Jack Owen
P
Lansing Lugnuts
Age 28
LHP
6'2" / 204 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104113vR 123
ERA4.57
FIP4.57
K%20.6%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%11.8%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 7 | 4 | 20 | 92 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 2.9 | 17.6% | 5.0% | 12.6% | 4.4% | 4.50 | 4.69 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 7 | 4 | 20 | 92 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 2.9 | 22.8% | 4.3% | 18.5% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 3.55 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 10 | 88 | 362 | 92 | 23 | 8 | 29% | 2.6 | 19.2% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 3.0% | 3.38 | 4.04 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 10 | 88 | 362 | 92 | 23 | 8 | 29% | 2.6 | 25.4% | 6.4% | 19.1% | 2.2% | 3.38 | 2.98 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 30 | 3 | 62 | 256 | 53 | 14 | 4 | 10% | 2.1 | 15.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 1.4% | 3.77 | 3.31 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 30 | 3 | 62 | 256 | 53 | 14 | 4 | 10% | 2.1 | 20.7% | 5.5% | 15.2% | 1.6% | 3.77 | 2.91 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 35 | 0 | 51 | 242 | 33 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 10.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 7.41 | 5.94 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 35 | 0 | 51 | 242 | 33 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 13.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 7.41 | 4.59 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 35 | 0 | 37 | 157 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 34 | 0 | 36 | 150 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.30 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 168 | 74 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 106 | 17 | 221 | 952 | 152 | 67 | 30 | 16% | 2.1 | 15.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.39 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 96 | 15 | 200 | 862 | 137 | 61 | 27 | 16% | 2.1 | 15.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.39 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jack Owen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 20.6% | 8.8% | 3.1% | — | 4.68 | 20.6% | 11.6% | 36 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 80 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .308 | 5.05 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.81 | 3.43 | 134 | 79 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 78 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 76 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 76 |
| Jake McSteen L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.92 | 19.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | .348 | 2.22 | 18.9% | 13.2% | 18 | -2.70 | 2.22 | 286 | 76 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 76 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 76 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.93 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 2.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 244 | 75 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 75 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 75 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 74 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 73 |
| David Huff L 2028 · 3.63 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.63 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.00 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 52 | +0.37 | 3.63 | 158 | 73 |
| Brendan Nail L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.43 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 165 | 73 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .321 | 3.39 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.23 | 2.95 | 101 | 73 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.62 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .341 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.18 | 3.47 | 393 | 73 |
| Tristan Garnett L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.13 | 19.8% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 185 | 72 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.42 | 14.3% | 6.3% | 1.4% | .291 | 3.63 | 16.5% | 10.2% | 155 | +0.21 | 3.21 | 241 | 72 |
| Patrick Schuster L 2024 · 4.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.88 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 4.4% | .381 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 160 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 36 | 20.6% | 8.9% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |