Brandon McIlwainOF
Binghamton Rumble Ponies
Age 28
R/R
6'0" / 205 lbs
AA
H +5%HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†80
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .295 / .340
PA188
HR4
SB5
K%28
BB%7
MLB%2%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-7M | $-11M | -$4M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 287 | 251 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 130 | 7 | 8 | 3 | .183 | .273 | .283 | .556 | .100 | .339 | 45 | 8 | .249 | 49 | -17 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -1.0 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | 3 teams | 446 | 406 | 82 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 155 | 16 | 16 | 8 | .202 | .272 | .308 | .580 | .106 | .306 | 35 | 5 | .257 | 55 | -23 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +13 | -1.3 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 551 | 484 | 107 | 26 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 151 | 20 | 20 | 7 | .221 | .311 | .347 | .658 | .126 | .294 | 27 | 8 | .288 | 79 | -13 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 171 | 156 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 54 | 4 | 6 | 3 | .205 | .271 | .314 | .585 | .109 | .293 | 32 | 6 | .257 | 55 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 188 | 167 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 53 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .222 | .301 | .353 | .654 | .132 | .289 | 28 | 7 | .290 | 80 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 9% | NYM | 249 | 222 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 69 | 6 | 6 | 2 | .216 | .296 | .338 | .633 | .122 | .289 | 28 | 8 | .291 | 81 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 19% | NYM | 293 | 261 | 57 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 81 | 7 | 6 | 2 | .218 | .299 | .341 | .640 | .123 | .288 | 28 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -6 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 29% | NYM | 290 | 260 | 56 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 81 | 6 | 5 | 2 | .215 | .292 | .338 | .630 | .123 | .287 | 28 | 8 | .288 | 79 | -7 | +0 | -3 | -2 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 40% | NYM | 279 | 249 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 79 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .217 | .296 | .341 | .637 | .124 | .286 | 28 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -8 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 49% | NYM | 254 | 227 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 74 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .211 | .290 | .330 | .620 | .119 | .284 | 29 | 8 | .279 | 72 | -8 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +7 | -0.7 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 63% | NYM | 215 | 192 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 64 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .208 | .286 | .323 | .609 | .115 | .282 | 30 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -8 | +0 | -5 | -1 | +6 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3223 | 2875 | 607 | 123 | 15 | 62 | 236 | 991 | 87 | 78 | 31 | .211 | .291 | .329 | .620 | .118 | .296 | 31 | 7 | .277 | 70 | -108 | +3 | -19 | -19 | +91 | -5.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 580 | 123 | 25 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 200 | 18 | 16 | 6 | .212 | .293 | .333 | .626 | .121 | .297 | 31 | 7 | .277 | 70 | -22 | +1 | -4 | -4 | +18 | -1.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 287 | 239 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 89 | 7 | 8 | 3 | .255 | .369 | .397 | .766 | .142 | .365 | 31 | 13 | .343 | 121 | +7 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 1.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 218 | 192 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 64 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .219 | .309 | .323 | .632 | .104 | .304 | 29 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -5 | -0 | — | — | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 185 | 161 | 48 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 45 | 10 | 12 | 5 | .298 | .389 | .472 | .861 | .174 | .398 | 24 | 8 | .384 | 152 | +11 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 1.7 |
| 2022 | 24 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | 43 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .175 | .233 | .325 | .558 | .150 | .240 | 33 | 5 | .250 | 49 | -2 | -0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 191 | 151 | 33 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 46 | 6 | 11 | 1 | .219 | .382 | .391 | .773 | .172 | .280 | 24 | 18 | .356 | 131 | +7 | +2 | — | — | +5 | 1.4 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 360 | 315 | 82 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 73 | 14 | 9 | 6 | .260 | .346 | .394 | .739 | .133 | .314 | 20 | 8 | .332 | 112 | +5 | -1 | — | — | +10 | 1.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 171 | 152 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 44 | 4 | 6 | 3 | .224 | .306 | .342 | .648 | .118 | .295 | 26 | 8 | .295 | 84 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Brandon McIlwain (OGILVIE) | 28 | — | — | — | — | .216/.295/.340 | .124 | .289 | 4 | 5 | 28% | 7% | 80 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Eli White 2022 · MLB |
28 | 41→50 | 46→50 | 48→60 | 42 | .207/.279/.331 | .125 | .289 | 14 | 13 | 32% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .223/.297/.357 | .134 | .311 | 16 | 27 | 31% | 9% | 84 | +0.6 | .234/.299/.378 | .144 | .310 | 18 | 31 | 29% | 7% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA |
27 | 43→45 | 48→45 | 53→55 | 48 | .221/.296/.363 | .142 | .269 | 16 | 16 | 24% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .221/.293/.348 | .127 | .275 | 14 | 24 | 24% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .214/.285/.324 | .111 | .265 | 13 | 28 | 24% | 8% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕JaCoby Jones 2020 · MLB |
28 | 43→47 | 48→50 | 51→50 | 41 | .215/.279/.365 | .150 | .293 | 15 | 15 | 31% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .217/.278/.364 | .147 | .320 | 16 | 9 | 35% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .194/.249/.314 | .120 | .315 | 14 | 5 | 41% | 6% | 49 | -0.6 |
|
✕Adam Engel 2020 · MLB |
28 | 43→48 | 45→50 | 52→60 | 39 | .215/.272/.345 | .130 | .293 | 12 | 16 | 30% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .237/.293/.382 | .145 | .308 | 15 | 19 | 27% | 5% | 89 | +1.0 | .204/.278/.335 | .130 | .292 | 14 | 30 | 33% | 7% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB |
29 | 42→41 | 45→55 | 49→50 | 40 | .211/.264/.333 | .122 | .283 | 13 | 11 | 30% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.271/.370 | .163 | .326 | 22 | 14 | 41% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .151/.220/.316 | .164 | .233 | 26 | 18 | 47% | 7% | 40 | -0.9 |
|
✕Alfredo Marte 2017 · MLB |
28 | 46→47 | 44→50 | 51→45 | 43 | .227/.281/.342 | .115 | .300 | 11 | 10 | 27% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .224/.280/.349 | .125 | .283 | 14 | 13 | 25% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .208/.274/.326 | .118 | .249 | 17 | 14 | 24% | 6% | 64 | -0.2 |
|
✕Weston Wilson 2023 · AAA |
28 | 41→43 | 49→55 | 51→55 | 40 | .213/.267/.358 | .145 | .288 | 18 | 17 | 32% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .219/.288/.394 | .175 | .287 | 23 | 23 | 31% | 9% | 91 | +1.1 | .215/.294/.402 | .188 | .269 | 26 | 25 | 30% | 10% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Reid Gorecki 2009 · AAA |
28 | 46→51 | 48→50 | 50→55 | 45 | .231/.291/.367 | .136 | .288 | 16 | 20 | 26% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .237/.290/.358 | .121 | .300 | 10 | 19 | 23% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .230/.284/.349 | .119 | .293 | 8 | 20 | 23% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 |
|
✕Taylor Featherston 2018 · MLB |
28 | 39→45 | 45→50 | 51→50 | 39 | .201/.254/.323 | .122 | .272 | 13 | 12 | 31% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .183/.239/.304 | .121 | .303 | 14 | 10 | 42% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .154/.212/.270 | .115 | .278 | 14 | 8 | 48% | 4% | 24 | -2.4 |
|
✕Narciso Crook 2022 · AAA |
27 | 43 | 49→55 | 50 | 39 | .215/.277/.364 | .150 | .307 | 16 | 12 | 34% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .214/.286/.373 | .159 | .324 | 19 | 15 | 38% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .200/.278/.359 | .159 | .312 | 19 | 17 | 39% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Skye Bolt 2021 · AAA |
27 | 42→39 | 47→50 | 50 | 42 | .209/.273/.350 | .141 | .295 | 15 | 13 | 33% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .232/.296/.375 | .143 | .310 | 16 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .234/.302/.369 | .135 | .310 | 15 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 86 | +0.3 |
|
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA |
28 | 39→45 | 45 | 49→55 | 41 | .197/.268/.316 | .118 | .283 | 13 | 17 | 34% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .210/.295/.327 | .117 | .326 | 12 | 25 | 36% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .199/.294/.308 | .110 | .316 | 12 | 32 | 37% | 10% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Chip Ambres 2008 · MLB |
28 | 43→49 | 48→50 | 48→50 | 49 | .219/.293/.357 | .138 | .273 | 16 | 12 | 25% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .218/.282/.363 | .145 | .266 | 16 | 8 | 24% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .215/.277/.357 | .143 | .255 | 16 | 6 | 22% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jason Repko 2009 · MLB |
28 | 47→48 | 44→50 | 54→55 | 45 | .229/.303/.350 | .121 | .296 | 11 | 20 | 25% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .227/.286/.354 | .127 | .287 | 14 | 21 | 25% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .223/.280/.344 | .120 | .278 | 14 | 24 | 24% | 6% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Patrick Brady 2016 · AAA |
28 | 43 | 47→50 | 48→45 | 39 | .219/.262/.352 | .132 | .286 | 15 | 12 | 29% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .211/.269/.312 | .101 | .308 | 7 | 11 | 31% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .196/.263/.290 | .094 | .295 | 4 | 9 | 32% | 8% | 50 | -0.9 |
|
✕Miles Durham 2011 · AA |
28 | 47→49 | 46→50 | 48→50 | 39 | .233/.280/.364 | .132 | .317 | 12 | 10 | 30% | 5% | 78 | +0.2 | .208/.256/.314 | .106 | .309 | 8 | 11 | 33% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .189/.232/.282 | .093 | .287 | 5 | 13 | 35% | 5% | 35 | -1.4 |
|
✕Scott Kingery 2022 · MLB |
28 | 42→51 | 48→55 | 52→55 | 43 | .214/.277/.362 | .149 | .292 | 15 | 13 | 31% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .202/.267/.327 | .125 | .300 | 13 | 21 | 35% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .201/.259/.337 | .136 | .285 | 17 | 26 | 34% | 7% | 59 | -0.8 |
|
✕Christian Lopes 2021 · AAA |
28 | 45→51 | 44→45 | 47→50 | 50 | .221/.297/.341 | .120 | .272 | 12 | 14 | 23% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .210/.289/.335 | .125 | .304 | 12 | 11 | 32% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .189/.277/.305 | .116 | .284 | 11 | 9 | 35% | 9% | 61 | -0.3 |
|
✕Justin Leone 2006 · MLB |
29 | 43→41 | 46→50 | 48→55 | 46 | .214/.288/.346 | .132 | .297 | 14 | 8 | 31% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .211/.288/.354 | .143 | .274 | 16 | 12 | 28% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .202/.286/.351 | .149 | .254 | 18 | 16 | 27% | 10% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
✕Carlos Moncrief 2017 · AAA |
28 | 45→52 | 45→50 | 50 | 45 | .225/.286/.348 | .122 | .288 | 12 | 11 | 26% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .222/.280/.331 | .109 | .302 | 10 | 11 | 28% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .221/.271/.311 | .090 | .327 | 4 | 9 | 32% | 6% | 58 | -0.5 |