Luis R. Rodriguez

P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 24 LHP 6'3" / 190 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #976

ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	MIX2 levels	6	5	11	4.22	4.41	21.3%	14.9%	—	K 21.3% · BB 14.9% · FIP 4.36
2025	22	ROKNYM	1	1	1	0.00	4.10	25.0%	25.0%	—	K 25.0% · BB 25.0% · FIP 4.16
2026	23	MIX4 levels	17	6	16	6.89	3.61	31.3%	24.1%	—	K 19.9% · BB 29.7% · FIP 5.19
2027PROJ	24	MLBNYM	54	0	57	5.73	5.73	21.9%	20.0%	-0.8
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBNYM	24	0	25	5.42	5.31	22.4%	17.1%	-0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBNYM	36	0	38	5.27	5.22	22.7%	16.4%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Command45FB velo60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsLarson Kindreich (age 24) · Brendan Cellucci (age 24) · Mark Manfredi Sr. (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126134vR 142

ERA5.73

FIP5.73

K%21.9%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%1.9%

Proj IP57

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4050

CMD3045

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	4	12	57	16	5	1	57%	1.8	28.1%	8.8%	19.3%	1.8%	5.11	2.80	—
2021	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	4	12	57	16	5	1	57%	1.8	28.1%	8.8%	19.3%	1.8%	5.11	2.78	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	5	11	47	10	7	1	83%	1.8	21.3%	14.9%	6.4%	2.1%	4.22	4.36	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	5	11	47	10	7	1	83%	1.8	21.3%	14.9%	6.4%	2.1%	4.22	4.41	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	1	1	1	4	1	1	0	100%	1.0	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.16	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	1	1	1	4	1	1	0	100%	1.0	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.16	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	1	1	1	4	1	1	0	100%	1.0	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.10	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	17	6	16	83	26	20	0	35%	0.9	19.9%	29.7%	-9.8%	0.0%	6.89	5.19	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	17	6	16	83	26	20	0	35%	0.9	19.9%	29.7%	-9.8%	0.0%	6.89	5.19	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	4 levels	17	6	16	83	26	20	0	35%	0.9	31.3%	24.1%	7.2%	0.0%	6.89	3.61	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	NYM	54	0	57	241	53	48	7	0%	1.1	21.9%	20.0%	1.9%	2.9%	5.73	5.73	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYM	55	0	58	244	55	42	7	0%	1.1	22.4%	17.1%	5.4%	2.9%	5.42	5.31	-0.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYM	55	0	58	244	55	40	7	0%	1.1	22.7%	16.4%	6.3%	2.9%	5.27	5.22	-0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	NYM	54	0	57	240	55	39	7	0%	1.1	22.7%	16.1%	6.6%	2.9%	5.21	5.21	-0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	NYM	53	0	55	233	53	38	7	0%	1.0	22.6%	16.1%	6.5%	3.0%	5.24	5.27	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYM	24	0	25	106	24	18	3	0%	1.0	22.4%	17.1%	5.4%	2.9%	5.42	5.31	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYM	36	0	38	160	36	26	5	0%	1.1	22.7%	16.4%	6.3%	2.9%	5.27	5.22	-0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	NYM	42	0	44	186	42	30	5	0%	1.0	22.7%	16.1%	6.6%	2.9%	5.21	5.21	-0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	NYM	44	0	46	194	44	31	6	0%	1.0	22.6%	16.1%	6.5%	3.0%	5.24	5.27	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		146	0	154	649	147	106	19	0%	1.1	22.6%	16.3%	6.3%	2.9%	5.27	4.87	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	138	25	0%	1.1	22.6%	16.3%	6.3%	2.9%	5.27	4.87	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		31	16	40	191	44	38	2	52%	1.3	22.8%	19.7%	3.1%	1.0%	5.45	4.25	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		156	81	200	963	219	190	10	52%	1.3	22.8%	19.7%	3.1%	1.0%	5.45	4.25	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis R. Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.73	21.9%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.25	22.6%	6.1%	172	-0.48	—	—	—
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	81
Brendan Cellucci L 2022 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	22.4%	17.9%	2.7%	.320	4.48	23.3%	7.7%	137	-0.47	3.98	288	74
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	73
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	73
Max Roberts L 2021 · 4.85 FIP	24	SW	4.85	19.3%	15.2%	2.6%	.330	4.62	24.5%	8.4%	115	-0.23	4.27	173	72
Matt Walker L 2022 · 4.54 FIP	24	SW	4.54	17.7%	12.8%	2.4%	.338	4.73	12.7%	2.7%	41	+0.19	4.21	156	71
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	71
Matt Mikulski L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	24	SW	6.17	16.4%	18.6%	3.8%	.303	5.90	16.3%	-3.3%	78	-0.27	4.92	223	70
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	67
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	66
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2023 · 6.79 FIP	23	SU	6.79	19.3%	26.9%	3.5%	.307	2.58	30.1%	16.3%	62	-4.21	2.58	155	66
Randy Labaut L 2021 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	23.2%	14.0%	3.7%	.240	4.66	19.4%	5.9%	190	-0.29	1.91	302	65
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	64
Nathan Kirby L 2018 · 5.12 FIP	24	SW	5.12	17.7%	16.2%	2.7%	.318	3.84	25.3%	8.7%	38	-1.28	3.84	145	64
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	64
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	63
Mason Green L 2023 · 5.28 FIP	24	SW	5.28	17.9%	16.7%	2.9%	.278	4.24	18.4%	6.3%	265	-1.04	3.68	450	63
Max Schuh L 2016 · 6.12 FIP	24	SU	6.12	16.1%	17.9%	3.9%	.389	4.70	19.2%	5.6%	48	-1.42	3.10	118	63
Ben Harris L 2024 · 5.66 FIP	24	SU	5.66	23.8%	19.6%	3.8%	.291	4.74	21.1%	0.9%	30	-0.92	3.06	183	63
Seth Clark L 2024 · 5.66 FIP	24	SU	5.66	18.9%	16.2%	3.9%	.267	4.56	17.7%	-2.7%	32	-1.10	4.23	128	63

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.4	57	22.5%	17.1%	1.12	5.37
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*
Ken Wright ('70-'74, -0 WAR*)	1.2	79	23.8%*	16.1%*	0.70*	5.24*