Cionel Pérez
P
Washington Nationals
+0.2
WAR
Age 30
LHP
6'0" / 175 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.62
FIP4.48
xFIP4.81
SIERA4.76
K%19.9%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%7.2%
IP34
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL2525
CMD3030
K†5050
FB Velo
p7596.3
Whiff%
p2121.2%
K%
p1013.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.475
SI (22%)
CU (56%)
CT (3%)
SL-1.9 (16%)
FB-2.7 (44%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 21 | 16 | 94 | 390 | 83 | 27 | 4 | 16.1% | 8.0% | 1.2% | 4.13 | 3.42 | +1.9 |
| 2018 | 22 | MLB | Houston Astros | 28 | 11 | 85 | 348 | 101 | 35 | 6 | 24.3% | 8.7% | 1.2% | 2.33 | 2.82 | +2.3 |
| 2019 | 23 | MLB | Houston Astros | 22 | 13 | 64 | 286 | 65 | 29 | 9 | 17.8% | 11.8% | 3.3% | 5.65 | 4.90 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Houston Astros | 7 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 8 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.84 | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 56 | 0 | 54 | 240 | 66 | 31 | 6 | 25.4% | 13.2% | 2.4% | 4.64 | 3.91 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 66 | 0 | 58 | 234 | 55 | 20 | 2 | 23.5% | 8.5% | 0.9% | 1.40 | 2.69 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 66 | 0 | 55 | 253 | 47 | 25 | 2 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 0.8% | 3.44 | 3.25 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 64 | 0 | 56 | 248 | 47 | 29 | 0 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 2.96 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 40 | 0 | 44 | 223 | 44 | 36 | 4 | 18.5% | 16.6% | 1.8% | 7.57 | 4.60 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 10 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 7 | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | 7.27 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | WSH | 25 | — | 25 | 105 | 23 | 15 | 2 | 21.6% | 13.9% | 2.0% | 4.72 | 4.49 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 30 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 34 | 144 | 30 | 20 | 4 | 20.6% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 5.38 | 3.33 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 32 | — | 32 | 137 | 28 | 19 | 3 | 20.5% | 13.9% | 2.3% | 4.80 | 4.75 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 31 | — | 31 | 131 | 26 | 18 | 3 | 19.8% | 14.0% | 2.3% | 4.84 | 4.87 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 30 | — | 30 | 125 | 24 | 18 | 3 | 19.2% | 14.2% | 2.4% | 4.93 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 380 | 40 | 524 | 2293 | 463 | 248 | 34 | 20.2% | 10.8% | 1.5% | 4.07 | 3.57 | +10.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 145 | 15 | 200 | 875 | 177 | 95 | 13 | 20.2% | 10.8% | 1.5% | 4.07 | 3.57 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cionel Pérez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 21.6% | 13.9% | 2.0% | — | 4.87 | 19.8% | 5.8% | 93 | +0.38 | — | — | — |
| Zack Britton L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.88 | 20.1% | 12.4% | 1.7% | .234 | 3.60 | 21.1% | 8.3% | 99 | -0.28 | 1.60 | 309 | 75 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.78 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .383 | 4.03 | 16.5% | 4.0% | 63 | +0.25 | 3.78 | 127 | 73 |
| Jose Meraz L 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.51 | 3.70 | 110 | 72 |
| Marlon Arias L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .330 | 3.73 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.57 | 3.73 | 154 | 72 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.71 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 0.6% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 108 | 70 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.60 | 17.1% | 15.7% | 3.6% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.02 | 153 | 70 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.42 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 1.1% | .290 | 3.68 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.26 | 3.42 | 152 | 69 |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 3.85 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.85 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.1% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.81 | 3.04 | 101 | 68 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.08 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 1.9% | .303 | 3.62 | 29.2% | 20.0% | 43 | -0.46 | 3.62 | 113 | 68 |
| Bryan Harper L 2024 · 4.65 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.65 | 14.9% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 133 | 68 |
| Rex Brothers L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 23.5% | 22.4% | 1.2% | .301 | 4.18 | 32.8% | 16.9% | 99 | -0.44 | 3.16 | 205 | 67 |
| Luke Westphal L 2028 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.68 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.4% | .321 | 4.72 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 66 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 3.03 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.70 | 2.38 | 306 | 66 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.78 | 20.5% | 21.1% | 1.3% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 154 | 66 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.47 | 20.7% | 12.4% | 1.0% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 160 | 65 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.03 | 13.8% | 18.9% | 1.3% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.48 | 134 | 65 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.66 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.2% | .342 | 2.89 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.77 | 2.89 | 101 | 64 |
| Keith Hessler L 2025 · 5.04 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.04 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.5% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 228 | 64 |
| Tommy Layne L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.64 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% | .284 | 3.27 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.37 | 1.32 | 182 | 63 |
| Roy Merritt L 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.92 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.2% | .293 | 3.92 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | +0.00 | 3.92 | 129 | 63 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.