Andrew Kittredge
P
Norfolk Tides
+0.6
WAR
Age 36
RHP
6'1" / 235 lbs
AAA
peak 0.6 · 2026
ERA3.52
FIP3.84
xFIP2.62
SIERA2.49
K%26.3%
BB%6.3%
K-BB%20.0%
IP46
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL6060
CMD6060
K†6060
FB Velo
p5294.7
Whiff%
p7929.8%
K%
p9030.8%
xwOBA vs
p900.261
SL+11.2 (53%)
SI (36%)
FB-2.8 (46%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 36 | 3 | 75 | 322 | 60 | 29 | 6 | 15.7% | 9.6% | 2.0% | 4.32 | 4.09 | +0.8 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 37 | 5 | 72 | 309 | 84 | 19 | 5 | 23.1% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 3.50 | 3.09 | +1.6 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 56 | 2 | 84 | 331 | 92 | 20 | 4 | 25.0% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 1.51 | 2.48 | +2.5 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 54 | 4 | 84 | 375 | 88 | 24 | 10 | 21.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 5.02 | 3.77 | +1.3 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 64 | 8 | 87 | 352 | 113 | 17 | 10 | 30.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.21 | 2.76 | +2.4 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 8 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 3 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.25 | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 57 | 4 | 72 | 282 | 77 | 10 | 7 | 27.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.88 | 2.67 | +1.9 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 18 | 0 | 21 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 18.7% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 3.00 | 4.83 | +0.0 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 29 | 0 | 28 | 121 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 16.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 3.86 | 3.27 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 74 | 0 | 71 | 287 | 67 | 18 | 10 | 23.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.80 | 3.84 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 60 | 0 | 59 | 234 | 70 | 12 | 7 | 30.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.20 | 3.03 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.38 | — | — |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | BAL | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 51 | 12 | 6 | 26.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.43 | 3.81 | +0.6 |
| 2026 Total | 36 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 49 | 207 | 56 | 13 | 6 | 27.2% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 3.43 | 3.60 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | BAL | 43 | — | 43 | 181 | 46 | 12 | 6 | 25.5% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.76 | 3.99 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | BAL | 40 | — | 40 | 167 | 41 | 11 | 6 | 24.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 4.01 | 4.17 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | BAL | 36 | — | 36 | 153 | 37 | 11 | 6 | 23.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 4.22 | 4.36 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 496 | 27 | 663 | 2735 | 650 | 164 | 70 | 23.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 3.20 | 3.26 | +15.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 150 | 8 | 200 | 825 | 196 | 49 | 21 | 23.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 3.20 | 3.26 | +4.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andrew Kittredge (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.81 | 26.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | — | 4.16 | 24.7% | 18.0% | 119 | +0.35 | — | — | — |
| Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.02 | 22.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | .292 | 5.18 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 24 | +1.16 | 2.73 | 316 | 74 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.73 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.99 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 103 | +0.26 | 3.50 | 219 | 74 |
| Seunghwan Oh R 2026 · 2.92 FIP | 36 | SW | 2.92 | 28.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | .257 | 5.68 | 18.2% | 11.4% | 18 | +2.76 | 1.80 | 226 | 70 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 69 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.55 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | .179 | 4.12 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.57 | 3.55 | 164 | 67 |
| Luis Ayala R 2027 · 3.03 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.03 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | .270 | 3.25 | 12.1% | 5.9% | 57 | +0.22 | 3.01 | 119 | 66 |
| David Robertson R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.72 | 32.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .321 | 2.86 | 31.1% | 21.4% | 201 | -0.86 | 2.00 | 494 | 65 |
| Max Scherzer R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.40 | 31.2% | 7.5% | 3.6% | .351 | 2.77 | 31.1% | 25.5% | 477 | -0.63 | 1.94 | 1,739 | 65 |
| Matt Bush R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.58 | 30.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | .224 | 3.83 | 26.6% | 17.3% | 36 | +0.25 | 2.88 | 249 | 64 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 64 |
| Rafael Martín R 2025 · 4.70 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.70 | 22.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 227 | 63 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 63 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 63 |
| Charlie Morton R 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.14 | 24.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% | .342 | 3.29 | 27.5% | 18.4% | 521 | +0.15 | 2.52 | 1,534 | 62 |
| Brandon McCarthy R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.94 | 19.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | .332 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 248 | 61 |
| Craig Stammen R 2026 · 2.80 FIP | 36 | SU | 2.80 | 19.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | .316 | 3.87 | 22.3% | 18.2% | 129 | +1.07 | 1.83 | 407 | 60 |
| Zack Greinke R 2026 · 2.67 FIP | 36 | SW | 2.67 | 24.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | .319 | 4.35 | 15.5% | 10.9% | 450 | +1.68 | 2.56 | 1,517 | 60 |
| Daniel Bard R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.57 | 26.3% | 11.5% | 2.2% | .337 | 3.61 | 24.6% | 10.3% | 110 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 200 | 60 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.34 | 19.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 138 | 59 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.19 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.0% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 244 | 59 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.