Hunter Stanley P Akron RubberDucks
Age 28 RHP 5'11" / 203 lbs AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 30 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126116vR 107
ERA4.71
FIP4.71
K%21.6%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%12.1%
ROS IP30
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP
K: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -6.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-6CONTACTSTAM: +2.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+3STAMTotal WAR: -0.48 (61 IP)-0.5WAR
-0.1-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202224A+Lake County Captains40155714510%3.718.9%10.1%8.8%1.7%1.843.73
202224A+Lake County Captains40155714510%3.724.6%8.8%15.8%1.8%1.843.10
202325AAAkron RubberDucks2624119523108491692%4.616.7%10.3%6.4%4.5%4.925.46
202325AAAkron RubberDucks2624119523108491692%4.620.7%9.4%11.3%3.1%4.924.27
202426MIX2 levels154311453413827%2.020.1%10.0%10.0%5.1%6.165.45
202426MIX2 levels154311453413827%2.023.4%9.0%14.5%5.5%6.165.55
202527AAAkron RubberDucks20272000%1.028.6%0.0%28.6%0.0%0.000.69
202527AAAkron RubberDucks20272000%1.028.6%0.0%28.6%0.0%0.001.10
▸ 2026 Season
202628AAAColumbus Clippers24031144311360%1.316.5%11.7%4.8%4.7%6.395.75-0.4
ROS28MLBCLE29030128281240%1.021.6%9.6%12.1%3.4%4.714.71-0.1
ROS28MLBCLE10141000%1.021.6%9.6%12.1%3.4%4.714.71-0.0
2026 TOT28MLBCLE6127259251021.6%9.3%12.3%3.8%5.565.24-0.5
2026 FULL28MLBCLE1310021.6%9.6%12.1%3.4%4.714.33+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729MLBCLE27029122261240%1.121.6%9.8%11.8%3.5%4.754.80-0.1
202729MLBCLE909388410%1.021.6%9.8%11.8%3.5%4.754.80-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career9010419410%1.121.6%9.7%11.8%3.5%4.754.42+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084418783210%1.121.6%9.7%11.8%3.5%4.754.42+2.3
Career7128197876153913939%2.817.5%10.4%7.1%4.4%5.065.35+0.1
/ 200 IP7228200888155923939%2.817.5%10.4%7.1%4.4%5.065.35+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Hunter Stanley (OGILVIE) 4.71 21.6%9.6%3.4% 4.80 21.6%11.8%29 +0.09
Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP 28 SW 4.14 20.2%7.4%3.3%.348 3.66 23.4%13.2%86 -0.48 2.38 160 81
Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP 28 SW 4.72 19.2%8.2%4.0%.311 5.88 16.9%4.6%74 +1.16 3.33 258 81
Edwin Quirarte R 2026 · 3.59 FIP 28 SW 3.59 16.7%6.2%2.0%.311 3.45 12.7%4.9%83 -0.14 3.21 157 78
Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP 30 SW 4.90 18.8%8.2%4.3%.327 3.85 24.2%15.5%233 -1.05 3.52 316 78
Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 28 SU 4.12 22.9%10.0%3.1%.312 3.50 472 76
Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP 27 SU 4.33 17.6%11.2%2.4%.309 5.34 8.6%-4.8%43 +1.01 3.43 160 74
Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP 28 SU 3.87 24.9%8.8%3.2%.276 2.42 21.7%12.6%34 -1.45 2.42 125 74
Yoanner Negrin R 2029 · 4.02 FIP 31 SW 4.02 15.1%7.5%2.3%.256 3.39 15.0%8.5%270 -0.63 3.19 485 74
Jack Cushing R 2026 · 4.70 FIP 28 SU 4.70 20.1%7.8%4.2%.340 3.67 523 74
Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP 28 SU 4.96 20.1%11.6%3.8%.275 7.33 13.9%-1.9%30 +2.37 3.78 180 73
Trevor May R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 28 SU 3.83 26.1%9.8%3.1%.291 3.46 31.9%23.6%150 -0.37 3.04 432 73
Mike Adams R 2025 · 5.26 FIP 27 SU 5.26 17.1%11.2%4.0%.326 3.66 109 73
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 3.90 FIP 26 SW 3.90 16.7%6.8%2.5%.243 3.43 167 73
Burch Smith R 2026 · 5.09 FIP 28 SU 5.09 21.5%10.6%4.5%.329 3.99 20.5%9.9%157 -1.10 3.39 382 73
Reinier Roibal R 2025 · 4.33 FIP 27 SW 4.33 16.9%7.1%3.2%.371 4.86 17.5%5.7%37 +0.53 3.07 133 72
Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP 28 SU 4.81 19.8%13.5%3.0%.265 3.88 18.2%10.2%272 -0.93 3.53 365 72
Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 5.49 FIP 28 SW 5.49 15.9%7.4%5.1%.244 5.53 11.2%2.3%115 +0.04 4.54 224 72
Ramon Delgado R 2027 · 4.73 FIP 29 SW 4.73 13.8%5.9%3.7%.332 4.45 11.2%7.2%74 -0.28 4.45 135 72
Chris Leroux R 2029 · 4.50 FIP 31 SU 4.50 15.2%8.6%2.9%.279 3.94 13.5%5.5%140 -0.56 3.94 219 72
Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP 29 SU 4.07 21.3%8.5%3.1%.241 4.06 18.5%11.9%118 -0.01 3.28 149 72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23021.6%9.7%1.324.73
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82