Gavin Conticello

RF Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 24 L/R 6'3" / 195 lbs AA HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #844MiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP40ETA2029FG ETA2026MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AAARI	517	.275/.372/.435	12	4	80	—	.226/.304/.334
2026	23	AAAARI	181	.287/.346/.500	8	1	99	—	.262/.307/.429
2026	23	AAARI	311	.270/.357/.471	11	3	94	—	.239/.302/.404
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBARI	6	.233/.297/.374	0	0	83	-0.0
2028PROJ28% MLB	25	MLBARI	105	.236/.301/.383	2	1	87	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBARI	178	.237/.302/.387	4	2	89	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.2M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Whiff%71

Max EV67

K%52

Speed45

Z-Con%40

Chase%28

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 76%

CompsDrew Robinson (age 24) · Isan Díaz (age 23) · Jake Rogers (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .297 / .374

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%7

BABIP299

ISO138

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	51	45	13	3	0	0	2	11	4	2	1	289	373	356	728	67	382	22	4	338	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	125	105	22	3	2	1	14	38	5	1	1	210	331	305	635	95	313	30	11	297	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	146	126	31	7	2	2	15	47	2	3	1	246	336	381	717	135	362	32	10	318	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	39	38	10	3	0	2	1	11	0	0	0	263	282	500	782	237	320	28	3	339	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	427	370	80	20	3	15	45	95	9	12	5	216	316	408	724	192	247	22	11	323	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	24	22	5	0	1	1	2	7	0	0	0	227	292	455	746	227	286	29	8	325	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	542	489	138	31	7	9	46	115	3	20	4	282	347	429	776	147	351	21	8	344	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	517	444	122	27	4	12	59	110	10	4	5	275	372	435	807	160	337	21	11	360	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA	Reno Aces	—	181	164	47	9	1	8	13	41	2	1	0	287	346	500	846	213	336	23	7	368	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	311	274	74	14	4	11	34	67	3	3	2	270	357	471	828	201	321	22	11	366	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	51	46	9	2	0	0	1	16	4	2	1	196	275	239	514	43	313	31	2	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	125	109	20	3	2	1	10	52	5	1	1	183	282	275	557	92	311	42	8	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	146	131	21	5	1	1	10	68	2	3	1	160	231	237	467	76	293	47	7	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	39	38	8	2	0	2	1	15	0	0	0	211	231	421	652	211	301	38	3	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	427	383	64	15	3	12	32	127	9	12	5	167	248	316	564	149	208	30	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	24	23	5	0	1	1	1	8	0	0	0	217	250	435	685	217	278	33	4	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	542	506	112	23	5	8	30	161	3	20	4	221	269	334	603	113	303	30	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	517	461	104	21	4	7	42	138	10	4	5	226	304	334	638	108	300	27	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	181	168	44	8	1	6	9	49	2	1	0	262	307	429	736	167	330	27	5	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	311	285	68	12	4	9	23	82	3	3	2	239	302	404	706	165	304	26	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	51	46	9	2	0	0	1	16	4	2	1	196	275	239	514	43	300	31	2	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	—	51	45	13	3	0	0	2	11	4	2	1	289	373	356	728	67	382	22	4	338	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	271	240	41	7	3	2	20	120	7	4	2	171	255	250	505	79	320	44	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	271	231	53	10	4	3	29	85	7	4	2	229	333	346	680	117	340	31	11	308	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	466	421	73	18	3	13	33	142	9	12	5	173	248	323	571	150	223	30	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	466	408	90	23	3	17	46	106	9	12	5	221	313	417	730	196	253	23	10	324	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	566	528	117	23	6	9	32	169	3	20	4	222	270	339	609	117	306	30	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	566	511	143	31	8	10	48	122	3	20	4	280	345	431	775	151	348	22	8	343	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	517	461	104	21	4	7	42	138	10	4	5	226	304	334	638	108	303	27	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	517	444	122	27	4	12	59	110	10	4	5	275	372	435	807	160	337	21	11	360	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	492	453	112	20	5	15	32	131	5	4	2	247	304	413	717	166	315	27	7	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	492	438	121	23	5	19	47	108	5	4	2	276	353	482	835	205	327	22	10	367	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	51	46	9	2	0	0	1	16	4	2	1	196	275	239	514	43	313	31	2	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	271	242	41	7	3	2	20	120	7	4	2	169	255	248	503	79	301	44	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	466	421	73	18	3	13	33	142	9	12	5	173	248	323	571	150	216	30	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	566	526	117	23	6	9	32	169	3	20	4	222	270	340	610	118	302	30	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	517	460	104	21	4	7	42	138	10	4	5	226	304	335	639	109	300	27	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	492	452	112	20	5	15	32	131	5	4	2	248	304	414	718	166	314	27	7	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	566	526	117	23	6	9	32	169	3	20	4	222	270	340	610	118	302	30	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	517	460	104	21	4	7	42	138	10	4	5	226	304	335	639	109	300	27	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	492	452	112	20	5	15	32	131	5	4	2	248	304	414	718	166	314	27	7	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ARI	2%	380	345	79	15	3	9	27	99	5	4	2	226	291	362	653	135	288	26	7	292	83	-7	+0	+0	-4	+8	0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	ARI	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	233	297	374	671	141	299	33	0	299	83	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	28%	370	336	77	15	3	9	27	95	4	4	2	229	294	371	665	142	289	26	7	297	87	-6	+0	+0	-4	+8	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	ARI	44%	407	369	85	16	3	11	30	104	5	5	3	230	296	376	672	146	289	26	7	300	89	-5	-0	+0	-4	+9	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	ARI	50%	420	381	88	17	3	11	31	107	5	5	3	230	297	375	671	145	288	25	7	299	89	-6	-0	+0	-4	+9	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	425	385	89	17	3	11	32	109	5	5	3	229	296	372	667	143	287	26	8	298	88	-6	-0	-0	-5	+9	-0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	420	381	86	16	3	10	31	108	5	4	4	227	294	367	661	140	286	26	7	295	86	-7	-1	-1	-4	+9	-0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	414	376	85	16	3	10	31	108	4	4	5	224	290	359	649	135	284	26	7	290	83	-9	-1	-2	-4	+9	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	28%	105	95	22	5	1	2	8	27	1	1	1	236	301	383	683	147	300	26	8	304	87	-2	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	ARI	44%	178	161	38	8	2	4	13	45	2	2	1	237	302	387	690	150	300	25	7	307	89	-2	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	ARI	50%	212	192	45	9	2	5	16	54	2	2	1	236	303	386	689	150	299	25	8	306	89	-3	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	232	210	50	10	2	6	17	59	3	3	2	235	302	383	684	147	298	25	7	304	88	-3	-0	-0	-2	+5	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	233	211	49	10	2	5	17	60	3	2	2	233	300	378	677	144	297	26	7	302	86	-4	-0	-1	-2	+5	-0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	233	212	49	10	2	5	17	61	2	2	3	230	296	370	665	139	294	26	7	297	83	-5	-1	-1	-2	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1193	1081	253	52	11	27	88	306	13	12	10	234	299	377	677	143	300	26	7	303	78	-19	-2	-1	-13	+26	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	138	28	6	15	48	167	7	7	5	234	300	379	678	144	300	26	7	303	78	-10	-1	-1	-7	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5139	4667	1032	201	42	115	365	1430	70	77	41	221	288	356	644	135	291	28	7	284	78	-45	-3	-1	-30	+60	-1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	130	25	5	15	46	181	9	10	5	220	287	356	643	136	289	28	7	284	78	-11	-1	-0	-7	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jimmy Walsh'12-'17 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,100 PA	3.2	2,100	6	92	232*	326*	393*	-12	+5	5.0	5.0
/162	664	2	29	-3.9	+1.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Earl Smith'16-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,733 PA	2.6	1,733	9	36	252*	295*	416*	-9	+3	2.5	2.5
/162	664	3	14	-3.5	+1.0	1.0	pk7: 2
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.8	1,199	30	13	229	292	371	+4	+0	1.7	1.7
/162	664	17	7	+2.3	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 2
#5Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gavin Conticello (OGILVIE)	24	30→35	50	55	40	224/289/358	134	288	7	4	26%	7%	83	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	38→43	48→55	49→50	46	194/274/343	149	274	15	12	34%	9%	74	-0.5	212/288/380	168	308	18	12	35%	9%	88	+0.4	211/288/384	173	313	19	12	36%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Isan Díaz 2019 · AAA	23	41→43	46→55	50→45	44	205/277/341	136	298	13	10	34%	8%	75	-0.5	217/287/367	150	293	17	6	30%	8%	84	+0.2	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	38→40	47→60	48→45	42	198/263/331	133	270	14	9	32%	7%	68	-1.0	210/285/377	167	290	20	5	33%	8%	86	+0.3	210/288/419	208	272	29	1	33%	8%	97	+0.6
✕Braden Shewmake 2022 · AA	24	42→41	47→50	49→55	39	218/255/357	138	268	15	9	25%	4%	70	-0.9	213/256/337	124	263	13	17	24%	5%	65	-1.2	202/248/319	116	246	11	23	23%	5%	56	-1.0
●Ryan Schimpf 2013 · AA	25	39→41	51→60	48→45	44	204/278/369	164	273	18	7	31%	8%	82	-0.0	194/271/365	171	248	21	4	30%	8%	79	-0.2	203/284/421	218	238	27	2	28%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Addison Barger 2024 · AAA	24	45→49	49→55	45	43	227/292/375	148	308	17	7	31%	8%	88	+0.4	226/292/393	167	281	19	7	26%	8%	93	+0.8	224/289/406	182	269	21	6	25%	8%	94	+0.8
✕Austin Wells 2024 · MLB	25	41→44	52→55	53→50	46	216/288/382	166	271	20	11	28%	8%	88	+0.5	215/292/383	168	259	21	6	25%	9%	91	+0.6	205/292/372	167	241	22	5	25%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	42→48	48→55	52→55	44	215/274/360	145	274	16	12	28%	7%	78	-0.3	228/295/388	160	293	16	20	27%	8%	92	+0.7	227/300/392	165	291	17	22	27%	9%	94	+0.7
✕Javier Valdes 2023 · AA	24	43	48→55	50→30	46	219/300/358	139	268	17	5	25%	7%	88	+0.5	217/301/360	143	265	16	5	24%	8%	88	+0.5	207/318/364	157	258	17	2	25%	11%	94	+0.4
✕Skye Bolt 2019 · AA	25	40	46→50	51→50	42	203/265/340	137	283	13	12	32%	7%	70	-0.9	219/283/361	142	308	14	12	32%	8%	81	-0.1	238/305/370	132	313	14	12	27%	8%	89	+0.2
✕Matthew Sweeney 2011 · AA	23	42	44→55	48→45	41	209/269/327	118	295	11	4	32%	7%	68	-1.0	188/250/297	109	270	10	4	32%	7%	55	-2.0	155/222/262	107	217	10	1	32%	7%	33	-1.3
✕Johnny Monell 2011 · AAA	25	45→43	49→50	50→45	44	230/286/379	149	292	16	9	27%	7%	86	+0.3	221/282/357	136	292	14	5	28%	7%	80	-0.1	225/286/348	123	283	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2021 · AA	24	43→45	47→50	52→50	37	220/262/355	135	294	15	9	30%	5%	72	-0.7	219/283/366	147	299	17	9	31%	7%	83	+0.1	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Ben Rortvedt 2022 · MLB	24	42	46→45	47→40	42	212/273/334	122	280	14	4	29%	6%	72	-0.7	207/281/328	121	292	14	5	32%	8%	74	-0.6	201/288/304	103	283	11	2	30%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Damiano Palmegiani 2024 · AAA	24	40→42	52→50	52→40	44	210/289/381	170	282	20	6	32%	8%	89	+0.5	191/274/317	126	274	14	4	34%	8%	70	-0.9	163/254/270	107	234	13	1	34%	8%	49	-1.5
✕Jon Gaston 2011 · AA	24	41→42	52→55	53→50	42	216/276/389	172	281	19	10	30%	7%	85	+0.2	207/252/327	120	282	11	13	30%	5%	61	-1.5	193/225/294	101	262	7	14	28%	3%	40	-2.2
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→37	43→50	48→45	46	205/287/320	115	295	10	7	32%	9%	74	-0.5	197/296/347	150	315	17	5	39%	10%	84	+0.2	181/287/333	152	294	19	3	41%	11%	75	-0.3
✕Andy Yerzy 2023 · AA	25	35	49→50	49→40	45	189/273/335	146	257	18	5	33%	9%	73	-0.6	198/270/322	124	274	15	7	31%	8%	68	-1.0	143/211/218	74	223	10	2	39%	7%	19	-1.3
✕Zack Collins 2019 · AA	24	39→42	48→50	47→40	50	192/294/333	141	297	15	4	37%	12%	80	-0.1	210/305/364	154	309	17	4	34%	12%	91	+0.7	192/293/353	162	269	18	2	33%	12%	85	+0.1
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA	24	43→45	45→55	49→50	47	215/282/334	119	268	14	12	25%	8%	75	-0.5	214/278/349	135	274	16	11	27%	8%	77	-0.3	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3

Gavin Conticello

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps