Yorman Gómez — OGILVIE

Yorman Gómez P Columbus Clippers

Age 23 RHP 5'11" / 200 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 1.8 · 2028 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION66 act + 7 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.52

FIP4.52

K%20.4%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP7

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 73 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$7M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5045

CTRL—45

CMD3040

K†5050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2029	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$6M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$9M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	12	12	50	210	49	16	7	100%	4.2	15.9%	9.5%	6.3%	4.6%	3.58	5.48	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Indians Red	12	12	50	210	49	16	7	100%	4.2	23.3%	7.6%	15.7%	3.3%	3.58	3.91	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	11	10	38	160	44	8	2	91%	3.5	18.7%	6.2%	12.5%	1.9%	3.76	3.36	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	11	10	38	160	44	8	2	91%	3.5	27.5%	5.0%	22.5%	1.2%	3.76	2.11	—
2023	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	25	22	102	461	100	52	4	88%	4.1	16.1%	13.3%	2.7%	1.1%	4.40	4.04	—
2023	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	25	22	102	461	100	52	4	88%	4.1	16.1%	13.3%	2.7%	1.1%	4.40	4.04	—
2023	20	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	25	22	102	461	100	52	4	88%	4.1	21.7%	11.3%	10.4%	0.9%	4.40	3.18	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	23	122	526	113	45	10	92%	4.9	16.0%	10.1%	5.9%	2.6%	3.98	4.43	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	23	122	526	113	45	10	92%	4.9	16.0%	10.1%	5.9%	2.6%	3.98	4.43	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	23	122	526	113	45	10	92%	4.9	21.5%	8.6%	12.9%	1.9%	3.98	3.42	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	15	122	504	139	48	4	56%	4.5	21.7%	10.8%	10.9%	1.0%	2.96	3.18	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	15	122	504	139	48	4	56%	4.5	21.7%	10.8%	10.9%	1.0%	2.96	3.18	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	15	122	504	139	48	4	56%	4.5	27.6%	9.5%	18.1%	0.8%	2.96	2.43	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	17	17	66	296	70	38	18	100%	3.9	18.4%	11.8%	6.7%	7.9%	6.85	7.35	—
YTD	23	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	17	17	66	296	70	38	18	100%	3.9	18.4%	11.8%	6.7%	7.9%	6.85	7.35	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	ROK RAW	CLE	4	4	10	44	14	5	0	100%	2.6	31.8%	11.4%	20.5%	0.0%	6.10	1.85	—
2026	23	AAA RAW	CLE	13	13	55	252	56	33	18	100%	4.3	22.2%	13.1%	9.1%	7.1%	6.99	6.80	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	CLE	1	1	7	30	6	4	1	100%	7.2	20.4%	11.8%	8.6%	2.3%	4.52	4.52	+0.0
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	CLE	—	—	73	326	76	42	19	—	—	23.3%	12.7%	10.6%	5.7%	6.62	7.07	-1.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CLE	20	20	112	475	100	52	11	100%	5.6	21.1%	10.9%	10.2%	2.3%	4.42	4.37	+0.7
2028	25	MLB MLE	CLE	19	19	114	481	104	50	11	100%	6.0	21.5%	10.4%	11.1%	2.4%	4.34	4.29	+0.8
2029	26	MLB MLE	CLE	19	19	114	481	105	49	12	100%	6.0	21.8%	10.2%	11.5%	2.4%	4.29	4.26	+0.9
2030	27	MLB MLE	CLE	19	19	112	474	103	49	12	100%	5.9	21.7%	10.2%	11.5%	2.5%	4.30	4.30	+0.8
2031	28	MLB MLE	CLE	18	18	109	459	99	48	12	100%	6.0	21.6%	10.4%	11.2%	2.6%	4.35	4.39	+0.6
2032	29	MLB MLE	CLE	17	17	104	439	94	47	12	100%	6.1	21.4%	10.6%	10.8%	2.7%	4.45	4.52	+0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	CLE	16	16	98	413	87	45	12	100%	6.1	21.0%	10.9%	10.1%	2.9%	4.60	4.69	+0.2
2034	31	MLB MLE	CLE	15	15	91	385	79	43	12	100%	6.1	20.6%	11.3%	9.4%	3.2%	4.78	4.90	0.0
2035	32	MLB MLE	CLE	14	14	84	356	72	42	12	100%	6.0	20.2%	11.7%	8.5%	3.4%	4.98	5.12	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	CLE	10	10	54	228	48	25	5	100%	5.4	21.1%	10.9%	10.2%	2.3%	4.42	4.37	+0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	CLE	14	14	79	334	72	35	8	100%	5.6	21.5%	10.4%	11.1%	2.4%	4.34	4.29	+0.6
2029	26	MLB CTX	CLE	15	15	92	388	84	40	9	100%	6.1	21.8%	10.2%	11.5%	2.4%	4.29	4.26	+0.7
2030	27	MLB CTX	CLE	16	16	97	410	89	42	10	100%	6.1	21.7%	10.2%	11.5%	2.5%	4.30	4.30	+0.7
2031	28	MLB CTX	CLE	16	16	97	410	89	43	11	100%	6.1	21.6%	10.4%	11.2%	2.6%	4.35	4.39	+0.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	CLE	16	16	95	401	86	43	11	100%	5.9	21.4%	10.6%	10.8%	2.7%	4.45	4.52	+0.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	CLE	15	15	90	380	80	41	11	100%	6.0	21.0%	10.9%	10.1%	2.9%	4.60	4.69	+0.2
2034	31	MLB CTX	CLE	14	14	85	359	74	40	11	100%	6.1	20.6%	11.3%	9.4%	3.1%	4.78	4.90	0.0
2035	32	MLB CTX	CLE	13	13	80	338	68	39	11	100%	6.2	20.2%	11.7%	8.5%	3.4%	4.98	5.12	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		129	129	771	3253	691	349	88	100%	6.0	21.2%	10.7%	10.5%	2.7%	4.49	4.15	+6.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	179	91	23	100%	6.0	21.2%	10.7%	10.5%	2.7%	4.49	4.15	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		117	99	500	2157	385	233	60	85%	4.3	17.9%	10.8%	7.0%	2.8%	4.14	4.48	+4.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		47	40	200	862	154	93	24	85%	4.3	17.9%	10.8%	7.0%	2.8%	4.14	4.48	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yorman Gómez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	20.4%	11.8%	2.3%	—	4.31	21.5%	10.9%	340	-0.21	—	—	—
Bryce Conley R 2018 · 4.71 FIP	23	SP-	4.71	20.2%	12.2%	3.2%	.269	4.88	17.4%	3.3%	197	+0.17	4.22	560	92
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.32	22.2%	14.8%	121	+0.13	3.16	258	89
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.05	20.9%	10.9%	132	-0.26	2.54	213	89
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.13	25.3%	15.3%	121	-0.38	3.26	181	88
Dinelson Lamet R 2015 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	20.1%	11.8%	2.7%	.272	3.69	24.2%	13.1%	293	-0.67	2.11	778	87
Tyler Skulina R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	23	SP	4.28	18.3%	11.6%	2.3%	.242	5.34	13.0%	-1.0%	147	+1.06	4.28	222	87
Kyle Bradish R 2019 · 4.56 FIP	22	SP-	4.56	20.8%	13.7%	2.7%	.309	3.84	24.1%	14.7%	238	-0.72	2.20	750	87
Jimmy Endersby R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	23	SP-	4.29	20.9%	14.1%	2.1%	.310	5.73	16.1%	4.0%	225	+1.44	2.86	357	87
Mike Ruff R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	23	SP	4.00	18.5%	12.4%	1.6%	.301	5.73	16.0%	5.0%	185	+1.73	4.00	260	86
Trevor Martin R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SP	4.25	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.297	4.25	19.8%	10.6%	240	+0.00	4.16	350	86
Johnathan Harmon R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	22	SP-	4.30	17.8%	10.2%	2.6%	.293	5.14	15.1%	6.3%	193	+0.84	3.52	282	85
Cody Deason R 2019 · 3.40 FIP	22	SP-	3.40	21.0%	12.3%	0.9%	.280	4.38	16.1%	2.2%	78	+0.98	3.40	178	85
Ryan Bergert R 2023 · 3.44 FIP	23	SP	3.44	23.0%	12.1%	1.4%	.286	4.13	19.2%	10.0%	219	+0.69	3.44	428	85
CJ Van Eyk R 2021 · 4.79 FIP	22	SP	4.79	21.8%	12.7%	3.5%	.302	4.64	15.2%	5.3%	127	-0.15	4.17	438	84
Chris McElvain R 2023 · 4.76 FIP	22	SP	4.76	15.8%	11.6%	2.8%	.275	5.24	15.8%	4.7%	198	+0.48	4.07	294	84
Nick Hull R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	17.2%	12.1%	2.0%	.251	4.84	17.7%	6.3%	200	+0.58	4.26	292	84
Mitch Spence R 2021 · 4.12 FIP	23	SP	4.12	20.3%	9.5%	2.8%	.314	4.54	18.7%	11.6%	445	+0.42	4.12	747	84
Brett Daniels R 2019 · 3.95 FIP	23	SP-	3.95	18.5%	12.1%	1.6%	.266	4.46	21.4%	7.9%	152	+0.51	3.95	270	84
Levi Thomas R 2021 · 5.22 FIP	23	SP-	5.22	18.1%	11.9%	3.9%	.328	5.16	20.8%	3.3%	31	-0.06	5.16	116	84
Zach Peek R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	22.8%	10.1%	2.1%	.339	3.51	17.5%	9.8%	45	-0.11	3.51	256	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.1	102	21.2%	10.8%	1.02	4.48
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Vince Velasquez ('23)	3.8	85	24.9%	9.3%	1.48	4.88
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Carlos Martinez ('21)	4.2	121	22.7%	9.1%	0.81	3.67