Tavian Josenberger

Tavian JosenbergerCF Chesapeake Baysox

Age 24 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs AA HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION422 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP255

ISO109

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	102	78	20	2	1	0	19	22	0	7	2	256	398	308	706	51	339	22	19	322	104	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	23	20	6	0	0	0	2	4	0	5	0	300	364	300	664		375	17	9	297	87	-0	+1	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	349	291	67	14	5	9	49	57	2	45	6	230	345	405	751	175	257	16	14	332	111	+4	+7	—	—	+8	1.9
2025	23	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	257	203	39	6	2	5	43	64	2	21	7	192	337	315	653	123	250	25	17	297	87	-4	+1	—	—	+6	0.3
2025	23	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	17	13	2	1	0	0	3	6	0	1	0	154	312	231	543	77	250	35	18	252	57	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	102	87	19	2	1	0	11	31	0	7	2	218	306	264	570	46	294	30	11	254	58	-5	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2024	22	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	23	21	6	0	0	0	1	5	0	5	0	286	318	286	604		350	22	4	263	64	-1	+1	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	349	306	55	11	4	7	34	77	2	45	6	180	266	310	577	131	209	22	10	254	58	-17	+7	—	—	+8	-0.3
2025	23	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	257	217	37	6	2	3	30	75	2	21	7	171	277	258	535	88	227	29	12	243	51	-15	+1	—	—	+6	-0.8
2025	23	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	17	14	2	1	0	0	2	8	0	1	0	143	250	214	464	71	217	47	12	204	24	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	102	87	19	2	1	0	11	31	0	7	2	218	306	264	570	46	322	30	11	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	102	78	20	2	1	0	19	22	0	7	2	256	398	308	706	51	339	22	19	322	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	372	326	61	11	4	7	36	82	2	50	6	187	272	310	582	123	227	22	10	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	372	311	73	14	5	9	51	61	2	50	6	235	346	399	745	164	264	16	14	329	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	274	231	38	6	2	3	32	83	2	22	7	165	272	247	518	82	236	30	12	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	274	216	41	7	2	5	46	70	2	22	7	190	336	310	646	120	250	26	17	294	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	102	90	19	2	1	0	11	31	0	7	2	211	306	256	562	44	294	30	11	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	372	331	61	11	4	7	36	82	2	50	6	184	272	305	577	121	218	22	10	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	274	238	38	6	2	3	32	83	2	22	7	160	272	239	511	80	226	30	12	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	102	90	19	2	1	0	11	31	0	7	2	211	306	256	562	44	294	30	11	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	372	331	61	11	4	7	36	82	2	50	6	184	272	305	577	121	218	22	10	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	274	238	38	6	2	3	32	83	2	22	7	160	272	239	511	80	226	30	12	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	BAL	—	422	370	68	13	3	8	43	123	4	38	5	184	276	300	576	116	249	29	10	255	59	-21	+6	+0	+2	+9	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA RAW	BAL	—	422	350	77	15	3	10	63	101	4	38	5	220	345	366	711	146	278	24	15	323	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AA MLE	BAL	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		251	33	11	265	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	24	AA MLE	BAL	—	431	378	69	13	3	8	44	126	4	39	5	183	275	296	571	114	248	29	10	255	59	-21	+6	+0	+2	+9	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BAL	31%	342	301	59	11	2	7	35	94	3	18	3	196	286	316	602	120	255	27	10	273	71	-12	+2	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	BAL	45%	387	341	68	13	3	8	40	105	3	18	3	199	289	326	615	126	258	27	10	278	74	-12	+2	+0	+1	+8	0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	BAL	49%	403	355	72	13	3	9	42	109	3	17	3	203	292	332	625	130	260	27	10	280	76	-12	+2	+0	+1	+9	0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	412	363	74	14	3	9	43	111	3	15	2	204	293	333	627	129	260	27	10	280	76	-12	+2	-1	+1	+9	0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	BAL	31%	106	93	18	3	1	2	11	29	1	6	1	194	286	312	598	118	259	27	10	271	71	-4	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	BAL	45%	172	151	31	6	1	4	18	47	1	8	1	205	294	338	632	132	262	27	10	276	74	-5	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	BAL	49%	198	174	35	7	1	4	20	53	2	8	1	201	291	322	613	121	264	27	10	279	76	-6	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	213	187	38	7	1	5	22	58	2	8	1	203	294	332	625	128	264	27	10	279	76	-6	+1	-0	+1	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	689	605	122	23	4	15	71	187	6	30	4	202	292	327	619	126	263	27	10	277	68	-21	+4	-0	+2	+15	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	115	22	4	14	67	176	6	28	4	201	292	327	620	126	262	27	10	277	68	-20	+4	-0	+2	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2301	2012	392	70	18	43	240	618	16	148	26	195	286	312	597	117	255	27	10	269	68	-47	+9	-1	+6	+34	0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	111	20	5	12	68	175	5	42	7	195	287	312	599	116	257	27	10	269	68	-20	+4	-0	+2	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.0	695	15	31	200	287	325	-4	+0	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	14	29	-3.9	+0.0	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tavian Josenberger (OGILVIE)	24	30	40	60	60	186/277/297	111	251	5	21	28%	10%	66	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	62→60	44	204/273/323	120	275	11	36	29%	8%	69	-0.9	216/278/333	117	291	12	34	28%	7%	73	-0.6	217/280/331	115	292	12	35	28%	7%	70	-0.7
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	43→42	42→50	65→70	46	209/270/321	112	273	8	36	26%	8%	67	-1.1	209/277/330	121	275	12	50	27%	8%	72	-0.7	226/287/352	126	279	13	56	23%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	41→40	54→60	55	164/295/260	96	258	8	24	35%	14%	66	-1.1	190/306/293	103	293	8	20	33%	12%	76	-0.4	190/308/293	103	292	8	21	33%	12%	74	-0.3
✕Michael Siani 2023 · MLB	24	42→45	42→40	59→60	47	207/274/314	107	265	10	32	25%	8%	68	-1.0	204/276/296	92	278	8	28	27%	8%	63	-1.3	193/269/273	81	270	7	30	29%	9%	55	-1.4
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A	23	37→34	39→40	63→60	52	176/280/265	89	267	6	32	33%	12%	60	-1.6	181/266/271	90	273	8	28	33%	10%	55	-2.0	178/257/269	91	255	10	28	32%	9%	48	-1.6
✕Elijah Dunham 2023 · AA	25	43→42	48→50	58→60	47	219/291/369	150	281	15	28	27%	8%	86	+0.3	206/275/345	139	286	14	25	31%	8%	75	-0.5	190/261/322	133	270	13	24	33%	8%	62	-0.9
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	40→38	45→40	55→50	46	202/283/328	125	257	12	15	26%	8%	75	-0.5	216/303/308	92	269	8	14	21%	9%	78	-0.3	215/312/285	70	264	6	15	19%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Donta' Williams 2023 · A	24	44→33	39→40	56→55	48	204/291/294	90	301	5	21	31%	10%	70	-0.9	186/272/268	82	284	5	20	33%	9%	57	-1.8	164/254/234	71	252	5	20	34%	9%	40	-1.3
✕Mikey Perez 2023 · A	23	42→35	44→45	58→60	43	204/289/330	125	286	11	31	31%	8%	78	-0.3	198/284/316	118	296	12	26	35%	8%	72	-0.7	150/256/252	101	230	14	36	38%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	47→50	58→55	46	200/276/339	139	268	15	19	30%	9%	74	-0.5	213/284/345	132	280	14	17	28%	8%	78	-0.3	213/282/342	129	276	14	17	27%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Ryan Rogowski 2008 · A	24	47→46	39→40	61→55	50	221/291/321	100	275	4	25	20%	8%	74	-0.5	219/287/304	85	271	5	25	20%	8%	70	-0.9	216/288/286	69	261	5	32	18%	8%	63	-1.0
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	38→43	43→45	59→60	43	188/270/295	107	285	11	31	36%	8%	62	-1.4	205/277/320	115	284	11	35	30%	8%	70	-0.9	202/274/318	116	272	11	40	28%	8%	66	-0.7
✕Kameron Misner 2022 · AA	24	42→43	43→50	55	42	201/275/318	118	315	10	19	37%	8%	69	-0.9	199/288/334	135	319	14	23	38%	11%	78	-0.3	189/285/327	138	300	14	26	38%	11%	72	-0.6
✕Justin Farmer 2023 · A	24	38→33	44→40	54→55	51	186/293/300	113	289	12	20	36%	12%	73	-0.6	188/264/278	90	313	8	18	39%	9%	56	-1.9	158/223/219	62	275	5	22	41%	7%	24	-2.3
✕Juan Silva 2015 · A	24	50→46	41→45	56→55	52	235/315/337	102	312	8	29	26%	10%	87	+0.4	217/291/304	87	283	5	17	23%	9%	71	-0.8	198/269/272	74	259	3	10	23%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Travis Swaggerty 2023 · AAA	25	44	43→45	58→55	44	214/279/332	117	299	10	20	30%	8%	72	-0.7	212/276/323	111	311	9	17	32%	7%	70	-0.9	187/262/247	59	316	0	9	37%	8%	46	-0.4
✕Jorge Mateo 2019 · AAA	24	39→48	41→50	61→65	36	194/237/304	110	283	7	27	33%	5%	50	-2.3	210/250/334	124	301	10	22	32%	4%	62	-1.4	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A	23	41	40	55→65	40	192/273/283	91	301	8	31	36%	8%	61	-1.5	219/285/318	99	305	7	26	28%	7%	72	-0.7	228/293/324	96	308	4	32	25%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Jared Oliva 2020 · AA	24	47→48	41→45	57→65	42	225/286/329	105	302	8	27	27%	6%	75	-0.5	218/271/318	100	303	7	24	29%	6%	66	-1.1	223/290/349	126	282	12	55	24%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Ramiro Rodriguez 2021 · AA	23	43	40	51→50	49	206/287/303	97	281	7	18	28%	9%	70	-0.9	201/263/300	99	311	9	11	36%	7%	60	-1.6	148/212/219	71	239	8	8	39%	6%	19	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps