Pico Kohn
P
Hudson Valley Renegades
Age 23
LHP
6'4" / 200 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION6 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 98107vR 117
ERA4.29
FIP4.29
K%23.4%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%14.5%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 1 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 5.7 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 5.4% | 1.59 | 5.09 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 62 | 260 | 61 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.4% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 4.29 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.4% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 4.29 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 67 | 283 | 69 | 25 | 9 | — | — | 24.3% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 4.06 | 4.36 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.4% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 3.91 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 63 | 266 | 64 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 24.0% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.19 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 66 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.3% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 4.14 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 66 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.4% | 8.5% | 15.9% | 3.0% | 4.15 | 4.13 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 10 | 10 | 63 | 266 | 65 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 6.3 | 24.4% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 3.0% | 4.16 | 4.17 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 63 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.3% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 3.1% | 4.22 | 4.25 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 5 | 5 | 27 | 114 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 24.0% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.19 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 42 | 177 | 43 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.3% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 53 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 24.4% | 8.5% | 15.9% | 3.0% | 4.15 | 4.13 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 56 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.4% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 3.0% | 4.16 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 55 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.3% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 3.1% | 4.22 | 4.25 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 39 | 39 | 228 | 965 | 235 | 83 | 29 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.3% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 3.80 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 206 | 73 | 25 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.3% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 3.80 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 5.7 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 5.4% | 1.59 | 5.09 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 812 | 217 | 81 | 44 | 100% | 5.7 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 5.4% | 1.59 | 5.09 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Pico Kohn (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.29 | 23.4% | 9.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.15 | 24.2% | 15.6% | 191 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Dalton Pence L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.89 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 153 | 85 |
| Austin Warner L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.06 | 18.6% | 8.1% | 2.7% | .291 | 4.43 | 17.6% | 9.4% | 284 | +0.37 | 3.88 | 491 | 85 |
| Austin Emener L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.86 | 19.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% | .306 | 5.42 | 23.7% | 8.9% | 49 | +0.56 | 4.86 | 109 | 83 |
| Tyler Skaggs L 2028 · 3.21 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.21 | 26.1% | 9.2% | 2.1% | .300 | 3.81 | 23.0% | 15.2% | 290 | +0.60 | 3.21 | 372 | 79 |
| Sam Weatherly L 2025 · 3.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.86 | 24.0% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .323 | 4.14 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 41 | +0.28 | 3.86 | 189 | 78 |
| James Paxton L 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.26 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .288 | 3.00 | 27.7% | 21.7% | 468 | -1.26 | 2.48 | 924 | 78 |
| Pete Hansen L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.17 | 20.1% | 9.9% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.84 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 325 | -0.33 | 3.66 | 437 | 77 |
| Greg Farone L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.26 | 20.3% | 10.4% | 2.8% | .301 | 6.14 | 17.6% | 4.8% | 71 | +1.88 | 4.26 | 176 | 77 |
| Joe Rock L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.36 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 3.6% | .335 | 4.02 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 288 | -0.34 | 3.75 | 486 | 76 |
| Anthony Veneziano L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.24 | 24.9% | 10.8% | 3.4% | .298 | 5.19 | 18.7% | 8.0% | 358 | +0.95 | 4.24 | 501 | 76 |
| Mason Molina L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.56 | 23.3% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 165 | 76 |
| Matt Moore L 2029 · 4.18 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.18 | 21.9% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .323 | 4.45 | 19.7% | 11.3% | 475 | +0.27 | 2.82 | 845 | 76 |
| Sean Manaea L 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.30 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 1.7% | .345 | 3.98 | 19.4% | 13.2% | 482 | +0.68 | 3.15 | 1,435 | 76 |
| David Parkinson L 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.55 | 19.6% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .303 | 5.56 | 16.0% | 8.2% | 78 | +2.01 | 3.08 | 517 | 76 |
| Austin Krob L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.73 | 19.9% | 10.7% | 1.8% | .329 | 4.10 | 17.7% | 6.7% | 171 | +0.37 | 3.73 | 280 | 75 |
| Jake Bennett L 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.54 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .339 | 3.10 | 19.0% | 12.8% | 156 | -0.44 | 2.79 | 219 | 75 |
| Adam Macko L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.57 | 21.4% | 9.7% | 1.9% | .290 | 4.15 | 21.8% | 11.1% | 122 | +0.58 | 3.51 | 382 | 75 |
| Luke Heimlich L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.30 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 3.2% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 118 | 75 |
| Brandon Williamson L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.75 | 29.7% | 9.0% | 3.7% | .340 | 4.60 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 288 | +0.85 | 3.75 | 414 | 75 |
| Kevin Smith L 2025 · 3.19 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.19 | 21.2% | 9.2% | 1.3% | .337 | 5.79 | 21.5% | 5.1% | 131 | +2.60 | 3.19 | 248 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 63 | 24.1% | 8.7% | 1.16 | 4.20 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Ryan Tepera ('22) | 7 | 48 | 24.7% | 8.8% | 1.12 | 3.53 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |