Cionel Pérez — OGILVIE

Cionel Pérez P New York Mets

Age 30 LHP 6'0" / 175 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2026 ILInjured 15-Day (D15)

2026 ROS PROJECTION51 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100108vR 117

ERA3.99

FIP4.05

K%21.1%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL2525

CMD3030

K†4550

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p8496.9

Whiff%

p5025.2%

p5322.7%

xwOBA vs

p210.346

SI (29%)

CU (50%)

CT (4%)

SL-1.9 (28%)

FB-2.7 (50%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	16	94	390	83	27	4	76%	4.5	16.1%	8.0%	8.0%	1.2%	4.13	3.42	—
2017	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	16	94	390	83	27	4	76%	4.5	21.3%	6.9%	14.4%	1.0%	4.13	2.75	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	11	85	348	101	35	6	39%	3.0	24.3%	8.7%	15.5%	1.2%	2.33	2.83	+1.8
2018	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	11	85	348	101	35	6	39%	3.0	29.0%	10.1%	19.0%	1.7%	2.33	2.88	+1.7
2019	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	22	13	64	286	65	29	9	59%	2.9	17.8%	11.8%	5.9%	3.3%	5.65	4.89	+0.0
2019	23	MIX RAW	4 levels	22	13	64	286	65	29	9	59%	2.9	22.7%	10.1%	12.6%	3.1%	5.65	4.26	+0.5
2020	24	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	7	0	6	32	8	5	0	0%	0.9	25.0%	15.6%	9.4%	0.0%	2.84	2.97	+0.1
2020	24	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	7	0	6	32	8	5	0	0%	0.9	25.0%	15.6%	9.4%	0.0%	2.84	2.94	+0.1
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	0	54	240	66	31	6	0%	1.0	25.4%	13.2%	12.3%	2.4%	4.64	3.91	+0.4
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	56	0	54	240	66	31	6	0%	1.0	27.5%	12.9%	14.6%	2.5%	4.64	3.82	+0.5
2022	26	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	66	0	58	234	55	20	2	0%	0.9	23.5%	8.5%	15.0%	0.9%	1.40	2.67	+1.3
2022	26	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	66	0	58	234	55	20	2	0%	0.9	23.5%	8.5%	15.0%	0.9%	1.40	2.68	+1.3
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	66	0	55	253	47	25	2	0%	0.8	17.8%	9.7%	8.1%	0.8%	3.44	3.27	+0.8
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	66	0	55	253	47	25	2	0%	0.8	17.8%	9.7%	8.1%	0.8%	3.44	3.27	+0.8
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	66	0	55	253	47	25	2	0%	0.8	18.6%	9.9%	8.7%	0.8%	3.44	3.23	+0.9
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	64	0	56	248	47	29	0	0%	0.9	19.3%	11.8%	7.6%	0.0%	4.50	2.96	+1.1
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	64	0	56	248	47	29	0	0%	0.9	19.3%	11.8%	7.6%	0.0%	4.50	2.96	+1.1
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	64	0	56	248	47	29	0	0%	0.9	19.0%	11.7%	7.3%	0.0%	4.50	2.98	+1.1
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	44	223	44	36	4	0%	1.1	18.0%	15.3%	2.7%	1.8%	7.57	4.51	+0.0
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	44	223	44	36	4	0%	1.1	18.0%	15.3%	2.7%	1.8%	7.57	4.51	+0.0
2025	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	44	223	44	36	4	0%	1.1	19.7%	16.1%	3.6%	1.8%	7.57	4.74	-0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			293	2	279	1238	259	138	25	1%	1.0	20.9%	11.1%	9.8%	2.0%	4.33	3.89	+2.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	MLB MLE	New York Mets	44	2	51	218	54	21	8	5%	1.2	22.7%	8.8%	13.8%	3.9%	4.44	4.43	+0.1
YTD	30	MLB MLE	New York Mets	44	2	51	218	54	21	8	5%	1.2	22.7%	8.8%	13.8%	3.9%	4.44	4.43	+0.1
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	30	AA RAW	NYM	2	0	2	6	3	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-1.12	—
2026	30	AAA RAW	NYM	6	0	7	31	10	5	1	0%	1.2	32.3%	16.1%	16.1%	3.2%	2.57	4.19	—
2026	30	MLB RAW	NYM	36	2	42	181	41	16	7	6%	1.2	22.7%	8.8%	13.8%	3.9%	4.97	4.43	+0.1
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	NYM	36	2	42	181	41	16	7	6%	1.2	22.7%	8.8%	13.8%	3.9%	4.97	4.43	+0.1
ROS	30	MLB MLE	NYM	3	0	3	14	3	2	0	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.3%	8.8%	2.1%	3.99	4.05	+0.0
ROS	30	MLB CTX	NYM	3	0	3	13	3	2	0	0%	1.0	21.1%	12.3%	8.8%	2.1%	3.99	4.05	+0.0
2026 TOT	30	MLB MLE	NYM	—	—	54	232	57	23	8	—	—	24.5%	9.8%	14.7%	3.6%	4.41	4.41	+0.1
FULL	30	MLB A+C	NYM	—	—	45	190	57	23	8	—	—	30.0%	12.0%	18.0%	4.4%	5.29	4.48	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	NYM	50	0	52	220	44	28	6	0%	1.0	20.1%	12.7%	7.5%	2.7%	4.75	4.87	-0.2
2028	32	MLB MLE	NYM	46	0	48	204	39	27	6	0%	1.0	19.3%	13.1%	6.3%	3.0%	4.97	5.12	-0.3
2029	33	MLB MLE	NYM	42	0	44	187	35	25	6	0%	1.1	18.5%	13.5%	5.0%	3.2%	5.23	5.40	-0.4
2027	31	MLB CTX	NYM	47	0	49	207	42	26	6	0%	1.0	20.1%	12.7%	7.5%	2.7%	4.75	4.87	-0.2
2028	32	MLB CTX	NYM	44	0	46	194	38	25	6	0%	1.0	19.3%	13.1%	6.3%	3.0%	4.97	5.12	-0.3
2029	33	MLB CTX	NYM	40	0	42	177	33	24	6	0%	1.1	18.5%	13.5%	5.0%	3.2%	5.23	5.40	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		427	2	419	1832	374	215	42	0%	1.0	20.4%	11.8%	8.7%	2.3%	4.54	4.14	+2.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		204	1	200	874	178	103	20	0%	1.0	20.4%	11.8%	8.7%	2.3%	4.54	4.14	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		414	42	566	2472	504	259	40	10%	1.4	20.4%	10.5%	9.9%	1.6%	4.05	3.60	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		146	15	200	873	178	92	14	10%	1.4	20.4%	10.5%	9.9%	1.6%	4.05	3.60	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cionel Pérez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.68	19.8%	14.1%	2.0%	—	5.12	19.4%	6.3%	144	+0.44	—	—	—
Zack Britton L 2018 · 3.89 FIP	30	SU	3.89	20.1%	12.4%	1.7%	.234	3.57	21.1%	8.3%	99	-0.32	1.58	309	78
Dan Runzler L 2015 · 3.78 FIP	30	SU	3.78	19.0%	13.1%	1.2%	.383	4.07	16.5%	4.0%	63	+0.29	3.78	127	70
Phil Coke L 2015 · 3.89 FIP	33	SU	3.89	18.8%	9.1%	2.2%	.373	3.04	18.0%	11.3%	70	-0.85	3.04	101	70
Fernando Abad L 2016 · 3.77 FIP	30	SU	3.77	20.7%	10.1%	2.1%	.271	2.95	21.8%	17.1%	88	-0.82	2.37	306	70
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	69
Justin Wilson L 2018 · 3.56 FIP	30	SU	3.56	29.2%	13.6%	2.2%	.308	3.85	24.0%	13.5%	93	+0.29	2.49	420	68
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	67
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	67
Jeff Ibarra L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	18.1%	7.0%	2.1%	.342	2.85	20.6%	17.2%	29	-0.79	2.85	101	66
Kevin Siegrist L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	28	SU	3.95	25.0%	11.6%	2.7%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	2.72	176	66
Dan Jennings L 2017 · 4.32 FIP	30	SU	4.32	19.1%	9.0%	3.1%	.245	3.88	16.6%	8.5%	64	-0.44	3.11	244	66
Jared Koenig L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	29	SU	4.16	20.7%	9.2%	3.0%	.364	2.92	23.7%	16.1%	146	-1.24	2.79	473	65
Kevin Chapman L 2018 · 5.66 FIP	30	SU	5.66	17.1%	15.7%	3.7%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	153	65
James Jones L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	30	SU	4.28	21.9%	13.0%	2.5%	.230	4.65	23.9%	8.8%	35	+0.37	3.58	127	65
Josh Edgin L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	30	SU	4.02	16.3%	10.2%	1.8%	.303	3.63	29.2%	20.0%	43	-0.39	3.63	113	65
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	65
Antonio Bastardo L 2016 · 4.43 FIP	30	SU	4.43	24.9%	9.8%	4.0%	.268	8.05	15.0%	-1.4%	20	+3.62	3.10	145	64
Rex Brothers L 2018 · 4.61 FIP	30	SU	4.61	23.5%	22.4%	1.2%	.301	4.24	32.8%	16.9%	99	-0.37	3.10	205	64
Ryan Buchter L 2017 · 4.45 FIP	30	SU	4.45	24.3%	9.3%	4.0%	.202	4.19	25.3%	15.6%	85	-0.26	2.37	296	64
Mike Dunn L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	27.7%	11.9%	2.7%	.294	4.21	22.5%	10.9%	110	+0.46	3.71	181	64

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	49	19.5%	13.3%	1.04	4.88
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84