Luis De La Rosa prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Luis De La Rosa P Salem Red Sox

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 107

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%22.8%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%10.4%

ROS IP49

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals 1	12	11	39	150	52	7	0	92%	3.2	23.6%	5.8%	17.7%	0.0%	2.33	1.85	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals 1	12	11	39	150	52	7	0	92%	3.2	34.7%	4.7%	30.0%	0.0%	2.33	0.95	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	8	5	27	106	21	9	1	62%	3.3	13.5%	10.6%	2.9%	1.4%	3.04	4.07	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	8	5	27	106	21	9	1	62%	3.3	19.8%	8.5%	11.3%	0.9%	3.04	3.02	—
2022	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	3	49	211	58	21	2	20%	3.2	19.8%	12.0%	7.7%	1.4%	3.70	3.73	—
2022	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	3	49	211	58	21	2	20%	3.2	27.5%	10.0%	17.5%	0.9%	3.70	2.55	—
2023	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	28	6	70	304	88	40	4	21%	2.5	21.4%	15.5%	5.9%	1.7%	2.94	4.20	—
2023	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	28	6	70	304	88	40	4	21%	2.5	21.4%	15.5%	5.9%	1.7%	2.94	4.20	—
2023	21	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	28	6	70	304	88	40	4	21%	2.5	28.9%	13.2%	15.8%	1.3%	2.94	3.04	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	BOS	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.8%	12.5%	10.4%	3.0%	4.76	4.76	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BOS	47	0	50	210	49	24	6	0%	1.1	23.3%	11.3%	11.9%	3.0%	4.63	4.57	-0.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	BOS	47	0	50	210	49	23	6	0%	1.1	23.5%	11.2%	12.3%	3.0%	4.57	4.53	+0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	BOS	47	0	49	207	49	23	6	0%	1.0	23.4%	11.1%	12.3%	3.0%	4.56	4.56	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	BOS	20	0	21	89	21	10	3	0%	1.1	23.3%	11.3%	11.9%	3.0%	4.63	4.57	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	BOS	31	0	33	139	33	16	4	0%	1.1	23.5%	11.2%	12.3%	3.0%	4.57	4.53	+0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	BOS	36	0	38	160	38	18	5	0%	1.1	23.4%	11.1%	12.3%	3.0%	4.56	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		88	0	92	389	91	44	12	0%	1.0	23.4%	11.2%	12.2%	3.0%	4.58	4.17	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	197	95	26	0%	1.1	23.4%	11.2%	12.2%	3.0%	4.58	4.17	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		63	25	184	771	156	93	10	40%	2.9	20.3%	12.0%	8.3%	1.3%	3.03	3.59	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	27	200	837	170	100	10	40%	2.9	20.3%	12.0%	8.3%	1.3%	3.03	3.59	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis De La Rosa (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	22.8%	12.5%	3.0%	—	4.55	23.4%	12.2%	149	-0.21	—	—	—
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.80	25.1%	15.0%	175	-0.63	2.47	305	84
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	83
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	82
Austin Bergner R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	24	SW	4.99	24.0%	10.9%	4.6%	.277	4.87	21.6%	10.0%	274	-0.12	4.06	464	82
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	82
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	81
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	81
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	81
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	80
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	80
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	80
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	80
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	79
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	4.95	18.3%	5.2%	131	-0.32	4.34	382	79
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	79
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	78
T.J. Weir R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	24	SW	3.97	20.0%	9.1%	2.5%	.319	3.43	19.0%	9.6%	190	-0.54	3.15	349	78
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.71	21.6%	11.0%	188	-0.66	3.16	266	78
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	77
Hunter Gregory R 2023 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.0%	12.1%	2.0%	.322	5.10	20.1%	8.3%	161	+1.04	3.84	249	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	49	23.3%	11.5%	1.15	4.63
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35
Jorge Julio ('09)	2.3	58	21.7%	11.3%	1.25	4.43
Brandon Workman ('21)	1.6	55	24.3%	11.1%	1.04	4.02
Bill Risley ('98)	1.1	55	21.9%	10.9%	1.26	3.98