Hunter Stanley — OGILVIE

Hunter Stanley P Columbus Clippers

Age 28 RHP 5'11" / 203 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 30 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.90

FIP4.90

K%19.1%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%9.7%

ROS IP30

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	24	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	4	0	15	57	14	5	1	0%	3.7	18.9%	10.1%	8.8%	1.9%	1.84	3.84	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	4	0	15	57	14	5	1	0%	3.7	24.6%	8.8%	15.8%	1.8%	1.84	3.10	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	26	24	119	523	108	49	16	92%	4.6	16.7%	10.3%	6.4%	4.0%	4.92	5.21	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	26	24	119	523	108	49	16	92%	4.6	16.7%	10.3%	6.4%	4.0%	4.92	5.21	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	26	24	119	523	108	49	16	92%	4.6	20.7%	9.4%	11.3%	3.1%	4.92	4.27	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	4	31	145	34	13	8	27%	2.0	18.9%	8.6%	10.3%	5.3%	6.16	5.52	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	4	31	145	34	13	8	27%	2.0	18.9%	8.6%	10.3%	5.3%	6.16	5.52	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	4	31	145	34	13	8	27%	2.0	23.4%	9.0%	14.5%	5.5%	6.16	5.55	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	2	0	2	7	2	0	0	0%	1.0	28.6%	0.0%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.69	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	2	0	2	7	2	0	0	0%	1.0	28.6%	0.0%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.69	—
2025	27	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	2	0	2	7	2	0	0	0%	1.0	28.6%	0.0%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	35	0	56	254	56	23	10	0%	1.6	18.1%	9.0%	9.1%	4.5%	6.47	5.17	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	35	0	56	254	56	23	10	0%	1.6	18.1%	9.0%	9.1%	4.5%	6.47	5.17	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AA RAW	CLE	17	0	21	103	21	11	4	0%	1.3	20.4%	10.7%	9.7%	3.9%	7.17	4.86	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	CLE	18	0	34	151	35	12	6	0%	1.9	23.2%	7.9%	15.2%	4.0%	6.03	4.33	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CLE	27	0	29	122	24	12	4	0%	1.1	19.3%	9.7%	9.7%	3.5%	4.92	4.97	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	CLE	10	0	11	46	9	4	2	0%	1.1	19.3%	9.7%	9.7%	3.5%	4.92	4.97	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	45	9	4	2	0%	1.1	19.3%	9.7%	9.7%	3.5%	4.92	4.59	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	76	38	0%	1.1	19.3%	9.7%	9.7%	3.5%	4.92	4.59	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		82	28	222	986	174	95	41	34%	2.7	17.6%	9.6%	8.0%	4.2%	5.23	5.14	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	25	200	888	157	86	37	34%	2.7	17.6%	9.6%	8.0%	4.2%	5.23	5.14	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hunter Stanley (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.90	19.1%	9.5%	3.3%	—	4.97	19.3%	9.7%	29	+0.07	—	—	—
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	81
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	80
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	80
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	79
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	77
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	77
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	76
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	76
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	76
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	76
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	76
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	76
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	75
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	75
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	74
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	74
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	74
Reinier Roibal R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	27	SW	4.37	16.9%	7.1%	3.3%	.371	4.91	17.5%	5.7%	37	+0.54	3.11	133	74
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	74
Nolan Clenney R 2023 · 4.79 FIP	27	SU	4.79	22.6%	10.1%	4.2%	.341	4.58	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.21	3.73	223	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	19.2%	9.6%	1.32	4.91
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21