McCade Brown
P
Hartford Yard Goats
+0.0
WAR
INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)
Age 25
RHP
6'6" / 247 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2027
ERA5.82
FIP4.79
xFIP6.14
SIERA5.47
K%22.8%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%11.7%
IP73
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
OFP—45
STUF5055
CTRL2535
CMD4040
K†5555
FB Velo
p4794.3
Whiff%
p3623.3%
K%
p2318.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.384
SI (57%)
CU (18%)
CH (6%)
SL-2.6 (19%)
FB-5.5 (57%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 4 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 9 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 6.75 | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 18 | 18 | 90 | 380 | 118 | 23 | 10 | 23.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 5.22 | 4.05 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 12 | 10 | 24 | 116 | 35 | 17 | 5 | 20.8% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 6.85 | 8.04 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 27 | 27 | 102 | 432 | 128 | 47 | 12 | 24.6% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 3.69 | 4.13 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | COL | 22 | — | 22 | 92 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 23.0% | 12.3% | 3.5% | 6.12 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | COL | 13 | 13 | 73 | 309 | 72 | 37 | 11 | 23.2% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 5.37 | 4.91 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | COL | 13 | 13 | 73 | 307 | 71 | 36 | 10 | 23.3% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 5.06 | 4.88 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | COL | 13 | 13 | 72 | 302 | 70 | 35 | 10 | 23.2% | 11.7% | 3.4% | 4.94 | 4.88 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | COL | 13 | 13 | 70 | 295 | 67 | 35 | 10 | 22.8% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 4.93 | 4.94 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | COL | 12 | 12 | 68 | 286 | 64 | 34 | 10 | 22.2% | 11.8% | 3.5% | 4.99 | 5.03 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | COL | 12 | 12 | 65 | 276 | 60 | 33 | 10 | 21.6% | 11.9% | 3.6% | 5.08 | 5.13 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | COL | 11 | 11 | 63 | 265 | 56 | 32 | 10 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 5.18 | 5.25 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | COL | 60 | — | 60 | 253 | 52 | 31 | 10 | 20.3% | 12.3% | 3.8% | 5.30 | 5.38 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | COL | 57 | — | 57 | 241 | 47 | 30 | 9 | 19.6% | 12.5% | 3.9% | 5.43 | 5.52 | -0.4 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | COL | 54 | — | 54 | 227 | 43 | 29 | 9 | 18.9% | 12.7% | 4.0% | 5.57 | 5.67 | -0.4 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | COL | 50 | — | 50 | 212 | 38 | 27 | 9 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 4.1% | 5.73 | 5.83 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 61 | 58 | 224 | 963 | 227 | 96 | 39 | 23.5% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 4.75 | 4.61 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 52 | 200 | 861 | 203 | 86 | 35 | 23.5% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 4.75 | 4.61 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| McCade Brown (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.00 | 23.0% | 12.3% | 3.5% | — | 4.89 | 23.2% | 11.4% | 217 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.25 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.8% | .256 | 4.33 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.08 | 3.88 | 180 | 86 |
| Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.64 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 3.9% | .296 | 3.50 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.14 | 2.78 | 181 | 85 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.53 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .380 | 4.49 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 101 | -0.04 | 4.37 | 119 | 82 |
| Cameron Gann R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.37 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.16 | 3.60 | 146 | 82 |
| Hagen Danner R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.22 | 20.5% | 9.3% | 3.0% | .295 | 4.33 | 18.9% | 10.6% | 56 | +0.11 | 3.49 | 155 | 82 |
| Trey Benton R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.53 | 23.8% | 13.9% | 3.0% | .366 | 2.92 | 18.1% | 7.4% | 31 | -1.61 | 2.92 | 139 | 81 |
| José Cisnero R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.50 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.9% | .367 | 3.92 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.58 | 2.26 | 279 | 81 |
| Michael Feliz R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.88 | 25.3% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .323 | 3.91 | 28.9% | 19.8% | 107 | +0.03 | 2.76 | 442 | 81 |
| Dugan Darnell R 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.68 | 24.6% | 15.7% | 4.9% | .322 | 3.80 | 24.0% | 14.6% | 148 | -1.88 | 2.49 | 238 | 81 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.01 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 2.1% | .323 | 4.17 | 23.4% | 17.9% | 58 | +0.16 | 4.01 | 142 | 81 |
| Cayne Ueckert R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.44 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .150 | 5.55 | 21.4% | 5.1% | 124 | +1.11 | 3.94 | 205 | 81 |
| Dylan Hall R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.98 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 1.8% | .305 | 7.30 | 15.1% | 2.4% | 58 | +3.32 | 3.48 | 153 | 81 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 80 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.82 | 28.1% | 11.7% | 2.9% | .282 | 4.76 | 19.3% | 1.3% | 95 | +0.94 | 3.72 | 164 | 80 |
| David Garner R 2025 · 5.17 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.17 | 21.5% | 13.8% | 3.9% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 154 | 80 |
| Cody Tucker R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.99 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 4.1% | .272 | 5.30 | 15.8% | -1.9% | 40 | +0.31 | 4.99 | 105 | 80 |
| Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.76 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.4% | .450 | 4.64 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.12 | 4.02 | 187 | 80 |
| Ben Hecht R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.51 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.1% | .293 | 7.98 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.47 | 4.42 | 155 | 80 |
| Will Latcham R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.42 | 18.8% | 11.5% | 2.6% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 134 | 79 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 3.4% | .275 | 4.54 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 118 | +0.16 | 4.12 | 230 | 79 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.