Peter Heubeck

P Tulsa Drillers

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 170 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2029

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #1011

Scout OFP45ETA2028FG ETA2026MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	A+LAD	24	24	91	3.05	3.10	29.9%	16.6%	—	K 23.0% · BB 19.1% · FIP 4.08
2025	23	AALAD	16	16	66	4.34	3.49	27.7%	12.2%	—	K 22.4% · BB 13.5% · FIP 4.40
2026	24	MIX2 levels	10	10	20	11.07	7.03	29.4%	20.2%	—	K 22.2% · BB 22.8% · FIP 7.85
2027PROJ	25	MLBLAD	10	10	60	5.61	5.61	23.4%	18.2%	-0.5
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBLAD	4	4	26	5.46	5.45	23.6%	17.3%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBLAD	6	6	37	5.40	5.41	23.5%	16.8%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff53Control40Command40FB velo56

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%

CompsLuis Quiñones (age 25) · Alonzo Tredwell (age 22) · Jackson Fristoe (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 123

ERA5.61

FIP5.61

K%23.4%

BB%18.2%

K-BB%5.1%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5055

CTRL3040

CMD3040

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	2	1	4	17	9	2	0	50%	2.0	52.9%	11.8%	41.2%	0.0%	0.00	0.12	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	2	1	4	17	9	2	0	50%	2.0	52.9%	11.8%	41.2%	0.0%	0.00	0.10	—
2022	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	15	13	32	142	42	25	7	87%	2.1	21.9%	20.8%	1.1%	5.1%	7.39	6.70	—
2022	20	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	15	13	32	142	42	25	7	87%	2.1	29.6%	17.6%	12.0%	4.9%	7.39	5.69	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	86	375	107	43	11	96%	3.4	21.2%	13.5%	7.8%	3.8%	5.78	5.08	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	86	375	107	43	11	96%	3.4	28.5%	11.5%	17.1%	2.9%	5.78	3.78	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	24	24	91	391	117	65	3	100%	3.8	23.0%	19.1%	3.9%	0.9%	3.05	4.08	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	24	24	91	391	117	65	3	100%	3.8	23.0%	19.1%	3.9%	0.9%	3.05	4.08	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	24	24	91	391	117	65	3	100%	3.8	29.9%	16.6%	13.3%	0.8%	3.05	3.10	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	16	16	66	278	77	34	6	100%	4.1	22.4%	13.5%	9.0%	2.7%	4.34	4.40	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	16	16	66	278	77	34	6	100%	4.1	22.4%	13.5%	9.0%	2.7%	4.34	4.40	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	16	16	66	278	77	34	6	100%	4.1	27.7%	12.2%	15.5%	2.2%	4.34	3.49	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	10	20	109	32	22	6	100%	2.0	22.2%	22.8%	-0.7%	6.8%	11.07	7.85	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	10	20	109	32	22	6	100%	2.0	22.2%	22.8%	-0.7%	6.8%	11.07	7.85	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	10	20	109	32	22	6	100%	2.0	29.4%	20.2%	9.2%	5.5%	11.07	7.03	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	LAD	10	10	60	253	59	46	8	100%	6.0	23.4%	18.2%	5.1%	3.3%	5.61	5.61	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAD	10	10	60	252	59	44	8	100%	6.0	23.6%	17.3%	6.3%	3.2%	5.46	5.45	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAD	10	10	59	248	58	42	8	100%	5.9	23.5%	16.8%	6.8%	3.3%	5.40	5.41	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAD	4	4	26	110	26	19	4	100%	6.5	23.6%	17.3%	6.3%	3.2%	5.46	5.45	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAD	6	6	37	156	37	26	5	100%	6.2	23.5%	16.8%	6.8%	3.3%	5.40	5.41	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	11	63	268	63	46	9	100%	5.8	23.5%	17.0%	6.6%	3.2%	5.42	5.05	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	199	145	28	100%	6.0	23.5%	17.0%	6.6%	3.2%	5.42	5.05	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		92	88	299	1312	296	219	40	96%	3.3	22.6%	16.7%	5.9%	3.0%	5.08	4.98	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	59	200	877	198	146	27	96%	3.3	22.6%	16.7%	5.9%	3.0%	5.08	4.98	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Peter Heubeck (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.61	23.4%	18.2%	3.3%	—	5.43	23.6%	6.5%	118	-0.18	—	—	—
Luis Quiñones R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP	4.77	23.5%	17.5%	2.6%	.289	4.80	22.4%	10.8%	160	+0.03	3.69	326	86
Alonzo Tredwell R 2024 · 4.43 FIP	22	SP-	4.43	19.3%	17.4%	1.4%	.336	4.19	22.0%	9.9%	100	-0.24	4.19	166	75
Jackson Fristoe R 2024 · 4.81 FIP	23	SP	4.81	18.8%	19.6%	1.5%	.266	6.79	13.5%	-4.0%	74	+1.98	4.81	139	74
Riley Thompson R 2022 · 5.32 FIP	26	SP	5.32	21.7%	14.7%	4.0%	.289	5.03	18.0%	7.4%	189	-0.29	4.48	340	73
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	73
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	73
J.P. Massey R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.283	5.71	15.5%	-1.3%	46	+0.99	4.72	195	71
Alex McFarlane R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP	4.91	21.9%	19.2%	2.2%	.344	3.91	21.3%	8.0%	128	-1.00	3.47	179	71
Cole Henry R 2024 · 5.88 FIP	25	SP	5.88	17.3%	16.2%	4.0%	.243	4.69	20.6%	10.7%	87	-1.19	2.96	186	71
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	70
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.04	22.9%	13.8%	138	-1.17	3.38	292	69
Brett Daniels R 2021 · 4.67 FIP	25	SP-	4.67	22.3%	13.0%	3.3%	.357	4.69	18.9%	3.2%	77	+0.02	3.95	270	69
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	68
Will Sanders R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	22	SP	4.95	19.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.297	4.11	20.1%	12.5%	173	-0.84	3.92	266	68
Connor Staine R 2024 · 4.80 FIP	23	SP	4.80	20.3%	12.6%	3.3%	.266	5.19	16.1%	3.4%	230	+0.39	3.86	414	68
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	68
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	68
Trace Bright R 2024 · 4.53 FIP	23	SP	4.53	19.9%	13.5%	2.5%	.314	5.03	19.2%	6.3%	210	+0.50	4.26	422	67
Will Schomberg R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	23	SP	4.85	21.4%	15.6%	2.9%	.266	3.86	23.3%	11.7%	90	-0.99	3.86	206	67
Jared Lyons R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	23	SP	4.72	22.1%	14.4%	3.0%	.258	4.13	17.6%	8.7%	173	-0.59	3.28	265	67

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	23.5%	17.4%	1.26	5.49
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*