Jackson Phipps
P
Stockton Ports
Age 24
LHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 39 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 120
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%22.8%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.2%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A | Stockton Ports | 15 | 10 | 61 | 290 | 53 | 36 | 9 | 67% | 4.1 | 13.5% | 14.6% | -1.1% | 4.0% | 6.90 | 6.03 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 39 | 163 | 37 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 6.5 | 22.8% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.39 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 100 | 453 | 90 | 52 | 14 | — | — | 19.9% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 5.94 | 5.41 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 39 | 166 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.5 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 39 | 166 | 39 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.5 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 39 | 163 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.4 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | 4.34 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 37 | 158 | 37 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.2 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.2% | 4.40 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 3 | 3 | 17 | 72 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.7 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.5 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 5 | 5 | 31 | 131 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.1% | 4.36 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 17 | 17 | 104 | 439 | 103 | 41 | 13 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 3.95 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 79 | 25 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 15 | 10 | 61 | 290 | 39 | 42 | 12 | 67% | 4.1 | 13.5% | 14.6% | -1.1% | 4.0% | 6.90 | 6.03 | -1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 33 | 200 | 946 | 128 | 139 | 38 | 67% | 4.1 | 13.5% | 14.6% | -1.1% | 4.0% | 6.90 | 6.03 | -1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jackson Phipps (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 22.8% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.33 | 23.4% | 14.2% | 117 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 82 |
| Tommy Shirley L 2028 · 3.30 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .252 | 4.86 | 13.0% | 4.2% | 106 | +1.56 | 3.30 | 147 | 79 |
| Brian Holmes L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.25 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.75 | 17.3% | 8.0% | 104 | +0.50 | 3.42 | 205 | 77 |
| A.J. Block L 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.68 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .262 | 5.86 | 20.1% | 8.4% | 51 | +2.18 | 3.64 | 203 | 76 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.71 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.64 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.07 | 3.39 | 300 | 74 |
| Ryan Magdic L 2027 · 3.64 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.64 | 18.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .314 | 3.18 | 21.5% | 16.7% | 54 | -0.46 | 3.18 | 150 | 74 |
| Brady Basso L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.99 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.17 | 22.1% | 15.5% | 179 | +0.18 | 2.24 | 269 | 74 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.84 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .315 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 56 | -0.07 | 4.77 | 154 | 73 |
| Zach Thornton L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.22 | 20.9% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 221 | 72 |
| Charlie McDaniel L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.78 | 17.3% | 7.1% | 2.3% | .305 | 4.26 | 16.9% | 10.6% | 73 | +0.48 | 3.78 | 174 | 71 |
| Rio Britton L 2025 · 4.77 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.77 | 22.0% | 15.8% | 2.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 128 | 71 |
| Matt Portland L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.64 | 17.4% | 11.0% | 2.9% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 143 | 71 |
| Parker Mushinski L 2025 · 3.61 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.61 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.4% | .303 | 3.72 | 23.3% | 13.3% | 106 | +0.11 | 3.21 | 439 | 71 |
| Evan Lee L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.00 | 24.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .333 | 4.48 | 21.0% | 2.7% | 52 | +0.48 | 3.84 | 129 | 71 |
| Max Fried L 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.50 | 24.6% | 11.9% | 1.8% | .326 | 3.21 | 23.9% | 17.4% | 387 | -0.29 | 2.56 | 1,397 | 70 |
| Rodney Boone L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.62 | 18.1% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .221 | 3.74 | 18.5% | 10.8% | 78 | -0.88 | 3.74 | 311 | 69 |
| JP Sears L 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.90 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.0% | .268 | 3.25 | 24.7% | 17.8% | 222 | -0.65 | 2.18 | 927 | 69 |
| Nate Peterson L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.14 | 19.2% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .296 | 3.95 | 15.5% | 4.2% | 121 | -1.19 | 3.67 | 288 | 69 |
| Jojo Ingrassia L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.97 | 26.7% | 13.8% | 2.5% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.60 | 112 | 69 |
| Jack Choate L 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.11 | 22.4% | 12.6% | 2.4% | .317 | 3.84 | 24.2% | 6.1% | 32 | -0.27 | 2.75 | 315 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 39 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 1.18 | 4.37 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |