Hobie Harris — OGILVIE

Hobie Harris P Worcester Red Sox

Age 33 RHP 6'3" / 212 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA4.89

FIP5.12

K%19.4%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4494.1

Whiff%

p1219.9%

p109.9%

xwOBA vs

p100.410

CT+2.6

FB-2.7

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	0	23	109	25	13	2	0%	1.5	18.1%	13.3%	4.8%	1.9%	4.24	4.28	—
2015	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	16	0	23	109	25	13	2	0%	1.5	22.9%	11.9%	11.0%	1.8%	4.24	3.74	—
2016	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	23	0	52	219	59	19	2	0%	2.3	19.9%	10.2%	9.7%	1.3%	2.60	3.44	—
2016	23	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	23	0	52	219	59	19	2	0%	2.3	26.9%	8.7%	18.3%	0.9%	2.60	2.43	—
2017	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	55	238	65	22	2	0%	1.6	20.6%	10.7%	9.8%	1.1%	2.63	3.33	—
2017	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	55	238	65	22	2	0%	1.6	27.3%	9.2%	18.1%	0.8%	2.63	2.40	—
2018	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	0	47	197	55	15	7	0%	1.8	23.8%	5.4%	18.4%	2.8%	2.66	3.31	—
2018	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	0	47	197	55	15	7	0%	1.8	27.9%	7.6%	20.3%	3.6%	2.66	3.65	—
2019	26	A+ MLE	Tampa Tarpons	29	0	49	210	59	29	5	0%	1.7	21.6%	15.9%	5.8%	3.1%	4.62	4.99	—
2019	26	A+ RAW	Tampa Tarpons	29	0	49	210	59	29	5	0%	1.7	28.1%	13.8%	14.3%	2.4%	4.62	3.80	—
2021	28	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	42	0	44	183	51	20	8	0%	1.0	24.5%	11.5%	13.0%	4.4%	3.92	4.92	—
2021	28	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	42	0	44	183	51	20	8	0%	1.0	27.9%	10.9%	16.9%	4.4%	3.92	4.52	—
2022	29	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	53	0	53	207	56	28	5	0%	1.0	23.8%	14.2%	9.6%	2.8%	2.04	4.43	—
2022	29	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	53	0	53	207	56	28	5	0%	1.0	27.1%	13.5%	13.5%	2.4%	2.04	3.80	—
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	52	249	33	31	5	0%	1.2	11.6%	11.7%	-0.1%	2.1%	5.40	4.73	-0.1
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	52	249	33	31	5	0%	1.2	11.6%	11.7%	-0.1%	2.1%	5.40	4.73	-0.1
2023	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	52	249	33	31	5	0%	1.2	13.3%	12.4%	0.8%	2.0%	5.40	4.88	-0.2
2024	31	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	44	0	54	261	62	31	11	0%	1.2	19.7%	10.7%	9.0%	4.5%	6.79	5.24	—
2024	31	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	44	0	54	261	62	31	11	0%	1.2	19.7%	10.7%	9.0%	4.5%	6.79	5.24	—
2024	31	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	44	0	54	261	62	31	11	0%	1.2	23.8%	11.9%	11.9%	4.2%	6.79	5.16	—
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	1	40	177	45	21	7	3%	1.2	20.5%	10.9%	9.6%	4.5%	4.05	5.21	—
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	1	40	177	45	21	7	3%	1.2	20.5%	10.9%	9.6%	4.5%	4.05	5.21	—
2025	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	1	40	177	45	21	7	3%	1.2	25.4%	11.9%	13.6%	4.0%	4.05	4.70	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			16	0	19	91	9	13	2	0%	1.2	9.9%	14.3%	-4.4%	2.2%	5.12	5.53	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	33	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	20	3	26	112	30	15	1	15%	1.3	21.6%	12.6%	9.0%	1.1%	3.16	3.48	—
YTD	33	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	20	3	26	112	30	15	1	15%	1.3	21.6%	12.6%	9.0%	1.1%	3.16	3.48	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	33	ROK RAW	BOS	3	3	3	12	4	1	0	100%	1.0	33.3%	8.3%	25.0%	0.0%	6.00	1.34	—
2026	33	AAA RAW	BOS	17	0	23	100	26	14	1	0%	1.3	26.0%	14.0%	12.0%	1.0%	2.78	3.23	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	BOS	21	0	22	92	17	10	3	0%	1.0	18.9%	11.1%	7.8%	3.7%	5.13	5.34	-0.2
2027	34	MLB CTX	BOS	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	18.9%	11.1%	7.8%	3.7%	5.13	5.34	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	21	96	10	14	2	0%	1.2	10.4%	14.1%	-3.8%	2.3%	5.12	5.26	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		167	0	200	936	97	136	19	0%	1.2	10.4%	14.1%	-3.8%	2.3%	5.12	5.26	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		363	4	494	2162	440	247	59	1%	1.4	20.3%	11.4%	8.9%	2.8%	3.84	4.34	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	2	200	875	178	100	24	1%	1.4	20.3%	11.4%	8.9%	2.8%	3.84	4.34	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hobie Harris (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.12	19.4%	10.8%	3.5%	—	5.34	18.9%	7.8%	22	+0.22	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	90
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	85
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	84
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	81
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	80
Clayton Mortensen R 2017 · 4.59 FIP	32	SU	4.59	23.2%	14.2%	3.0%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	221	80
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	79
Ryan Brasier R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	33	SU	4.85	18.0%	8.0%	4.1%	.286	3.16	23.7%	17.9%	150	-1.69	2.31	426	79
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	78
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	33	SU	5.42	14.3%	10.4%	4.0%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.07	148	78
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	78
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	77
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	77
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	76
Mark Lowe R 2016 · 5.40 FIP	33	SU	5.40	21.9%	8.5%	5.6%	.312	5.03	16.4%	6.4%	49	-0.37	2.37	153	76
Chris Hatcher R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	18.0%	9.6%	4.6%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	176	76
Junichi Tazawa R 2019 · 4.16 FIP	33	SU	4.16	17.0%	8.4%	2.6%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	227	76
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	75
Jake Petricka R 2021 · 4.63 FIP	33	SU	4.63	19.1%	8.0%	3.9%	.340	3.21	18.3%	10.4%	24	-1.42	3.04	252	75
Dustin McGowan R 2015 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	15.0%	14.5%	3.0%	.300	4.23	20.9%	13.0%	145	-1.09	3.82	208	75