Tavian JosenbergerOF
Chesapeake Baysox
Age 24
L/R
5'11" / 185 lbs
AA
HR +8%BB -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.4 · 2028
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .291 / .330
PA260
HR5
SB22
K%26
BB%10
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30→30
PWR
40→40
SPD
60→60
EYE
57↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.0M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $7M | $1M | -$5M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 102 | 87 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 31 | 0 | 7 | 2 | .218 | .306 | .264 | .570 | .046 | .322 | 30 | 11 | .256 | 54 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | 2 teams | 372 | 329 | 59 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 81 | 2 | 50 | 6 | .179 | .258 | .304 | .562 | .125 | .212 | 22 | 9 | .243 | 45 | -23 | +8 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | 2 teams | 274 | 231 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 87 | 2 | 22 | 7 | .169 | .275 | .264 | .540 | .095 | .245 | 32 | 12 | .245 | 45 | -17 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 59 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 2 | .176 | .276 | .216 | .492 | .039 | .273 | 32 | 12 | .232 | 36 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | BAL | 201 | 177 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 55 | 1 | 13 | 3 | .209 | .296 | .328 | .624 | .119 | .271 | 27 | 10 | .279 | 71 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | BAL | 260 | 228 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 74 | 1 | 22 | 5 | .202 | .292 | .303 | .594 | .101 | .276 | 28 | 11 | .268 | 63 | -11 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 11% | BAL | 312 | 273 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 71 | 2 | 16 | 3 | .216 | .307 | .337 | .644 | .121 | .263 | 23 | 11 | .292 | 82 | -6 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 26% | BAL | 366 | 321 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 83 | 2 | 16 | 3 | .218 | .309 | .346 | .654 | .128 | .266 | 23 | 11 | .296 | 85 | -6 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 44% | BAL | 389 | 341 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 43 | 89 | 2 | 15 | 3 | .220 | .311 | .352 | .663 | .132 | .267 | 23 | 11 | .298 | 86 | -6 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 53% | BAL | 403 | 353 | 76 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 93 | 3 | 13 | 2 | .215 | .307 | .343 | .650 | .127 | .268 | 23 | 11 | .297 | 86 | -6 | +2 | -1 | -2 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 64% | BAL | 403 | 354 | 76 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 94 | 2 | 12 | 2 | .215 | .305 | .342 | .647 | .127 | .267 | 23 | 11 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +2 | -1 | -2 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 81% | BAL | 402 | 353 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 44 | 95 | 2 | 11 | 2 | .212 | .303 | .331 | .635 | .119 | .265 | 24 | 11 | .292 | 82 | -8 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 390 | 342 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 94 | 2 | 9 | 1 | .211 | .302 | .330 | .633 | .120 | .264 | 24 | 11 | .288 | 79 | -9 | +1 | -3 | -2 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 373 | 327 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 92 | 2 | 7 | 0 | .205 | .297 | .318 | .615 | .113 | .262 | 25 | 11 | .284 | 75 | -10 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 345 | 302 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 38 | 87 | 2 | 7 | 0 | .202 | .295 | .311 | .607 | .109 | .261 | 25 | 11 | .278 | 71 | -11 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 302 | 264 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 79 | 2 | 6 | 0 | .201 | .294 | .307 | .601 | .106 | .259 | 26 | 11 | .272 | 67 | -11 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +9 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4634 | 4054 | 838 | 151 | 27 | 91 | 501 | 1131 | 26 | 204 | 34 | .207 | .298 | .325 | .623 | .118 | .261 | 24 | 11 | .282 | 74 | -135 | +27 | -20 | -28 | +131 | -2.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 569 | 118 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 70 | 159 | 4 | 29 | 5 | .207 | .299 | .327 | .626 | .120 | .262 | 24 | 11 | .282 | 74 | -19 | +4 | -3 | -4 | +18 | -0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 102 | 78 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 22 | 0 | 7 | 2 | .256 | .398 | .308 | .706 | .051 | .339 | 22 | 19 | .322 | 104 | +1 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 23 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | .300 | .364 | .300 | .664 | .000 | .375 | 17 | 9 | .297 | 85 | -0 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 349 | 291 | 67 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 57 | 2 | 45 | 6 | .230 | .345 | .405 | .751 | .175 | .257 | 16 | 14 | .332 | 112 | +5 | +7 | — | — | +10 | 2.2 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 257 | 203 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 43 | 64 | 2 | 21 | 7 | .192 | .337 | .315 | .653 | .123 | .250 | 25 | 17 | .297 | 85 | -4 | +1 | — | — | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 17 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .154 | .312 | .231 | .543 | .077 | .250 | 35 | 18 | .252 | 51 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +0 | -0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Tavian Josenberger (OGILVIE) | 24 | 30 | 40 | 60 | 60 | .207/.291/.330 | .123 | .270 | 5 | 13 | 26% | 10% | 75 | +0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA |
25 | 41→42 | 45 | 62→60 | 45 | .206/.275/.333 | .127 | .274 | 13 | 35 | 29% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .213/.276/.339 | .126 | .288 | 13 | 35 | 29% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .215/.278/.338 | .123 | .290 | 14 | 35 | 30% | 7% | 68 | -0.4 |
|
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA |
24 | 43→41 | 43→50 | 64→70 | 45 | .209/.271/.325 | .116 | .275 | 9 | 35 | 26% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .210/.278/.335 | .125 | .278 | 13 | 49 | 28% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .208/.280/.353 | .146 | .256 | 18 | 61 | 26% | 9% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Michael Siani 2023 · MLB |
24 | 41→44 | 44→45 | 59→60 | 46 | .206/.273/.319 | .114 | .266 | 11 | 32 | 26% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | .205/.276/.305 | .100 | .278 | 9 | 28 | 28% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .195/.271/.283 | .088 | .272 | 8 | 30 | 29% | 9% | 52 | -1.2 |
|
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2023 · AA |
24 | 38 | 42→45 | 55 | 53 | .177/.298/.290 | .113 | .287 | 9 | 22 | 37% | 13% | 69 | -0.4 | .198/.307/.300 | .102 | .308 | 8 | 21 | 34% | 11% | 75 | -0.0 | .196/.302/.282 | .086 | .311 | 7 | 27 | 35% | 11% | 64 | -0.4 |
|
✕River Town 2023 · A |
24 | 41→38 | 45→40 | 55→50 | 46 | .206/.287/.332 | .126 | .261 | 12 | 15 | 25% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .217/.304/.312 | .095 | .269 | 8 | 15 | 21% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .215/.313/.285 | .071 | .263 | 6 | 15 | 19% | 10% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Elijah Dunham 2023 · AA |
25 | 44→43 | 49→50 | 57→60 | 47 | .222/.295/.378 | .156 | .287 | 17 | 27 | 28% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .208/.279/.355 | .147 | .290 | 16 | 25 | 32% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .194/.266/.339 | .145 | .275 | 16 | 26 | 34% | 8% | 63 | -0.7 |
|
✕Anthony Norman 2009 · A |
24 | 47→42 | 46→50 | 62→55 | 51 | .232/.311/.373 | .141 | .276 | 13 | 23 | 21% | 9% | 94 | +1.3 | .217/.292/.348 | .131 | .277 | 11 | 15 | 24% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .207/.277/.320 | .112 | .287 | 8 | 9 | 28% | 7% | 65 | -0.2 |
|
✕Juan Silva 2015 · A |
24 | 49→47 | 41→45 | 55 | 51 | .234/.314/.339 | .105 | .310 | 8 | 27 | 26% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .218/.292/.308 | .090 | .286 | 6 | 18 | 24% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.269/.272 | .076 | .260 | 4 | 10 | 24% | 9% | 46 | -0.7 |
|
✕Kameron Misner 2022 · AA |
24 | 43→42 | 43→50 | 55 | 43 | .203/.278/.320 | .117 | .313 | 10 | 19 | 36% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .200/.289/.347 | .147 | .322 | 15 | 23 | 39% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .192/.287/.345 | .153 | .303 | 17 | 26 | 39% | 11% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA |
23 | 38→43 | 48→50 | 57→55 | 45 | .200/.272/.345 | .145 | .264 | 16 | 19 | 30% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .213/.284/.353 | .140 | .278 | 16 | 18 | 28% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .213/.283/.350 | .137 | .276 | 16 | 17 | 28% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Justin Farmer 2023 · A |
24 | 39→33 | 44→40 | 54→55 | 51 | .190/.295/.305 | .115 | .292 | 12 | 19 | 36% | 12% | 71 | -0.3 | .186/.265/.277 | .091 | .307 | 8 | 19 | 38% | 9% | 50 | -1.7 | .159/.224/.221 | .061 | .275 | 5 | 22 | 41% | 7% | 15 | -2.3 |
|
✕José Caballero 2022 · AA |
25 | 44→45 | 44→45 | 55→70 | 47 | .218/.294/.336 | .118 | .284 | 11 | 30 | 26% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .223/.328/.341 | .118 | .288 | 11 | 40 | 24% | 11% | 94 | +1.3 | .229/.321/.344 | .115 | .305 | 10 | 63 | 26% | 9% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A |
23 | 37→34 | 39→40 | 63→60 | 51 | .177/.278/.266 | .090 | .267 | 7 | 31 | 33% | 12% | 53 | -1.5 | .181/.264/.273 | .092 | .273 | 8 | 29 | 34% | 10% | 49 | -1.8 | .174/.253/.257 | .083 | .252 | 9 | 32 | 32% | 9% | 37 | -1.8 |
|
✕Donta' Williams 2023 · A |
24 | 43→32 | 39→40 | 56→55 | 47 | .203/.285/.294 | .091 | .294 | 6 | 20 | 30% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .186/.272/.271 | .085 | .286 | 6 | 20 | 34% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .163/.253/.236 | .073 | .255 | 5 | 20 | 35% | 9% | 33 | -1.2 |
|
✕Travis Swaggerty 2023 · AAA |
25 | 45 | 45 | 58→55 | 44 | .219/.282/.346 | .127 | .301 | 12 | 20 | 30% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .213/.275/.330 | .117 | .310 | 10 | 17 | 32% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .185/.261/.243 | .058 | .321 | 0 | 9 | 38% | 8% | 38 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jared Oliva 2020 · AA |
24 | 46 | 42→50 | 56→65 | 42 | .223/.286/.326 | .103 | .303 | 9 | 27 | 28% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .218/.273/.320 | .102 | .304 | 8 | 24 | 29% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .224/.292/.359 | .135 | .282 | 14 | 55 | 25% | 7% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Brian O'Grady 2016 · A |
24 | 40→39 | 43→60 | 54→50 | 48 | .198/.276/.315 | .117 | .263 | 10 | 14 | 28% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .194/.274/.318 | .124 | .270 | 12 | 14 | 31% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .210/.274/.401 | .191 | .276 | 23 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Brett Nommensen 2011 · A |
24 | 47 | 44→45 | 55 | 50 | .228/.298/.345 | .117 | .268 | 11 | 21 | 19% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .239/.314/.341 | .102 | .292 | 7 | 17 | 19% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .243/.324/.334 | .091 | .301 | 5 | 16 | 19% | 8% | 89 | +0.5 |
|
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA |
25 | 44→47 | 40→45 | 58→60 | 44 | .213/.287/.306 | .094 | .282 | 7 | 30 | 26% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .222/.313/.336 | .114 | .305 | 11 | 25 | 28% | 9% | 86 | +0.8 | .220/.319/.329 | .110 | .303 | 11 | 22 | 28% | 10% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A |
23 | 39→42 | 43→45 | 58→60 | 44 | .194/.275/.303 | .109 | .285 | 11 | 30 | 34% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .204/.277/.322 | .118 | .283 | 12 | 35 | 30% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .200/.273/.320 | .120 | .271 | 12 | 40 | 29% | 8% | 62 | -0.6 |