Ryne Stanek
P
St. Louis Cardinals
Age 35
RHP
6'4" / 226 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 15 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111102vR 93
ERA4.25
FIP4.18
K%25.3%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP15
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9098.2
Whiff%
p7729.5%
K%
p6224.5%
xwOBA vs
p500.312
SI (11%)
FB-1.6 (62%)
SL-1.9 (23%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 17 | 112 | 452 | 79 | 46 | 9 | 68% | 4.5 | 13.8% | 11.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.04 | 4.90 | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 17 | 112 | 452 | 79 | 46 | 9 | 68% | 4.5 | 17.5% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 3.04 | 3.96 | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 11 | 103 | 430 | 113 | 48 | 9 | 32% | 3.0 | 21.6% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 2.0% | 4.30 | 3.91 | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 11 | 103 | 430 | 113 | 48 | 9 | 32% | 3.0 | 26.3% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 2.1% | 4.30 | 3.44 | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 65 | 269 | 89 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.4% | 10.0% | 20.4% | 2.4% | 2.64 | 3.09 | +1.2 |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 65 | 269 | 89 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.1% | 9.7% | 23.4% | 2.2% | 2.64 | 2.76 | +1.4 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 69 | 29 | 76 | 303 | 98 | 32 | 9 | 42% | 1.1 | 30.8% | 9.9% | 20.9% | 3.2% | 2.84 | 3.52 | +1.2 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 69 | 29 | 76 | 303 | 98 | 32 | 9 | 42% | 1.1 | 32.3% | 10.6% | 21.8% | 3.0% | 2.84 | 3.32 | +1.4 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 63 | 27 | 77 | 327 | 89 | 36 | 11 | 43% | 1.2 | 27.2% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 3.6% | 3.97 | 4.15 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 63 | 27 | 77 | 327 | 89 | 36 | 11 | 43% | 1.2 | 27.2% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 3.4% | 3.97 | 4.05 | +0.8 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 9 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 14.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.20 | 6.44 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 9 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 14.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.20 | 6.90 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Houston Astros | 72 | 0 | 68 | 290 | 83 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.6% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 2.6% | 3.42 | 3.60 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Houston Astros | 72 | 0 | 68 | 290 | 83 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.6% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 2.8% | 3.42 | 3.69 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Houston Astros | 59 | 0 | 55 | 224 | 62 | 30 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.7% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 0.8% | 1.15 | 2.92 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Houston Astros | 59 | 0 | 55 | 224 | 62 | 30 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.7% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 0.9% | 1.15 | 2.95 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 52 | 216 | 51 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.9% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 3.5% | 4.01 | 4.21 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 52 | 216 | 51 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.6% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 3.7% | 4.01 | 4.30 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | New York Mets | 63 | 0 | 55 | 241 | 67 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.8% | 9.5% | 18.3% | 3.3% | 4.88 | 3.79 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | New York Mets | 63 | 0 | 55 | 241 | 67 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.8% | 9.5% | 18.3% | 3.3% | 4.88 | 3.80 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | New York Mets | 65 | 0 | 56 | 255 | 58 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 5.30 | 4.28 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | New York Mets | 65 | 0 | 56 | 255 | 58 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 5.30 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 41 | 0 | 37 | 163 | 40 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | 4.66 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | STL | 14 | 0 | 15 | 64 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.3% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 3.2% | 4.25 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | STL | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.3% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 3.2% | 4.25 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 35 | MLB | STL | — | — | 52 | 227 | 56 | 27 | 8 | — | — | 24.8% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 3.5% | 4.54 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 35 | MLB | STL | — | — | 52 | 219 | 56 | 27 | 8 | — | — | 25.7% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 3.7% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | STL | 44 | 0 | 46 | 193 | 47 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 3.6% | 4.80 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | STL | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 39 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 5.11 | 5.32 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 38 | MLB | STL | 33 | 0 | 34 | 145 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 5.50 | 5.76 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | STL | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 47 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 3.6% | 4.80 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | STL | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 39 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 5.11 | 5.32 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 38 | MLB | STL | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 5.50 | 5.76 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 636 | 56 | 630 | 2690 | 706 | 310 | 89 | 9% | 1.0 | 26.2% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 3.3% | 4.15 | 4.16 | +9.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 202 | 18 | 200 | 854 | 224 | 98 | 28 | 9% | 1.0 | 26.2% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 3.3% | 4.15 | 4.16 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 614 | 84 | 765 | 3218 | 792 | 363 | 90 | 14% | 1.2 | 24.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 3.65 | 3.99 | +12.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 160 | 22 | 200 | 841 | 207 | 95 | 24 | 14% | 1.2 | 24.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 3.65 | 3.99 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryne Stanek (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 26.0% | 11.2% | 3.1% | — | 5.29 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 120 | +0.90 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 71 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 71 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 70 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2029 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 69 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.71 | 21.7% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .276 | 3.35 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 46 | -0.36 | 3.08 | 349 | 67 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 66 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.15 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.5% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00 | 320 | 65 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.86 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% | .284 | 2.47 | 27.2% | 22.6% | 112 | -1.39 | 1.42 | 240 | 65 |
| Mark Serrano R 2024 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 64 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 64 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 104 | 64 |
| Adam Ottavino R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.43 | 25.7% | 12.0% | 1.8% | .299 | 3.15 | 27.7% | 19.7% | 183 | -0.28 | 1.99 | 488 | 64 |
| Mark Lowe R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 63 |
| Radhames Liz R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.31 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.77 | 110 | 63 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 63 |
| Josh Lueke R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 62 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 62 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 62 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 35 | SW | 5.26 | 25.0% | 11.2% | 5.2% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 212 | 61 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 60 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 43 | 24.2% | 12.3% | 1.43 | 4.91 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |