Riley Tirotta — OGILVIE

Riley Tirotta3B Buffalo Bisons

Age 27 R/R 6'2" / 195 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION306 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP272

ISO121

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	119	95	29	3	1	1	19	25	3	4	2	305	436	389	825	84	394	21	16	376	141	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2022	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	283	247	54	15	2	6	33	91	2	12	5	219	316	368	684	150	318	32	12	309	95	-2	+0	—	—	+6	0.5
2023	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	269	225	48	8	2	8	37	77	3	7	4	213	332	373	705	160	278	29	14	317	101	+0	-0	—	—	+6	0.6
2023	24	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	107	89	27	8	2	3	15	30	2	5	1	303	415	539	954	236	421	28	14	414	167	+8	+1	—	—	+2	1.2
2024	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	342	287	69	15	1	12	45	96	9	6	2	240	361	425	786	185	317	28	13	354	126	+10	+0	—	—	+7	1.9
2024	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	73	56	16	2	1	2	16	19	0	2	2	286	444	464	909	179	389	26	22	404	159	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	25	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	29	17	4	1	0	1	11	6	1	6	0	235	552	471	1.022	235	300	21	38	468	203	+4	+1	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	463	403	108	20	2	12	53	137	5	13	3	268	360	417	777	149	375	30	11	349	122	+12	+1	—	—	+10	2.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	119	100	27	2	1	1	14	32	3	4	2	270	376	340	716	70	370	27	12	323	105	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2022	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	283	260	39	8	2	4	20	127	2	12	5	150	216	242	459	92	261	45	7	205	25	-25	+0	—	—	+6	-1.9
2023	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	269	239	42	7	2	6	23	97	3	7	4	176	257	297	554	121	249	36	9	247	53	-15	-0	—	—	+6	-1.0
2023	24	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	107	94	22	6	2	2	10	41	2	5	1	234	321	404	725	170	366	38	9	305	93	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	25	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	342	302	62	13	1	8	30	115	9	6	2	205	296	334	631	129	298	34	9	284	78	-9	+0	—	—	+7	-0.1
2024	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	73	62	15	2	1	1	10	23	0	2	2	242	347	355	702	113	346	32	14	326	107	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	25	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	29	19	4	1	0	1	9	8	1	6	0	211	483	421	904	211	284	28	31	392	151	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	463	419	91	14	2	10	37	166	5	13	3	217	289	332	620	115	327	36	8	273	71	-16	+1	—	—	+10	-0.5
2021	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	119	100	27	2	1	1	14	32	3	4	2	270	376	340	716	70	377	27	12	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	119	95	29	3	1	1	19	25	3	4	2	305	436	389	825	84	394	21	16	376	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	283	260	39	8	2	4	20	127	2	12	5	150	216	242	459	92	269	45	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	283	247	54	15	2	6	33	91	2	12	5	219	316	368	684	150	318	32	12	309	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	376	333	64	13	4	8	33	138	5	12	5	192	275	327	602	135	292	37	9	264	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	376	314	75	16	4	11	52	107	5	12	5	239	356	420	776	182	318	28	14	345	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	444	383	82	16	2	11	49	146	10	14	4	214	319	352	671	138	311	33	11	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	444	360	89	18	2	15	72	121	10	14	4	247	387	433	820	186	327	27	16	369	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	463	419	91	14	2	10	37	166	5	13	3	217	289	332	620	115	331	36	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	—	463	403	108	20	2	12	53	137	5	13	3	268	360	417	777	149	375	30	11	349	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	119	101	27	2	1	1	14	32	3	4	2	267	376	337	713	69	370	27	12	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	283	259	39	8	2	4	20	127	2	12	5	151	216	243	460	93	261	45	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	376	335	64	13	4	8	33	138	5	12	5	191	275	325	600	134	282	37	9	264	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	444	382	82	16	2	11	49	146	10	14	4	215	319	353	672	139	305	33	11	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	463	418	91	14	2	10	37	166	5	13	3	218	289	333	621	115	327	36	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	376	335	64	13	4	8	33	138	5	12	5	191	275	325	600	134	282	37	9	264	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	444	382	82	16	2	11	49	146	10	14	4	215	319	353	672	139	305	33	11	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	463	418	91	14	2	10	37	166	5	13	3	218	289	333	621	115	327	36	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	TOR	—	306	274	43	7	1	6	26	106	5	5	1	157	243	255	498	99	227	35	8	225	39	-22	+1	+0	+1	+7	-1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA RAW	TOR	—	108	91	18	3	0	1	14	28	3	0	0	198	324	264	588	66	274	26	13	283	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA RAW	TOR	—	198	171	33	6	1	7	24	60	2	5	1	193	299	363	662	170	248	30	12	299	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AAA MLE	TOR	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		270	33	11	260	62	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	27	MLB CTX	TOR	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						272	0	0	250	62	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	MLB A+C	TOR	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	250	39	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	27	AAA MLE	TOR	—	315	282	44	7	1	6	27	109	5	5	1	156	242	252	494	96	226	35	9	226	39	-23	+1	+0	+1	+7	-1.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	TOR	31%	333	297	56	10	1	7	29	110	4	6	2	189	270	300	569	111	274	33	9	265	66	-14	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.6
2027	28	MLB CTX	TOR	31%	103	92	17	3	0	2	9	34	1	2	0	185	265	283	547	98	275	33	9	256	66	-4	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	104	93	17	3	0	2	9	34	1	2	0	183	262	280	542	97	259	33	9	256	68	-4	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	106	19	0	12	56	212	6	12	0	182	261	277	538	95	259	33	9	256	68	-27	+2	-1	+2	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	2027	1800	360	63	12	41	183	722	29	61	21	200	284	317	601	117	304	36	9	269	68	-14	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	115	20	4	13	59	232	9	20	7	199	283	315	599	116	304	36	9	269	68	-27	+1	-1	+2	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Riley Tirotta (OGILVIE)	27	45	50	50	55	185/267/296	111	270	5	5	34%	9%	62	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Narciso Crook 2022 · AAA	27	42→43	47→50	49→50	40	211/279/350	139	304	15	12	34%	7%	78	-0.3	208/282/351	143	321	16	15	38%	7%	80	-0.2	194/272/334	141	306	16	17	39%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Mike Ahmed 2018 · AAA	26	44→45	46→50	46→50	44	217/285/345	128	303	14	11	32%	8%	78	-0.3	209/265/319	110	325	10	8	36%	6%	65	-1.2	195/248/296	100	312	8	6	38%	5%	51	-0.9
✕Zack Short 2021 · AAA	26	41→39	46→50	47→45	47	202/290/335	132	294	13	8	33%	10%	78	-0.3	190/285/318	128	262	14	9	31%	11%	74	-0.6	177/277/301	125	240	14	9	31%	11%	65	-0.9
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA	26	41→46	47→50	51→50	41	206/270/345	139	289	14	10	33%	7%	73	-0.6	224/289/358	134	318	14	10	32%	8%	83	+0.1	222/287/346	124	316	12	9	32%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Adam Engel 2020 · MLB	28	44→48	45→50	52→60	39	218/274/342	124	296	11	16	30%	5%	74	-0.6	235/293/378	143	305	15	19	27%	6%	89	+0.5	203/276/332	129	289	14	30	33%	7%	70	-0.4
✕JaCoby Jones 2019 · MLB	27	43→47	46→50	52→50	38	211/267/344	133	298	12	16	32%	6%	72	-0.7	226/291/385	159	318	16	11	32%	7%	90	+0.6	218/284/366	148	320	16	7	35%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Brandon Barnes 2013 · MLB	27	45→53	47→55	50	41	226/275/367	141	295	14	15	28%	6%	80	-0.2	233/280/352	119	316	11	14	28%	5%	78	-0.3	226/275/335	109	307	10	13	29%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Chad Hermansen 2005 · MLB	27	45→43	49→55	47→50	46	227/294/379	152	299	17	12	29%	8%	90	+0.6	224/297/364	140	356	14	10	38%	9%	87	+0.4	211/266/315	104	305	11	13	33%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Kevin Smith 2023 · MLB	27	39→45	48→55	54→50	39	203/258/343	140	283	15	14	33%	6%	68	-1.0	211/256/348	137	308	17	16	36%	5%	68	-1.0	205/244/340	135	297	19	19	37%	4%	60	-0.8
✕Ben Guez 2014 · AAA	27	45→52	46→50	46→50	44	221/296/353	132	298	13	12	29%	8%	84	+0.2	203/279/346	143	286	16	13	33%	7%	77	-0.3	186/264/332	146	252	17	13	32%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Steve Moss 2012 · AAA	28	46→49	45	50	40	222/284/347	125	318	13	10	33%	7%	78	-0.3	242/311/399	157	325	20	11	30%	8%	101	+1.4	229/311/406	176	282	23	8	27%	9%	100	+0.3
✕Skye Bolt 2021 · AAA	27	43→41	47→50	49→50	42	212/276/350	138	300	14	12	33%	8%	76	-0.4	237/301/379	142	314	15	13	28%	7%	92	+0.7	238/305/370	133	314	14	12	28%	8%	89	+0.2
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	37→44	47→50	52→50	48	191/275/320	128	248	15	12	29%	9%	70	-0.8	201/294/345	144	266	17	13	29%	11%	82	+0.0	187/289/332	145	245	18	12	30%	12%	76	-0.3
✕Travis Demeritte 2021 · MLB	26	43→44	50→55	48→50	42	215/284/372	157	306	17	7	34%	8%	84	+0.2	210/270/364	154	320	18	11	38%	7%	78	-0.3	192/251/344	153	290	20	12	39%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Ryan McKenna 2022 · MLB	25	42→52	46→45	50→55	47	210/291/342	132	296	14	15	32%	10%	80	-0.1	220/289/353	133	314	14	15	32%	8%	82	-0.0	210/274/334	125	290	14	20	31%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Ryan Dorow 2022 · AAA	26	43→44	47→45	47→45	42	213/276/349	136	295	14	7	32%	7%	76	-0.4	210/273/324	114	291	10	6	29%	7%	69	-0.9	192/259/281	90	268	7	2	29%	7%	51	-1.6
✕Luis Liberato 2023 · AAA	27	42→49	49→50	52→50	43	214/277/367	153	293	16	8	32%	8%	80	-0.1	219/283/349	130	311	12	12	31%	8%	78	-0.3	218/283/331	113	310	10	13	31%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Tyler Henson 2015 · AAA	27	48→51	43→45	51→55	39	226/277/342	116	331	9	16	33%	6%	74	-0.5	217/259/309	92	291	6	22	26%	5%	59	-1.6	203/238/272	69	266	2	28	24%	3%	41	-2.3
✕Cristian Guerrero 2007 · AAA	27	45	47→50	50	35	222/262/355	133	319	15	14	35%	5%	72	-0.7	224/278/364	140	330	15	12	35%	7%	80	-0.1	212/279/383	171	313	21	9	37%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Michael Hollimon 2009 · MLB	27	41→48	48→50	52→50	44	208/274/361	152	282	14	11	30%	8%	78	-0.3	202/269/345	143	277	15	9	31%	8%	72	-0.7	184/254/319	135	240	15	7	29%	8%	59	-0.8