Mario Gomez
C Lansing Lugnuts| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | ROKOAK | 159 | .272/.410/.480 | 5 | 3 | 69 | — | .182/.282/.321 |
| 2024 | 21 | A/ROKOAK | 186 | .260/.390/.360 | 3 | 0 | 58 | — | .199/.291/.266 |
| 2025 | 22 | AA/A+/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 144 | .233/.308/.372 | 3 | 0 | 44 | — | .191/.258/.337 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBOAK | 200 | .217/.283/.327 | 3 | 3 | 72 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBOAK | 44 | .226/.292/.346 | 1 | 1 | 76 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 26 | MLBOAK | 89 | .228/.294/.353 | 2 | 1 | 78 | 0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Athletics | — | 91 | 78 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 308 | 407 | 385 | 791 | 77 | 414 | 22 | 14 | 363 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Athletics | — | 159 | 125 | 34 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 272 | 410 | 480 | 890 | 208 | 326 | 21 | 18 | 389 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 94 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 337 | 388 | 724 | 150 | 262 | 19 | 12 | 321 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | ACL Athletics | — | 92 | 70 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 444 | 329 | 773 | 43 | 377 | 20 | 21 | 361 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 18 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 400 | 733 | 200 | 300 | 28 | 6 | 332 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 57 | 52 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 316 | 462 | 777 | 212 | 262 | 14 | 7 | 342 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | ACL Athletics | — | 46 | 40 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 225 | 311 | 300 | 611 | 75 | 242 | 15 | 9 | 279 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 261 | 273 | 534 | 45 | 333 | 30 | 4 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 91 | 82 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 183 | 264 | 220 | 483 | 37 | 262 | 26 | 10 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 159 | 137 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 182 | 282 | 321 | 603 | 139 | 236 | 30 | 11 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 94 | 84 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 261 | 298 | 558 | 107 | 225 | 26 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 92 | 77 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 322 | 234 | 556 | 26 | 297 | 28 | 13 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 18 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 400 | 733 | 200 | 254 | 33 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 57 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 263 | 396 | 659 | 189 | 196 | 18 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 46 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 167 | 222 | 238 | 460 | 71 | 184 | 22 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 91 | 82 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 183 | 264 | 220 | 483 | 37 | 259 | 26 | 10 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Athletics | — | 91 | 78 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 308 | 407 | 385 | 791 | 77 | 414 | 22 | 14 | 363 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 159 | 137 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 182 | 282 | 321 | 603 | 139 | 239 | 30 | 11 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK RAW | ACL Athletics | — | 159 | 125 | 34 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 272 | 410 | 480 | 890 | 208 | 326 | 21 | 18 | 389 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 186 | 161 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 199 | 291 | 267 | 558 | 68 | 268 | 27 | 10 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 186 | 150 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 390 | 360 | 750 | 100 | 316 | 19 | 16 | 341 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 144 | 132 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 174 | 238 | 295 | 533 | 121 | 204 | 22 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 144 | 129 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 233 | 308 | 372 | 680 | 140 | 270 | 19 | 7 | 305 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 91 | 82 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 183 | 264 | 220 | 483 | 37 | 262 | 26 | 10 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 159 | 139 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 180 | 282 | 317 | 599 | 137 | 236 | 30 | 11 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 186 | 163 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 291 | 264 | 555 | 67 | 261 | 27 | 10 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 144 | 132 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 174 | 238 | 295 | 533 | 121 | 200 | 22 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 186 | 163 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 291 | 264 | 555 | 67 | 261 | 27 | 10 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 144 | 132 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 174 | 238 | 295 | 533 | 121 | 200 | 22 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | OAK | 0% | 200 | 182 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 217 | 283 | 327 | 610 | 110 | 285 | 27 | 7 | 275 | 72 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | OAK | 30% | 145 | 131 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 39 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 286 | 336 | 623 | 117 | 286 | 27 | 8 | 280 | 76 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | OAK | 44% | 202 | 183 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 53 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 222 | 289 | 343 | 632 | 122 | 286 | 26 | 7 | 284 | 78 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | OAK | 49% | 238 | 215 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 63 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 222 | 289 | 344 | 633 | 122 | 286 | 26 | 8 | 285 | 79 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | OAK | 52% | 265 | 240 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 70 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 221 | 289 | 342 | 631 | 121 | 285 | 26 | 8 | 284 | 78 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | OAK | 51% | 273 | 248 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 72 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 287 | 339 | 627 | 120 | 284 | 26 | 7 | 282 | 77 | -7 | -0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | OAK | 51% | 276 | 251 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 74 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 284 | 332 | 615 | 115 | 282 | 27 | 7 | 277 | 74 | -9 | -0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | OAK | 30% | 44 | 40 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 292 | 346 | 638 | 121 | 295 | 27 | 7 | 287 | 76 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | OAK | 44% | 89 | 81 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 228 | 294 | 353 | 647 | 126 | 295 | 26 | 8 | 290 | 78 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | OAK | 49% | 117 | 106 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 228 | 295 | 354 | 649 | 126 | 295 | 26 | 8 | 291 | 79 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | OAK | 52% | 137 | 124 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 294 | 352 | 647 | 125 | 294 | 26 | 7 | 290 | 78 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | OAK | 51% | 141 | 127 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 293 | 349 | 642 | 123 | 293 | 26 | 8 | 288 | 77 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | OAK | 51% | 142 | 129 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 289 | 341 | 630 | 119 | 291 | 27 | 7 | 284 | 74 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +3 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 670 | 607 | 137 | 25 | 5 | 14 | 50 | 177 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 226 | 294 | 353 | 647 | 127 | 293 | 26 | 7 | 288 | 71 | -18 | +1 | -2 | +12 | +15 | 0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 133 | 24 | 5 | 14 | 49 | 172 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 226 | 296 | 355 | 651 | 129 | 292 | 26 | 8 | 288 | 71 | -18 | +1 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2063 | 1857 | 391 | 66 | 14 | 38 | 162 | 548 | 25 | 17 | 10 | 211 | 283 | 323 | 605 | 112 | 275 | 27 | 8 | 273 | 71 | -41 | +0 | -4 | +26 | +32 | 1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 123 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 51 | 173 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 210 | 283 | 321 | 604 | 111 | 275 | 27 | 8 | 273 | 71 | -18 | +0 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 57 PAwOBA .333 → .248 (−85)K% 14.0% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.04% | ÷0.969 | ×1.270 | — | — | 18.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.02% | ÷1.048 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 4.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.91% | ÷1.078 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 12.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.82% | ÷1.199 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 4.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 1.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.921 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.94% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 116, 2B 140, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .333 → .248; ISO .212 → .160; BABIP .262 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Athletics · 46 PAwOBA .278 → .202 (−76)K% 15.2% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.22% | ÷0.983 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.70% | ÷0.971 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 5.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.17% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.24% | ÷1.039 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 18.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.926 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 2.46% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 108, 2B 104, 3B 98, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .278 → .202; ISO .075 → .060; BABIP .242 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAMidland RockHounds · 18 PAwOBA .324 → .258 (−66)K% 27.8% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.078 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 11.11% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 9.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 9.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.131 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 7.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.027 | 8.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.043 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 102, 2B 126, 3B 130, K 98, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .324 → .258; ISO .200 → .153; BABIP .300 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AStockton Ports · 94 PAwOBA .320 → .250 (−70)K% 19.1% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.15% | ÷1.015 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.70% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 19.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.61% | ÷0.979 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | — | 1.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.61% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | — | 1.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.84% | ÷1.164 | ×0.800 | — | — | 3.33% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 101, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .320 → .250; ISO .150 → .111; BABIP .262 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Athletics · 92 PAwOBA .357 → .259 (−98)K% 19.6% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.57% | ÷0.998 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.65% | ÷0.986 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 12.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.69% | ÷1.027 | ×0.820 | ×1.042 | ×0.975 | 26.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷1.124 | ×0.720 | ×1.042 | ×0.975 | 3.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.907 | ×0.720 | ×1.042 | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.852 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 105, 2B 125, 3B 81, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .357 → .259; ISO .043 → .029; BABIP .377 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Athletics · 159 PAwOBA .387 → .270 (−117)K% 21.4% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.38% | ÷1.018 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.61% | ÷1.030 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 10.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.26% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.78% | ÷0.974 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 15.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.09% | ÷1.051 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 7.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.149 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.49% | ÷0.989 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 4.27% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .387 → .270; ISO .208 → .153; BABIP .326 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Athletics · 91 PAwOBA .355 → .228 (−126)K% 22.0% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.98% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 9.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.964 | ×0.995 | 20.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.964 | ×0.995 | 5.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.964 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .355 → .228; ISO .077 → .044; BABIP .414 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .