Gavin Bruni
P
Wilmington Blue Rocks
Age 23
LHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 122
ERA4.52
FIP4.52
K%23.5%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%12.2%
ROS IP14
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 17 | 0 | 24 | 107 | 35 | 23 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.2% | 25.4% | -1.2% | 1.1% | 3.80 | 4.89 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 17 | 0 | 24 | 107 | 35 | 23 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 32.7% | 21.5% | 11.2% | 0.9% | 3.80 | 3.61 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 13 | 4 | 39 | 184 | 41 | 23 | 2 | 31% | 3.0 | 17.2% | 14.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 6.69 | 4.22 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | WSH | 13 | 0 | 14 | 60 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.52 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 53 | 244 | 55 | 30 | 4 | — | — | 22.6% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 1.5% | 6.12 | 4.30 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.14 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | WSH | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | WSH | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 3.97 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 207 | 92 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 3.97 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 30 | 4 | 63 | 291 | 57 | 54 | 4 | 13% | 2.1 | 19.7% | 18.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 5.60 | 4.46 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 96 | 13 | 200 | 929 | 183 | 171 | 12 | 13% | 2.1 | 19.7% | 18.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 5.60 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gavin Bruni (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 23.5% | 11.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.35 | 24.0% | 13.6% | 20 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Sean Mellen L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 84 |
| Harry Gustin L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.77 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 2.1% | .271 | 5.25 | 21.7% | 11.5% | 39 | +1.48 | 3.77 | 132 | 84 |
| Josh Simpson L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.43 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .290 | 3.28 | 33.4% | 19.3% | 102 | -1.15 | 3.07 | 247 | 81 |
| Lucas Knowles L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.79 | 20.5% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .366 | 4.10 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 177 | +0.31 | 3.37 | 275 | 80 |
| Daniel Zamora L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.52 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 1.4% | .294 | 2.76 | 24.7% | 16.8% | 135 | -0.76 | 2.17 | 310 | 79 |
| Fred Schlichtholz L 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.41 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 2.9% | .368 | 4.36 | 18.5% | 8.4% | 80 | -0.05 | 3.76 | 175 | 78 |
| Garrett Irvin L 2027 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.53 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 3.5% | .283 | 4.48 | 17.7% | 2.9% | 39 | -0.05 | 4.48 | 110 | 78 |
| Jared Tobey L 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.11 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 2.3% | .320 | 5.97 | 22.4% | 8.2% | 73 | +1.86 | 4.11 | 158 | 78 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.62 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.49 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 149 | +0.87 | 3.62 | 206 | 77 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2027 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.01 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.4% | .326 | 4.55 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.54 | 1.71 | 206 | 77 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.74 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 2.9% | .305 | 3.95 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 87 | -0.79 | 3.67 | 165 | 77 |
| Shane McCain L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.19 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .324 | 4.51 | 16.6% | 10.0% | 125 | +0.32 | 4.19 | 201 | 76 |
| Brian Marconi L 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.61 | 25.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .265 | 4.96 | 20.3% | 2.1% | 57 | +1.35 | 3.61 | 101 | 76 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 76 |
| Robert Garcia L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.63 | 24.0% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .342 | 4.41 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 106 | -0.22 | 2.21 | 452 | 76 |
| Seth Clark L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.30 | 22.5% | 15.0% | 2.2% | .287 | 5.13 | 18.4% | 0.6% | 82 | +0.83 | 4.30 | 128 | 76 |
| Dante Biasi L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .251 | 6.01 | 19.3% | 2.3% | 153 | +1.13 | 4.88 | 224 | 75 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.33 | 22.5% | 12.6% | 1.0% | .318 | 4.80 | 24.4% | 8.7% | 91 | +1.47 | 3.33 | 152 | 75 |
| Kade Bragg L 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.40 | 23.3% | 13.0% | 3.0% | .255 | 4.15 | 23.7% | 2.3% | 45 | -0.25 | 4.15 | 112 | 75 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2027 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.54 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .268 | 3.58 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.96 | 1.84 | 238 | 75 |