Tavian Josenberger

Tavian JosenbergerOF Chesapeake Baysox

Age 24 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs AA HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION294 act + 196 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .273 / .275

PA196

HR3

SB13

K%31

BB%11

BABIP248

ISO99

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	102	87	18	1	1	0	11	31	0	7	2	207	296	241	537	34	305	30	11	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	102	78	20	2	1	0	19	22	0	7	2	256	398	308	706	51	339	22	19	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	372	324	58	11	3	7	38	83	2	50	6	179	269	296	566	117	217	22	10	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	372	311	73	14	5	9	51	61	2	50	6	235	346	399	745	164	264	16	14	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	2 teams	—	274	230	39	6	2	3	33	84	2	22	7	170	279	252	531	83	247	31	12	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	2 teams	—	274	216	41	7	2	5	46	70	2	22	7	190	336	310	646	120	250	26	17	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	BAL	—	294	255	42	9	2	5	33	96	2	24	4	165	266	275	540	110	237	33	11	246	46	-18	+3	+0	-2	+8	-0.8
YTD	24	AA	BAL	—	294	240	48	11	2	6	48	74	2	24	4	200	338	338	675	138	259	25	16	310	95	-2	+3	+0	-2	+8	0.8
ROS	24	AA	BAL	2%	196	171	30	6	1	3	22	60	1	13	2	175	273	275	548	99	248	31	11	259	56	-10	+2	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
ROS	24	MLB	BAL	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						252	25	0	257	55	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	BAL	—	298	259	42	9	2	5	33	97	2	24	4	162	262	270	532	108	233	33	11	246	47	-18	+3	+0	-2	+8	-0.8
TOT	24	AA	BAL	—	490	426	72	15	3	8	55	156	3	37	6	169	269	275	543	106	242	32	11	251	50	-28	+5	+0	-3	+14	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	BAL	31%	490	430	79	16	3	9	54	145	3	24	4	184	279	298	577	114	253	30	11	269	64	-20	+3	+0	-3	+14	-0.6
2028	26	MLB	BAL	45%	503	440	84	17	3	10	55	146	3	21	4	191	285	311	597	120	256	29	11	274	68	-18	+3	+0	-3	+14	-0.4
2027	25	MLB	BAL	31%	152	133	25	5	1	3	17	45	1	7	1	188	285	308	593	120	257	30	11	268	63	-6	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	BAL	45%	224	196	38	8	1	5	24	65	2	10	2	194	288	321	610	128	260	29	11	273	67	-8	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	380	333	63	13	2	8	41	111	3	17	3	189	284	312	596	123	255	29	11	271	65	-15	+2	+0	-2	+11	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	107	22	3	14	70	190	5	29	5	188	282	311	593	123	252	29	11	271	65	-26	+4	+0	-4	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	1937	1682	308	57	13	32	213	549	11	137	25	183	279	290	569	106	248	28	11	261	58	-91	+17	+0	-12	+55	-3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	103	19	4	11	71	184	4	46	8	183	278	289	567	106	247	28	11	261	58	-31	+6	+0	-4	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	102	78	20	2	1	0	19	22	0	7	2	256	398	308	706	51	339	22	19	322	104	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	23	20	6	0	0	0	2	4	0	5	0	300	364	300	664		375	17	9	297	85	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	349	291	67	14	5	9	49	57	2	45	6	230	345	405	751	175	257	16	14	332	112	+5	+7	—	—	+10	2.2
2025	23	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	257	203	39	6	2	5	43	64	2	21	7	192	337	315	653	123	250	25	17	297	85	-4	+1	—	—	+7	0.5
2025	23	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	17	13	2	1	0	0	3	6	0	1	0	154	312	231	543	77	250	35	18	252	51	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	382	8	17	190	282	312	-2	+0	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	13	30	190	282	312	-4.0	+0.0	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tavian Josenberger (OGILVIE)	24	30	40	60	60	169/269/275	106	242	8	37	32%	11%	50	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→42	45	62→60	44	206/273/330	124	274	12	36	29%	8%	67	-0.5	214/277/336	122	294	13	34	30%	7%	70	-0.3	214/278/335	120	296	13	35	31%	7%	67	-0.4
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	42→41	42→50	65→70	46	207/269/319	112	274	8	36	27%	8%	62	-0.9	208/276/333	125	274	13	50	28%	8%	69	-0.4	220/282/351	131	271	15	58	24%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A	23	36→33	39→40	63→60	52	173/278/262	89	263	7	32	33%	12%	53	-1.5	178/261/269	91	271	9	28	34%	10%	46	-2.0	178/251/269	91	257	10	29	33%	9%	39	-1.5
✕Michael Siani 2023 · MLB	24	41→44	43→45	60	46	205/272/319	114	263	11	32	26%	8%	63	-0.8	204/276/304	100	278	9	28	28%	8%	61	-1.0	193/270/284	91	271	9	30	30%	9%	52	-1.1
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	40→45	54→60	55	161/294/251	90	257	7	24	35%	14%	59	-1.1	189/306/294	105	299	8	20	35%	12%	73	-0.1	189/308/299	110	300	9	21	35%	12%	73	-0.1
✕Donta' Williams 2023 · A	24	45→32	39→40	56→55	49	206/295/297	91	307	5	21	32%	10%	68	-0.5	183/270/263	80	289	5	20	35%	9%	49	-1.8	158/249/226	68	254	5	20	36%	9%	29	-1.4
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	39	44→45	59→60	43	191/272/302	111	287	11	31	35%	8%	60	-1.0	201/274/322	121	279	12	35	31%	8%	66	-0.6	195/268/315	120	262	12	40	29%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Justin Farmer 2023 · A	24	37→31	44→40	54→55	51	183/290/296	114	287	13	20	37%	13%	67	-0.5	187/265/280	93	314	9	18	39%	9%	51	-1.7	159/226/223	64	280	6	22	42%	7%	17	-2.2
✕Ramiro Rodriguez 2021 · AA	23	42	40	50	48	204/285/300	96	281	8	18	28%	9%	64	-0.8	200/261/296	96	312	9	11	36%	7%	53	-1.5	146/208/210	64	238	7	8	40%	6%	4	-1.2
✕Travis Swaggerty 2023 · AAA	25	42→44	45	58→55	43	210/270/336	126	291	11	20	31%	8%	66	-0.6	209/269/323	114	308	9	17	33%	7%	63	-0.9	188/264/249	61	327	0	9	38%	8%	40	-0.4
✕Agustin Septimo 2008 · A	24	41→34	40	56→55	42	202/255/293	91	269	8	19	28%	6%	49	-1.8	204/254/291	87	284	7	14	29%	6%	47	-1.9	197/227/259	62	279	3	11	30%	4%	24	-0.8
✕Danny Payne 2011 · A	25	39→42	42→45	55→50	48	190/278/297	107	285	9	19	34%	10%	61	-1.0	196/278/323	127	324	12	14	39%	10%	67	-0.5	170/264/317	147	295	14	11	43%	11%	59	-0.6
✕Chris Grayson 2014 · A	24	36	41→45	53→50	44	181/245/281	100	235	8	18	26%	7%	42	-2.3	206/271/305	99	295	7	14	30%	7%	59	-1.1	214/281/311	97	327	6	13	34%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Kevin Mattison 2011 · AAA	25	38→48	41→45	59→60	38	190/240/286	96	256	9	33	29%	5%	41	-2.3	206/264/320	114	295	8	26	31%	6%	59	-1.1	200/262/319	119	298	8	26	34%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Kameron Misner 2022 · AA	24	42→43	43→50	55	42	199/272/316	117	310	10	19	36%	8%	63	-0.8	200/289/343	143	318	15	23	38%	11%	78	+0.2	205/283/356	150	291	16	27	33%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Ryan Rogowski 2008 · A	24	47→46	39→40	61→55	50	221/291/321	100	275	4	25	20%	8%	71	-0.3	219/287/304	85	272	5	25	20%	8%	66	-0.6	216/288/287	71	262	5	32	18%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Mikey Perez 2023 · A	23	43→37	45	58→60	43	208/292/338	130	293	11	31	31%	7%	78	+0.2	200/284/319	119	303	12	26	35%	8%	70	-0.3	152/256/252	100	238	14	36	39%	9%	40	-0.9
✕Elijah Dunham 2022 · A	24	44→42	47→50	55→60	45	219/291/363	144	292	14	21	29%	8%	83	+0.6	212/283/362	150	289	16	27	31%	8%	80	+0.4	202/275/357	155	275	17	29	32%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Juan Silva 2015 · A	24	49→46	40→45	56→55	51	230/310/328	99	307	7	29	26%	10%	82	+0.5	217/289/307	90	287	5	17	24%	9%	67	-0.5	200/268/279	79	266	4	10	24%	8%	48	-0.7