Roc Riggio — OGILVIE

Roc Riggio2B Hartford Yard Goats

Age 24 L/R 5'9" / 180 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION298 act + 198 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .285 / .374

PA198

HR6

SB7

K%33

BB%9

BABIP284

ISO170

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$3M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$7M	+$6M
2030	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$6M	+$5M
2031	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.4M
2032	Arb-3	$3M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$27M	+$20M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	97	81	12	2	0	0	14	36	2	3	1	148	289	173	461	25	267	37	14	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	97	73	14	2	0	0	22	24	2	3	1	192	392	219	611	27	286	25	23	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	480	431	68	18	5	8	38	145	8	27	6	158	239	278	517	121	214	30	8	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	480	398	88	27	5	11	71	97	8	27	6	221	350	397	747	176	264	20	15	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	2 teams	—	371	327	70	19	1	13	35	104	6	17	11	214	302	398	699	183	268	28	9	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	2 teams	—	371	315	82	20	1	19	47	82	6	17	11	260	367	511	878	251	290	22	13	383	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	COL	—	298	264	57	18	1	11	29	106	2	13	6	216	298	417	715	201	307	36	10	311	96	-1	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.9
YTD	24	AA	COL	—	298	250	64	21	1	13	43	82	2	13	6	256	369	504	873	248	323	28	14	380	149	+17	+0	+0	+1	+8	2.7
ROS	24	AA	COL	2%	198	176	36	10	1	6	18	66	2	7	3	204	285	374	658	170	284	33	9	298	86	-3	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.3
ROS	24	MLB	COL	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						309	25	0	314	99	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	24	AA	COL	—	302	268	57	18	1	11	29	107	2	13	6	213	294	410	705	198	301	35	10	311	96	-1	+0	-0	+1	+9	0.9
TOT	24	AA	COL	—	496	440	93	28	2	17	47	172	4	20	9	211	293	399	692	188	297	35	9	306	92	-4	+0	-1	+2	+14	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	COL	31%	505	448	94	26	2	16	47	162	5	16	7	210	292	384	676	174	285	32	9	303	90	-6	+0	-2	+2	+14	0.9
2028	26	MLB	COL	45%	519	461	98	26	2	17	48	163	5	17	7	213	294	388	682	176	286	31	9	305	92	-5	+1	-2	+2	+15	1.0
2029	27	MLB	COL	49%	523	464	99	26	2	17	49	162	5	17	7	213	295	388	683	175	286	31	9	306	93	-4	+1	-2	+2	+15	1.1
2030	28	MLB	COL	52%	522	462	100	26	2	17	50	162	5	16	7	216	300	392	692	175	286	31	10	306	92	-5	+0	-3	+2	+15	1.0
2031	29	MLB	COL	52%	518	459	98	25	2	17	49	161	5	15	6	214	296	388	684	174	285	31	9	304	91	-5	+1	-4	+2	+15	0.8
2032	30	MLB	COL	52%	512	453	96	25	2	16	49	161	5	13	6	212	296	382	678	170	283	31	10	301	89	-7	+0	-4	+2	+15	0.6
2033	31	MLB	COL	51%	504	446	92	24	2	15	48	160	5	11	5	206	291	370	661	164	281	32	10	297	86	-8	+0	-5	+2	+14	0.3
2034	32	MLB	COL	51%	495	440	90	23	2	15	47	159	5	9	4	205	289	368	657	164	277	32	9	291	81	-11	+0	-6	+2	+14	-0.0
2035	33	MLB	COL	56%	428	380	75	19	2	12	41	140	4	6	3	197	282	353	635	155	271	33	10	284	76	-12	+0	-6	+2	+12	-0.4
2027	25	MLB	COL	31%	157	139	33	9	1	6	15	50	2	5	2	237	321	446	767	209	310	32	10	319	103	+0	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.5
2028	26	MLB	COL	45%	231	205	48	13	1	9	22	73	2	7	3	234	314	439	753	205	311	32	10	322	105	+1	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.8
2029	27	MLB	COL	49%	257	228	53	14	1	10	24	80	3	8	4	232	314	434	748	202	311	31	9	323	105	+2	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.9
2030	28	MLB	COL	52%	269	238	56	15	1	10	26	83	3	8	4	235	318	433	751	197	311	31	10	322	105	+1	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.9
2031	29	MLB	COL	52%	267	237	55	15	1	10	25	83	3	8	3	232	313	430	744	198	309	31	9	320	103	+1	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.8
2032	30	MLB	COL	52%	264	234	54	14	1	10	25	83	3	7	3	231	313	427	740	197	308	31	9	317	101	+0	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.7
2033	31	MLB	COL	51%	260	231	52	14	1	9	25	82	2	6	3	225	306	411	717	186	305	32	10	313	98	-1	+0	-3	+1	+7	0.5
2034	32	MLB	COL	51%	255	227	50	13	1	9	24	82	2	5	2	220	300	405	706	185	300	32	9	307	93	-2	+0	-3	+1	+7	0.3
2035	33	MLB	COL	56%	239	212	46	12	1	8	23	78	2	3	2	217	300	396	696	179	294	33	10	299	87	-4	-0	-3	+1	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2203	1955	447	119	9	81	209	695	22	57	26	229	310	423	733	194	308	32	9	316	100	-0	+1	-17	+8	+62	5.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	132	35	3	24	62	205	6	17	8	229	310	425	735	196	308	32	10	316	100	-0	+0	-5	+2	+18	1.6
Career	—			—	5672	5028	1028	269	25	169	533	1781	62	174	73	204	289	369	657	164	276	31	9	293	83	-112	+6	-35	+20	+161	4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	118	31	3	19	61	204	7	20	8	205	289	368	657	163	277	31	9	293	83	-13	+1	-4	+2	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	76	57	11	2	0	0	18	18	1	3	1	193	395	228	623	35	282	24	24	316	100	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	21	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	21	16	3	0	0	0	4	6	1	0	0	188	381	188	568		300	29	19	297	86	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	480	398	88	27	5	11	71	97	8	27	6	221	350	397	747	176	264	20	15	337	116	+9	+3	—	—	+14	2.6
2025	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	277	243	63	16	0	13	27	60	4	15	7	259	343	486	829	226	289	22	10	362	135	+11	+0	—	—	+8	1.9
2025	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	94	72	19	4	1	6	20	22	2	2	4	264	436	597	1.033	333	295	23	21	446	199	+11	-1	—	—	+3	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#4Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	9	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	1	244	293	414	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#5Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#6Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,205	69	58	211	290	381	+8	-8	3.6	3.5
	/162	664	21	17	211	290	381	+2.4	-2.4	1.1	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roc Riggio (OGILVIE)	24	30→42	50→51	45→42	50	211/293/399	188	297	17	20	35%	9%	92	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	36→40	50→55	48→50	45	190/268/346	156	268	17	12	35%	9%	69	-0.4	213/285/388	175	304	20	12	35%	9%	87	+0.8	213/286/393	179	309	20	12	36%	9%	85	+0.5
●Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA	24	41→38	45→60	46→50	44	204/280/325	122	284	12	13	31%	8%	69	-0.4	220/279/399	179	271	22	14	27%	6%	88	+0.9	220/277/428	209	258	27	17	27%	5%	92	+0.8
✕Taylor Trammell 2022 · MLB	24	41→46	50→55	47→55	44	210/284/359	150	288	18	12	33%	8%	79	+0.3	220/302/395	175	297	21	18	31%	10%	96	+1.5	208/300/381	173	279	21	23	32%	11%	90	+0.6
●Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	51→60	52→55	42	210/269/372	161	268	19	12	29%	7%	76	+0.1	228/295/407	179	286	20	20	27%	8%	95	+1.4	229/301/413	184	286	21	22	27%	9%	97	+1.3
✕Jesús Bastidas 2023 · AA	24	41	50	45→50	40	211/280/359	148	289	19	12	33%	7%	78	+0.2	207/275/357	150	271	18	12	30%	6%	76	+0.0	200/269/348	148	259	18	13	30%	5%	68	-0.5
●Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→44	52→55	54→50	48	206/295/372	166	284	19	16	33%	10%	88	+0.9	216/301/395	179	269	22	10	27%	10%	96	+1.5	207/293/388	181	246	23	6	26%	10%	89	+0.7
✕Zack Short 2019 · AA	24	39→38	49→50	47→45	50	199/291/349	150	269	16	9	31%	11%	80	+0.4	196/288/337	141	280	15	7	33%	10%	76	+0.1	180/281/315	135	241	16	9	31%	11%	66	-0.5
●Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	37→47	48→60	48→55	41	195/256/339	145	267	16	12	33%	7%	63	-0.9	222/268/400	178	287	24	15	31%	5%	83	+0.6	235/274/422	187	292	26	15	29%	5%	88	+0.8
✕Blake Tekotte 2011 · AA	24	46→48	50→55	50→55	46	233/295/392	158	285	18	18	25%	8%	92	+1.2	212/270/365	153	284	17	21	30%	6%	75	-0.0	195/254/339	144	264	15	23	31%	6%	58	-0.8
●Ryan Schimpf 2013 · AA	25	38→41	52→65	48→45	44	202/276/371	169	268	19	7	31%	8%	79	+0.3	192/268/370	178	250	22	4	32%	8%	76	+0.1	203/283/425	222	241	28	2	29%	8%	94	+1.0
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	48→50	57→55	46	198/276/341	142	266	15	19	30%	9%	71	-0.3	217/288/368	151	280	17	17	28%	8%	83	+0.6	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	40→39	42→50	46→55	56	195/303/310	115	269	9	11	28%	13%	76	+0.0	199/299/319	120	254	11	20	24%	12%	76	+0.0	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA	24	43	48→45	49→50	47	214/311/358	144	295	16	11	31%	10%	92	+1.2	211/307/316	105	308	10	14	32%	10%	79	+0.3	212/300/316	104	302	10	14	31%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	37→40	46→60	48→45	40	191/253/320	128	266	14	9	33%	7%	56	-1.3	208/281/378	170	286	21	5	33%	8%	83	+0.6	213/288/429	216	271	31	1	33%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Isan Díaz 2019 · AAA	23	40→42	47→55	50→45	43	201/270/339	138	290	14	10	34%	8%	68	-0.5	213/282/360	147	291	16	6	31%	8%	79	+0.3	208/287/373	164	275	21	5	31%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Jason Martin 2019 · AAA	23	45→49	49→60	47→50	41	228/277/380	152	302	16	12	30%	6%	81	+0.4	229/280/379	150	286	16	12	25%	6%	82	+0.5	220/286/421	201	269	27	8	29%	8%	94	+0.8
●Jack Suwinski 2022 · AA	24	40→42	53→60	45→50	44	207/286/379	172	303	21	9	37%	9%	85	+0.7	211/298/405	194	287	25	11	34%	10%	98	+1.6	201/292/394	193	265	26	11	33%	10%	89	+0.8
●James Outman 2021 · A	24	37→47	48→60	49→50	41	196/258/330	134	266	16	12	32%	7%	61	-1.0	226/306/412	186	330	22	14	36%	9%	103	+1.9	232/324/438	205	324	26	14	34%	10%	114	+2.4
✕Blaze Alexander 2023 · AAA	24	42→48	48→45	49→50	38	209/276/352	142	316	17	13	37%	7%	75	-0.0	217/295/345	128	327	14	10	35%	8%	80	+0.4	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Carlos Alvarez 2012 · AAA	24	46	48→45	49→45	48	234/298/374	140	288	16	14	24%	8%	89	+0.9	225/288/350	125	282	12	8	23%	8%	78	+0.2	245/326/331	86	298	6	6	18%	9%	88	+0.3