Andrew Kittredge
P
Baltimore Orioles
Age 36
RHP
6'1" / 235 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 32 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9990vR 80
ERA3.42
FIP3.45
K%25.0%
BB%5.3%
K-BB%19.7%
ROS IP32
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4794.3
Whiff%
p3322.9%
K%
p4321.1%
xwOBA vs
p680.294
SL+11.2 (53%)
SI (36%)
FB-2.8 (46%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 3 | 75 | 322 | 60 | 29 | 6 | 8% | 2.1 | 15.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 4.32 | 4.00 | — |
| 2015 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 3 | 75 | 322 | 60 | 29 | 6 | 8% | 2.1 | 18.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 4.32 | 3.70 | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 5 | 72 | 309 | 84 | 19 | 5 | 14% | 1.9 | 23.1% | 6.6% | 16.5% | 2.2% | 3.50 | 3.22 | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 5 | 72 | 309 | 84 | 19 | 5 | 14% | 1.9 | 27.2% | 6.1% | 21.0% | 1.6% | 3.50 | 2.46 | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 2 | 84 | 331 | 92 | 20 | 4 | 4% | 1.5 | 25.0% | 6.3% | 18.7% | 1.2% | 1.51 | 2.47 | +2.5 |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 2 | 84 | 331 | 92 | 20 | 4 | 4% | 1.5 | 27.8% | 6.0% | 21.8% | 1.2% | 1.51 | 2.24 | +2.8 |
| 2018 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 4 | 84 | 375 | 88 | 24 | 10 | 7% | 1.6 | 21.6% | 6.6% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 5.02 | 3.70 | +1.3 |
| 2018 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 4 | 84 | 375 | 88 | 24 | 10 | 7% | 1.6 | 23.5% | 6.4% | 17.1% | 2.7% | 5.02 | 3.41 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 8 | 87 | 352 | 113 | 17 | 10 | 12% | 1.4 | 30.2% | 4.9% | 25.3% | 2.9% | 3.21 | 2.73 | +2.4 |
| 2019 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 8 | 87 | 352 | 113 | 17 | 10 | 12% | 1.4 | 32.1% | 4.8% | 27.3% | 2.8% | 3.21 | 2.58 | +2.6 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 8 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12% | 1.0 | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 3.10 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 8 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12% | 1.0 | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 3.10 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 57 | 4 | 72 | 282 | 77 | 10 | 7 | 7% | 1.3 | 27.3% | 3.5% | 23.8% | 2.6% | 1.88 | 2.69 | +1.8 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 57 | 4 | 72 | 282 | 77 | 10 | 7 | 7% | 1.3 | 27.3% | 3.5% | 23.8% | 2.5% | 1.88 | 2.64 | +1.8 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 21 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.7% | 2.7% | 16.0% | 5.6% | 3.00 | 4.96 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 21 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.0% | 2.5% | 16.5% | 5.1% | 3.00 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 0 | 28 | 121 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.1% | 4.6% | 11.5% | 1.7% | 3.86 | 3.27 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 0 | 28 | 121 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 4.1% | 16.5% | 1.7% | 3.86 | 2.78 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 74 | 0 | 71 | 287 | 67 | 18 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 6.3% | 17.1% | 3.5% | 2.80 | 3.85 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 74 | 0 | 71 | 287 | 67 | 18 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 6.3% | 17.1% | 3.5% | 2.80 | 3.81 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 35 | MIX | 3 levels | 60 | 0 | 59 | 234 | 70 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 4.8% | 26.0% | 3.3% | 3.20 | 2.91 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 35 | MIX | 3 levels | 60 | 0 | 59 | 234 | 70 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.9% | 5.1% | 24.8% | 3.0% | 3.20 | 2.88 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 35 | 0 | 30 | 140 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.3% | 4.6% | 16.7% | 3.7% | 6.23 | 3.92 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | BAL | 30 | 0 | 32 | 133 | 33 | 7 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 5.3% | 19.7% | 3.3% | 3.42 | 3.45 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | BAL | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 5.3% | 19.7% | 3.3% | 3.42 | 3.45 | +0.4 |
| 2026 TOT | 36 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 62 | 273 | 64 | 13 | 9 | — | — | 23.5% | 4.8% | 18.8% | 3.4% | 4.80 | 3.68 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 36 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 57 | 239 | 64 | 13 | 9 | — | — | 26.9% | 5.5% | 21.5% | 3.9% | 5.25 | 3.67 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | BAL | 47 | 0 | 49 | 209 | 51 | 12 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 5.9% | 18.4% | 3.7% | 4.02 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | BAL | 40 | 0 | 42 | 179 | 42 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 6.6% | 16.6% | 4.1% | 4.39 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | BAL | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 50 | 12 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 5.9% | 18.4% | 3.7% | 4.02 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | BAL | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 41 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 6.6% | 16.6% | 4.1% | 4.39 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 456 | 15 | 487 | 2019 | 486 | 109 | 68 | 3% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 5.4% | 18.6% | 3.4% | 3.62 | 3.62 | +10.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 6 | 200 | 830 | 200 | 45 | 28 | 3% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 5.4% | 18.6% | 3.4% | 3.62 | 3.62 | +4.2 | ||
| Career | — | 528 | 27 | 691 | 2863 | 675 | 170 | 75 | 5% | 1.3 | 23.6% | 5.9% | 17.7% | 2.6% | 3.34 | 3.29 | +17.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 153 | 8 | 200 | 829 | 196 | 49 | 22 | 5% | 1.3 | 23.6% | 5.9% | 17.7% | 2.6% | 3.34 | 3.29 | +4.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andrew Kittredge (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.64 | 26.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | — | 4.40 | 23.8% | 17.6% | 92 | +0.76 | — | — | — |
| Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.96 | 22.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | .292 | 5.23 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 24 | +1.27 | 2.82 | 316 | 76 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.70 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .278 | 4.06 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 103 | +0.36 | 3.51 | 219 | 75 |
| Seunghwan Oh R 2026 · 2.63 FIP | 36 | SU | 2.63 | 28.8% | 5.8% | 2.2% | .257 | 5.30 | 18.2% | 11.4% | 18 | +2.67 | 1.81 | 226 | 70 |
| Luis Ayala R 2027 · 3.02 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.02 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | .270 | 3.22 | 12.1% | 5.9% | 57 | +0.20 | 2.99 | 119 | 70 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 68 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 68 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 66 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 66 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 65 |
| Rafael Martín R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.60 | 22.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 227 | 64 |
| Tony Barnette R 2024 · 2.63 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.63 | 25.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | .239 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63 | 144 | 64 |
| Craig Stammen R 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.10 | 19.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | .316 | 4.17 | 22.3% | 18.2% | 129 | +1.07 | 1.87 | 407 | 63 |
| Matt Bush R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.95 | 30.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | .224 | 3.83 | 26.6% | 17.3% | 36 | -0.12 | 2.86 | 249 | 63 |
| David Robertson R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.73 | 32.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .321 | 2.89 | 31.1% | 21.4% | 201 | -0.84 | 1.99 | 494 | 62 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 2.51 FIP | 36 | SU | 2.51 | 25.0% | 7.3% | 1.1% | .266 | 4.00 | 25.2% | 17.7% | 37 | +1.49 | 2.01 | 380 | 61 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 60 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.28 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.2% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 244 | 60 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 60 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.53 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% | .298 | 5.49 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.96 | 3.17 | 225 | 59 |
| Blaine Boyer R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.21 | 18.0% | 7.6% | 1.2% | .341 | 7.33 | 8.3% | -0.9% | 22 | +4.12 | 3.21 | 209 | 59 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 50 | 25.0% | 5.9% | 1.40 | 3.97 |
| Eli Morgan ('24) | 4 | 66 | 23.8% | 6.4% | 1.46 | 3.97 |
| Erik Swanson ('24) | 5 | 51 | 26.2% | 6.5% | 1.57 | 3.70 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Adbert Alzolay ('23) | 3 | 70 | 26.1% | 7.0% | 1.32 | 3.84 |
| Blake Parker ('21) | 4 | 60 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 1.40 | 3.36 |
| Joe Blanton ('17) | 3 | 67 | 24.2% | 6.7% | 1.08 | 3.32 |