Shay Whitcomb

3B Sacramento River Cats

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 202 lbs AAA HR -15%H -3% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2029

Overview

AAA40-MANArb-1FA 2030

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	25	MLBHOU	46	.220/.304/.293	0	0	71	-0.3
2025	26	MLBHOU	32	.125/.125/.219	1	0	-11	-0.2
2026	27	MLBSF	122	.207/.233/.336	4	2	59	-0.2
2027PROJ45% MLB	28	MLBSF	112	.219/.280/.374	4	4	88	0.1
2028PROJ48% MLB	29	MLBSF	181	.217/.277/.368	6	6	85	0.0
2029PROJ49% MLB	30	MLBSF	187	.213/.273/.359	6	5	82	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.7 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2029Service3.000First FA2030

2027Arb-1$0.2M2028Arb-2$1M2029Arb-3$1M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Whiff%90

Chase%90

Barrel%54

Speed46

Bat Spd45

Avg EV20

Form.226/.272/.367 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .224/.282/.388

CompsCorey Julks (age 28) · Weston Wilson (age 29) · Stone Garrett (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .280 / .374

PA112

HR4

K%27

BB%7

BABIP269

ISO157

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

904.2%

xAVG

150.223

POWER50

Barrel%

548.7

Avg EV

2086.8

Bat Spd

4570.8

EYE45

Chase%

9012.6%

SPEED55

Sprint

4627.3

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%25%▲24% over 95 PA (60d) · proj 27%

BB%5%▼▼3% over 95 PA (60d) · proj 7%

ISO.141▼.100 over 90 AB (60d) · proj .164

HR/BB4.6%▼3.0% over 67 BBE (60d) · proj 5.6%

BABIP.274·.292 over 65 BIP (60d) · proj .273

SLASH.226/.272/.367▼proj .224/.282/.388

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2024

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.2M	+0.0	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	257	233	70	22	0	16	19	81	3	16	3	300	361	601	962	300	391	32	7	412	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	187	163	46	3	0	7	20	53	3	14	2	282	371	429	800	147	375	28	11	359	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	506	461	101	22	2	19	36	165	6	20	2	219	284	399	683	180	293	33	7	302	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	392	362	81	7	0	23	24	122	5	12	5	224	281	434	715	210	266	31	6	315	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	197	176	48	12	0	12	18	56	1	8	2	273	344	545	889	273	327	28	9	383	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB	Houston Astros	—	46	41	9	3	0	0	5	8	0	0	0	220	304	293	597	73	273	17	11	278	71	-2	+0	-4	+2	+1	-0.3
2024	25	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	481	413	121	19	2	25	53	95	8	26	8	293	384	530	914	237	320	20	11	396	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	Houston Astros	—	32	32	4	0	0	1	0	10	0	0	0	125	125	219	344	94	143	31	0	150	-11	-4	+0	+0	+2	+1	-0.2
2025	26	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	469	405	108	23	0	25	52	120	9	16	2	267	363	509	871	242	316	26	11	381	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	122	116	24	3	0	4	4	35	0	2	1	207	233	336	570	129	260	29	3	249	59	-6	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.2
2026	27	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	355	319	87	13	1	10	30	88	2	23	2	273	339	414	753	141	342	25	8	334	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	200	189	37	6	0	5	9	53	0	2	1	196	232	307	539	111	244	26	4	240	48	-12	+0	-5	+5	+4	-0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	257	239	50	14	0	10	13	110	3	16	3	209	259	393	652	184	324	43	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	187	169	35	2	0	4	14	72	3	14	2	207	280	290	570	83	330	39	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	506	475	80	17	2	13	22	213	6	20	2	168	215	295	509	126	259	42	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	392	371	70	6	0	17	15	146	5	12	5	189	230	342	572	154	253	37	4	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	197	182	37	10	0	7	12	65	1	8	2	203	256	374	630	170	265	33	6	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	46	41	9	3	0	0	5	8	0	0	0	220	304	293	597	73	273	17	11	272	71	-2	+0	-4	+2	+1	-0.3
2024	25	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	481	430	108	17	2	20	36	114	8	26	8	251	321	440	760	188	283	24	7	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	32	32	4	0	0	1	0	10	0	0	0	125	125	219	344	94	143	31	0	151	-11	-4	+0	+0	+2	+1	-0.2
2025	26	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	469	424	92	21	0	18	33	145	9	16	2	217	288	394	681	177	277	31	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	122	116	24	3	0	4	4	35	0	2	1	207	233	336	570	129	260	29	3	256	59	-6	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.2
2026	27	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	355	328	74	10	1	7	21	105	2	23	2	226	276	326	603	101	297	30	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	444	408	85	16	0	14	27	182	6	30	5	208	268	350	618	142	330	41	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	444	396	116	25	0	23	39	134	6	30	5	293	365	530	895	237	384	30	9	390	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	506	475	80	17	2	13	22	213	6	20	2	168	215	295	509	126	266	42	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	506	461	101	22	2	19	36	165	6	20	2	219	284	399	683	180	293	33	7	302	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	589	553	108	16	0	25	27	211	6	20	7	195	241	360	600	165	259	36	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	589	538	129	19	0	35	42	178	6	20	7	240	302	470	772	230	287	30	7	338	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	527	471	117	20	2	20	41	122	8	26	8	248	319	427	746	178	289	23	8	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	527	454	130	22	2	25	58	103	8	26	8	286	377	509	886	222	315	20	11	385	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	501	456	96	21	0	19	33	155	9	16	2	211	277	382	659	171	270	31	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	501	437	112	23	0	26	52	130	9	16	2	256	347	487	835	231	303	26	10	366	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	477	444	98	13	1	11	25	140	2	25	3	221	265	329	594	108	293	29	5	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	477	435	111	16	1	14	34	123	2	25	3	255	312	393	705	138	321	26	7	312	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	444	408	85	16	0	14	27	182	6	30	5	208	268	350	618	142	327	41	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	506	473	80	17	2	13	22	213	6	20	2	169	215	296	511	127	259	42	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	589	551	108	16	0	25	27	211	6	20	7	196	241	361	602	165	257	36	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	527	473	117	20	2	20	41	122	8	26	8	247	319	425	744	178	282	23	8	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	501	454	96	21	0	19	33	155	9	16	2	211	277	383	660	172	268	31	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	477	447	98	13	1	11	25	140	2	25	3	219	265	327	592	107	287	29	5	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	527	473	117	20	2	20	41	122	8	26	8	247	319	425	744	178	282	23	8	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	501	454	96	21	0	19	33	155	9	16	2	211	277	383	660	172	268	31	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	477	447	98	13	1	11	25	140	2	25	3	219	265	327	592	107	287	29	5	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SF	45%	380	348	78	13	1	14	25	102	4	14	4	224	285	388	673	164	273	27	7	298	88	-5	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	SF	45%	112	102	23	4	0	4	8	30	1	4	1	219	280	374	654	155	269	27	7	291	88	-2	+0	-1	+0	+2	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	SF	48%	380	348	78	13	1	14	25	103	4	12	3	221	282	381	663	160	271	27	7	294	85	-7	+1	-4	+1	+8	0.0
2029	30	MLB MLE	SF	49%	380	348	75	12	1	13	25	104	4	10	3	218	278	373	650	155	268	27	7	289	82	-8	+1	-4	+1	+8	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	SF	48%	181	165	35	6	0	6	12	49	2	6	2	217	277	368	645	151	267	27	7	287	85	-3	+0	-2	+1	+4	0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	SF	49%	187	171	36	6	0	6	12	51	2	5	1	213	273	359	632	146	264	27	6	282	82	-4	+1	-2	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	568	525	108	18	0	17	33	153	4	13	4	206	258	337	595	131	255	27	6	268	73	-20	+1	-9	+7	+12	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	124	21	0	19	38	175	5	15	5	206	260	336	596	130	257	27	6	268	73	-22	+1	-10	+8	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4054	3731	789	137	8	138	242	1297	48	168	35	211	268	363	632	152	280	32	6	277	73	-31	+3	-14	+9	+26	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	126	22	1	22	39	208	8	27	6	211	268	361	629	151	280	32	6	277	73	-17	+2	-8	+5	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Bobby Lowe'01-'07 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,085 PA	3.1	2,085	4	65	229*	274*	350*	+6	+6	0.1	0.1
/162	664	1	21	+2.0	+1.8	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.9	603	21	17	218	269	371	-3	-3	-0.3	-0.3
/162	664	23	18	-3.4	-3.3	-0.3	pk7: -0
#3Pedro Garcia'73-'77 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,967 PA	3.0	1,967	37	35	220*	270*	388*	+6	-6	-0.3	-0.3
/162	664	12	12	+2.1	-2.0	-0.1	pk7: -0
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Dave McKay'75-'82 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	21	20	225*	267*	337*	+8	-17	-4.3	-3.3
/162	664	7	6	+2.6	-5.3	-1.4	pk7: -2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Shay Whitcomb (OGILVIE)	28	40	50	55	45	222/282/385	162	273	9	9	27%	7%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Corey Julks 2024 · MLB	28	46→50	49→50	54→55	46	234/295/386	152	289	17	21	25%	7%	92	+0.7	229/289/353	124	290	13	18	25%	7%	82	-0.0	222/281/337	115	280	13	16	25%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Weston Wilson 2024 · MLB	29	39→42	50→55	55	44	207/276/355	148	279	19	24	32%	8%	78	-0.3	213/286/366	153	280	19	21	30%	9%	84	+0.1	207/282/354	147	267	19	21	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Stone Garrett 2023 · MLB	27	41→39	56→55	53→50	36	222/260/407	185	280	24	17	31%	4%	84	+0.1	222/284/362	140	318	16	10	33%	7%	82	-0.0	224/300/339	115	334	11	5	34%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Michael Helman 2024 · AAA	28	43→42	49→50	58→55	45	221/279/369	148	262	17	25	23%	7%	82	-0.0	211/269/356	145	259	16	19	25%	6%	75	-0.5	193/252/335	142	235	16	18	25%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Stuart Fairchild 2024 · MLB	28	46→43	49→50	52→55	45	228/312/380	152	304	15	16	29%	8%	97	+1.1	225/305/369	144	290	15	23	26%	8%	92	+0.7	216/307/360	144	270	16	31	25%	9%	89	+0.3
✕Kyle Datres 2024 · AAA	28	43	47→50	57→55	45	216/296/351	134	292	16	24	30%	8%	84	+0.2	204/280/322	118	289	13	17	32%	8%	72	-0.7	173/254/274	102	244	13	16	33%	9%	50	-0.8
✕Jake Slaughter 2024 · AAA	27	42→48	50	52→55	41	216/288/371	154	291	19	22	32%	7%	86	+0.3	227/291/355	128	317	14	19	31%	7%	83	+0.1	229/290/335	106	327	11	21	31%	6%	74	-0.5
✕Mario Lisson 2012 · AAA	28	44→49	50	51→55	39	226/276/380	154	295	18	16	30%	6%	84	+0.1	222/287/366	144	279	16	15	26%	7%	84	+0.2	222/292/345	123	288	15	8	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Mike Wilson 2011 · AAA	28	40→50	54→55	50	45	215/291/387	173	274	23	12	30%	8%	91	+0.7	229/296/384	155	306	19	8	30%	8%	92	+0.7	227/293/374	147	307	17	4	30%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Sam Hilliard 2023 · MLB	29	37→47	53→55	54→55	46	203/278/374	171	267	22	14	32%	9%	83	+0.1	219/287/392	173	305	20	17	33%	9%	91	+0.6	212/277/398	186	292	19	20	33%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Jimmy Herron 2024 · AAA	28	47→48	47→45	57→55	49	232/309/370	138	287	14	24	24%	9%	93	+0.8	222/285/331	109	273	11	23	22%	7%	75	-0.5	211/271/300	89	255	10	25	21%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Matt Carson 2011 · MLB	30	43→50	54→60	54→50	41	231/278/411	180	274	22	18	25%	5%	91	+0.7	231/277/392	161	290	19	13	27%	5%	86	+0.3	226/272/371	145	288	16	11	27%	5%	76	-0.3
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2012 · MLB	28	46→48	52→55	51→50	43	241/290/408	167	285	20	14	24%	6%	95	+1.0	236/294/397	161	283	18	7	23%	7%	94	+0.9	227/291/386	158	273	17	3	23%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Rylan Bannon 2024 · MLB	28	40→47	49→50	47→50	50	208/293/355	147	263	18	14	28%	10%	84	+0.2	205/299/343	138	278	15	12	29%	11%	84	+0.1	174/284/300	125	238	14	10	30%	12%	68	-0.9
✕Alex Castellanos 2014 · MLB	27	42→51	51→55	53→50	40	217/284/379	162	290	19	18	31%	6%	86	+0.3	210/271/351	141	300	15	12	33%	6%	75	-0.5	204/262/340	136	298	13	8	34%	5%	66	-0.6
✕Brian O'Grady 2021 · MLB	29	43→38	57→60	52→50	40	227/284/423	196	297	25	16	32%	6%	97	+1.1	214/281/373	159	294	17	14	31%	8%	84	+0.1	191/264/352	161	259	16	13	32%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Taylor Motter 2018 · MLB	28	43→49	48→50	53→55	48	220/278/361	141	250	16	22	20%	7%	79	-0.2	185/249/315	130	225	15	13	25%	7%	59	-1.7	198/274/355	157	245	19	5	27%	9%	76	-0.3
✕Kevin Smith 2024 · MLB	28	41→45	51→55	53→50	38	217/263/375	158	290	20	14	32%	6%	78	-0.3	214/261/332	118	324	13	17	36%	5%	66	-1.1	187/232/249	62	318	4	23	40%	4%	35	-1.5
✕Jayson Nix 2010 · MLB	27	46→51	52→55	51→55	47	235/300/400	164	277	19	19	23%	7%	97	+1.1	218/280/375	157	265	19	11	25%	7%	84	+0.1	206/266/355	149	255	17	9	26%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Jaylin Davis 2022 · MLB	28	42→47	56→50	48→45	41	222/291/408	187	300	24	10	34%	7%	96	+1.0	195/272/323	128	296	14	7	36%	8%	70	-0.9	176/260/292	116	270	12	4	37%	9%	55	-1.2

Shay Whitcomb

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps