Michael Rucker
P
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 32
RHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION162 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.34
FIP4.37
xFIP4.22
SIERA4.12
K%23.7%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%14.7%
IP163
K†5555
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
FB Velo
p5194.6
Whiff%
p6527.7%
K%
p5322.7%
xwOBA vs
p390.324
CT+2.9
SL+1.4
CH-0.6
FB-4.4
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | ROK | AZL Cubs | 5 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 36.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.43 | +0.4 |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 27 | 15 | 106 | 421 | 114 | 19 | 6 | 18.9% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 2.38 | 3.29 | +2.6 |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 26 | 26 | 133 | 558 | 118 | 37 | 17 | 17.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.73 | 4.82 | +0.9 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 36 | 1 | 80 | 339 | 93 | 25 | 10 | 22.5% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 4.18 | 3.76 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 39 | 0 | 68 | 293 | 79 | 19 | 13 | 25.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.72 | 4.16 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 51 | 0 | 70 | 297 | 63 | 27 | 8 | 20.7% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 3.34 | 3.96 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 48 | 2 | 62 | 253 | 59 | 24 | 8 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 3.79 | 4.20 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 26 | 0 | 31 | 145 | 39 | 11 | 4 | 22.5% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 6.16 | 4.07 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 22 | 0 | 23 | 102 | 25 | 11 | 1 | 21.6% | 11.3% | 1.1% | 1.59 | 3.30 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | SEA | 30 | 30 | 163 | 687 | 163 | 62 | 22 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 4.34 | 4.37 | +2.0 |
| 2026 Total | 32 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 185 | 789 | 188 | 73 | 23 | 23.8% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.00 | 4.24 | +2.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 27 | 27 | 149 | 630 | 144 | 60 | 22 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 4.53 | 4.65 | +1.3 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 25 | 25 | 136 | 574 | 126 | 57 | 22 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 4.79 | 4.96 | +0.7 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 22 | 22 | 122 | 515 | 108 | 54 | 21 | 21.0% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 5.09 | 5.29 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB | SEA | 20 | 20 | 108 | 456 | 91 | 51 | 20 | 20.0% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 5.43 | 5.66 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 280 | 44 | 580 | 2438 | 509 | 186 | 75 | 20.9% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 3.73 | 4.00 | +9.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 97 | 15 | 200 | 841 | 176 | 64 | 26 | 20.9% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 3.73 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Rucker (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 3.2% | — | 4.95 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 407 | +0.58 | — | — | — |
| Jake Arrieta R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.03 | 19.1% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .283 | 4.89 | 17.9% | 9.6% | 279 | +0.86 | 2.09 | 1,046 | 76 |
| Justin Verlander R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.51 | 21.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | .265 | 3.18 | 29.6% | 23.4% | 648 | -0.33 | 2.24 | 1,584 | 75 |
| Jason Hammel R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.43 | 24.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | .282 | 4.26 | 18.4% | 11.9% | 474 | +0.83 | 3.43 | 645 | 75 |
| James Shields R 2027 · 4.36 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.36 | 25.1% | 8.8% | 4.1% | .292 | 5.12 | 17.9% | 8.6% | 517 | +0.76 | 4.36 | 720 | 75 |
| Andrew Cashner R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.44 | 17.0% | 9.1% | 3.0% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 786 | 72 |
| Edinson Volquez R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.72 | 18.2% | 8.4% | 2.0% | .286 | 4.33 | 17.6% | 7.6% | 282 | +0.61 | 3.72 | 498 | 71 |
| Jarrett Grube R 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.49 | 18.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | .285 | 4.58 | 17.3% | 9.6% | 253 | +1.09 | 3.49 | 393 | 70 |
| Miguel González R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.73 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% | .295 | 4.74 | 14.1% | 6.3% | 168 | +1.01 | 3.73 | 469 | 70 |
| Aníbal Sánchez R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.07 | 20.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | .313 | 4.18 | 21.5% | 14.8% | 424 | -0.89 | 3.49 | 869 | 70 |
| Mike Fiers R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.90 | 21.8% | 9.2% | 4.5% | .290 | 4.76 | 17.5% | 11.5% | 416 | -0.14 | 3.72 | 918 | 69 |
| Tanner Roark R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.36 | 21.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | .313 | 4.76 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 94 | +0.40 | 3.13 | 942 | 68 |
| Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.92 | 22.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 67 |
| Alfredo Simon R 2028 · 4.69 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.69 | 14.3% | 8.2% | 3.2% | .289 | 5.63 | 12.3% | 2.7% | 74 | +0.94 | 4.69 | 261 | 67 |
| Merrill Kelly R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.83 | 19.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | .297 | 3.64 | 23.4% | 15.3% | 452 | -0.19 | 3.54 | 1,073 | 67 |
| Marco Estrada R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.32 | 18.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .213 | 4.55 | 20.6% | 12.0% | 506 | +0.23 | 4.04 | 710 | 67 |
| Jake Peavy R 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.09 | 17.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | .278 | 4.36 | 19.6% | 12.9% | 119 | +0.27 | 4.09 | 262 | 67 |
| Manuel Flores R 2025 · 3.55 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.55 | 15.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | .305 | 4.08 | 17.1% | 9.7% | 122 | +0.53 | 3.55 | 515 | 67 |
| Nestor Molina R 2024 · 4.12 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.12 | 16.1% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 401 | 66 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.63 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 1.9% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 593 | 66 |
| Tomoyuki Sugano R 2029 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.91 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | .279 | 5.13 | 13.6% | 6.6% | 68 | +0.22 | 4.91 | 225 | 66 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.