Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 33% | 1.9 | 25.5% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% | 2.38 | 2.56 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 33% | 1.9 | 25.5% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% | 2.38 | 2.57 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | San Jose Giants | 6 | 2 | 21 | 89 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 33% | 3.5 | 26.6% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 1.9% | 3.86 | 3.39 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | San Jose Giants | 6 | 2 | 21 | 89 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 33% | 3.5 | 36.0% | 10.1% | 25.8% | 1.1% | 3.86 | 1.96 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | ROK | ACL Giants | 11 | 6 | 10 | 62 | 16 | 19 | 1 | 55% | 0.9 | 17.5% | 38.3% | -20.8% | 1.7% | 12.19 | 7.38 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | ROK | ACL Giants | 11 | 6 | 10 | 62 | 16 | 19 | 1 | 55% | 0.9 | 25.8% | 30.6% | -4.8% | 1.6% | 12.19 | 6.78 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 28 | 143 | 31 | 38 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 15.4% | 31.2% | -15.8% | 0.9% | 10.41 | 6.26 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 28 | 143 | 31 | 38 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.7% | 26.6% | -4.9% | 0.7% | 10.41 | 5.45 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 23 | 0 | 27 | 145 | 45 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.9% | 22.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 6.41 | 5.31 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | 12 | 0 | 13 | 53 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 14.6% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 5.02 | 5.02 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.7% | 14.6% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 5.02 | 5.02 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 39 | 198 | 57 | 36 | 4 | — | — | 28.5% | 18.1% | 10.5% | 2.3% | 5.97 | 5.22 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.7% | 14.6% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 5.02 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 14.1% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.93 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 14.1% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.93 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 14.1% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.55 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 115 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 14.1% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.55 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 76 | 10 | 97 | 486 | 103 | 117 | 8 | 13% | 1.3 | 21.2% | 24.1% | -2.9% | 1.6% | 7.14 | 5.24 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 157 | 21 | 200 | 1002 | 213 | 242 | 16 | 13% | 1.3 | 21.2% | 24.1% | -2.9% | 1.6% | 7.14 | 5.24 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Liam Simon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.02 | 21.7% | 14.6% | 2.8% | — | 4.93 | 22.0% | 8.0% | 20 | -0.09 | — | — | — |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 86 |
| Dylan Hall R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.02 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .305 | 7.93 | 15.1% | 2.4% | 58 | +3.91 | 3.54 | 153 | 84 |
| Zane Morehouse R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.86 | 19.3% | 15.8% | 2.5% | .321 | 6.20 | 18.6% | -0.4% | 17 | +1.34 | 2.62 | 116 | 84 |
| Haden Erbe R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 18.4% | 16.5% | 3.1% | .320 | 5.49 | 17.8% | 0.5% | 40 | +0.14 | 5.17 | 116 | 84 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 83 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.39 | 21.5% | 14.4% | 2.3% | .326 | 4.55 | 18.6% | 7.5% | 79 | +0.16 | 3.96 | 242 | 83 |
| Cody Scroggins R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.50 | 20.5% | 16.2% | 2.0% | .351 | 3.67 | 14.2% | 4.6% | 18 | -0.83 | 3.67 | 108 | 83 |
| Derek Eitel R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 83 |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 82 |
| Cameron Gann R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 82 |
| Jay Driver R 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.43 | 21.4% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 135 | 82 |
| Morgan McSweeney R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.37 | 19.6% | 14.7% | 3.8% | .256 | 3.94 | 15.0% | 5.6% | 61 | -1.43 | 3.94 | 189 | 82 |
| Carlos Ramirez R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.33 | 18.9% | 14.5% | 1.8% | .291 | 3.11 | 23.5% | 14.5% | 103 | -1.22 | 2.62 | 177 | 82 |
| Carter Loewen R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 23.1% | 15.0% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 11.9% | 23 | -0.07 | 2.67 | 145 | 82 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.95 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 2.0% | .323 | 4.34 | 23.4% | 17.9% | 58 | +0.39 | 3.95 | 142 | 82 |
| Dakota Mekkes R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 15.4% | 2.6% | .290 | 4.81 | 16.7% | 1.8% | 70 | +0.30 | 2.99 | 246 | 82 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 81 |
| Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 17.6% | 15.9% | 2.6% | .324 | 7.06 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 23 | +1.98 | 4.90 | 103 | 81 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.46 | 19.0% | 15.0% | 1.9% | .326 | 4.33 | 22.0% | 5.9% | 87 | -0.13 | 4.13 | 217 | 81 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.64 | 18.1% | 16.4% | 1.8% | .278 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 5.8% | 90 | -0.20 | 4.16 | 164 | 81 |