Jefrem Leon — OGILVIE

Jefrem Leon P FCL Nationals

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 155 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.32

FIP4.32

K%22.8%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%14.0%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	12	3	25	96	27	10	0	25%	2.1	19.1%	13.0%	6.1%	0.0%	1.46	3.13	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	12	3	25	96	27	10	0	25%	2.1	28.1%	10.4%	17.7%	0.0%	1.46	2.13	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	11	8	43	171	48	11	0	73%	3.9	19.1%	8.0%	11.0%	0.0%	2.74	2.51	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	11	8	43	171	48	11	0	73%	3.9	28.1%	6.4%	21.6%	0.0%	2.74	1.62	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	9	35	157	40	10	5	75%	2.9	16.9%	8.0%	8.9%	4.0%	5.19	4.87	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	9	35	157	40	10	5	75%	2.9	16.9%	8.0%	8.9%	4.0%	5.19	4.87	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	9	35	157	40	10	5	75%	2.9	25.5%	6.4%	19.1%	3.2%	5.19	3.53	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	WSH	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	22.8%	8.8%	14.0%	3.0%	4.32	4.32	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	WSH	4	4	20	84	20	7	3	100%	5.0	23.4%	8.6%	14.9%	3.0%	4.26	4.22	+0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	WSH	2	2	9	38	9	3	1	100%	4.5	23.4%	8.6%	14.9%	3.0%	4.26	4.22	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	9	36	8	3	1	100%	4.3	23.5%	8.6%	14.9%	3.0%	4.26	3.84	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	187	70	23	100%	5.6	23.5%	8.6%	14.9%	3.0%	4.26	3.84	+2.6
Career	—	MLE		35	20	102	424	78	39	6	57%	2.9	18.3%	9.1%	9.1%	1.5%	3.26	3.52	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	39	200	831	152	76	12	57%	2.9	18.3%	9.1%	9.1%	1.5%	3.26	3.52	+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jefrem Leon (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.32	22.8%	8.8%	3.0%	—	4.22	23.4%	14.9%	20	-0.10	—	—	—
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	88
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	85
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	82
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	81
Rico Garcia R 2017 · 3.37 FIP	23	SP-	3.37	18.8%	7.0%	1.8%	.316	4.07	19.8%	11.5%	296	+0.70	3.37	587	81
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	79
Clay Chandler R 2017 · 4.97 FIP	23	SP-	4.97	18.3%	6.0%	4.8%	.319	4.89	14.8%	8.8%	293	-0.08	4.49	328	78
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	77
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	77
Nathanael Santiago R 2015 · 3.44 FIP	25	SP-	3.44	20.3%	11.4%	1.1%	.286	3.58	23.2%	10.9%	71	+0.14	2.49	138	77
Evan McKendry R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	18.4%	5.5%	3.6%	.256	5.11	18.0%	11.7%	324	+0.91	4.20	474	77
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	76
Duque Hebbert R 2023 · 3.18 FIP	21	SP-	3.18	17.8%	4.8%	1.8%	.324	4.54	13.4%	6.1%	130	+1.36	3.18	168	75
J.C. Flowers R 2021 · 3.59 FIP	23	SP-	3.59	21.3%	8.7%	2.1%	.330	4.86	16.2%	2.6%	184	+1.27	3.59	281	75
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	75
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	75
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	75
Ryan Jennings R 2023 · 3.43 FIP	24	SP-	3.43	23.4%	11.9%	1.5%	.316	4.34	22.5%	9.8%	109	+0.91	3.43	142	75
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	74
Nick Fraze R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	23	SP-	4.49	18.8%	7.3%	3.8%	.271	4.70	17.9%	10.2%	162	+0.21	3.86	278	74