Noah Cardenas

C St. Paul Saints

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	AAAMIN	129	.234/.364/.458	7	0	73	—	.195/.295/.327
2025	25	AAMIN	127	.257/.409/.416	3	0	80	—	.185/.307/.287
2026	26	AAAMIN	275	.197/.339/.390	13	3	59	—	.157/.269/.285
2027PROJ10% MLB	27	MLBMIN	25	.186/.290/.314	1	0	74	0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	28	MLBMIN	114	.187/.290/.314	3	1	74	0.1
2029PROJ49% MLB	29	MLBMIN	160	.187/.289/.313	4	1	73	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

BB%82

Z-Con%64

Chase%63

Whiff%56

Speed40

K%36

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 88%

CompsBrendon Davis (age 27) · Zack Short (age 27) · Dan Butler (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .290 / .314

PA25

HR1

K%28

BB%12

BABIP238

ISO190

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	ROK	FCL Twins	—	25	20	6	1	0	1	3	3	1	0	0	300	417	500	917	200	294	12	12	393	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	401	310	81	18	1	9	73	70	15	11	5	261	425	413	838	152	308	17	18	382	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	378	309	84	23	1	3	55	77	11	9	5	272	400	382	782	110	349	20	15	358	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	305	254	44	11	0	5	43	71	8	4	4	173	311	276	587	102	219	23	14	281	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	129	107	25	3	0	7	20	26	2	0	0	234	364	458	822	224	243	20	16	368	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	127	101	26	7	0	3	22	25	4	0	1	257	409	416	825	158	315	20	17	378	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	275	223	44	4	0	13	39	69	9	3	1	197	339	390	730	193	217	25	14	329	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	25	21	5	1	0	1	2	4	1	0	0	238	333	429	762	190	223	16	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	401	335	73	16	1	7	48	96	15	11	5	218	342	334	676	116	273	24	12	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	378	324	72	17	1	2	40	100	11	9	5	222	328	299	627	77	304	26	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	305	266	36	9	0	5	31	90	8	4	4	135	246	226	471	90	182	30	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	129	113	22	3	0	4	14	31	2	0	0	195	295	327	622	133	228	24	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	127	108	20	5	0	2	15	32	4	0	1	185	307	287	594	102	256	25	12	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	275	235	37	3	0	9	27	83	9	3	1	157	269	285	554	128	190	30	10	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	25	21	5	1	0	1	2	4	1	0	0	238	333	429	762	190	235	16	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	25	20	6	1	0	1	3	3	1	0	0	300	417	500	917	200	294	12	12	393	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	401	335	73	16	1	7	48	96	15	11	5	218	342	334	676	116	281	24	12	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	401	310	81	18	1	9	73	70	15	11	5	261	425	413	838	152	308	17	18	382	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	378	324	72	17	1	2	40	100	11	9	5	222	328	299	627	77	311	26	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	378	309	84	23	1	3	55	77	11	9	5	272	400	382	782	110	349	20	15	358	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	305	266	36	9	0	5	31	90	8	4	4	135	246	226	471	90	181	30	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	—	305	254	44	11	0	5	43	71	8	4	4	173	311	276	587	102	219	23	14	281	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	256	221	43	8	0	6	29	64	6	0	1	195	305	312	617	118	245	25	11	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	256	208	51	10	0	10	42	51	6	0	1	245	387	438	824	192	279	20	16	373	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	275	235	37	3	0	9	27	83	9	3	1	157	269	285	554	128	193	30	10	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	—	275	223	44	4	0	13	39	69	9	3	1	197	339	390	730	193	217	25	14	329	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	25	22	5	1	0	1	2	4	1	0	0	227	333	409	742	182	223	16	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	401	335	73	16	1	7	48	96	15	11	5	218	342	334	676	116	273	24	12	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	378	324	72	17	1	2	40	100	11	9	5	222	328	299	627	77	304	26	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	305	263	36	9	0	5	31	90	8	4	4	137	246	228	474	91	182	30	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	256	219	43	8	0	6	29	64	6	0	1	196	305	315	620	119	242	25	11	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	275	237	37	3	0	9	27	83	9	3	1	156	269	283	552	127	190	30	10	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	305	263	36	9	0	5	31	90	8	4	4	137	246	228	474	91	182	30	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	256	219	43	8	0	6	29	64	6	0	1	196	305	315	620	119	242	25	11	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	275	237	37	3	0	9	27	83	9	3	1	156	269	283	552	127	190	30	10	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIN	10%	325	281	52	9	0	9	33	92	8	3	1	185	290	313	604	128	238	28	10	278	74	-10	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIN	10%	25	21	5	1	0	1	3	7	1	0	0	186	290	314	604	128	238	28	12	278	74	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIN	38%	303	262	48	8	0	8	31	86	7	2	1	187	290	314	603	127	240	28	10	278	74	-9	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIN	49%	329	286	53	9	0	9	33	93	7	1	1	187	288	312	600	125	241	28	10	276	73	-11	-0	-1	+6	+7	0.1
2030	30	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	346	301	57	10	0	9	34	98	8	0	1	187	286	309	595	122	242	28	10	274	71	-12	-0	-2	+6	+7	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIN	38%	114	98	18	3	0	3	12	32	3	1	0	187	290	314	604	127	240	28	11	278	74	-4	+0	-0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIN	49%	160	139	25	4	0	4	16	45	4	1	1	187	289	313	601	125	241	28	10	276	73	-5	-0	-1	+3	+3	0.0
2030	30	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	191	166	31	5	0	5	19	54	4	0	1	187	286	309	596	122	242	28	10	274	71	-6	-0	-1	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	465	403	74	12	0	12	47	131	11	2	2	184	286	303	589	119	236	28	10	276	71	-15	-0	-2	+8	+10	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	563	104	17	0	17	66	183	15	3	3	185	287	306	592	121	237	28	10	276	71	-21	-1	-3	+12	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2868	2467	464	88	2	63	301	785	78	32	20	188	296	302	598	114	245	27	10	274	71	-39	-1	-4	+22	+27	0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	559	104	20	0	14	68	178	18	7	5	186	295	297	592	111	243	27	10	274	71	-21	-0	-2	+12	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Lou Criger'01-'12 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,522 PA	3.8	2,522	6	31	203*	288*	330*	+44	-1	3.8	4.2
/162	664	2	8	+11.6	-0.3	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.7	490	13	2	188	286	313	+9	+8	0.6	0.6
/162	664	17	2	+11.9	+10.8	0.7	pk7: 1
#6Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Noah Cardenas (OGILVIE)	27	39	48	44	58	184/288/311	127	238	7	2	28%	10%	74	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brendon Davis 2024 · AAA	27	38→45	49→50	46→50	44	199/273/349	150	262	17	9	30%	8%	76	-0.4	195/275/309	114	269	11	17	30%	8%	68	-1.0	174/261/272	98	240	9	22	29%	8%	52	-1.8
✕Zack Short 2022 · MLB	27	36→39	49→50	47→45	50	191/290/335	145	253	18	7	31%	11%	80	-0.2	191/285/310	119	267	12	10	30%	11%	72	-0.7	178/278/282	104	251	10	11	31%	12%	62	-0.9
✕Dan Butler 2014 · AAA	27	42→39	47→45	44→40	47	215/281/352	136	253	15	4	22%	7%	79	-0.2	212/274/313	101	275	8	3	24%	7%	67	-1.1	206/274/297	91	259	8	0	22%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Brian O'Keefe 2021 · AA	28	41→42	46→50	45→40	47	208/278/334	126	258	14	5	25%	8%	74	-0.6	215/271/365	150	287	19	5	31%	7%	78	-0.3	197/258/354	157	242	18	1	27%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Cam Devanney 2024 · AAA	27	43→42	48→50	43→45	45	219/284/368	149	274	15	7	26%	7%	84	+0.1	216/277/360	144	293	16	8	30%	6%	79	-0.2	205/266/344	140	282	16	7	32%	6%	69	-0.8
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	45	48→40	48	196/284/317	121	252	12	5	26%	9%	73	-0.6	215/295/329	114	287	12	7	27%	9%	79	-0.2	193/288/250	57	260	7	0	26%	11%	57	-0.4
✕Paul McIntosh 2024 · AAA	26	42→43	49→45	45	47	215/296/360	145	278	17	8	28%	9%	87	+0.4	216/284/339	123	270	14	6	25%	7%	77	-0.3	209/277/327	118	257	13	4	23%	7%	69	-0.5
✕Xavier Fernández 2022 · AAA	27	44	48→45	47→40	43	226/277/355	129	272	17	6	24%	6%	78	-0.3	234/283/352	118	280	12	4	20%	6%	79	-0.2	237/286/356	119	279	11	1	19%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Brian Serven 2022 · AAA	27	36	49→50	47→30	39	196/249/341	145	242	18	5	28%	5%	65	-1.2	199/261/319	120	261	14	4	28%	7%	63	-1.3	212/290/326	114	302	11	1	31%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Steve Holm 2007 · AA	27	38	51→50	46→40	42	207/266/359	152	256	20	4	28%	6%	75	-0.5	225/293/351	126	269	13	4	21%	7%	83	+0.1	223/292/335	112	262	11	2	19%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB	27	39→38	51→55	46→40	49	202/292/372	169	266	17	6	30%	10%	88	+0.4	195/282/347	152	248	18	6	28%	10%	79	-0.2	169/263/310	141	204	20	3	28%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Lucas May 2012 · MLB	27	42→43	47→55	43→45	42	212/270/347	135	278	15	6	29%	7%	74	-0.6	195/233/301	106	268	10	6	30%	4%	48	-2.5	179/206/266	87	250	7	3	31%	3%	27	-1.6
✕Andrew Susac 2017 · MLB	27	43→39	48→50	47→30	44	217/281/356	138	284	15	3	29%	8%	80	-0.2	200/275/341	141	279	17	5	33%	9%	74	-0.5	168/255/307	139	232	18	0	35%	10%	60	-0.5
✕Alex Isola 2024 · AA	26	44	49→50	44→40	47	224/291/365	141	278	17	5	26%	8%	86	+0.3	208/271/321	113	264	12	8	25%	7%	68	-1.0	174/240/261	87	216	9	6	24%	7%	42	-1.7
✕Davis Wendzel 2024 · AAA	27	35→32	51→50	41→40	46	192/275/342	150	242	20	4	30%	9%	76	-0.4	203/279/339	136	246	16	6	24%	8%	76	-0.4	194/271/323	128	229	14	4	22%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Quincy McAfee 2024 · AA	26	38	46→45	46→45	46	196/281/327	130	253	13	9	27%	8%	74	-0.5	203/272/330	127	250	14	11	24%	6%	71	-0.8	170/237/280	109	197	14	12	22%	5%	43	-1.3
✕Julio E. Rodriguez 2024 · AA	27	39	49→45	48→30	43	204/275/340	136	277	19	4	33%	8%	74	-0.5	203/257/315	112	268	12	6	28%	6%	61	-1.5	178/224/258	80	226	7	2	24%	4%	32	-0.8
✕Grayson Greiner 2020 · MLB	27	42	44→45	45→30	45	211/276/327	115	281	12	3	29%	8%	71	-0.8	202/265/319	117	311	13	4	37%	7%	65	-1.2	182/246/266	84	328	9	1	44%	7%	44	-0.9
✕Chase Pinder 2023 · AAA	27	44	49→45	43→45	55	225/318/375	150	274	16	9	24%	11%	98	+1.2	228/320/353	125	304	12	11	26%	11%	94	+0.9	220/323/339	119	304	11	14	28%	12%	88	+0.2
✕Donny Sands 2022 · AAA	26	44	48→45	44→40	45	225/275/362	138	258	16	5	21%	6%	78	-0.3	228/290/335	107	289	11	4	23%	8%	78	-0.3	224/293/314	91	292	8	2	24%	9%	72	-0.4

Noah Cardenas

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps