Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL PIT Gold | 10 | 10 | 25 | 117 | 20 | 16 | 1 | 100% | 2.5 | 11.6% | 17.1% | -5.5% | 1.5% | 6.12 | 5.11 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL PIT Gold | 10 | 10 | 25 | 117 | 20 | 16 | 1 | 100% | 2.5 | 17.1% | 13.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 6.12 | 3.94 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL PIT Gold | 6 | 4 | 13 | 56 | 22 | 12 | 0 | 67% | 2.1 | 26.7% | 26.8% | -0.1% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 4.24 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL PIT Gold | 6 | 4 | 13 | 56 | 22 | 12 | 0 | 67% | 2.1 | 39.3% | 21.4% | 17.9% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 2.47 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 8 | 6 | 25 | 98 | 32 | 9 | 0 | 75% | 3.2 | 22.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 0.71 | 2.68 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 8 | 6 | 25 | 98 | 32 | 9 | 0 | 75% | 3.2 | 32.7% | 9.2% | 23.5% | 0.0% | 0.71 | 1.64 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | — | 3 | 3 | 15 | 64 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.31 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | — | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.9% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.9% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.21 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.3 | 23.9% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 3.83 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 211 | 70 | 23 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.9% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 3.83 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 24 | 20 | 63 | 271 | 50 | 46 | 2 | 83% | 2.6 | 18.6% | 17.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 3.29 | 4.05 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 76 | 63 | 200 | 860 | 160 | 147 | 6 | 83% | 2.6 | 18.6% | 17.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 3.29 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yojeiry Osoria (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.31 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.21 | 23.9% | 15.1% | 20 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Williamson L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.10 | 18.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.67 | 18.4% | 5.8% | 102 | +1.57 | 4.10 | 123 | 80 |
| Hunter Patteson L 2026 · 3.16 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.16 | 21.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | .372 | 5.08 | 17.0% | 7.8% | 287 | +1.92 | 3.16 | 302 | 78 |
| Brady Basso L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.99 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.17 | 22.1% | 15.5% | 179 | +0.18 | 2.24 | 269 | 76 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.63 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.35 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.28 | 3.54 | 186 | 74 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2028 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .382 | 4.08 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 156 | -0.16 | 2.44 | 171 | 74 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2027 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.71 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.64 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.07 | 3.39 | 300 | 74 |
| Kash Mayfield L 2024 · 4.36 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.36 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 109 | 72 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 72 |
| Hunter Barco L 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.51 | 23.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.79 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 150 | +0.28 | 3.51 | 212 | 72 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 72 |
| Hogan Harris L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.73 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 1.9% | .235 | 3.64 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 74 | -0.09 | 3.14 | 473 | 71 |
| Josh Trentadue L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.63 | 23.1% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .249 | 4.99 | 21.5% | 9.2% | 48 | +1.36 | 3.10 | 196 | 70 |
| Tommy Shirley L 2029 · 3.30 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .252 | 4.86 | 13.0% | 4.2% | 106 | +1.56 | 3.30 | 147 | 70 |
| Sebastian Gongora L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.80 | 21.8% | 14.0% | 1.4% | .335 | 3.81 | 18.5% | 11.0% | 84 | +0.01 | 3.80 | 152 | 69 |
| Andrew Sears L 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.45 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 1.8% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 232 | 69 |
| Liam Sullivan L 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.38 | 23.0% | 12.3% | 3.0% | .273 | 5.49 | 20.1% | 4.3% | 55 | +1.11 | 4.38 | 121 | 69 |
| Evan Lee L 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.00 | 24.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .333 | 4.48 | 21.0% | 2.7% | 52 | +0.48 | 3.84 | 129 | 69 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.80 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .360 | 5.95 | 16.3% | -2.8% | 144 | +1.15 | 4.80 | 223 | 68 |
| Jack Owen L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.69 | 17.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | .359 | 4.30 | 16.0% | 8.7% | 201 | -0.39 | 3.31 | 221 | 68 |
| Jake Bennett L 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.54 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .339 | 3.10 | 19.0% | 12.8% | 156 | -0.44 | 2.79 | 219 | 68 |