Ryne Stanek
P
St. Louis Cardinals
+0.4
WAR
Age 35
RHP
6'4" / 226 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA4.59
FIP4.46
xFIP5.00
SIERA4.69
K%24.1%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%13.2%
IP48
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
STUF6060
CTRL3535
CMD5050
K†6565
FB Velo
p9098.2
Whiff%
p9038.0%
K%
p7025.9%
xwOBA vs
p130.356
SI (10%)
FB-1.6 (62%)
SL-1.9 (26%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 25 | 17 | 112 | 452 | 79 | 46 | 9 | 13.8% | 11.4% | 2.5% | 3.04 | 4.77 | +0.7 |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 34 | 11 | 103 | 430 | 113 | 48 | 9 | 21.6% | 12.1% | 2.3% | 4.30 | 4.05 | +1.4 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 58 | 0 | 65 | 269 | 89 | 26 | 6 | 30.4% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 2.64 | 3.06 | +1.4 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 69 | 29 | 76 | 303 | 98 | 32 | 9 | 30.8% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 2.84 | 3.66 | +1.2 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 63 | 27 | 77 | 327 | 89 | 36 | 11 | 27.2% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 3.97 | 4.02 | +0.9 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 9 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 11 | 7 | 3 | — | — | — | 7.20 | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Houston Astros | 72 | 0 | 68 | 290 | 83 | 34 | 8 | 28.6% | 11.7% | 2.7% | 3.42 | 3.63 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Houston Astros | 59 | 0 | 55 | 224 | 62 | 30 | 2 | 27.7% | 13.4% | 0.9% | 1.15 | 2.94 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | Houston Astros | 56 | 0 | 52 | 216 | 51 | 20 | 8 | 23.9% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 4.01 | 4.48 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | New York Mets | 63 | 0 | 55 | 241 | 67 | 23 | 8 | 27.8% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 4.88 | 3.79 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | New York Mets | 65 | 0 | 56 | 255 | 58 | 32 | 7 | 22.7% | 12.5% | 2.7% | 5.30 | 4.23 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 8 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 9 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | 8.59 | — | — |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | STL | 41 | — | 41 | 172 | 47 | 19 | 5 | 27.2% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 4.23 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 35 | MLB | STL | — | — | 48 | 210 | 56 | 24 | 6 | 26.6% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 5.19 | 3.59 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | STL | 45 | — | 45 | 190 | 49 | 22 | 6 | 25.9% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.45 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | STL | 42 | — | 42 | 176 | 44 | 20 | 6 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.59 | 4.63 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 38 | MLB | STL | 38 | — | 38 | 162 | 39 | 19 | 6 | 24.2% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 4.72 | 4.81 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 581 | 84 | 736 | 3093 | 761 | 348 | 86 | 24.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 3.64 | 3.97 | +11.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 158 | 23 | 200 | 840 | 207 | 95 | 23 | 24.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 3.64 | 3.97 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryne Stanek (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.23 | 27.2% | 10.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.62 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 125 | +0.39 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 73 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2024 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 70 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 69 |
| Mark Lowe R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 69 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 69 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.06 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.3% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00 | 320 | 69 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | .284 | 2.39 | 27.2% | 22.6% | 112 | -1.59 | 1.43 | 240 | 68 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2029 · 3.55 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.55 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | .179 | 4.12 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.57 | 3.55 | 164 | 68 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 67 |
| Josh Lueke R 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 67 |
| Mark Serrano R 2024 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 67 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.94 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 147 | 67 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.72 | 21.7% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 303 | 67 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 66 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 66 |
| Radhames Liz R 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.49 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.7% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 110 | 65 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.71 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 244 | 65 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 132 | 65 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 65 |
| Rafael Dolis R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 19.9% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 162 | 65 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.