Wyatt Crowell — OGILVIE

Wyatt Crowell P Tulsa Drillers

Age 24 LHP 6'0" / 169 lbs AA peak 0.5 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION69 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121129vR 137

ERA5.46

FIP5.46

K%20.9%

BB%18.1%

K-BB%2.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 75 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4550

CMD3040

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	17	44	189	59	24	1	100%	2.6	23.0%	14.2%	8.8%	0.7%	3.09	3.36	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	17	44	189	59	24	1	100%	2.6	23.0%	14.2%	8.8%	0.7%	3.09	3.36	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	17	44	189	59	24	1	100%	2.6	31.2%	12.7%	18.5%	0.5%	3.09	2.34	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	18	98	422	114	69	7	75%	4.1	21.0%	18.7%	2.3%	2.1%	3.13	4.84	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	18	98	422	114	69	7	75%	4.1	21.0%	18.7%	2.3%	2.1%	3.13	4.84	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	18	98	422	114	69	7	75%	4.1	27.0%	16.4%	10.7%	1.7%	3.13	3.82	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	20	11	69	322	71	56	5	55%	3.5	17.9%	19.1%	-1.3%	1.9%	5.35	5.04	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	20	11	69	322	71	56	5	55%	3.5	17.9%	19.1%	-1.3%	1.9%	5.35	5.04	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AA RAW	LAD	20	11	69	322	71	56	5	55%	3.5	22.0%	17.4%	4.7%	1.6%	5.35	4.29	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	LAD	1	1	6	26	5	5	1	100%	6.1	20.9%	18.1%	2.8%	2.6%	5.46	5.46	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	LAD	—	—	75	348	76	61	6	—	—	22.0%	17.4%	4.5%	1.6%	5.36	5.07	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAD	15	15	89	376	81	59	10	100%	5.9	21.4%	15.7%	5.7%	2.7%	5.21	5.12	-0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAD	15	15	89	376	81	57	10	100%	5.9	21.7%	15.1%	6.6%	2.7%	5.08	5.04	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAD	15	15	88	370	80	55	10	100%	5.8	21.7%	14.8%	6.9%	2.8%	5.04	5.03	-0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	LAD	14	14	85	359	77	53	10	100%	6.1	21.6%	14.7%	6.8%	2.9%	5.07	5.10	-0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	LAD	14	14	81	343	73	51	10	100%	5.8	21.3%	15.0%	6.3%	3.0%	5.17	5.23	-0.3
2032	30	MLB MLE	LAD	13	13	76	323	74	47	10	100%	5.9	23.0%	14.5%	8.5%	3.2%	5.15	5.14	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	LAD	7	7	39	165	35	26	4	100%	5.6	21.4%	15.7%	5.7%	2.7%	5.21	5.12	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAD	10	10	60	253	55	38	7	100%	6.0	21.7%	15.1%	6.6%	2.7%	5.08	5.04	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAD	11	11	68	287	62	42	8	100%	6.2	21.7%	14.8%	6.9%	2.8%	5.04	5.03	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	LAD	12	12	72	304	66	45	9	100%	6.0	21.6%	14.7%	6.8%	2.9%	5.07	5.10	-0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	LAD	12	12	71	300	64	45	9	100%	5.9	21.3%	15.0%	6.3%	3.0%	5.17	5.23	-0.3
2032	30	MLB CTX	LAD	12	12	69	291	67	42	9	100%	5.8	23.0%	14.5%	8.5%	3.2%	5.15	5.14	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		63	63	378	1598	348	238	46	100%	6.0	21.8%	14.9%	6.9%	2.9%	5.11	4.73	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	184	126	24	100%	6.0	21.8%	14.9%	6.9%	2.9%	5.11	4.73	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		61	46	210	933	190	167	16	75%	3.4	20.3%	17.9%	2.4%	1.7%	3.85	4.61	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	44	200	887	180	159	15	75%	3.4	20.3%	17.9%	2.4%	1.7%	3.85	4.61	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wyatt Crowell (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.46	20.9%	18.1%	2.6%	—	5.06	21.6%	6.4%	266	-0.40	—	—	—
Dante Biasi L 2022 · 4.91 FIP	24	SP-	4.91	18.7%	15.9%	2.5%	.288	6.65	20.1%	1.7%	69	+1.74	4.91	224	86
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	82
Noah Dean L 2023 · 5.83 FIP	22	SP-	5.83	21.1%	28.1%	1.7%	.343	5.14	23.3%	4.2%	154	-0.69	4.41	217	80
Doug Nikhazy L 2023 · 5.39 FIP	23	SP	5.39	21.9%	16.9%	3.6%	.304	4.73	19.6%	8.6%	256	-0.66	4.16	461	78
Dominic Perachi L 2023 · 5.19 FIP	22	SP-	5.19	17.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.324	3.80	17.1%	6.8%	186	-1.39	3.33	277	76
Seth Lonsway L 2023 · 5.20 FIP	24	SP-	5.20	13.8%	15.3%	2.4%	.317	4.17	15.2%	4.4%	313	-1.03	3.35	498	76
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	75
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2021 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP	4.44	19.6%	14.6%	2.1%	.266	3.90	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.54	2.93	175	73
Cody Reed L 2017 · 4.30 FIP	24	SP-	4.30	19.1%	14.3%	1.8%	.301	3.86	22.0%	13.8%	181	-0.44	2.90	572	73
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	73
Jake Miller L 2023 · 5.50 FIP	22	SP-	5.50	17.2%	14.1%	3.8%	.345	3.04	22.5%	16.3%	99	-2.46	3.00	143	72
Brett Adcock L 2019 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP	5.34	17.4%	13.6%	3.6%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	301	72
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.32	17.8%	4.0%	148	-0.55	4.79	193	72
Brooks Gosswein L 2023 · 5.61 FIP	24	SP-	5.61	15.2%	17.9%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	5.13	165	71
Bodi Rascon L 2023 · 4.92 FIP	22	SP	4.92	17.5%	14.5%	2.7%	.264	5.66	11.5%	-8.3%	43	+0.74	4.18	218	71
Matt Imhof L 2016 · 5.68 FIP	22	SP-	5.68	15.9%	21.3%	2.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	5.13	131	71
Anderson Polanco L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	23	SP-	4.42	17.8%	14.2%	1.9%	.342	5.59	19.5%	0.5%	112	+1.17	4.10	316	70
Cooper Hjerpe L 2023 · 6.23 FIP	22	SP-	6.23	23.0%	16.8%	5.3%	.207	3.77	28.5%	11.7%	86	-2.46	3.61	127	70
Dalton Rogers L 2023 · 4.31 FIP	22	SP	4.31	25.3%	16.7%	2.2%	.327	4.58	19.6%	4.1%	268	+0.27	3.47	364	69
Cole Kirschsieper L 2023 · 5.07 FIP	22	SP-	5.07	15.2%	12.0%	3.2%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	5.07	105	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.9	82	21.7%	15.3%	1.10	5.16
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04