Waylin Santana — OGILVIE

Waylin Santana P Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 155 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.19

FIP5.19

K%18.5%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%6.0%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	10	9	24	108	24	13	2	90%	2.4	15.1%	15.0%	0.1%	2.5%	7.23	5.12	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	10	9	24	108	24	13	2	90%	2.4	22.2%	12.0%	10.2%	1.9%	7.23	3.82	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	9	5	21	98	21	8	2	56%	2.4	14.6%	10.2%	4.4%	3.1%	10.12	4.88	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	9	5	21	98	21	8	2	56%	2.4	21.4%	8.2%	13.3%	2.0%	10.12	3.48	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	9	44	200	40	20	8	69%	3.4	14.3%	12.1%	2.2%	6.0%	6.18	6.72	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	9	44	200	40	20	8	69%	3.4	14.3%	12.1%	2.2%	6.0%	6.18	6.72	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	9	44	200	40	20	8	69%	3.4	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	4.0%	6.18	5.02	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	1	36	179	30	20	6	5%	1.6	11.7%	14.4%	-2.7%	4.4%	6.56	6.37	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	1	36	179	30	20	6	5%	1.6	11.7%	14.4%	-2.7%	4.4%	6.56	6.37	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	1	36	179	30	20	6	5%	1.6	16.8%	11.2%	5.6%	3.4%	6.56	5.29	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	LAA	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	18.5%	12.4%	6.0%	3.1%	5.19	5.19	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	LAA	31	0	33	139	28	16	4	0%	1.1	19.9%	11.2%	8.6%	3.0%	4.98	4.90	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	LAA	13	0	14	59	12	7	2	0%	1.1	19.9%	11.2%	8.6%	3.0%	4.98	4.90	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	59	12	7	2	0%	1.1	19.9%	11.2%	8.7%	3.0%	4.98	4.52	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	100	28	0%	1.1	19.9%	11.2%	8.7%	3.0%	4.98	4.52	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		54	24	124	585	80	76	26	44%	2.3	13.7%	13.0%	0.7%	4.4%	7.17	6.01	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		87	39	200	941	129	123	41	44%	2.3	13.7%	13.0%	0.7%	4.4%	7.17	6.01	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Waylin Santana (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.19	18.5%	12.4%	3.1%	—	4.90	19.9%	8.6%	33	-0.29	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	82
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	82
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.4%	13.8%	142	-2.14	2.93	176	80
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	80
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	80
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	79
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	79
Nick Lockhart R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	22	SW	4.63	16.1%	10.6%	2.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.44	140	79
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	79
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	79
Tanner Dodson R 2019 · 5.04 FIP	22	SW	5.04	13.6%	10.8%	3.1%	.433	4.48	17.7%	2.8%	91	-0.56	3.87	277	79
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	78
Victor Simeon R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	22	SW	5.53	20.3%	15.7%	3.9%	.333	3.87	25.6%	5.4%	81	-1.66	3.22	180	77
Heath Slatton R 2017 · 5.56 FIP	23	SW	5.56	17.9%	12.9%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	120	77
Eiberson Castellano R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SW	4.25	18.3%	14.1%	1.7%	.359	4.06	20.9%	10.7%	248	-0.19	3.67	383	77
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	76
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	76
Jordan Mikel R 2022 · 6.04 FIP	23	SW	6.04	12.8%	11.6%	4.7%	.229	3.65	20.1%	11.3%	115	-2.39	3.04	195	76
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	76
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	19.3%	11.7%	1.19	5.06
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43