	32	12	309	95	-2	+0	—	—	+8	0.7
2023	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	269	225	48	8	2	8	37	77	3	7	4	213	332	373	705	160	278	29	14	317	101	+0	-0	—	—	+8	0.8
2023	24	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	107	89	27	8	2	3	15	30	2	5	1	303	415	539	954	236	421	28	14	414	175	+9	+1	—	—	+3	1.3
2024	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	342	287	69	15	1	12	45	96	9	6	2	240	361	425	786	185	317	28	13	354	129	+11	+0	—	—	+10	2.2
2024	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	73	56	16	2	1	2	16	19	0	2	2	286	444	464	909	179	389	26	22	404	167	+6	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
2024	25	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	29	17	4	1	0	1	11	6	1	6	0	235	552	471	1.022	235	300	21	38	468	217	+4	+1	—	—	+1	0.6
2025	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	463	403	108	20	2	12	53	137	5	13	3	268	360	417	777	149	375	30	11	349	125	+13	+1	—	—	+13	2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Riley Tirotta (OGILVIE)	27	45	50	50	55	183/269/308	125	260	12	9	34%	9%	57	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Scott Kingery 2021 · MLB	27	45→51	50→55	51→55	43	229/285/393	164	294	17	13	28%	7%	89	+0.9	197/266/322	125	295	12	18	35%	8%	62	-0.9	198/239/341	143	265	19	17	33%	5%	52	-0.8
✕JaCoby Jones 2020 · MLB	28	46	50	51→50	42	228/293/393	165	308	16	14	30%	7%	92	+1.2	219/280/368	149	328	16	9	36%	6%	79	+0.3	192/246/312	120	316	14	5	42%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	37→42	49→50	52→50	48	196/278/340	144	250	18	12	29%	9%	72	-0.2	207/297/365	158	271	19	13	29%	11%	87	+0.8	195/295/355	161	251	20	12	30%	12%	82	+0.4
✕Charles Leblanc 2023 · MLB	27	48→52	52→55	49→45	40	238/297/406	168	340	19	10	34%	7%	97	+1.5	220/306/363	143	310	16	7	32%	10%	89	+1.0	195/302/336	140	270	17	5	32%	12%	79	+0.2
✕Narciso Crook 2022 · AAA	27	42→44	49→55	49→50	38	210/274/357	147	307	16	12	36%	6%	75	-0.0	212/284/368	156	323	18	15	38%	7%	82	+0.5	200/276/356	157	309	19	17	39%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Chad Hermansen 2005 · MLB	27	45→43	49→55	47→50	46	227/294/379	152	299	17	12	29%	8%	89	+0.9	224/297/366	142	357	15	10	38%	9%	86	+0.8	211/266/315	104	305	11	13	33%	6%	56	-0.9
✕Ben Harrison 2009 · AAA	27	47→50	50	51→50	40	232/293/382	150	326	18	13	33%	7%	89	+1.0	201/270/326	125	316	14	9	38%	7%	65	-0.7	166/244/281	115	261	15	4	40%	8%	41	-1.0
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB	27	39→37	52→55	46→40	48	203/292/382	179	269	18	6	31%	10%	89	+1.0	195/284/360	165	248	20	6	29%	10%	81	+0.4	169/268/327	158	201	23	3	29%	11%	62	-0.4
✕Jermaine Palacios 2023 · MLB	27	44→47	49→45	45→50	41	227/278/369	143	299	19	14	30%	6%	79	+0.3	214/258/366	152	296	20	11	34%	5%	70	-0.3	159/192/319	160	208	25	8	39%	4%	30	-1.0
✕Nate Tenbrink 2014 · AAA	27	47→51	49→50	49→50	42	228/297/382	154	325	16	13	33%	8%	90	+1.0	225/284/362	137	334	15	11	35%	7%	79	+0.3	203/264/311	108	362	9	0	43%	8%	53	-0.2
✕Ben Guez 2014 · AAA	27	45→52	49→55	46→50	44	225/297/378	153	298	17	12	29%	7%	90	+1.0	209/281/373	164	286	20	13	33%	7%	82	+0.5	193/269/365	172	251	23	13	32%	6%	71	-0.1
✕Stuart Fairchild 2023 · MLB	27	44→42	52→50	50→55	42	223/298/390	167	299	20	13	31%	7%	94	+1.3	223/301/370	147	293	16	20	28%	8%	89	+1.0	220/316/365	145	284	15	26	26%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Jaylin Davis 2021 · MLB	27	46→45	52→50	45	41	232/296/396	164	319	21	9	33%	7%	94	+1.3	207/281/367	160	298	20	8	35%	8%	81	+0.4	182/266/333	151	267	18	5	37%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Clint Frazier 2022 · MLB	27	44→45	51→55	48→50	53	223/318/386	163	288	18	7	28%	11%	101	+1.8	199/286/319	120	299	12	11	35%	9%	70	-0.3	180/265/284	104	278	11	12	36%	9%	50	-1.0
✕TJ Hopkins 2023 · AAA	26	43→53	49→50	48→45	39	218/275/368	150	306	17	7	33%	6%	78	+0.2	235/303/379	144	328	16	7	31%	8%	92	+1.2	263/338/406	144	362	17	4	30%	9%	109	+1.7
✕Skye Bolt 2021 · AAA	27	42→39	47→50	49→50	42	208/271/344	135	299	14	12	34%	8%	69	-0.4	235/297/385	150	308	17	13	28%	7%	91	+1.1	238/304/382	144	312	16	12	28%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Mike Ohlman 2018 · AAA	27	42→52	47→45	47→40	41	209/274/343	134	318	16	5	38%	8%	71	-0.3	193/258/309	116	311	14	7	39%	8%	55	-1.4	149/217/224	75	238	11	2	40%	8%	14	-1.9
✕Chris Owings 2020 · MLB	28	43→53	47→50	48→55	41	219/272/353	134	292	14	16	30%	6%	72	-0.2	214/278/359	145	296	16	14	31%	8%	76	+0.1	184/261/307	123	264	15	11	35%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Hoy Park 2023 · MLB	27	41→49	47→45	53→55	48	209/284/337	128	275	15	16	29%	9%	73	-0.1	224/308/335	111	306	11	17	28%	10%	82	+0.5	227/321/326	100	311	9	19	27%	11%	83	+0.4
✕Jordan Danks 2014 · MLB	27	49	48→50	51→50	47	241/311/380	139	325	15	14	29%	9%	95	+1.4	229/288/344	115	324	13	9	31%	7%	76	+0.1	223/279/323	100	318	12	7	32%	7%	65	-0.6