Juan Pinto — OGILVIE

Juan Pinto P ACL Mariners

Age 22 LHP 6'2" / 165 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 16 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112121vR 129

ERA5.03

FIP5.03

K%22.7%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%8.3%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	10	10	30	144	33	29	0	100%	3.0	15.6%	25.2%	-9.6%	0.0%	4.75	4.97	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	10	10	30	144	33	29	0	100%	3.0	22.9%	20.1%	2.8%	0.0%	4.75	3.79	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	10	5	17	105	21	22	2	50%	1.7	13.6%	26.2%	-12.6%	2.8%	15.88	6.82	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	10	5	17	105	21	22	2	50%	1.7	20.0%	21.0%	-1.0%	1.9%	15.88	6.04	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	14	8	27	140	30	28	0	57%	2.0	14.6%	25.0%	-10.4%	0.0%	6.91	5.04	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	14	8	27	140	30	28	0	57%	2.0	14.6%	25.0%	-10.4%	0.0%	6.91	5.04	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	14	8	27	140	30	28	0	57%	2.0	21.4%	20.0%	1.4%	0.0%	6.91	3.98	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	SEA	3	3	16	68	15	10	2	100%	5.3	22.7%	14.4%	8.3%	3.0%	5.03	5.03	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SEA	4	4	20	84	20	11	2	100%	5.0	23.4%	12.6%	10.8%	2.9%	4.81	4.71	+0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	SEA	2	2	10	42	10	5	1	100%	5.0	23.4%	12.6%	10.8%	2.9%	4.81	4.71	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	42	10	5	1	100%	4.9	23.4%	12.6%	10.8%	2.9%	4.81	4.33	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		37	37	200	844	203	102	20	100%	5.3	23.4%	12.6%	10.8%	2.9%	4.81	4.33	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		34	23	75	389	57	99	3	68%	2.2	14.7%	25.4%	-10.7%	0.8%	8.08	5.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		91	62	200	1042	153	265	8	68%	2.2	14.7%	25.4%	-10.7%	0.8%	8.08	5.49	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Juan Pinto (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.03	22.7%	14.4%	3.0%	—	4.71	23.4%	10.8%	20	-0.32	—	—	—
Jason Blanchard L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	24.8%	14.2%	2.2%	.382	3.81	21.6%	10.9%	156	-0.21	2.44	171	80
Bailey Horn L 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.7%	12.7%	3.6%	.300	4.60	22.3%	10.3%	152	-0.39	3.90	265	79
Liam Sullivan L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP	5.78	25.7%	20.5%	4.1%	.290	5.79	20.9%	7.2%	141	+0.01	4.45	156	79
Matt Osterberg L 2021 · 3.88 FIP	22	SW	3.88	20.2%	12.3%	1.7%	.255	4.04	15.6%	9.3%	274	+0.16	3.70	294	77
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	23	SP-	5.71	19.0%	14.6%	4.3%	.255	4.74	23.9%	6.3%	106	-0.97	4.42	141	74
Jordan Woods L 2024 · 4.51 FIP	20	SP	4.51	20.5%	10.3%	3.3%	.329	4.18	20.5%	8.3%	139	-0.33	3.92	170	74
Jake Miller L 2023 · 5.50 FIP	22	SP-	5.50	17.2%	14.1%	3.8%	.345	3.04	22.5%	16.3%	99	-2.46	3.00	143	73
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	72
Luke Fox L 2024 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	21.8%	19.2%	2.8%	.284	4.16	21.4%	8.1%	125	-1.08	3.60	156	72
Tommy Sommer L 2021 · 4.65 FIP	22	SP-	4.65	23.9%	9.3%	4.3%	.196	5.36	18.6%	6.1%	205	+0.71	4.28	230	71
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	71
Larson Kindreich L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	23	SP-	4.27	24.3%	18.6%	1.6%	.275	4.96	22.3%	6.1%	149	+0.69	4.16	214	70
Sonny Vargas L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	20	SP-	4.54	21.0%	10.1%	3.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	165	70
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	70
Joe Miller L 2022 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP	4.48	17.4%	13.9%	2.0%	.375	4.22	16.0%	7.7%	273	-0.26	3.76	355	69
Jimmy Robbins L 2022 · 3.85 FIP	24	SP-	3.85	23.3%	11.3%	2.3%	.286	4.82	18.0%	2.8%	99	+0.97	3.85	176	69
Nate Savino L 2024 · 5.85 FIP	22	SP	5.85	16.8%	18.8%	3.2%	.244	4.83	14.9%	2.0%	130	-1.02	4.26	176	69
Mac Lardner L 2021 · 4.75 FIP	23	SP-	4.75	18.9%	8.5%	4.0%	.332	4.34	17.5%	8.1%	119	-0.41	3.66	186	68
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	68
Dana Eveland L 2006 · 4.00 FIP	22	SP-	4.00	22.7%	9.9%	2.8%	.385	3.97	14.8%	4.3%	212	-0.03	2.42	544	68