Anthony Solometo

Anthony Solometo P Altoona Curve

Age 23 LHP 6'3" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.6 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116124vR 132

ERA5.19

FIP5.19

K%17.5%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%5.5%

ROS IP50

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	13	8	48	188	51	19	0	62%	3.7	20.1%	11.9%	8.1%	0.0%	2.64	2.92	—
2022	19	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	13	8	48	188	51	19	0	62%	3.7	27.1%	10.1%	17.0%	0.0%	2.64	2.16	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	110	451	118	39	8	100%	4.6	20.6%	9.8%	10.8%	1.9%	3.26	3.65	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	110	451	118	39	8	100%	4.6	20.6%	9.8%	10.8%	1.9%	3.26	3.65	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	24	110	451	118	39	8	100%	4.6	26.2%	8.6%	17.5%	1.8%	3.26	2.96	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	20	70	314	53	39	8	87%	3.1	13.9%	14.3%	-0.5%	3.7%	5.37	5.77	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	20	70	314	53	39	8	87%	3.1	13.9%	14.3%	-0.5%	3.7%	5.37	5.77	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	20	70	314	53	39	8	87%	3.1	16.9%	12.4%	4.5%	2.5%	5.37	4.74	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	3	11	42	8	5	0	100%	3.6	19.0%	11.9%	7.1%	0.0%	2.53	3.00	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	3	11	42	8	5	0	100%	3.6	19.0%	11.9%	7.1%	0.0%	2.53	3.00	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	3	3	11	42	8	5	0	100%	3.6	19.0%	11.9%	7.1%	0.0%	2.53	3.01	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	2	0	2	13	0	2	0	0%	1.0	—	—	—	—	18.00	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	2	0	2	13	0	2	0	0%	1.0	—	—	—	—	18.00	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	AA RAW	PIT	2	0	2	13	0	2	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	15.4%	-15.4%	0.0%	18.00	5.05	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PIT	12	12	65	274	53	30	8	100%	5.4	19.2%	10.9%	8.2%	3.0%	4.98	4.90	0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	PIT	11	11	66	277	56	28	8	100%	6.0	20.1%	10.3%	9.9%	3.0%	4.81	4.72	+0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	PIT	11	11	66	277	57	28	8	100%	6.0	20.6%	10.2%	10.5%	3.0%	4.72	4.67	+0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	PIT	11	11	65	273	57	28	8	100%	5.9	20.7%	10.2%	10.5%	3.0%	4.70	4.70	+0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	PIT	5	5	28	118	23	13	3	100%	5.6	19.2%	10.9%	8.2%	2.8%	4.86	4.78	0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	44	186	37	19	5	100%	5.5	20.1%	10.3%	9.9%	2.8%	4.69	4.60	+0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	PIT	9	9	52	220	45	22	6	100%	5.8	20.6%	10.2%	10.5%	2.8%	4.60	4.55	+0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	PIT	9	9	55	232	48	24	7	100%	6.1	20.7%	10.2%	10.5%	2.8%	4.57	4.57	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		31	31	180	760	154	79	21	100%	5.8	20.3%	10.3%	10.0%	2.8%	4.65	4.22	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	171	88	23	100%	5.9	20.3%	10.3%	10.0%	2.8%	4.65	4.22	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		65	55	241	1008	182	119	20	85%	3.7	18.1%	11.8%	6.3%	2.0%	3.85	4.16	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	46	200	837	151	98	17	85%	3.7	18.1%	11.8%	6.3%	2.0%	3.85	4.16	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Solometo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.19	17.5%	12.0%	3.0%	—	4.76	20.0%	9.5%	196	-0.43	—	—	—
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	84
Christian MacLeod L 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	16.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.312	4.60	19.5%	5.2%	212	+0.08	3.90	277	83
Bailey Horn L 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.7%	12.7%	3.6%	.300	4.64	21.9%	9.9%	152	-0.35	3.96	265	83
Matt Mikulski L 2022 · 4.92 FIP	23	SP-	4.92	19.4%	10.0%	4.0%	.360	6.03	16.3%	-2.8%	144	+1.11	4.92	223	82
Dominic Perachi L 2023 · 5.19 FIP	22	SP-	5.19	17.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.324	3.80	17.1%	6.8%	186	-1.39	3.33	277	81
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2021 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP	4.44	19.6%	14.6%	2.1%	.266	3.90	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.54	2.93	175	81
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	81
Cole Ragans L 2021 · 5.14 FIP	23	SP	5.14	20.2%	11.2%	4.2%	.296	3.34	26.7%	17.4%	445	-1.80	2.48	623	79
Mac Lardner L 2021 · 4.75 FIP	23	SP-	4.75	18.9%	8.5%	4.0%	.332	4.34	17.5%	8.1%	119	-0.41	3.66	186	79
Evan Grills L 2015 · 5.42 FIP	23	SP-	5.42	13.0%	8.6%	4.2%	.335	4.02	16.1%	11.6%	221	-1.40	3.41	309	79
Gabriel Castellanos L 2016 · 4.49 FIP	22	SP	4.49	15.5%	13.7%	1.8%	.348	3.41	15.3%	2.7%	26	-1.08	3.41	108	79
Jake Miller L 2023 · 5.50 FIP	22	SP-	5.50	17.2%	14.1%	3.8%	.345	3.04	22.5%	16.3%	99	-2.46	3.00	143	78
Bodi Rascon L 2023 · 4.92 FIP	22	SP	4.92	17.5%	14.5%	2.7%	.264	5.66	11.5%	-8.3%	43	+0.74	4.18	218	78
Brett Adcock L 2019 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP	5.34	17.4%	13.6%	3.6%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	301	78
Russell Smith L 2022 · 5.14 FIP	23	SP	5.14	16.0%	10.4%	3.8%	.272	4.64	21.2%	7.8%	107	-0.50	4.00	175	77
Robby Ahlstrom L 2022 · 4.62 FIP	23	SP-	4.62	20.1%	9.0%	3.8%	.349	4.06	21.6%	8.6%	175	-0.56	3.74	330	76
T.J. Sikkema L 2022 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP	4.55	21.9%	9.0%	3.9%	.298	4.54	16.8%	7.5%	231	-0.01	3.57	300	76
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.56	14.1%	5.6%	242	-0.56	2.99	313	76
Michel Gelabert L 2019 · 4.36 FIP	22	SP	4.36	18.7%	12.1%	2.4%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	107	75
Rob Zastryzny L 2015 · 5.33 FIP	23	SP	5.33	13.8%	10.9%	3.7%	.345	4.28	18.5%	9.1%	268	-1.05	3.34	634	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	62	19.7%	10.7%	1.17	4.86
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04