Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | GCL Phillies East | 5 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 80% | 1.9 | 22.2% | 17.8% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 7.71 | 3.48 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | GCL Phillies East | 5 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 80% | 1.9 | 22.2% | 17.8% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 7.71 | 3.53 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 6 | 3 | 21 | 90 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 50% | 3.4 | 16.4% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 4.35 | 4.18 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 6 | 3 | 21 | 90 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 50% | 3.4 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 1.1% | 4.35 | 3.25 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 11 | 40 | 197 | 44 | 15 | 7 | 79% | 2.8 | 16.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 9.76 | 5.42 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 11 | 40 | 197 | 44 | 15 | 7 | 79% | 2.8 | 22.3% | 7.6% | 14.7% | 3.6% | 9.76 | 4.31 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 9 | 48 | 233 | 56 | 32 | 2 | 56% | 3.0 | 16.8% | 16.8% | -0.1% | 1.1% | 6.42 | 4.44 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 9 | 48 | 233 | 56 | 32 | 2 | 56% | 3.0 | 24.0% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 0.9% | 6.42 | 3.31 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 8 | 7 | 30 | 128 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 88% | 3.7 | 12.0% | 18.0% | -5.9% | 0.0% | 3.34 | 4.36 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 8 | 7 | 30 | 128 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 88% | 3.7 | 15.6% | 15.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.34 | 3.77 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 4 | 4 | 20 | 86 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 5.1 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 4 | 4 | 21 | 87 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 5.2 | 22.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 22.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.4 | 22.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.00 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 181 | 90 | 23 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 49 | 34 | 147 | 693 | 111 | 100 | 13 | 69% | 3.0 | 16.0% | 14.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 6.49 | 4.61 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 67 | 46 | 200 | 943 | 151 | 136 | 18 | 69% | 3.0 | 16.0% | 14.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 6.49 | 4.61 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Starlyn Castillo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.8% | — | 4.38 | 22.5% | 12.6% | 21 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 85 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 84 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 84 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 82 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 80 |
| Blair Henley R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 80 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 80 |
| Ricky Castro R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 79 |
| Keith Rogalla R 2025 · 3.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.55 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .344 | 3.62 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 65 | +0.07 | 3.00 | 113 | 78 |
| Drew Rasmussen R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.62 | 24.6% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .312 | 3.26 | 22.7% | 16.2% | 237 | -0.36 | 1.21 | 621 | 78 |
| Sean Harney R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.51 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .285 | 4.69 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 59 | +1.18 | 3.51 | 123 | 78 |
| Brett Gillis R 2027 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 77 |
| Sean Mooney R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 76 |
| Sam Benschoter R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .344 | 5.03 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 306 | +1.07 | 3.58 | 426 | 75 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.41 | 17.2% | 11.3% | 4.2% | .370 | 3.48 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 142 | -1.93 | 2.88 | 157 | 74 |
| Chase Centala R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 74 |
| Michael Knorr R 2026 · 5.64 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.64 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 5.1% | .314 | 4.81 | 22.8% | 10.5% | 54 | -0.83 | 4.03 | 152 | 74 |
| Mason McGwire R 2024 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.50 | 23.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 128 | 74 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 73 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 73 |