Brady Tygart — OGILVIE

Brady Tygart P Salem RidgeYaks

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 215 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.8 · 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 9 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.46

FIP4.46

K%23.5%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%12.6%

ROS IP9

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.9M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	5	19	83	27	7	1	83%	3.2	23.6%	12.0%	11.6%	0.0%	3.26	2.62	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	5	19	83	27	7	1	83%	3.2	23.6%	12.0%	11.6%	0.0%	3.26	2.62	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	5	19	83	27	7	1	83%	3.2	32.5%	8.4%	24.1%	1.2%	3.26	2.07	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	16	8	52	233	72	36	3	50%	3.2	24.5%	17.6%	6.8%	1.8%	5.71	4.25	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	16	8	52	233	72	36	3	50%	3.2	24.5%	17.6%	6.8%	1.8%	5.71	4.25	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	ROK RAW	BOS	2	2	4	20	3	4	0	100%	1.9	15.0%	20.0%	-5.0%	0.0%	17.18	4.37	—
2026	23	A RAW	BOS	9	6	27	124	35	24	1	67%	3.0	28.2%	19.4%	8.9%	0.8%	5.06	3.61	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	BOS	5	0	22	89	34	8	2	0%	4.3	38.2%	9.0%	29.2%	2.2%	4.57	2.25	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BOS	9	9	52	220	53	22	6	100%	5.8	24.0%	10.1%	14.0%	2.9%	4.36	4.30	+0.4
2028	25	MLB MLE	BOS	9	9	53	223	54	21	6	100%	5.9	24.3%	9.6%	14.7%	2.9%	4.27	4.21	+0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	BOS	9	9	53	223	55	21	6	100%	5.9	24.5%	9.5%	15.0%	2.9%	4.23	4.20	+0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	BOS	9	9	52	220	54	21	6	100%	5.8	24.4%	9.6%	14.8%	2.9%	4.23	4.24	+0.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	BOS	4	4	22	93	22	9	3	100%	5.5	24.0%	10.1%	14.0%	2.8%	4.32	4.26	+0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	BOS	6	6	35	148	36	14	4	100%	5.8	24.3%	9.6%	14.7%	2.8%	4.23	4.17	+0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	BOS	7	7	42	177	43	17	5	100%	6.0	24.5%	9.5%	15.0%	2.8%	4.19	4.16	+0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	BOS	7	7	44	186	45	18	5	100%	6.3	24.4%	9.6%	14.8%	2.8%	4.19	4.20	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		24	24	144	607	148	59	17	100%	6.0	24.4%	9.7%	14.7%	2.8%	4.22	3.81	+1.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	206	82	24	100%	5.9	24.4%	9.7%	14.7%	2.8%	4.22	3.81	+2.6
Career	—	MLE		22	13	71	316	77	51	4	59%	3.2	24.2%	16.1%	8.1%	1.3%	5.05	3.82	+1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	36	200	886	215	143	12	59%	3.2	24.2%	16.1%	8.1%	1.3%	5.05	3.82	+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brady Tygart (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.46	23.5%	10.8%	2.9%	—	4.24	24.3%	14.5%	158	-0.22	—	—	—
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	85
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	84
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	83
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	82
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	81
Nathanael Santiago R 2015 · 3.44 FIP	25	SP-	3.44	20.3%	11.4%	1.1%	.286	3.58	23.2%	10.9%	71	+0.14	2.49	138	80
Ryan Jennings R 2023 · 3.43 FIP	24	SP-	3.43	23.4%	11.9%	1.5%	.316	4.34	22.5%	9.8%	109	+0.91	3.43	142	79
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.53	17.5%	5.2%	170	-0.49	3.97	187	79
Keith Rogalla R 2019 · 3.52 FIP	23	SP-	3.52	21.2%	11.7%	1.3%	.344	3.68	18.0%	5.9%	65	+0.16	3.10	113	79
Rico Garcia R 2017 · 3.37 FIP	23	SP-	3.37	18.8%	7.0%	1.8%	.316	4.07	19.8%	11.5%	296	+0.70	3.37	587	78
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	78
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	77
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.13	25.3%	15.3%	121	-0.38	3.26	181	77
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	77
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	77
Liam Simon R 2023 · 3.27 FIP	22	SW	3.27	26.6%	11.9%	1.6%	.362	5.97	19.7%	-6.0%	84	+2.70	3.27	105	76
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	75
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	74
Orlando Rodriguez R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SP-	4.54	20.8%	10.1%	3.5%	.380	4.51	19.3%	7.9%	101	-0.03	4.40	119	74
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	44	24.3%	9.7%	1.11	4.28
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84