Jack Owen — OGILVIE

Jack Owen P Lansing Lugnuts

Age 28 LHP 6'2" / 204 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109117vR 125

ERA4.84

FIP4.84

K%15.8%

BB%8.0%

K-BB%7.8%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	7	4	20	92	21	4	3	57%	2.9	17.6%	5.0%	12.6%	4.2%	4.50	4.58	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	7	4	20	92	21	4	3	57%	2.9	22.8%	4.3%	18.5%	3.3%	4.50	3.55	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	10	88	362	92	23	8	29%	2.6	19.2%	7.4%	11.8%	2.9%	3.38	4.00	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	10	88	362	92	23	8	29%	2.6	25.4%	6.4%	19.1%	2.2%	3.38	2.98	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	30	3	62	256	53	14	4	10%	2.1	15.9%	6.3%	9.7%	1.6%	3.77	3.44	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	30	3	62	256	53	14	4	10%	2.1	15.9%	6.3%	9.7%	1.6%	3.77	3.44	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	30	3	62	256	53	14	4	10%	2.1	20.7%	5.5%	15.2%	1.6%	3.77	2.91	—
2024	26	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	35	0	51	242	33	17	7	0%	1.5	10.5%	8.1%	2.4%	4.2%	7.41	5.53	—
2024	26	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	35	0	51	242	33	17	7	0%	1.5	10.5%	8.1%	2.4%	4.2%	7.41	5.53	—
2024	26	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	35	0	51	242	33	17	7	0%	1.5	13.6%	7.0%	6.6%	2.9%	7.41	4.59	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	OAK	3	0	3	13	2	1	0	0%	1.0	15.8%	8.0%	7.8%	3.1%	4.84	4.84	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	OAK	34	0	36	150	24	12	5	0%	1.0	16.3%	8.3%	8.0%	3.2%	4.86	4.92	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	OAK	10	0	11	46	8	4	1	0%	1.1	16.3%	8.3%	8.0%	3.2%	4.86	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	45	7	4	1	0%	1.1	16.3%	8.3%	8.0%	3.2%	4.86	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	130	74	19	0%	1.1	16.3%	8.3%	8.0%	3.2%	4.86	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		106	17	221	952	152	67	29	16%	2.1	15.9%	7.0%	8.9%	3.0%	4.52	4.29	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		96	15	200	862	137	61	26	16%	2.1	15.9%	7.0%	8.9%	3.0%	4.52	4.29	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Owen (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.84	15.8%	8.0%	3.1%	—	4.92	16.3%	8.0%	36	+0.08	—	—	—
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	85
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	83
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	76
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	76
Triston Polley L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.8%	8.9%	2.6%	.331	4.53	17.4%	-0.3%	22	+0.38	4.15	151	75
Michael Johnson L 2018 · 5.19 FIP	27	SU	5.19	13.4%	10.0%	3.6%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	256	75
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	75
Josh Outman L 2016 · 4.53 FIP	31	SU	4.53	15.3%	3.7%	4.1%	.323	5.73	12.8%	-1.0%	86	+1.20	4.53	106	74
Ross Detwiler L 2015 · 5.50 FIP	29	SW	5.50	14.2%	12.2%	3.8%	.356	4.80	14.1%	5.9%	242	-0.70	3.49	512	74
Jordan Harrison L 2019 · 3.80 FIP	28	SU	3.80	19.1%	9.7%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	244	74
Ashur Tolliver L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	28	SU	4.19	21.3%	9.8%	3.0%	.308	5.03	13.8%	-5.1%	35	+0.84	3.49	134	74
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	73
Brendan Nail L 2023 · 4.39 FIP	27	SU	4.39	18.9%	10.5%	2.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	165	73
Keith Hessler L 2017 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	15.5%	11.8%	3.5%	.324	4.96	19.8%	6.5%	53	-0.22	3.31	228	72
Jose Meraz L 2016 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	14.2%	6.8%	1.8%	.286	4.03	13.0%	1.5%	52	+0.25	3.78	110	72
Carson Teel L 2022 · 4.26 FIP	26	SU	4.26	17.7%	7.1%	3.2%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	248	72
Adam Liberatore L 2015 · 3.64 FIP	28	SU	3.64	21.1%	7.3%	2.5%	.267	3.17	23.3%	15.2%	73	-0.47	2.38	124	71
Chad Bell L 2017 · 4.57 FIP	28	SW	4.57	19.4%	8.9%	3.6%	.341	4.38	18.8%	11.4%	57	-0.19	3.39	393	71
Michael Heesch L 2016 · 4.56 FIP	26	SU	4.56	11.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	109	71
Wei-Chung Wang L 2019 · 4.93 FIP	27	SU	4.93	16.0%	8.7%	3.8%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	387	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	36	16.0%	8.1%	1.21	4.85
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79