Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024
22
AMLE
Salem Red Sox
21
12
58
235
93
20
2
57%
2.8
29.3%
10.0%
19.2%
1.2%
1.85
2.55
—
2024
22
AMLE
Salem Red Sox
21
12
58
235
93
20
2
57%
2.8
29.3%
10.0%
19.2%
1.2%
1.85
2.55
—
2024
22
ARAW
Salem Red Sox
21
12
58
235
93
20
2
57%
2.8
39.6%
8.5%
31.1%
0.9%
1.85
1.39
—
2025
23
A+MLE
Greenville Drive
4
0
17
62
21
4
3
0%
4.2
26.1%
7.4%
18.7%
5.4%
3.18
4.81
—
2025
23
A+MLE
Greenville Drive
4
0
17
62
21
4
3
0%
4.2
26.1%
7.4%
18.7%
5.4%
3.18
4.81
—
2025
23
A+RAW
Greenville Drive
4
0
17
62
21
4
3
0%
4.2
33.9%
6.5%
27.4%
4.8%
3.18
3.63
—
2026
24
A+MLE
West Michigan Whitecaps
18
15
55
237
69
29
5
83%
3.1
22.4%
14.1%
8.3%
2.6%
4.91
4.44
—
2026
24
A+MLE
West Michigan Whitecaps
18
15
55
237
69
29
5
83%
3.1
22.4%
14.1%
8.3%
2.6%
4.91
4.44
—
2026
24
A+RAW
West Michigan Whitecaps
18
15
55
237
69
29
5
83%
3.1
29.1%
12.2%
16.9%
2.1%
4.91
3.35
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
25
MLB
DET
12
12
70
296
71
39
9
100%
5.8
24.1%
13.4%
10.7%
3.0%
4.76
4.76
+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
26
MLBMLE
DET
14
14
82
346
84
45
10
100%
5.9
24.2%
12.9%
11.3%
3.0%
4.70
4.70
+0.2
2029
27
MLBMLE
DET
13
13
81
341
82
43
10
100%
6.2
24.0%
12.6%
11.4%
3.0%
4.68
4.70
+0.2
2030
28
MLBMLE
DET
13
13
78
331
85
39
10
100%
6.0
25.8%
11.7%
14.1%
3.1%
4.56
4.49
+0.4
2031
29
MLBMLE
DET
12
12
75
316
81
38
10
100%
6.2
25.5%
11.9%
13.7%
3.3%
4.59
4.62
+0.2
2032
30
MLBMLE
DET
12
12
70
297
75
36
10
100%
5.9
25.2%
12.2%
13.0%
3.5%
4.71
4.80
+0.1
2028
26
MLBCTX
DET
6
6
35
148
36
19
4
100%
5.8
24.2%
12.9%
11.3%
2.8%
4.63
4.63
+0.1
2029
27
MLBCTX
DET
8
8
51
215
52
27
6
100%
6.4
24.0%
12.6%
11.4%
2.9%
4.61
4.63
+0.1
2030
28
MLBCTX
DET
10
10
59
249
64
29
7
100%
5.9
25.8%
11.7%
14.1%
3.0%
4.49
4.42
+0.3
2031
29
MLBCTX
DET
10
10
61
258
66
31
8
100%
6.1
25.5%
11.9%
13.7%
3.1%
4.51
4.54
+0.2
2032
30
MLBCTX
DET
10
10
60
253
64
31
8
100%
6.0
25.2%
12.2%
13.0%
3.3%
4.63
4.72
+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
44
44
266
1125
282
137
34
100%
6.1
25.0%
12.2%
12.9%
3.1%
4.57
4.20
+2.2
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
33
33
200
844
212
103
26
100%
6.0
25.0%
12.2%
12.9%
3.1%
4.57
4.20
+1.6
Career
—
MLE
43
27
130
534
138
62
12
63%
3.0
25.9%
11.5%
14.3%
2.3%
3.31
3.65
+1.1
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
66
41
200
819
212
94
19
63%
3.0
25.9%
11.5%
14.3%
2.3%
3.31
3.65
+0.6
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.