Juan Pinto
P
ACL Mariners
Age 21
LHP
6'2" / 165 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102111vR 120
ERA4.45
FIP4.45
K%22.9%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%12.8%
ROS IP15
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 10 | 10 | 30 | 144 | 33 | 29 | 0 | 100% | 3.0 | 15.6% | 25.2% | -9.6% | 0.0% | 4.75 | 4.97 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 10 | 10 | 30 | 144 | 33 | 29 | 0 | 100% | 3.0 | 22.9% | 20.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 4.75 | 3.79 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 10 | 5 | 17 | 105 | 21 | 22 | 2 | 50% | 1.7 | 13.6% | 26.2% | -12.6% | 3.0% | 15.88 | 6.91 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 10 | 5 | 17 | 105 | 21 | 22 | 2 | 50% | 1.7 | 20.0% | 21.0% | -1.0% | 1.9% | 15.88 | 6.04 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 14 | 8 | 27 | 140 | 30 | 28 | 0 | 57% | 2.0 | 14.6% | 25.0% | -10.4% | 0.0% | 6.91 | 5.04 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 14 | 8 | 27 | 140 | 30 | 28 | 0 | 57% | 2.0 | 21.4% | 20.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 6.91 | 3.98 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | SEA | 3 | 3 | 15 | 62 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 4.9 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | SEA | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | SEA | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.24 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.86 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 39 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.1 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 34 | 23 | 75 | 389 | 57 | 99 | 3 | 68% | 2.2 | 14.7% | 25.4% | -10.7% | 0.8% | 8.08 | 5.52 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 91 | 62 | 200 | 1042 | 153 | 265 | 8 | 68% | 2.2 | 14.7% | 25.4% | -10.7% | 0.8% | 8.08 | 5.52 | -0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Juan Pinto (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.24 | 23.8% | 14.5% | 20 | -0.21 | — | — | — |
| Tommy Sommer L 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.59 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% | .196 | 5.30 | 18.6% | 6.1% | 205 | +0.71 | 4.20 | 230 | 79 |
| Develson Aria L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.07 | 19.9% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .346 | 6.50 | 16.7% | -11.9% | 47 | +2.43 | 4.07 | 137 | 78 |
| Ryan Williamson L 2028 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.10 | 18.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.67 | 18.4% | 5.8% | 102 | +1.57 | 4.10 | 123 | 77 |
| Fernando Sanchez L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.05 | 24.8% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .318 | 3.89 | 17.7% | 6.9% | 213 | -0.16 | 3.12 | 303 | 77 |
| Sonny Vargas L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.43 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 76 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 75 |
| Avery Short L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.04 | 20.1% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .346 | 4.76 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 271 | -0.28 | 4.31 | 460 | 74 |
| Dalton Pence L 2027 · 3.32 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.32 | 23.8% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.89 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 71 | +0.57 | 3.32 | 153 | 74 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.83 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | .323 | 5.29 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 62 | +1.46 | 3.83 | 119 | 74 |
| Bailey Horn L 2028 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 74 |
| Thomas Ireland L 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.50 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .286 | 3.55 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 177 | -0.95 | 2.94 | 221 | 74 |
| Jordi Martinez L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .277 | 4.56 | 17.7% | 6.6% | 120 | +0.72 | 3.15 | 205 | 74 |
| Mac Lardner L 2028 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.63 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.35 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.28 | 3.54 | 186 | 73 |
| Dalton Lehnen L 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.95 | 19.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% | .398 | 4.61 | 15.8% | 2.9% | 189 | +0.66 | 3.95 | 222 | 73 |
| Felipe De La Cruz L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.55 | 21.7% | 14.5% | 2.6% | .387 | 3.72 | 21.6% | 10.0% | 278 | -0.83 | 3.06 | 382 | 72 |
| Jacob Lopez L 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.66 | 24.3% | 7.9% | 2.9% | .302 | 3.58 | 30.4% | 21.6% | 55 | -0.08 | 3.50 | 478 | 71 |
| Jaylen Nowlin L 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.48 | 26.8% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .352 | 5.07 | 19.1% | 6.1% | 254 | +1.59 | 3.48 | 357 | 71 |
| Jack Patterson L 2027 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.72 | 14.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.08 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 80 | -1.64 | 3.08 | 127 | 71 |
| Ryan Rolison L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.88 | 21.2% | 9.2% | 2.6% | .200 | 4.10 | 19.1% | 11.5% | 191 | +0.22 | 3.63 | 362 | 70 |
| Bryan Sammons L 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.60 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.91 | 18.4% | 8.4% | 228 | +0.31 | 3.53 | 688 | 70 |