Ben Kudrna
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 23
RHP
6'3" / 175 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 0.8 · 2028
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION2 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 116
ERA5.10
FIP5.10
K%18.8%
BB%12.3%
K-BB%6.5%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 17 | 17 | 72 | 311 | 61 | 32 | 4 | 100% | 4.3 | 14.5% | 12.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 3.48 | 4.13 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 17 | 17 | 72 | 311 | 61 | 32 | 4 | 100% | 4.3 | 19.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 1.3% | 3.48 | 3.46 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 21 | 109 | 468 | 104 | 45 | 14 | 95% | 4.9 | 16.7% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.22 | 4.99 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 21 | 109 | 468 | 104 | 45 | 14 | 95% | 4.9 | 22.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.22 | 4.10 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 115 | 491 | 119 | 53 | 14 | 96% | 5.0 | 19.1% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.21 | 5.23 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 115 | 491 | 119 | 53 | 14 | 96% | 5.0 | 24.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.21 | 3.99 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 105 | 463 | 106 | 50 | 10 | 92% | 4.4 | 18.7% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 5.30 | 4.25 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 105 | 463 | 106 | 50 | 10 | 92% | 4.4 | 22.9% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 2.2% | 5.30 | 3.75 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | — | — | — | — | 9.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | KC | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 51 | 34 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 18.8% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 5.10 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | KC | 5 | 5 | 26 | 110 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 18.8% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 5.05 | 5.05 | -0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | KC | — | — | 67 | 285 | 53 | 38 | 8 | — | — | 18.7% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 5.22 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | KC | — | — | 26 | 109 | 21 | 13 | 3 | — | — | 18.8% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 5.05 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | KC | 25 | 25 | 139 | 586 | 118 | 64 | 17 | 100% | 5.5 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.89 | 4.80 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | KC | 24 | 24 | 140 | 593 | 125 | 61 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.71 | 4.62 | +1.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | KC | 23 | 23 | 140 | 593 | 128 | 60 | 18 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.62 | 4.57 | +1.4 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | KC | 23 | 23 | 138 | 584 | 126 | 59 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 4.60 | 4.60 | +1.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | KC | 22 | 22 | 134 | 567 | 121 | 58 | 18 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.65 | 4.68 | +1.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | KC | 21 | 21 | 128 | 541 | 114 | 57 | 18 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 4.75 | 4.81 | +0.9 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | KC | 16 | 16 | 90 | 380 | 77 | 42 | 11 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.75 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | KC | 19 | 19 | 110 | 464 | 98 | 47 | 13 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.57 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | KC | 20 | 20 | 121 | 511 | 110 | 51 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 4.57 | 4.52 | +1.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | KC | 21 | 21 | 124 | 524 | 113 | 53 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.55 | +1.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | KC | 20 | 20 | 123 | 519 | 111 | 53 | 16 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.62 | +1.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | KC | 20 | 20 | 119 | 502 | 106 | 53 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 4.69 | 4.75 | +0.9 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 122 | 122 | 711 | 3004 | 634 | 312 | 89 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 4.65 | 4.26 | +9.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 178 | 88 | 25 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 4.65 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 87 | 83 | 404 | 1744 | 305 | 208 | 50 | 95% | 4.6 | 17.5% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.72 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 41 | 200 | 864 | 151 | 103 | 25 | 95% | 4.6 | 17.5% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ben Kudrna (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.10 | 18.8% | 12.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.66 | 20.9% | 10.5% | 420 | -0.44 | — | — | — |
| Connor Staine R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.66 | 20.3% | 12.6% | 3.1% | .266 | 5.22 | 16.1% | 2.8% | 185 | +0.56 | 3.71 | 370 | 92 |
| Tyler Skulina R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 18.3% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .242 | 5.24 | 13.0% | -1.0% | 147 | +0.78 | 4.46 | 222 | 90 |
| Zach McCambley R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.89 | 19.4% | 13.6% | 3.1% | .277 | 3.30 | 25.0% | 12.6% | 123 | -1.59 | 2.61 | 383 | 90 |
| John West R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.24 | 17.1% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .284 | 5.06 | 14.0% | -1.1% | 61 | -0.18 | 5.06 | 161 | 89 |
| Jason Savacool R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.43 | 16.6% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .285 | 7.34 | 19.6% | 3.2% | 26 | +2.91 | 4.43 | 225 | 88 |
| Cameron Foster R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 88 |
| Jamison Hill R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.09 | 18.4% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .280 | 4.70 | 16.1% | 3.0% | 202 | -0.39 | 4.44 | 326 | 88 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.98 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .353 | 4.83 | 20.5% | 8.2% | 305 | -0.15 | 4.00 | 512 | 88 |
| Max Bain R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.37 | 20.5% | 15.2% | 3.8% | .291 | 6.65 | 16.7% | -3.9% | 81 | +1.28 | 5.16 | 174 | 87 |
| Riley Thompson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.88 | 16.5% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .288 | 5.29 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 57 | +0.41 | 4.52 | 340 | 87 |
| Shelby Lackey R 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.18 | 18.2% | 10.0% | 2.5% | .323 | 3.85 | 20.6% | 5.7% | 65 | -0.33 | 2.82 | 175 | 87 |
| Dinelson Lamet R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.36 | 20.1% | 11.8% | 2.7% | .272 | 3.80 | 24.2% | 13.1% | 293 | -0.56 | 2.21 | 778 | 87 |
| Thomas Farr R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.93 | 18.0% | 9.8% | 3.9% | .340 | 5.24 | 12.4% | 2.9% | 280 | +0.31 | 4.93 | 408 | 87 |
| Bryce Osmond R 2025 · 5.59 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.59 | 18.0% | 12.4% | 4.4% | .294 | 7.24 | 16.2% | 3.7% | 64 | +1.65 | 5.59 | 161 | 87 |
| CJ Van Eyk R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.01 | 21.8% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.47 | 15.2% | 5.3% | 127 | -0.54 | 3.95 | 411 | 87 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.94 | 20.2% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .269 | 4.98 | 17.4% | 3.3% | 197 | +0.04 | 4.60 | 529 | 87 |
| David Griffin R 2028 · 4.52 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.52 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 5.47 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.95 | 4.52 | 239 | 86 |
| Trent Baker R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.24 | 19.3% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .315 | 3.90 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 296 | -0.34 | 3.74 | 459 | 86 |
| Bryce Jarvis R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.78 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 3.8% | .276 | 5.00 | 18.0% | 6.0% | 296 | +0.22 | 4.22 | 513 | 86 |
| Zach Messinger R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.25 | 20.4% | 14.3% | 3.8% | .278 | 3.87 | 17.8% | 7.2% | 264 | -1.38 | 3.68 | 444 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 130 | 20.9% | 10.5% | 1.18 | 4.74 |
| Julio Teheran ('23) | 7 | 147 | 20.4% | 8.8% | 1.34 | 4.12 |
| Zack Godley ('20) | 6 | 94 | 22.1% | 9.5% | 1.13 | 4.86 |
| Wade Miley ('23) | 8 | 136 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 1.07 | 4.20 |
| Aaron Sanchez ('22) | 7 | 93 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 0.98 | 4.32 |
| Andrew Cashner ('19) | 5 | 157 | 16.7% | 9.2% | 1.11 | 4.54 |
| Danny Duffy ('21) | 7 | 124 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 4.04 |