Mario Gomez — OGILVIE

Mario GomezC Lansing Lugnuts

Age 23 L/R 5'10" / 202 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .290 / .349

PA170

HR4

K%25

BB%7

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$8M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Arb-2	$2M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.5M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$7M		$28M	+$24M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	91	83	17	4	0	0	8	29	0	1	1	205	275	253	528	48	315	32	9	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	91	78	24	6	0	0	13	20	0	1	1	308	407	385	791	77	414	22	14	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	159	138	26	7	0	4	16	47	2	3	1	188	282	326	608	138	244	30	10	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	159	125	34	11	0	5	28	34	2	3	1	272	410	480	890	208	326	21	18	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	186	160	32	3	1	2	20	49	2	0	0	200	297	269	565	69	268	26	11	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	186	150	39	4	1	3	30	36	2	0	0	260	390	360	750	100	316	19	16	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	4 teams	—	144	132	21	3	1	3	7	34	4	0	2	159	224	265	489	106	188	24	5	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	4 teams	—	144	129	30	5	2	3	10	27	4	0	2	233	308	372	680	140	270	19	7	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	OAK	—	170	154	34	6	1	4	12	43	2	2	1	221	286	351	636	130	284	25	7	290	80	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	OAK	38%	282	255	58	11	2	6	21	69	4	4	1	227	296	357	653	129	286	24	7	295	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.9
2028	25	MLB	OAK	55%	349	315	72	13	2	8	26	85	5	5	1	229	298	359	656	130	286	24	7	299	87	-5	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.2
2029	26	MLB	OAK	64%	392	353	83	15	3	10	30	95	6	5	2	235	306	380	686	144	286	24	8	300	88	-5	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.3
2030	27	MLB	OAK	66%	410	369	86	16	3	10	32	100	6	6	2	233	305	374	679	141	286	24	8	301	88	-5	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.4
2031	28	MLB	OAK	67%	418	376	87	16	3	10	33	102	6	5	2	231	304	370	673	138	286	24	8	300	88	-6	+0	-1	+7	+12	1.3
2032	29	MLB	OAK	66%	416	374	86	16	3	10	33	103	6	5	1	230	303	369	672	139	285	25	8	298	86	-6	+1	-1	+7	+12	1.2
2033	30	MLB	OAK	65%	412	370	84	15	2	10	33	103	6	4	1	227	301	359	660	132	284	25	8	295	84	-7	+0	-2	+7	+12	1.0
2034	31	MLB	OAK	65%	388	349	78	14	2	9	31	98	5	4	1	223	296	352	649	129	281	25	8	291	81	-8	+0	-3	+7	+11	0.7
2027	24	MLB	OAK	38%	107	96	22	4	1	2	8	26	2	1	0	229	302	354	656	125	283	24	7	282	74	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	25	MLB	OAK	55%	194	174	40	7	1	5	15	47	3	3	1	230	302	368	670	138	284	24	8	286	77	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2029	26	MLB	OAK	64%	250	225	52	9	2	6	19	61	4	3	1	231	302	369	671	138	284	24	8	287	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2030	27	MLB	OAK	66%	269	242	55	10	2	6	21	65	4	4	1	227	300	360	659	132	284	24	8	288	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2031	28	MLB	OAK	67%	279	251	57	10	2	7	22	68	4	4	1	227	300	367	666	139	283	24	8	287	78	-7	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	29	MLB	OAK	66%	273	245	55	10	2	6	22	67	4	3	1	224	299	355	654	131	283	25	8	285	77	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2033	30	MLB	OAK	65%	268	241	55	10	2	6	21	67	4	3	1	228	301	361	662	133	281	25	8	283	74	-8	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.4
2034	31	MLB	OAK	65%	251	226	50	9	1	6	20	63	3	2	1	221	293	350	643	128	279	25	8	279	71	-8	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1891	1700	386	69	13	44	148	464	28	23	7	227	300	361	660	134	285	25	8	285	76	-51	+2	-5	+34	+54	3.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	132	24	4	15	51	159	10	8	2	226	299	358	657	132	283	24	8	285	76	-18	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	3817	3428	764	139	23	86	302	957	54	44	16	223	296	352	648	129	282	25	8	290	80	-86	+2	-7	+68	+108	8.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	131	24	4	15	51	163	9	7	3	224	297	356	653	132	283	25	8	290	80	-15	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	91	78	24	6	0	0	13	20	0	1	1	308	407	385	791	77	414	22	14	363	136	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.6
2023	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	159	125	34	11	0	5	28	34	2	3	1	272	410	480	890	208	326	21	18	389	156	+10	+0	—	—	+5	1.5
2024	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	94	80	19	1	1	3	11	18	1	0	0	237	337	388	724	150	262	19	12	321	104	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	21	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	92	70	20	3	0	0	19	18	1	0	0	286	444	329	773	43	377	20	21	361	135	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2025	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	18	15	3	1	1	0	1	5	2	0	0	200	333	400	733	200	300	28	6	332	112	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	57	52	13	3	1	2	4	8	1	0	0	250	316	462	777	212	262	14	7	342	120	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	22	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	46	40	9	0	0	1	4	7	1	0	2	225	311	300	611	75	242	15	9	279	72	-1	-1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	22	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	23	22	5	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	227	261	273	534	45	333	30	4	244	45	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#3Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	7	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
	/162	664	19	7	254	303	396	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,893	45	23	230	298	365	+34	+20	5.7	5.5
	/162	664	16	8	230	298	365	+11.9	+7.0	2.0	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mario Gomez (OGILVIE)	23	44→49	39→44	42→47	58	223/290/349	126	284	4	2	25%	7%	80	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hank Conger 2011 · MLB	23	49→56	45→50	41→45	49	243/298/368	125	280	12	3	18%	7%	86	+0.8	232/288/363	131	272	15	3	20%	7%	82	+0.5	230/302/383	154	282	18	0	24%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Blake DeWitt 2009 · MLB	23	50→55	46→50	45→40	49	249/304/381	132	283	14	5	18%	7%	92	+1.2	243/307/370	127	278	10	4	16%	8%	91	+1.1	241/307/369	128	275	9	3	15%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Reid Brignac 2009 · AAA	23	44→51	48→50	49→50	41	226/269/370	144	279	15	10	25%	5%	76	+0.0	231/272/348	117	285	11	8	22%	5%	70	-0.3	223/287/325	101	284	9	6	23%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Matt Thaiss 2018 · AA	23	50	41→55	43→45	48	238/303/341	103	300	8	6	23%	8%	82	+0.5	221/285/362	141	274	15	5	24%	8%	79	+0.3	224/303/389	165	274	20	4	25%	9%	92	+0.9
✕Bryan Anderson 2011 · MLB	24	46→56	43→45	49→30	43	227/278/337	110	286	11	4	24%	6%	70	-0.3	220/275/330	110	291	11	3	27%	6%	67	-0.5	215/277/337	122	279	12	1	26%	7%	67	-0.3
●Jason Castro 2010 · AA	23	50→54	44→50	45→30	48	246/305/366	119	295	11	5	20%	7%	89	+0.9	232/300/333	101	284	9	4	20%	9%	79	+0.3	243/317/402	159	312	17	1	26%	9%	100	+1.2
✕Vimael Machín 2018 · AAA	24	50→54	44→50	42→50	46	244/293/355	111	292	12	5	21%	6%	81	+0.4	223/288/324	101	271	9	5	20%	8%	71	-0.3	244/298/379	135	287	16	11	20%	7%	87	+0.5
✕Taylor Lindsey 2015 · AAA	23	45→52	46→50	45	45	227/270/353	126	256	14	6	18%	5%	71	-0.3	196/251/312	116	240	12	7	23%	7%	53	-1.5	174/234/286	112	216	12	5	25%	7%	36	-1.7
✕Carlos Asuaje 2016 · AA	24	48→54	44→45	47→45	45	236/291/362	126	290	10	7	22%	6%	82	+0.5	240/301/343	103	297	7	6	20%	7%	81	+0.4	239/307/336	97	295	5	4	19%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Shed Long Jr. 2019 · AA	23	47	48→50	51→50	44	234/296/376	142	314	15	13	30%	7%	88	+0.9	227/287/373	146	306	16	10	29%	7%	84	+0.6	221/280/371	150	293	17	8	30%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Chance Sisco 2019 · MLB	24	48→58	43→50	43→40	42	231/303/341	110	322	11	4	30%	7%	82	+0.5	215/308/370	155	289	19	3	31%	8%	93	+1.3	197/299/362	164	258	20	0	30%	9%	85	+0.3
✕Meibrys Viloria 2019 · MLB	22	49→47	44→45	43→40	40	239/282/353	115	308	11	4	26%	5%	76	+0.1	213/275/306	93	310	8	4	31%	7%	61	-1.0	205/291/302	97	307	9	3	33%	10%	64	-0.4
✕Peter Ciofrone 2007 · AA	23	52→55	41→45	45→40	50	247/325/344	97	300	8	5	20%	8%	92	+1.2	230/290/339	109	272	11	3	19%	6%	76	+0.1	217/275/324	107	253	12	1	19%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Reese McGuire 2019 · MLB	24	47→52	42→45	45	46	228/287/332	104	279	10	7	22%	7%	72	-0.2	224/278/342	118	273	12	6	22%	6%	71	-0.3	240/291/350	109	291	9	3	20%	6%	78	+0.1
●Christian Vázquez 2014 · AA	23	48→55	43→50	42→45	48	237/298/346	110	287	10	6	21%	8%	81	+0.4	243/296/330	87	304	6	4	21%	7%	76	+0.0	256/308/402	145	293	18	8	19%	7%	96	+1.0
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	44→42	44→50	50→40	49	214/303/331	117	278	11	7	26%	9%	81	+0.4	223/308/361	138	300	15	5	29%	8%	91	+1.1	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Héctor Sánchez 2013 · MLB	23	51→50	44→50	40→30	40	252/283/374	122	307	12	2	22%	4%	82	+0.5	232/278/349	117	289	13	3	24%	5%	73	-0.1	218/263/386	168	257	23	0	26%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Greg Garcia 2013 · AA	23	51→54	40	46→50	50	242/317/339	97	301	7	9	21%	8%	87	+0.8	238/311/330	92	308	6	12	23%	8%	82	+0.5	242/351/334	92	309	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.8
✕Johnny Monell 2009 · A	23	47→44	43→50	48→45	47	229/298/348	120	287	10	10	23%	8%	82	+0.5	227/284/359	132	289	13	6	25%	7%	79	+0.3	211/282/355	144	277	15	6	28%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Ryan Wheeler 2011 · AA	23	51→54	42→45	46→40	41	248/291/354	106	317	10	4	25%	5%	79	+0.3	246/287/369	123	315	12	4	25%	5%	82	+0.5	245/285/371	126	312	12	4	25%	5%	81	+0.3