Brandon McIlwain

Brandon McIlwainOF Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AA H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 188 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .284 / .326

PA16

HR0

K%28

BB%7

ISO119

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	287	239	61	11	1	7	36	89	7	8	3	255	369	397	766	142	365	31	13	343	119	+6	+0	—	—	+6	1.3
2022	24	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	218	192	42	8	0	4	20	64	5	3	2	219	309	323	632	104	304	29	9	291	83	-4	-0	—	—	+5	0.0
2022	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	185	161	48	7	6	3	14	45	10	12	5	298	389	472	861	174	398	24	8	384	146	+10	+0	—	—	+4	1.5
2022	24	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	43	40	7	1	1	1	2	14	1	1	1	175	233	325	558	150	240	33	5	250	55	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	25	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	191	151	33	11	0	5	34	46	6	11	1	219	382	391	773	172	280	24	18	356	127	+6	+2	—	—	+4	1.2
2023	25	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	360	315	82	19	1	7	27	73	14	9	6	260	346	394	739	133	314	20	8	332	111	+5	-1	—	—	+8	1.2
2024	26	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	171	152	34	7	1	3	14	44	4	6	3	224	306	342	648	118	295	26	8	295	85	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	287	251	46	8	1	5	24	128	7	8	3	183	273	283	556	100	320	45	8	249	55	-15	+0	—	—	+6	-0.9
2022	24	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	218	199	37	7	0	3	13	77	5	3	2	186	253	266	520	80	279	35	6	235	45	-14	-0	—	—	+5	-1.0
2022	24	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	185	166	38	5	5	2	9	61	10	12	5	229	308	355	664	127	342	33	5	290	82	-4	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2023	25	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	191	161	29	10	0	3	24	57	6	11	1	180	309	298	607	118	259	30	13	283	78	-5	+2	—	—	+4	0.1
2023	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	360	324	76	16	1	6	18	89	14	9	6	235	303	346	649	111	292	25	5	283	78	-10	-1	—	—	+8	-0.2
2024	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	171	156	32	6	1	3	10	51	4	6	3	205	271	314	585	109	281	30	6	253	57	-9	+0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2021	23	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	287	251	46	8	1	5	24	128	7	8	3	183	273	283	556	100	333	45	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	287	239	61	11	1	7	36	89	7	8	3	255	369	397	766	142	365	31	13	343	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	446	404	83	13	5	6	25	152	16	16	8	205	279	307	586	101	312	34	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	446	393	97	16	7	8	36	123	16	16	8	247	335	384	719	137	338	28	8	325	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	551	484	105	26	1	9	43	146	20	20	7	217	307	331	638	114	288	26	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	551	466	115	30	1	12	61	119	20	20	7	247	358	393	751	146	304	22	11	340	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	171	156	32	6	1	3	10	51	4	6	3	205	271	314	585	109	284	30	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	171	152	34	7	1	3	14	44	4	6	3	224	306	342	648	118	295	26	8	295	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	287	254	46	8	1	5	24	128	7	8	3	181	273	280	553	98	320	45	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	446	402	83	13	5	6	25	152	16	16	8	206	279	308	587	102	308	34	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	551	483	105	26	1	9	43	146	20	20	7	217	307	331	638	114	281	26	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	171	155	32	6	1	3	10	51	4	6	3	206	271	316	587	110	281	30	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	551	483	105	26	1	9	43	146	20	20	7	217	307	331	638	114	281	26	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	171	155	32	6	1	3	10	51	4	6	3	206	271	316	587	110	281	30	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	NYM	2%	16	15	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	200	250	267	517	67	276	25	6	279	75	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	NYM	23%	249	222	47	10	1	5	19	68	6	6	2	212	291	333	625	122	277	27	8	282	77	-7	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.4
2027	29	MLB CTX	NYM	23%	56	51	10	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	196	268	294	562	98	269	27	7	260	77	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	56	51	10	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	196	268	294	562	98	257	27	7	260	68	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	116	23	0	12	46	174	12	12	0	196	268	296	563	100	256	27	7	260	68	-18	+2	-4	-4	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	1720	1532	316	64	9	28	122	549	53	56	23	206	288	315	602	108	298	32	7	268	68	-7	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	119	24	3	11	46	207	20	21	9	206	287	314	601	109	296	32	7	268	68	-18	+1	-3	-4	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brandon McIlwain (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	207/284/326	118	276	4	5	28%	7%	75	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adam Engel 2020 · MLB	28	44→48	45→50	52→60	39	218/274/342	124	296	11	16	30%	5%	74	-0.6	235/293/378	143	305	15	19	27%	6%	89	+0.5	203/276/332	129	289	14	30	33%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Brett Carroll 2012 · MLB	29	42→45	47→55	48→50	44	214/281/347	133	264	14	11	25%	6%	78	-0.3	205/271/329	124	273	14	10	29%	7%	70	-0.8	191/262/312	122	255	14	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	43	46→50	49→50	42	215/271/341	126	287	13	11	30%	6%	72	-0.7	204/270/355	151	326	19	14	41%	7%	76	-0.4	143/213/283	140	229	22	18	47%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Taylor Featherston 2017 · MLB	27	41→47	45→50	49→50	38	206/252/330	124	264	12	11	27%	4%	62	-1.4	189/246/302	113	289	12	11	37%	5%	54	-2.0	168/229/276	108	282	13	10	43%	5%	40	-1.9
✕Kristopher Negrón 2015 · MLB	29	45→50	43→45	54→55	39	218/270/328	111	296	10	18	29%	5%	69	-0.9	214/268/322	108	281	10	16	26%	5%	67	-1.1	226/289/352	126	323	14	14	32%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Jason Repko 2011 · MLB	30	46→48	45→50	53→55	45	229/291/353	124	286	13	20	24%	7%	82	+0.0	217/277/333	116	281	12	17	26%	7%	72	-0.7	196/254/299	103	257	11	18	27%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Juan Carlos Perez 2015 · MLB	28	48→55	44→45	48→55	40	236/276/359	123	288	11	16	22%	4%	78	-0.3	222/257/343	121	279	10	19	24%	4%	66	-1.1	235/280/351	116	297	9	19	23%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Brandon Barnes 2014 · MLB	28	48→53	45→55	46→50	40	235/284/357	122	310	12	15	28%	5%	81	-0.1	226/272/339	113	309	10	14	29%	5%	72	-0.7	209/262/343	134	294	15	15	33%	5%	67	-0.9
✕Jonathan Davis 2020 · MLB	28	46→52	43→45	53→55	46	223/301/338	115	287	10	19	25%	7%	84	+0.1	214/307/322	108	288	10	22	27%	9%	82	+0.0	221/304/328	106	311	9	22	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Andy Burns 2019 · AAA	28	43→53	42→50	49→55	43	212/258/318	106	266	9	14	24%	6%	61	-1.5	225/297/365	140	276	16	11	23%	9%	87	+0.4	199/279/320	121	257	13	10	27%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Christian Lopes 2021 · AAA	28	45→51	44→45	47→50	49	222/297/340	118	275	11	13	23%	8%	82	+0.0	213/291/335	122	306	12	11	32%	8%	79	-0.2	194/280/309	115	286	11	9	33%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Weston Wilson 2023 · AAA	28	41→43	47→55	51→55	40	207/263/336	128	288	15	17	33%	7%	68	-1.0	213/285/371	158	283	20	23	31%	9%	84	+0.2	207/286/372	166	264	22	25	30%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA	28	40→45	43→45	49→55	41	197/267/307	110	285	11	17	34%	7%	63	-1.3	210/296/321	111	330	11	25	36%	10%	78	-0.3	196/292/297	101	315	10	32	37%	10%	69	-0.4
✕Jamie Hoffmann 2013 · AAA	28	44→53	45	50→55	45	219/274/337	118	267	12	13	23%	6%	72	-0.7	218/269/339	121	264	12	12	22%	6%	71	-0.8	208/252/318	110	249	9	10	20%	4%	56	-1.2
✕Brandon Larson 2004 · MLB	28	39→42	47→50	45	52	202/289/335	133	250	16	11	26%	10%	78	-0.3	224/295/372	148	288	17	7	27%	8%	88	+0.5	224/283/376	152	290	20	4	29%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Tyler Saladino 2018 · MLB	29	47	41→45	51→55	46	226/283/322	96	280	8	18	22%	6%	72	-0.7	218/287/358	140	282	16	15	27%	8%	82	+0.0	207/280/360	153	265	19	17	29%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	43→45	47→45	53→55	49	218/294/356	138	264	15	16	23%	8%	84	+0.2	221/293/346	125	274	14	24	24%	8%	82	-0.0	215/286/326	111	267	12	28	23%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Scott Cousins 2013 · MLB	28	47→50	45→50	52→55	42	232/281/360	128	300	12	17	27%	6%	80	-0.2	216/275/316	100	293	9	16	28%	6%	68	-1.0	184/248/234	49	261	2	16	28%	5%	36	-1.2
✕Damian Rolls 2005 · MLB	27	47→52	41→45	47→55	44	230/285/330	100	286	8	13	22%	6%	74	-0.5	214/279/319	105	280	9	12	26%	7%	70	-0.8	224/289/292	68	315	4	20	28%	7%	66	-0.2
✕Elier Hernandez 2023 · MLB	28	45→51	49→50	51→50	39	228/276/376	148	295	16	11	28%	5%	82	+0.0	234/287/370	136	310	13	9	28%	6%	84	+0.2	231/282/358	127	305	13	8	28%	6%	76	-0.5