Ronny Henriquez — OGILVIE

Ronny Henriquez P Miami Marlins

Age 26 RHP 5'10" / 155 lbs MLB Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 0.6 · 2027 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9385vR 77

ERA3.39

FIP3.59

K%30.1%

BB%7.0%

K-BB%23.1%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL5050

CMD6565

K†7070

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p8196.7

Whiff%

p9036.0%

p9032.3%

xwOBA vs

p900.270

SL+12.7 (52%)

SI (2%)

FB-1.3 (32%)

CH-1.7 (17%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2022

Service 1.669 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.2M	+$0.1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2028	Arb-1	$2M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2029	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.3M
2030	Arb-3	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 2	11	11	58	219	79	8	2	100%	5.3	24.5%	4.6%	20.0%	1.3%	1.55	2.31	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 2	11	11	58	219	79	8	2	100%	5.3	36.1%	3.7%	32.4%	0.9%	1.55	1.24	—
2019	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	21	19	82	357	99	27	6	90%	3.9	20.5%	8.9%	11.6%	1.8%	4.50	3.51	—
2019	19	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	21	19	82	357	99	27	6	90%	3.9	27.7%	7.6%	20.2%	1.7%	4.50	2.62	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	16	94	387	105	25	17	76%	4.5	21.7%	7.2%	14.5%	4.9%	4.71	4.88	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	16	94	387	105	25	17	76%	4.5	27.1%	6.5%	20.7%	4.4%	4.71	4.02	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	14	107	462	115	36	20	52%	4.0	22.1%	8.1%	14.0%	5.3%	5.30	5.20	-0.4
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	14	107	462	115	36	20	52%	4.0	24.9%	7.8%	17.1%	4.3%	5.30	4.39	+0.6
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	61	280	53	39	6	0%	1.6	15.5%	12.4%	3.2%	2.5%	5.64	4.73	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	61	280	53	39	6	0%	1.6	15.5%	12.4%	3.2%	2.5%	5.64	4.73	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	61	280	53	39	6	0%	1.6	18.9%	13.9%	5.0%	2.1%	5.64	4.57	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	4	74	319	74	21	11	8%	1.5	20.1%	6.1%	14.0%	3.6%	3.39	4.16	+0.3
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	4	74	319	74	21	11	8%	1.5	20.1%	6.1%	14.0%	3.6%	3.39	4.16	+0.3
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	4	74	319	74	21	11	8%	1.5	23.2%	6.6%	16.6%	3.4%	3.39	3.88	+0.6
2025	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	69	0	73	303	98	25	8	0%	1.1	32.3%	8.3%	24.1%	2.8%	2.22	2.94	+1.4
2025	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	69	0	73	303	98	25	8	0%	1.1	32.3%	8.3%	24.1%	2.8%	2.22	2.94	+1.4
2025	25	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	69	0	73	303	98	25	8	0%	1.1	32.3%	8.3%	24.1%	2.6%	2.22	2.87	+1.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			88	1	104	435	122	32	11	1%	1.2	28.0%	7.4%	20.7%	2.5%	2.42	3.05	+1.9
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	MIA	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	30.1%	7.0%	23.1%	3.2%	3.39	3.59	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIA	72	0	76	320	96	23	10	0%	1.1	30.1%	7.1%	23.0%	3.3%	3.53	3.63	+0.9
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIA	70	0	73	310	93	22	10	0%	1.0	30.0%	7.2%	22.7%	3.4%	3.64	3.71	+0.8
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIA	67	0	70	296	87	22	10	0%	1.0	29.4%	7.5%	21.9%	3.5%	3.78	3.87	+0.6
2030	30	MLB MLE	MIA	63	0	66	278	80	22	10	0%	1.0	28.7%	7.8%	20.9%	3.7%	3.96	4.08	+0.4
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIA	69	0	72	304	91	22	9	0%	1.0	30.1%	7.1%	23.0%	3.1%	3.44	3.54	+0.8
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIA	67	0	70	296	89	21	9	0%	1.0	30.0%	7.2%	22.7%	3.2%	3.55	3.62	+0.7
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIA	64	0	67	283	83	21	9	0%	1.0	29.4%	7.5%	21.9%	3.3%	3.68	3.77	+0.6
2030	30	MLB CTX	MIA	60	0	63	266	76	21	9	0%	1.1	28.7%	7.8%	20.9%	3.5%	3.86	3.98	+0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		346	1	375	1579	460	116	49	0%	1.1	29.1%	7.4%	21.8%	3.1%	3.29	3.26	+5.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		185	1	200	842	245	62	26	0%	1.1	29.1%	7.4%	21.8%	3.1%	3.29	3.26	+3.1
Career	—	MLE		238	64	549	2327	519	186	80	27%	2.3	22.3%	8.0%	14.3%	3.4%	4.05	4.12	+4.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		87	23	200	848	189	68	29	27%	2.3	22.3%	8.0%	14.3%	3.4%	4.05	4.12	+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ronny Henriquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.59	30.1%	7.0%	3.2%	—	3.73	29.8%	22.6%	219	+0.14	—	—	—
Luke Bard R 2017 · 2.87 FIP	26	SU	2.87	28.7%	8.0%	2.1%	.362	4.57	21.8%	13.9%	128	+1.70	2.87	388	72
Raynel Espinal R 2018 · 2.60 FIP	26	SU	2.60	29.1%	9.1%	1.5%	.313	3.75	21.4%	13.0%	193	+1.15	2.48	507	72
Andrew Kittredge R 2016 · 3.08 FIP	26	SU	3.08	23.1%	6.6%	2.0%	.353	2.96	25.6%	19.7%	255	-0.12	2.47	688	71
Zac Grotz R 2019 · 2.90 FIP	26	SU	2.90	24.8%	6.0%	2.1%	.300	5.82	12.1%	3.9%	10	+2.92	2.89	183	70
Nick Robertson R 2023 · 3.38 FIP	25	SU	3.38	26.4%	6.7%	3.0%	.325	4.03	21.9%	11.9%	158	+0.65	3.11	337	70
Garrett Whitlock R 2022 · 3.29 FIP	26	SW	3.29	26.4%	4.8%	3.3%	.270	2.92	26.5%	20.5%	177	-0.37	1.81	572	68
Gerardo Reyes R 2019 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	29.8%	10.1%	4.0%	.310	4.50	24.7%	9.0%	46	+0.47	3.15	371	68
Daniel Hudson R 2015 · 3.35 FIP	28	SU	3.35	24.5%	7.9%	2.4%	.302	3.78	22.8%	13.6%	168	+0.43	1.68	468	67
Nick Goody R 2017 · 3.12 FIP	26	SU	3.12	32.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.258	5.43	26.3%	14.9%	88	+2.31	2.36	305	67
Arodys Vizcaíno R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	26	SU	3.51	27.2%	8.5%	3.0%	.243	3.47	25.3%	16.4%	38	-0.04	2.28	183	67
Justin Slaten R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	25	SU	4.63	30.3%	8.7%	5.5%	.314	2.91	24.4%	19.4%	121	-1.72	2.43	305	66
Joshua Loeschorn R 2023 · 3.86 FIP	23	SU	3.86	24.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.272	4.43	17.1%	8.4%	83	+0.57	3.08	151	66
Mychal Givens R 2016 · 2.84 FIP	26	SU	2.84	30.7%	10.9%	1.7%	.299	3.27	28.3%	20.0%	218	+0.43	1.77	526	66
Trevor Gott R 2019 · 2.97 FIP	26	SU	2.97	26.6%	7.9%	2.0%	.272	4.64	24.1%	15.6%	99	+1.67	2.71	455	66
AJ Ramos R 2015 · 2.89 FIP	28	SU	2.89	31.4%	9.4%	2.3%	.247	3.43	26.8%	14.0%	142	+0.54	2.55	266	65
Simon Castro R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.58	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.30	3.01	185	65
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	65
Jonathan Aro R 2017 · 3.72 FIP	26	SU	3.72	25.3%	6.9%	3.4%	.252	3.56	14.6%	8.1%	108	-0.16	2.57	323	65
Grant Anderson R 2023 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	25.4%	8.7%	3.4%	.310	4.00	23.6%	15.0%	183	+0.09	3.38	439	65
Ben Heller R 2017 · 2.86 FIP	25	SU	2.86	32.4%	9.4%	2.4%	.243	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	246	65

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	71	29.7%	7.3%	1.32	3.65
Giovanny Gallegos ('24)	1.5	52	29.4%	6.6%	1.19	3.46
Blake Parker ('21)	1.2	60	26.6%	7.3%	1.40	3.36
Chris Devenski ('24)	1.9	62	26.0%	6.9%	1.25	3.61
Sean Doolittle ('21)	1.2	49	28.7%	6.2%	1.18	3.31
Erik Swanson ('24)	1.3	51	26.2%	6.5%	1.57	3.70
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63