Abdiel Medina — OGILVIE

Abdiel Medina P ACL Mariners

Age 24 RHP 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%20.9%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	15	6	49	214	51	16	2	40%	3.2	16.2%	9.3%	6.9%	1.3%	4.25	3.63	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	15	6	49	214	51	16	2	40%	3.2	23.8%	7.5%	16.4%	0.9%	4.25	2.52	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	10	3	38	150	37	7	2	30%	3.8	16.8%	5.8%	10.9%	2.1%	3.76	3.56	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	10	3	38	150	37	7	2	30%	3.8	24.7%	4.7%	20.0%	1.3%	3.76	2.40	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	11	7	50	225	44	19	7	64%	4.5	13.3%	10.6%	2.7%	4.2%	5.80	5.63	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	11	7	50	225	44	19	7	64%	4.5	19.6%	8.4%	11.1%	3.1%	5.80	4.31	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	10	4	43	192	30	14	4	40%	4.3	10.6%	9.1%	1.5%	3.1%	3.95	5.05	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	10	4	43	192	30	14	4	40%	4.3	10.6%	9.1%	1.5%	3.1%	3.95	5.05	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	10	4	43	192	30	14	4	40%	4.3	15.6%	7.3%	8.3%	2.1%	3.95	3.88	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	11	0	11	61	10	10	3	0%	1.0	11.1%	20.5%	-9.3%	8.0%	13.91	9.13	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	11	0	11	61	10	10	3	0%	1.0	11.1%	20.5%	-9.3%	8.0%	13.91	9.13	—
2024	22	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	11	0	11	61	10	10	3	0%	1.0	16.4%	16.4%	0.0%	4.9%	13.91	7.55	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	SEA	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	20.9%	12.3%	8.6%	3.0%	4.94	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SEA	19	0	20	84	18	9	3	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.2%	10.3%	3.0%	4.80	4.74	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	SEA	9	0	9	38	8	4	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	11.2%	10.3%	3.0%	4.80	4.74	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.2%	10.3%	3.0%	4.80	4.37	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.2%	10.3%	3.0%	4.80	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		57	20	191	842	117	82	26	35%	3.4	13.9%	9.8%	4.1%	3.1%	5.04	4.87	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		60	21	200	882	122	86	27	35%	3.4	13.9%	9.8%	4.1%	3.1%	5.04	4.87	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Abdiel Medina (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	20.9%	12.3%	3.0%	—	4.74	21.5%	10.3%	20	-0.20	—	—	—
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	78
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	78
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	78
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	78
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	78
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	76
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.53	17.5%	5.2%	170	-0.49	3.97	187	76
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	75
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	75
Orlando Rodriguez R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SP-	4.54	20.8%	10.1%	3.5%	.380	4.51	19.3%	7.9%	101	-0.03	4.40	119	75
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	73
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	73
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	72
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	72
Matt Marsh R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	24	SW	4.14	15.5%	10.7%	1.8%	.275	3.65	20.5%	11.4%	70	-0.49	3.13	143	72
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	72
Hunter Stanley R 2022 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	18.9%	10.1%	1.9%	.270	5.27	17.1%	7.2%	148	+1.43	3.84	218	72
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	71
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	71
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	71