Wyatt Crowell
P
Tulsa Drillers
Age 24
LHP
6'0" / 169 lbs
AA
peak 0.6 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION63 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121131vR 140
ERA5.37
FIP5.37
K%20.9%
BB%17.4%
K-BB%3.6%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 130 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 17 | 44 | 189 | 59 | 24 | 1 | 100% | 2.6 | 23.0% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 0.7% | 3.09 | 3.35 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 17 | 44 | 189 | 59 | 24 | 1 | 100% | 2.6 | 31.2% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 0.5% | 3.09 | 2.34 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 18 | 98 | 422 | 114 | 69 | 7 | 75% | 4.1 | 21.0% | 18.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.13 | 4.85 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 18 | 98 | 422 | 114 | 69 | 7 | 75% | 4.1 | 27.0% | 16.4% | 10.7% | 1.7% | 3.13 | 3.82 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 17 | 9 | 63 | 290 | 65 | 48 | 5 | 53% | 3.7 | 18.2% | 18.2% | -0.1% | 2.1% | 5.31 | 5.01 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 10 | 67 | 284 | 59 | 49 | 8 | 100% | 6.7 | 20.9% | 17.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.37 | 5.37 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 17.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.37 | 5.37 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 130 | 574 | 124 | 97 | 13 | — | — | 21.7% | 17.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 5.34 | 5.20 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 20.9% | 17.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.37 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 62 | 44 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.6% | 15.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 5.14 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 63 | 42 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.9% | 14.8% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 5.02 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 62 | 41 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.0% | 14.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 4.99 | 4.99 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 27 | 19 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.6% | 15.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 5.14 | 5.06 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 42 | 28 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.9% | 14.8% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 5.02 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 48 | 32 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.0% | 14.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 4.99 | 4.99 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 22 | 22 | 129 | 543 | 119 | 80 | 15 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.8% | 14.8% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 5.04 | 4.62 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 124 | 23 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.8% | 14.8% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 5.04 | 4.62 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 58 | 44 | 204 | 901 | 185 | 158 | 16 | 76% | 3.5 | 20.5% | 17.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.79 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 57 | 43 | 200 | 883 | 181 | 155 | 16 | 76% | 3.5 | 20.5% | 17.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.79 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wyatt Crowell (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.37 | 20.9% | 17.4% | 2.7% | — | 5.01 | 21.8% | 7.0% | 203 | -0.36 | — | — | — |
| Cole Reynolds L 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.26 | 17.3% | 16.9% | 2.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.81 | 108 | 87 |
| Dante Biasi L 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.06 | 18.7% | 15.9% | 2.8% | .288 | 7.16 | 20.1% | 1.7% | 69 | +2.10 | 4.88 | 224 | 87 |
| Rio Britton L 2025 · 4.77 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.77 | 22.0% | 15.8% | 2.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 128 | 83 |
| Noah Dean L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.37 | 21.1% | 18.6% | 3.1% | .266 | 8.10 | 20.9% | -5.7% | 11 | +2.73 | 4.50 | 217 | 81 |
| Liam Sullivan L 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.49 | 20.1% | 15.8% | 3.8% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 121 | 81 |
| Seth Lonsway L 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.11 | 13.8% | 15.3% | 2.2% | .317 | 3.99 | 16.0% | 5.0% | 272 | -1.12 | 3.33 | 457 | 75 |
| Ricardo Estrada L 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.31 | 16.7% | 16.1% | 2.9% | .257 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63 | 262 | 74 |
| Cody Reed L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 19.1% | 14.3% | 1.8% | .301 | 3.89 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 181 | -0.39 | 2.93 | 572 | 74 |
| Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.64 | 22.0% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .289 | 2.98 | 26.6% | 12.9% | 99 | -1.66 | 2.15 | 175 | 74 |
| Caden Grice L 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.28 | 17.3% | 15.5% | 3.1% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 74 |
| Brett Adcock L 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.22 | 17.4% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 301 | 73 |
| Larson Kindreich L 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.39 | 21.5% | 18.8% | 3.1% | .269 | 4.71 | 23.0% | 9.0% | 79 | -0.68 | 4.15 | 214 | 71 |
| Anderson Polanco L 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.49 | 17.8% | 14.2% | 2.0% | .342 | 5.76 | 19.5% | 0.5% | 112 | +1.27 | 4.00 | 316 | 71 |
| Luis De La Torre L 2024 · 5.47 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.47 | 22.7% | 20.1% | 3.2% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 173 | 71 |
| Brooks Gosswein L 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.58 | 15.2% | 17.9% | 2.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.01 | 165 | 71 |
| Matt Imhof L 2024 · 5.73 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.73 | 15.9% | 21.3% | 2.3% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.99 | 131 | 70 |
| Cole Kirschsieper L 2024 · 5.23 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.23 | 15.2% | 12.0% | 3.5% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.23 | 105 | 70 |
| Ryan Ramsey L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.31 | 18.5% | 11.4% | 2.4% | .326 | 5.09 | 17.5% | 5.5% | 76 | +0.78 | 2.69 | 318 | 70 |
| Nate Peterson L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.14 | 19.2% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .296 | 3.95 | 15.5% | 4.2% | 121 | -1.19 | 3.67 | 288 | 70 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.84 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .315 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 56 | -0.07 | 4.77 | 154 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 21.6% | 15.5% | 1.04 | 5.13 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |