Liam Simon — OGILVIE

Liam Simon P Eugene Emeralds

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 251 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 162154vR 145

ERA6.77

FIP6.77

K%18.7%

BB%26.4%

K-BB%-7.8%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	2	11	47	12	6	0	33%	1.9	25.5%	12.8%	12.8%	0.0%	2.38	2.56	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	2	11	47	12	6	0	33%	1.9	25.5%	12.8%	12.8%	0.0%	2.38	2.57	—
2023	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	6	2	21	89	32	9	1	33%	3.5	26.6%	11.9%	14.7%	1.6%	3.86	3.27	—
2023	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	6	2	21	89	32	9	1	33%	3.5	26.6%	11.9%	14.7%	1.6%	3.86	3.27	—
2023	22	A RAW	San Jose Giants	6	2	21	89	32	9	1	33%	3.5	36.0%	10.1%	25.8%	1.1%	3.86	1.96	—
2024	23	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	11	6	10	62	16	19	1	55%	0.9	17.5%	38.3%	-20.8%	1.9%	12.19	7.52	—
2024	23	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	11	6	10	62	16	19	1	55%	0.9	17.5%	38.3%	-20.8%	1.9%	12.19	7.52	—
2024	23	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	11	6	10	62	16	19	1	55%	0.9	25.8%	30.6%	-4.8%	1.6%	12.19	6.78	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	28	143	31	38	1	0%	0.9	15.4%	31.2%	-15.8%	0.9%	10.41	6.25	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	28	143	31	38	1	0%	0.9	15.4%	31.2%	-15.8%	0.9%	10.41	6.25	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	28	143	31	38	1	0%	0.9	21.7%	26.6%	-4.9%	0.7%	10.41	5.45	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	37	0	47	232	68	40	6	0%	1.3	22.6%	19.8%	2.7%	3.2%	5.51	5.48	—
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	37	0	47	232	68	40	6	0%	1.3	22.6%	19.8%	2.7%	3.2%	5.51	5.48	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A+ RAW	SF	37	0	47	232	68	40	6	0%	1.3	29.3%	17.2%	12.1%	2.6%	5.51	4.23	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SF	44	0	46	196	39	48	5	0%	1.1	19.7%	24.7%	-5.0%	2.8%	6.49	6.47	-0.9
2028	27	MLB MLE	SF	44	0	46	193	38	46	6	0%	1.0	20.0%	23.6%	-3.6%	2.9%	6.34	6.35	-0.9
2029	28	MLB MLE	SF	42	0	44	187	37	43	6	0%	1.1	20.0%	23.0%	-3.0%	3.0%	6.29	6.33	-0.8
2027	26	MLB CTX	SF	19	0	20	84	17	21	2	0%	1.1	19.7%	24.7%	-5.0%	2.8%	6.49	6.47	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	SF	28	0	29	122	24	29	3	0%	1.0	20.0%	23.6%	-3.6%	2.9%	6.34	6.35	-0.6
2029	28	MLB CTX	SF	31	0	33	139	28	32	4	0%	1.1	20.0%	23.0%	-3.0%	3.0%	6.29	6.33	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		78	0	82	346	69	82	10	0%	1.1	19.9%	23.6%	-3.7%	2.9%	6.36	5.99	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	168	200	24	0%	1.0	19.9%	23.6%	-3.7%	2.9%	6.36	5.99	-3.3
Career	—	MLE		90	10	118	573	121	131	11	11%	1.3	21.1%	22.9%	-1.8%	2.0%	6.65	5.31	-2.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		153	17	200	974	206	223	19	11%	1.3	21.1%	22.9%	-1.8%	2.0%	6.65	5.31	-4.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Liam Simon (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.77	18.7%	26.4%	2.8%	—	6.38	19.9%	-3.9%	136	-0.39	—	—	—
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	84
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	82
Jonathan Sprinkle R 2023 · 6.20 FIP	25	SU	6.20	17.4%	22.9%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	80
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	80
Yennier Cano R 2019 · 5.94 FIP	25	SU	5.94	17.6%	20.2%	3.2%	.219	3.89	23.6%	12.1%	128	-2.05	2.43	377	79
Tim Elliott R 2023 · 6.21 FIP	25	SU	6.21	15.5%	16.1%	4.3%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	5.54	138	79
Chris Mauloni R 2023 · 5.94 FIP	25	SU	5.94	19.0%	23.7%	2.6%	.247	5.42	16.2%	7.1%	37	-0.52	4.82	129	78
Alec Hansen R 2019 · 5.74 FIP	24	SU	5.74	18.8%	19.8%	3.1%	.349	4.98	29.5%	-5.0%	22	-0.76	3.34	288	77
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	77
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	76
Tyler Johnson R 2021 · 5.57 FIP	25	SU	5.57	19.7%	22.1%	2.4%	.450	—	—	—	—	—	2.18	104	76
Josue Gerardo R 2017 · 5.99 FIP	24	SU	5.99	16.5%	22.5%	2.6%	.450	—	—	—	—	—	4.59	122	76
Stevie Branche R 2022 · 6.19 FIP	25	SU	6.19	21.2%	20.6%	4.1%	.308	4.72	22.8%	4.3%	69	-1.47	3.23	162	76
Johnathan Lavallee R 2023 · 6.17 FIP	23	SU	6.17	17.1%	18.6%	3.9%	.356	4.23	22.8%	9.6%	144	-1.94	3.72	210	75
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	75
Tommy DeJuneas R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	25	SU	5.65	13.7%	17.6%	2.7%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	178	75
Thomas St. Clair R 2019 · 6.24 FIP	25	SU	6.24	15.0%	25.9%	2.0%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	4.33	116	74
Mark Adamiak R 2023 · 6.87 FIP	22	SU	6.87	14.4%	20.8%	4.3%	.410	4.20	18.2%	8.2%	110	-2.67	3.83	122	74
Andrew Baker R 2023 · 5.99 FIP	23	SU	5.99	24.7%	25.1%	3.3%	.315	3.65	25.3%	12.2%	161	-2.34	3.44	256	74
Jack Little R 2023 · 6.57 FIP	25	SU	6.57	15.3%	17.4%	4.7%	.276	3.94	19.3%	11.9%	178	-2.63	3.78	247	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	37	19.8%	24.0%	1.10	6.41
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91