Ryne Stanek — OGILVIE

Ryne Stanek P St. Louis Cardinals

Age 35 RHP 6'4" / 226 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION59 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109101vR 93

ERA4.20

FIP4.12

K%25.2%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%14.0%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL3535

CMD5050

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9098.1

Whiff%

p7929.9%

p6324.6%

xwOBA vs

p520.310

SI (9%)

FB-1.6 (61%)

SL-1.9 (23%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	17	112	452	79	46	9	68%	4.5	13.8%	11.4%	2.5%	2.6%	3.04	4.78	—
2015	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	17	112	452	79	46	9	68%	4.5	17.5%	10.2%	7.3%	2.0%	3.04	3.96	—
2016	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	11	103	430	113	48	9	32%	3.0	21.6%	12.1%	9.5%	2.2%	4.30	4.02	—
2016	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	11	103	430	113	48	9	32%	3.0	26.3%	11.2%	15.1%	2.1%	4.30	3.44	—
2017	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	65	269	89	26	6	0%	1.1	30.4%	10.0%	20.4%	2.3%	2.64	3.05	+1.2
2017	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	65	269	89	26	6	0%	1.1	33.1%	9.7%	23.4%	2.2%	2.64	2.76	+1.4
2018	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	69	29	76	303	98	32	9	42%	1.1	30.8%	9.9%	20.9%	3.1%	2.84	3.47	+1.0
2018	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	69	29	76	303	98	32	9	42%	1.1	32.3%	10.6%	21.8%	3.0%	2.84	3.32	+1.1
2019	28	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	63	27	77	327	89	36	11	43%	1.2	27.2%	11.0%	16.2%	3.5%	3.97	4.14	+0.4
2019	28	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	63	27	77	327	89	36	11	43%	1.2	27.2%	11.0%	16.2%	3.4%	3.97	4.05	+0.5
2020	29	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	9	0	10	48	11	7	3	0%	1.1	22.9%	14.6%	8.3%	6.2%	7.20	6.44	-0.2
2020	29	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	9	0	10	48	11	7	3	0%	1.1	22.9%	14.6%	8.3%	6.2%	7.20	6.90	-0.3
2021	30	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	72	0	68	290	83	34	8	0%	0.9	28.6%	11.7%	16.9%	2.8%	3.42	3.73	+0.7
2021	30	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	72	0	68	290	83	34	8	0%	0.9	28.6%	11.7%	16.9%	2.8%	3.42	3.69	+0.7
2022	31	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	59	0	55	224	62	30	2	0%	0.9	27.7%	13.4%	14.3%	0.9%	1.15	2.96	+1.0
2022	31	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	59	0	55	224	62	30	2	0%	0.9	27.7%	13.4%	14.3%	0.9%	1.15	2.95	+1.0
2023	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	0	52	216	51	20	8	0%	0.9	23.9%	9.4%	14.6%	3.9%	4.01	4.39	+0.1
2023	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	0	52	216	51	20	8	0%	0.9	23.9%	9.4%	14.6%	3.9%	4.01	4.39	+0.1
2023	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	56	0	52	216	51	20	8	0%	0.9	23.6%	9.3%	14.4%	3.7%	4.01	4.30	+0.2
2024	33	MLB MLE	New York Mets	63	0	55	241	67	23	8	0%	0.9	27.8%	9.5%	18.3%	3.3%	4.88	3.79	+0.5
2024	33	MLB MLE	New York Mets	63	0	55	241	67	23	8	0%	0.9	27.8%	9.5%	18.3%	3.3%	4.88	3.79	+0.5
2024	33	MLB RAW	New York Mets	63	0	55	241	67	23	8	0%	0.9	27.8%	9.5%	18.3%	3.3%	4.88	3.80	+0.5
2025	34	MLB MLE	New York Mets	65	0	56	255	58	32	7	0%	0.9	22.7%	12.5%	10.2%	2.8%	5.30	4.28	+0.2
2025	34	MLB MLE	New York Mets	65	0	56	255	58	32	7	0%	0.9	22.7%	12.5%	10.2%	2.8%	5.30	4.28	+0.2
2025	34	MLB RAW	New York Mets	65	0	56	255	58	32	7	0%	0.9	22.7%	12.5%	10.2%	2.7%	5.30	4.37	+0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			532	56	517	2208	593	246	70	11%	1.0	26.9%	11.1%	15.7%	3.2%	3.90	3.99	+3.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	35	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	66	0	59	252	62	28	9	0%	0.9	24.6%	11.1%	13.5%	3.8%	4.27	4.54	+0.0
YTD	35	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	66	0	59	252	62	28	9	0%	0.9	24.6%	11.1%	13.5%	3.8%	4.27	4.54	+0.0
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	35	MLB RAW	STL	66	0	59	252	62	28	9	0%	0.9	24.6%	11.1%	13.5%	3.6%	4.27	4.39	+0.1
SO FAR	35	MLB RAW	STL	66	0	59	252	62	28	9	0%	0.9	24.6%	11.1%	13.5%	3.6%	4.27	4.39	+0.1
ROS	35	MLB MLE	STL	4	0	4	18	5	2	1	0%	1.1	25.2%	11.2%	14.0%	3.1%	4.20	4.12	+0.0
ROS	35	MLB CTX	STL	4	0	4	17	4	2	1	0%	1.0	25.2%	11.2%	14.0%	3.1%	4.20	4.12	+0.0
2026 TOT	35	MLB MLE	STL	—	—	63	270	67	30	10	—	—	24.6%	11.1%	13.5%	3.5%	4.27	4.51	+0.1
FULL	35	MLB A+C	STL	—	—	63	268	67	30	10	—	—	24.9%	11.2%	13.7%	3.6%	4.27	4.39	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	36	MLB MLE	STL	44	0	46	193	47	23	7	0%	1.0	24.3%	11.8%	12.5%	3.6%	4.79	4.90	-0.2
2028	37	MLB MLE	STL	38	0	40	169	39	21	7	0%	1.1	23.2%	12.4%	10.8%	4.0%	5.10	5.30	-0.3
2027	36	MLB CTX	STL	44	0	46	194	47	23	7	0%	1.0	24.3%	11.8%	12.5%	3.6%	4.79	4.90	-0.2
2028	37	MLB CTX	STL	38	0	40	169	39	21	7	0%	1.1	23.2%	12.4%	10.8%	4.0%	5.10	5.30	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		618	56	607	2589	684	292	84	9%	1.0	26.4%	11.3%	15.1%	3.3%	4.05	4.09	+3.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		203	18	200	852	225	96	28	9%	1.0	26.4%	11.3%	15.1%	3.3%	4.05	4.09	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		639	84	788	3307	814	371	95	13%	1.2	24.6%	11.2%	13.4%	2.9%	3.64	4.01	+2.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		162	21	200	840	207	94	24	13%	1.2	24.6%	11.2%	13.4%	2.9%	3.64	4.01	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryne Stanek (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.39	25.9%	11.2%	3.1%	—	5.09	23.8%	11.7%	86	+0.70	—	—	—
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	73
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.58	22.0%	11.7%	191	+0.06	3.08	366	73
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	72
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	71
Wade Davis R 2021 · 5.18 FIP	35	SU	5.18	20.0%	10.0%	4.5%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.00	320	70
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	70
Ryan Madson R 2016 · 3.93 FIP	35	SU	3.93	18.1%	6.3%	2.9%	.284	2.40	27.2%	22.6%	112	-1.53	1.42	240	69
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	69
Adam Ottavino R 2021 · 3.46 FIP	35	SU	3.46	25.7%	12.0%	1.9%	.299	3.14	27.7%	19.7%	183	-0.32	2.10	488	68
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	67
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	67
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	66
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	66
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	65
Jim Johnson R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	35	SU	4.48	16.8%	7.8%	3.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	251	65
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	65
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2019 · 5.11 FIP	35	SW	5.11	25.0%	11.2%	4.9%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	212	64
Radhames Liz R 2018 · 4.45 FIP	34	SU	4.45	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.343	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	110	64
Joakim Soria R 2019 · 3.52 FIP	35	SU	3.52	28.4%	6.8%	3.6%	.246	3.45	25.1%	17.7%	60	-0.07	2.01	380	64
Jonathan Broxton R 2017 · 4.34 FIP	33	SU	4.34	20.5%	11.5%	2.8%	.412	—	—	—	—	—	3.67	137	63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	46	24.6%	11.8%	1.36	4.76
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84