Hobie Harris
P
FCL Red Sox
Age 33
RHP
6'3" / 212 lbs
ROK
2026 ROS PROJECTION3 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 114
ERA4.84
FIP5.03
K%21.3%
BB%11.4%
K-BB%9.9%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4494.1
Whiff%
p1219.9%
K%
p109.9%
xwOBA vs
p100.410
CT+2.6
FB-2.7
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 0 | 23 | 109 | 25 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.1% | 13.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 4.24 | 4.28 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 0 | 23 | 109 | 25 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 1.8% | 4.24 | 3.74 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 23 | 0 | 52 | 219 | 59 | 19 | 2 | 0% | 2.3 | 19.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 1.5% | 2.60 | 3.54 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 23 | 0 | 52 | 219 | 59 | 19 | 2 | 0% | 2.3 | 26.9% | 8.7% | 18.3% | 0.9% | 2.60 | 2.43 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 55 | 238 | 65 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 1.2% | 2.63 | 3.37 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 55 | 238 | 65 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 27.3% | 9.2% | 18.1% | 0.8% | 2.63 | 2.40 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 47 | 197 | 55 | 15 | 7 | 0% | 1.8 | 23.8% | 5.4% | 18.4% | 2.4% | 2.66 | 3.08 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 47 | 197 | 55 | 15 | 7 | 0% | 1.8 | 27.9% | 7.6% | 20.3% | 3.6% | 2.66 | 3.65 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | A+ | Tampa Tarpons | 29 | 0 | 49 | 210 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 21.6% | 15.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 4.62 | 5.06 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | A+ | Tampa Tarpons | 29 | 0 | 49 | 210 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 28.1% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 2.4% | 4.62 | 3.80 | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 42 | 0 | 44 | 183 | 51 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 4.1% | 3.92 | 4.75 | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 42 | 0 | 44 | 183 | 51 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.9% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 4.4% | 3.92 | 4.52 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 53 | 0 | 53 | 207 | 56 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 2.04 | 4.52 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 53 | 0 | 53 | 207 | 56 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.1% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 2.4% | 2.04 | 3.80 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 52 | 249 | 33 | 31 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 12.1% | 12.8% | -0.7% | 2.0% | 5.40 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 52 | 249 | 33 | 31 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 13.3% | 12.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 5.40 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 44 | 0 | 54 | 261 | 62 | 31 | 11 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.9% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 6.79 | 5.28 | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 44 | 0 | 54 | 261 | 62 | 31 | 11 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 6.79 | 5.16 | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 1 | 40 | 177 | 45 | 21 | 7 | 3% | 1.2 | 21.7% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 4.05 | 5.38 | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 1 | 40 | 177 | 45 | 21 | 7 | 3% | 1.2 | 25.4% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 4.0% | 4.05 | 4.70 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 6.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | BOS | 4 | 4 | 24 | 101 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 4.84 | 5.03 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 4.84 | 5.03 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 33 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 27 | 113 | 26 | 13 | 4 | — | — | 22.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 4.97 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | BOS | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 5.07 | 5.26 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 5.07 | 5.26 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 16 | 0 | 19 | 91 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 9.9% | 14.3% | -4.4% | 2.2% | 5.12 | 5.28 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 166 | 0 | 200 | 941 | 93 | 134 | 21 | 0% | 1.2 | 9.9% | 14.3% | -4.4% | 2.2% | 5.12 | 5.28 | +0.3 | ||
| Career | — | 346 | 4 | 472 | 2062 | 426 | 245 | 58 | 1% | 1.4 | 20.7% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 3.89 | 4.39 | +5.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 147 | 2 | 200 | 874 | 181 | 104 | 24 | 1% | 1.4 | 20.7% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 3.89 | 4.39 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hobie Harris (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.03 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 3.5% | — | 5.26 | 20.6% | 8.9% | 22 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 92 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 82 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 82 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 82 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 80 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 80 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 80 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.77 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | .286 | 3.18 | 23.7% | 17.9% | 150 | -1.59 | 2.27 | 426 | 79 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 176 | 78 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2024 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 108 | 77 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 76 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.22 | 17.0% | 8.4% | 2.7% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 227 | 76 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 76 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 76 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.46 | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.1% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 148 | 75 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.59 | 20.4% | 14.1% | 2.6% | .344 | 5.15 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 43 | +0.56 | 2.00 | 320 | 75 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .274 | 3.99 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 169 | -0.41 | 2.78 | 596 | 75 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.54 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | .312 | 4.79 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 49 | -0.75 | 2.37 | 153 | 75 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.22 | 20.0% | 9.7% | 2.9% | .302 | 2.90 | 24.2% | 15.4% | 98 | -1.32 | 2.82 | 284 | 75 |
| Josh Lueke R 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 74 |