Cionel Pérez
P
New York Mets
Age 30
LHP
6'0" / 175 lbs
MLB
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114123vR 132
ERA4.53
FIP4.62
K%18.8%
BB%13.4%
K-BB%5.3%
ROS IP56
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p8196.7
Whiff%
p3523.1%
K%
p3620.1%
xwOBA vs
p100.366
SI (30%)
CU (50%)
CT (4%)
SL-1.9 (26%)
FB-2.7 (50%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 16 | 94 | 390 | 83 | 27 | 4 | 76% | 4.5 | 16.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 1.1% | 4.13 | 3.37 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 16 | 94 | 390 | 83 | 27 | 4 | 76% | 4.5 | 21.3% | 6.9% | 14.4% | 1.0% | 4.13 | 2.75 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 11 | 85 | 348 | 101 | 35 | 6 | 39% | 3.0 | 24.3% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 1.2% | 2.33 | 2.79 | +2.3 |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 11 | 85 | 348 | 101 | 35 | 6 | 39% | 3.0 | 29.0% | 10.1% | 19.0% | 1.7% | 2.33 | 2.88 | +2.2 |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 22 | 13 | 64 | 286 | 65 | 29 | 9 | 59% | 2.9 | 17.8% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.65 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 22 | 13 | 64 | 286 | 65 | 29 | 9 | 59% | 2.9 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 5.65 | 4.26 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Houston Astros | 7 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.0% | 15.6% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 2.97 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Houston Astros | 7 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.0% | 15.6% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 2.94 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 54 | 240 | 66 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.4% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 2.4% | 4.64 | 3.92 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 54 | 240 | 66 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.5% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 2.5% | 4.64 | 3.82 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 66 | 0 | 58 | 234 | 55 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.5% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 0.8% | 1.40 | 2.63 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 66 | 0 | 58 | 234 | 55 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.5% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 0.9% | 1.40 | 2.68 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 0 | 55 | 253 | 47 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 0.8 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 0.8% | 3.44 | 3.24 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 0 | 55 | 253 | 47 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 0.8 | 18.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 0.8% | 3.44 | 3.23 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 0 | 56 | 248 | 47 | 29 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 2.96 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 0 | 56 | 248 | 47 | 29 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.0% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 2.98 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 44 | 223 | 44 | 36 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 16.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 7.57 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 44 | 223 | 44 | 36 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 16.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 7.57 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | New York Mets | 53 | 2 | 59 | 263 | 51 | 32 | 10 | 4% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.49 | 5.21 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 40 | 30 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 13.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.09 | 5.22 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 46 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 14.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.32 | 5.48 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 42 | 0 | 44 | 187 | 31 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 14.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.58 | 5.76 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 38 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 13.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.09 | 5.22 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 34 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 14.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.32 | 5.48 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 29 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 14.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.58 | 5.76 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 435 | 2 | 426 | 1869 | 360 | 231 | 45 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 4.77 | 4.35 | +5.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 204 | 1 | 200 | 877 | 169 | 108 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 4.77 | 4.35 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 423 | 42 | 575 | 2517 | 503 | 273 | 42 | 10% | 1.4 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 1.7% | 4.17 | 3.70 | +11.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 147 | 15 | 200 | 876 | 175 | 95 | 15 | 10% | 1.4 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 1.7% | 4.17 | 3.70 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cionel Pérez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.72 | 20.0% | 14.6% | 2.0% | — | 5.47 | 17.5% | 3.3% | 144 | +0.75 | — | — | — |
| Zack Britton L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.88 | 20.1% | 12.4% | 1.7% | .234 | 3.56 | 21.1% | 8.3% | 99 | -0.32 | 1.59 | 309 | 74 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.77 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .383 | 4.24 | 16.5% | 4.0% | 63 | +0.47 | 3.77 | 127 | 71 |
| Jose Meraz L 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 70 |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 68 |
| Keith Hessler L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 66 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.02 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 1.8% | .303 | 3.36 | 29.2% | 20.0% | 43 | -0.66 | 3.36 | 113 | 66 |
| Bryan Harper L 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.72 | 14.9% | 13.9% | 2.1% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 133 | 66 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 2.91 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.82 | 2.35 | 306 | 66 |
| Rex Brothers L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.67 | 23.5% | 22.4% | 1.3% | .301 | 4.11 | 32.8% | 16.9% | 99 | -0.56 | 3.10 | 205 | 65 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.52 | 20.7% | 12.4% | 1.1% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 160 | 64 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 64 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 64 |
| James Jones L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.08 | 21.9% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .230 | 4.72 | 23.9% | 8.8% | 35 | +0.64 | 3.58 | 127 | 64 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 63 |
| Braulio Lara L 2024 · 5.86 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.86 | 19.8% | 17.8% | 4.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 118 | 63 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.75 | 20.5% | 21.1% | 1.3% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 154 | 63 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.22 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 4.2% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 269 | 63 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.05 | 13.8% | 18.9% | 1.3% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 134 | 62 |
| Tommy Layne L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.58 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.4% | .284 | 3.34 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.24 | 1.32 | 182 | 62 |
| Adam Loewen L 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.90 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 1.7% | .287 | 3.58 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 98 | -0.32 | 2.96 | 176 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 50 | 18.2% | 14.3% | 1.06 | 5.13 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |