Alex Stone — OGILVIE

Alex StoneC Vancouver Canadians

Age 24 R/R 6'4" / 235 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION65 act + 101 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .260 / .319

PA101

HR2

K%26

BB%5

BABIP269

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	23	22	5	1	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	227	261	273	534	45	333	30	0	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	23	22	6	1	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	273	304	318	623	45	353	22	0	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	2 teams	—	170	157	22	4	0	2	6	49	4	0	0	140	192	204	395	64	185	29	4	180	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	2 teams	—	170	154	28	5	0	2	9	34	4	0	0	182	246	253	499	71	217	20	5	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A+	TOR	—	65	62	13	3	0	2	1	11	1	0	0	210	234	355	589	145	220	17	2	249	49	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
YTD	24	A+	TOR	—	65	61	15	4	0	2	2	8	1	0	0	246	281	410	691	164	250	12	3	301	89	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
ROS	24	A+	TOR	0%	101	94	20	4	0	2	5	26	1	1	0	213	260	319	579	106	273	26	5	267	63	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
ROS	24	MLB	TOR	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						275	0	0	259	56	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	A+	TOR	—	66	63	13	3	0	2	1	11	1	0	0	206	231	349	580	143	216	17	2	250	49	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
TOT	24	A+	TOR	—	166	156	33	7	0	4	6	37	2	1	0	212	250	333	583	122	248	22	4	260	57	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	TOR	30%	264	244	53	10	1	6	15	68	3	4	1	217	271	340	611	123	277	26	6	275	69	-9	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.3
2028	26	MLB	TOR	44%	334	307	68	13	2	8	20	85	4	5	1	221	278	355	633	134	278	25	6	280	73	-10	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.6
2029	27	MLB	TOR	49%	365	335	74	14	2	8	23	93	4	5	1	221	279	346	625	125	278	25	6	283	74	-11	+1	+0	+7	+10	0.7
2030	28	MLB	TOR	52%	383	350	78	15	2	9	25	98	5	5	1	223	284	354	638	131	278	26	7	283	74	-11	+1	-1	+7	+11	0.7
2031	29	MLB	TOR	51%	387	354	78	15	2	9	25	100	5	5	1	220	281	350	632	130	277	26	6	281	73	-12	+1	-1	+7	+11	0.5
2032	30	MLB	TOR	51%	389	356	78	15	2	9	25	101	5	4	1	219	280	348	628	129	276	26	6	278	71	-13	+0	-2	+7	+11	0.4
2033	31	MLB	TOR	51%	367	336	72	14	1	8	24	96	4	3	1	214	275	333	608	119	274	26	7	274	68	-13	+0	-3	+7	+10	0.1
2027	25	MLB	TOR	30%	80	74	16	3	0	2	5	21	1	1	0	216	275	338	613	122	278	26	6	267	62	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	26	MLB	TOR	44%	148	136	30	6	1	3	9	38	2	2	1	221	279	346	624	125	279	26	6	272	67	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	27	MLB	TOR	49%	179	164	36	7	1	4	11	46	2	2	1	220	277	348	624	128	280	26	6	275	68	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2030	28	MLB	TOR	52%	197	180	41	8	1	5	13	50	2	3	1	228	287	367	654	139	280	25	7	275	68	-7	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.2
2031	29	MLB	TOR	51%	199	182	41	8	1	5	13	51	2	2	1	225	284	363	647	137	279	26	7	273	67	-7	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.1
2032	30	MLB	TOR	51%	200	183	40	8	1	4	13	52	2	2	1	219	278	339	617	120	277	26	6	270	65	-8	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.0
2033	31	MLB	TOR	51%	189	173	37	7	1	4	12	50	2	2	0	214	273	335	608	121	275	26	6	266	62	-8	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1193	1093	241	47	6	27	76	308	13	14	5	220	279	349	628	128	280	26	6	271	66	-46	+1	-4	+21	+34	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	132	26	3	15	41	168	7	8	3	221	280	351	630	129	281	26	6	271	66	-25	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	2783	2555	548	105	12	61	168	723	36	32	7	214	273	337	609	122	273	26	6	272	66	-105	+4	-7	+50	+79	2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	128	25	3	14	39	169	8	7	2	214	272	337	608	122	273	26	6	272	66	-25	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	23	22	6	1	0	0	5	1	273	304	318	623	45	353	22	0	285	76	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	107	100	18	1	2	5	23	1	180	226	250	476	70	213	21	5	217	24	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	63	54	10	4	0	4	11	3	185	279	259	538	74	222	17	6	247	47	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,193	27	14	220	277	346	+21	+12	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	15	8	220	277	346	+11.9	+6.7	0.9	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Stone (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	212/250/333	122	248	4	1	22%	4%	57	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryan Lavastida 2023 · MLB	24	42→44	45	50→55	44	212/277/334	122	277	12	12	27%	7%	69	-0.4	218/287/339	121	283	12	21	26%	7%	75	-0.0	219/292/337	118	281	12	27	25%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Bryan Holaday 2012 · AA	24	41	41→45	48→40	40	201/257/296	95	274	9	7	29%	6%	51	-1.7	214/263/302	88	270	7	5	23%	5%	55	-1.4	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	43→50	50→40	39	192/251/299	107	277	11	5	34%	6%	50	-1.8	211/268/341	130	275	14	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Jose Gil 2011 · AA	24	42	46→50	49→45	38	216/256/342	126	273	14	7	26%	4%	63	-0.9	222/275/348	126	270	14	7	23%	6%	72	-0.2	216/274/343	127	253	15	6	21%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	37→40	46→60	48→45	40	191/253/320	128	266	14	9	33%	7%	56	-1.3	208/281/378	170	286	21	5	33%	8%	83	+0.6	213/288/429	216	271	31	1	33%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→36	43→50	48→45	44	203/282/318	115	297	11	7	33%	8%	68	-0.5	193/294/347	154	320	18	5	41%	11%	82	+0.5	177/286/336	158	296	20	3	43%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→45	47→50	49→50	43	195/276/331	137	262	14	9	30%	7%	69	-0.4	215/289/349	134	277	13	9	26%	7%	79	+0.3	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→55	54→45	40	191/252/295	104	290	10	12	36%	7%	49	-1.8	204/267/315	111	307	11	9	35%	7%	59	-1.1	156/215/246	90	226	9	0	34%	7%	18	-0.7
✕Óscar Hernández 2017 · MLB	24	39	44→50	48→40	41	197/247/314	116	251	12	6	26%	5%	51	-1.7	187/237/297	110	244	12	5	28%	5%	43	-2.2	166/216/270	104	214	12	1	28%	5%	24	-1.2
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA	24	42→44	47→50	49→50	46	213/276/339	126	264	16	12	25%	8%	70	-0.3	208/272/338	130	272	15	11	28%	8%	69	-0.4	216/281/385	169	263	20	13	26%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Rodolfo Durán 2022 · AAA	24	37	45→55	47→40	37	193/228/312	120	251	13	5	30%	4%	43	-2.2	212/253/363	151	272	17	4	28%	5%	67	-0.5	225/266/386	161	276	19	3	26%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Alika Williams 2023 · AAA	24	43→45	41→45	44→45	44	214/271/309	96	275	9	7	25%	6%	60	-1.0	223/277/326	103	287	9	7	24%	6%	67	-0.5	242/291/349	107	304	9	4	22%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Korey Lee 2022 · AAA	24	45→44	45→50	48→50	42	227/273/347	120	289	13	7	26%	6%	70	-0.3	210/255/346	136	294	16	12	33%	5%	63	-0.8	208/257/348	140	277	17	11	31%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Pedro Pagés 2023 · AAA	24	40→44	44→50	44→40	40	201/262/314	114	296	12	4	35%	7%	58	-1.2	222/281/354	132	292	15	4	28%	7%	76	+0.1	225/284/360	135	285	17	2	26%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Jacob Amaya 2023 · AAA	24	41→46	47→45	49→45	47	210/280/339	129	268	15	6	27%	8%	72	-0.2	210/275/323	113	274	12	8	26%	8%	66	-0.6	199/265/299	100	261	11	8	27%	8%	53	-1.0
✕Tyler Marlette 2017 · AA	24	43→42	48→50	46→45	40	223/265/364	141	287	17	6	28%	5%	72	-0.2	218/266/348	130	292	15	5	30%	6%	69	-0.4	212/262/337	126	282	15	3	30%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Quincy McAfee 2022 · AA	24	42	43→45	48→45	50	204/300/321	117	266	10	10	26%	10%	77	+0.1	193/276/316	123	255	13	8	28%	8%	66	-0.6	179/261/302	123	229	15	8	28%	7%	53	-0.9
●Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA	24	41→38	45→60	46→50	44	204/280/325	122	284	12	13	31%	8%	69	-0.4	220/279/399	179	271	22	14	27%	6%	88	+0.9	220/277/428	209	258	27	17	27%	5%	92	+0.8
✕Brendan Rodgers 2021 · MLB	24	44→50	45→50	49→45	40	223/272/347	123	282	13	8	26%	5%	70	-0.3	236/289/362	126	280	13	2	20%	6%	82	+0.5	233/290/354	121	275	12	0	19%	6%	78	+0.1