Roc Riggio — OGILVIE

Roc Riggio2B Hartford Yard Goats

Age 24 L/R 5'9" / 180 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION481 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP308

ISO158

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$6M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	76	57	11	2	0	0	18	18	1	3	1	193	395	228	623	35	282	24	24	316	100	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	21	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	21	16	3	0	0	0	4	6	1	0	0	188	381	188	568		300	29	19	297	87	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2024	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	480	398	88	27	5	11	71	97	8	27	6	221	350	397	747	176	264	20	15	337	114	+8	+3	—	—	+10	2.2
2025	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	277	243	63	16	0	13	27	60	4	15	7	259	343	486	829	226	289	22	10	362	131	+10	+0	—	—	+6	1.7
2025	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	94	72	19	4	1	6	20	22	2	2	4	264	436	597	1.033	333	295	23	21	446	188	+10	-1	—	—	+2	1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	76	62	10	2	0	0	13	26	1	3	1	161	316	194	509	32	266	34	17	243	51	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	21	18	2	0	0	0	2	9	1	0	0	111	238	111	349		248	43	10	197	19	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2024	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	480	427	72	20	5	9	42	137	8	27	6	169	256	302	558	133	218	29	9	244	51	-28	+3	—	—	+10	-1.5
2025	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	277	250	54	15	0	8	20	71	4	15	7	216	285	372	657	156	258	26	7	285	79	-7	+0	—	—	+6	-0.1
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	94	79	16	3	1	5	13	30	2	2	4	203	330	456	785	253	246	32	14	336	114	+2	-1	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	97	80	12	2	0	0	15	35	2	3	1	150	299	175	474	25	267	36	15	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	97	73	14	2	0	0	22	24	2	3	1	192	392	219	611	27	286	25	23	312	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	480	427	72	20	5	9	42	137	8	27	6	169	256	302	558	133	223	29	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	480	398	88	27	5	11	71	97	8	27	6	221	350	397	747	176	264	20	15	337	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	371	329	70	18	1	13	33	101	6	17	11	213	296	392	688	179	261	27	9	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	371	315	82	20	1	19	47	82	6	17	11	260	367	511	878	251	290	22	13	383	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	97	80	12	2	0	0	15	35	2	3	1	150	299	175	474	25	262	36	15	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	480	427	72	20	5	9	42	137	8	27	6	169	256	302	558	133	218	29	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	371	329	70	18	1	13	33	101	6	17	11	213	296	392	688	179	255	27	9	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	97	80	12	2	0	0	15	35	2	3	1	150	299	175	474	25	262	36	15	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	480	427	72	20	5	9	42	137	8	27	6	169	256	302	558	133	218	29	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	371	329	70	18	1	13	33	101	6	17	11	213	296	392	688	179	255	27	9	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	COL	—	481	427	94	23	2	17	46	162	3	21	8	220	300	403	703	183	304	34	10	305	92	-4	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA RAW	COL	—	380	317	81	23	2	16	58	101	2	20	8	256	374	492	866	237	320	27	15	379	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AAA RAW	COL	—	101	89	26	3	0	6	9	30	1	1	0	292	364	528	892	236	364	30	9	384	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AA MLE	COL	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		289	30	10	300	89	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	24	AA MLE	COL	—	491	436	95	23	2	17	47	165	3	21	8	218	298	397	695	179	301	34	10	305	92	-5	+1	-0	+2	+11	0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	31%	516	459	99	24	2	17	48	165	4	17	7	216	295	388	683	172	291	32	9	303	91	-5	+1	-2	+2	+11	0.6
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	45%	530	471	102	24	2	17	50	165	4	17	7	217	297	384	681	168	291	31	9	306	93	-4	+1	-2	+2	+11	0.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	49%	535	474	103	24	2	17	51	165	5	18	7	217	300	384	684	167	291	31	10	307	94	-4	+1	-2	+2	+12	0.8
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	52%	534	473	103	24	2	17	51	164	5	17	7	218	301	385	685	167	290	31	10	306	93	-4	+1	-3	+2	+12	0.7
2031	29	MLB MLE	COL	52%	529	469	102	24	2	17	51	164	4	15	6	217	300	386	686	168	289	31	10	304	92	-5	+1	-4	+2	+11	0.5
2032	30	MLB MLE	COL	52%	523	464	99	23	2	16	50	163	4	14	5	213	295	375	670	162	288	31	10	301	90	-6	+1	-4	+2	+11	0.3
2033	31	MLB MLE	COL	51%	401	356	75	17	2	12	39	126	3	9	4	211	294	371	665	160	285	31	10	297	87	-6	+0	-5	+1	+9	-0.0
2034	32	MLB MLE	COL	56%	384	341	70	16	1	11	37	122	3	7	3	205	289	355	644	150	281	32	10	292	83	-8	+0	-5	+1	+8	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	31%	160	143	33	8	1	6	15	51	1	5	2	231	308	427	735	196	309	32	9	316	91	-2	+0	-1	+1	+3	0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	45%	236	210	49	12	1	9	22	74	2	8	3	233	312	429	741	195	309	31	9	318	93	-2	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	49%	263	234	54	13	1	10	25	81	2	9	3	231	310	423	733	192	309	31	10	319	94	-2	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	52%	276	246	57	13	2	10	26	85	2	9	3	232	310	423	733	191	308	31	9	319	93	-2	+1	-2	+1	+6	0.4
2031	29	MLB CTX	COL	52%	273	243	55	13	1	10	26	84	2	8	3	226	306	412	718	185	307	31	10	316	92	-3	+0	-2	+1	+6	0.3
2032	30	MLB CTX	COL	52%	269	239	54	13	1	9	26	84	2	7	3	226	307	402	709	176	306	31	10	313	90	-3	+0	-2	+1	+6	0.2
2033	31	MLB CTX	COL	51%	207	183	41	10	1	7	20	65	2	5	2	224	307	404	712	180	303	31	10	309	87	-3	+0	-2	+1	+4	-0.0
2034	32	MLB CTX	COL	56%	214	190	42	10	1	7	20	68	2	4	2	221	302	395	697	174	299	32	9	303	83	-4	+0	-3	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1898	1688	385	92	9	68	180	592	15	55	21	228	308	414	722	186	306	31	9	315	86	-21	+3	-14	+7	+41	1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	132	32	3	23	62	203	5	19	7	228	309	413	722	185	307	31	10	315	86	-7	+1	-5	+2	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4910	4352	908	216	21	146	468	1510	48	161	64	209	293	369	661	160	280	31	10	295	86	-43	+4	-28	+14	+86	3.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	121	29	3	19	62	200	6	21	8	210	293	370	663	160	283	31	10	295	86	-7	+1	-5	+2	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#4Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.9	1,904	60	54	216	295	382	+7	-8	3.9	3.8
/162	664	21	19	+2.4	-2.8	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roc Riggio (OGILVIE)	24	30→42	50→51	45→42	50	209/290/377	168	289	10	12	33%	9%	89	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	37→42	48→55	48→50	45	191/268/335	144	270	15	12	34%	9%	70	-0.8	207/281/371	164	300	18	12	35%	9%	83	+0.1	208/288/362	155	321	16	12	38%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→43	49→55	54→50	48	203/290/352	149	278	16	16	32%	10%	82	+0.0	214/299/386	172	268	20	10	27%	10%	93	+0.8	205/292/383	178	245	22	6	26%	10%	88	+0.3
●Ryan Schimpf 2013 · AA	25	39→41	51→60	48→45	44	205/278/370	165	273	18	7	31%	8%	82	-0.0	193/270/361	168	248	20	4	30%	8%	78	-0.3	202/284/418	216	238	27	2	28%	9%	93	+0.7
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Jesús Bastidas 2023 · AA	24	40→41	49→50	45→50	41	209/278/348	139	281	17	12	31%	6%	77	-0.3	204/273/341	137	269	16	12	30%	6%	74	-0.5	191/260/329	138	251	16	13	30%	5%	64	-1.0
✕Taylor Trammell 2022 · MLB	24	40→46	48→55	47→55	45	206/283/347	141	282	17	12	32%	8%	79	-0.2	215/299/385	170	291	20	18	31%	10%	94	+0.9	203/297/373	170	273	21	23	32%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Blake Tekotte 2011 · AA	24	45→47	48→50	50→55	47	227/289/369	142	279	15	18	24%	8%	85	+0.2	212/272/351	139	283	14	21	29%	7%	75	-0.5	193/256/309	117	259	9	10	28%	6%	57	-0.9
●Jack Suwinski 2022 · AA	24	41→43	50→60	45→50	45	206/286/361	155	299	18	9	36%	10%	83	+0.1	213/300/408	195	287	25	11	33%	10%	99	+1.3	203/294/400	197	265	26	11	33%	10%	92	+0.7
●James Outman 2021 · A	24	37→47	47→55	49→50	41	194/257/327	133	266	16	12	33%	7%	64	-1.3	224/306/400	176	326	20	14	35%	9%	99	+1.3	227/320/420	193	316	24	14	33%	10%	108	+1.7
●Will Benson 2022 · AAA	24	35→45	51→55	53→55	45	181/272/345	164	282	19	15	40%	10%	74	-0.5	219/318/387	168	315	17	22	33%	12%	101	+1.4	219/322/395	175	313	17	26	32%	12%	101	+1.0
✕Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA	24	41→40	44→55	46→50	44	203/280/318	115	282	11	13	30%	8%	71	-0.8	217/276/370	153	271	17	14	26%	6%	81	-0.1	214/273/383	169	262	19	17	26%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Zack Short 2019 · AA	24	39	47→50	47→45	50	199/289/337	139	266	14	9	29%	10%	79	-0.2	195/287/330	135	276	14	7	32%	10%	77	-0.3	177/277/301	125	240	14	9	31%	11%	65	-0.9
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	37→40	46→55	48→45	41	194/258/325	131	264	14	9	32%	7%	64	-1.3	204/278/363	159	283	19	5	33%	8%	81	-0.1	216/279/422	206	274	28	2	32%	7%	93	+0.4
✕Yonathan Perlaza 2023 · AA	24	44→52	51→55	47→50	45	222/290/389	167	294	18	10	30%	8%	91	+0.6	234/304/400	166	305	17	12	27%	9%	99	+1.2	241/312/406	165	310	16	12	26%	9%	99	+1.2
●Wilyer Abreu 2023 · AA	24	41→49	48→60	51→50	50	205/299/344	139	299	16	19	34%	11%	84	+0.2	232/313/410	178	296	22	14	28%	10%	104	+1.6	246/323/456	210	288	25	9	24%	10%	114	+1.9
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA	24	42→44	45→55	49→50	46	211/275/328	117	264	14	12	25%	8%	70	-0.8	213/275/347	134	274	15	11	27%	7%	76	-0.4	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Jeter Downs 2021 · AA	23	42→40	51→50	51→55	45	218/285/381	163	274	18	17	27%	7%	87	+0.4	175/249/292	117	254	14	21	35%	7%	54	-2.0	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Jarred Kelenic 2023 · MLB	24	41→51	54→60	49→50	45	217/280/402	185	266	21	13	27%	7%	91	+0.6	226/287/381	155	309	17	13	30%	8%	88	+0.4	218/279/351	133	306	14	13	32%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Blaze Alexander 2023 · AAA	24	44→48	48→45	49→50	39	217/285/358	141	323	16	13	36%	7%	82	-0.0	224/302/354	130	333	14	10	34%	8%	87	+0.4	239/319/362	123	339	12	15	30%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA	24	43	46→40	49→50	48	212/311/342	130	291	14	11	30%	10%	88	+0.5	210/308/308	98	303	8	14	30%	10%	80	-0.2	211/297/302	91	294	9	15	29%	9%	71	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps