Ronny Henriquez
P
Miami Marlins
Age 26
RHP
5'10" / 155 lbs
MLB
Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2030
peak 0.5 · 2027
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9283vR 74
ERA3.39
FIP3.61
K%30.3%
BB%7.3%
K-BB%23.0%
ROS IP77
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p8196.7
Whiff%
p9036.0%
K%
p9032.3%
xwOBA vs
p900.270
SL+12.7 (52%)
SI (2%)
FB-1.3 (32%)
CH-1.7 (17%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rangers 2 | 11 | 11 | 58 | 219 | 79 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.3 | 24.5% | 4.6% | 20.0% | 1.3% | 1.55 | 2.31 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rangers 2 | 11 | 11 | 58 | 219 | 79 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.3 | 36.1% | 3.7% | 32.4% | 0.9% | 1.55 | 1.24 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 21 | 19 | 82 | 357 | 99 | 27 | 6 | 90% | 3.9 | 20.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 1.6% | 4.50 | 3.38 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 21 | 19 | 82 | 357 | 99 | 27 | 6 | 90% | 3.9 | 27.7% | 7.6% | 20.2% | 1.7% | 4.50 | 2.62 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 16 | 94 | 387 | 105 | 25 | 17 | 76% | 4.5 | 21.7% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 4.6% | 4.71 | 4.73 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 16 | 94 | 387 | 105 | 25 | 17 | 76% | 4.5 | 27.1% | 6.5% | 20.7% | 4.4% | 4.71 | 4.02 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 14 | 107 | 462 | 115 | 36 | 20 | 52% | 4.0 | 22.1% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 6.1% | 5.30 | 5.64 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 14 | 107 | 462 | 115 | 36 | 20 | 52% | 4.0 | 24.9% | 7.8% | 17.1% | 4.3% | 5.30 | 4.39 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 61 | 280 | 53 | 39 | 6 | 0% | 1.6 | 16.5% | 14.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.64 | 4.90 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 61 | 280 | 53 | 39 | 6 | 0% | 1.6 | 18.9% | 13.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 5.64 | 4.57 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 4 | 74 | 319 | 74 | 21 | 11 | 8% | 1.5 | 21.0% | 6.8% | 14.1% | 3.5% | 3.39 | 4.12 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 4 | 74 | 319 | 74 | 21 | 11 | 8% | 1.5 | 23.2% | 6.6% | 16.6% | 3.4% | 3.39 | 3.88 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 69 | 0 | 73 | 303 | 98 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 32.3% | 8.3% | 24.1% | 2.8% | 2.22 | 2.95 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 69 | 0 | 73 | 303 | 98 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 32.3% | 8.3% | 24.1% | 2.6% | 2.22 | 2.87 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 49 | 0 | 52 | 218 | 66 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.3% | 7.3% | 23.0% | 3.2% | 3.39 | 3.61 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 72 | 0 | 76 | 320 | 97 | 24 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.3% | 7.4% | 22.9% | 3.3% | 3.54 | 3.65 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 70 | 0 | 73 | 310 | 94 | 23 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.2% | 7.6% | 22.6% | 3.4% | 3.65 | 3.73 | +0.9 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 69 | 0 | 72 | 304 | 92 | 23 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.3% | 7.4% | 22.9% | 3.2% | 3.49 | 3.60 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 89 | 22 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.2% | 7.6% | 22.6% | 3.3% | 3.60 | 3.68 | +0.9 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 223 | 1 | 246 | 1033 | 303 | 77 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.3% | 7.4% | 21.9% | 2.9% | 3.07 | 3.17 | +6.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 181 | 1 | 200 | 841 | 247 | 63 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.3% | 7.4% | 21.9% | 2.9% | 3.07 | 3.17 | +5.2 | ||
| Career | — | 238 | 64 | 549 | 2327 | 524 | 195 | 81 | 27% | 2.3 | 22.5% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 3.5% | 4.05 | 4.18 | +7.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 87 | 23 | 200 | 848 | 191 | 71 | 30 | 27% | 2.3 | 22.5% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 3.5% | 4.05 | 4.18 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ronny Henriquez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.61 | 30.3% | 7.3% | 3.2% | — | 3.69 | 30.3% | 22.8% | 149 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Luke Bard R 2026 · 2.90 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.90 | 28.7% | 8.0% | 2.2% | .362 | 4.73 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 128 | +1.83 | 2.90 | 388 | 73 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2026 · 2.57 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.57 | 29.1% | 9.1% | 1.4% | .313 | 3.56 | 21.4% | 13.0% | 193 | +0.99 | 2.53 | 507 | 72 |
| Andrew Kittredge R 2026 · 3.22 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.22 | 23.1% | 6.6% | 2.2% | .353 | 2.97 | 25.6% | 19.7% | 255 | -0.25 | 2.47 | 667 | 72 |
| Zac Grotz R 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.33 | 24.8% | 6.0% | 2.8% | .300 | 5.29 | 12.1% | 3.9% | 10 | +1.96 | 2.89 | 183 | 71 |
| Jack Perkins R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.98 | 27.3% | 8.7% | 3.8% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 324 | 69 |
| Gerardo Reyes R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.18 | 29.8% | 10.1% | 4.2% | .310 | 4.54 | 24.7% | 9.0% | 46 | +0.36 | 3.24 | 371 | 68 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2028 · 3.31 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.31 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .302 | 3.78 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 168 | +0.47 | 1.74 | 468 | 67 |
| Garrett Whitlock R 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.23 | 26.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | .270 | 2.87 | 26.7% | 20.6% | 177 | -0.36 | 1.80 | 556 | 66 |
| Nick Goody R 2026 · 3.13 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.13 | 32.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .258 | 5.48 | 26.3% | 14.9% | 88 | +2.35 | 2.31 | 305 | 66 |
| Mychal Givens R 2026 · 2.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.86 | 30.7% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .299 | 3.32 | 28.3% | 20.0% | 218 | +0.46 | 1.75 | 526 | 66 |
| AJ Ramos R 2028 · 2.89 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.89 | 31.4% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .247 | 3.43 | 26.8% | 14.0% | 142 | +0.54 | 2.55 | 266 | 66 |
| Trevor Gott R 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.97 | 26.6% | 7.9% | 2.0% | .272 | 4.75 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 99 | +1.78 | 2.72 | 454 | 66 |
| Arodys Vizcaíno R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.51 | 27.2% | 8.5% | 3.0% | .243 | 3.47 | 25.3% | 16.4% | 38 | -0.04 | 2.25 | 183 | 66 |
| Grant Anderson R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.93 | 26.3% | 9.4% | 3.4% | .310 | 4.12 | 23.3% | 14.4% | 166 | +0.19 | 3.35 | 422 | 65 |
| Simon Castro R 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 65 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2028 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 65 |
| Jonathan Aro R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.79 | 25.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% | .252 | 3.60 | 14.6% | 8.1% | 108 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 323 | 65 |
| Spencer Patton R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.46 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .295 | 2.74 | 30.3% | 18.1% | 57 | -0.72 | 2.74 | 239 | 65 |
| Ben Heller R 2025 · 2.65 FIP | 25 | SU | 2.65 | 32.4% | 9.4% | 2.0% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 246 | 65 |
| Juan Minaya R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.67 | 24.4% | 9.6% | 2.6% | .291 | 3.51 | 25.1% | 14.5% | 132 | -0.16 | 3.17 | 446 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 67 | 30.3% | 7.4% | 1.27 | 3.54 |
| Blake Parker ('21) | 4 | 60 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 1.40 | 3.36 |
| Sean Doolittle ('21) | 5 | 49 | 28.7% | 6.2% | 1.18 | 3.31 |
| Giovanny Gallegos ('24) | 6 | 52 | 29.4% | 6.6% | 1.19 | 3.46 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Adbert Alzolay ('23) | 3 | 70 | 26.1% | 7.0% | 1.32 | 3.84 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |