Luke Jackson
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 34
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 58 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.36
FIP4.49
K%21.2%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%10.6%
ROS IP58
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 84 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4594.2
Whiff%
p3222.7%
K%
p1717.4%
xwOBA vs
p420.321
SL+2.5 (49%)
FB+1.3 (34%)
CU (15%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 5 | 73 | 321 | 85 | 37 | 4 | 11% | 1.6 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 0.8% | 4.33 | 3.14 | +1.4 |
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 5 | 73 | 321 | 85 | 37 | 4 | 11% | 1.6 | 26.5% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 1.2% | 4.33 | 3.00 | +1.5 |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 58 | 270 | 62 | 39 | 10 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.5% | 15.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.12 | 5.71 | -0.8 |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 58 | 270 | 62 | 39 | 10 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.0% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 5.12 | 5.22 | -0.5 |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 4 | 75 | 336 | 56 | 31 | 6 | 8% | 1.4 | 15.8% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 5.16 | 3.99 | +0.8 |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 4 | 75 | 336 | 56 | 31 | 6 | 8% | 1.4 | 16.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 5.16 | 3.89 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 1 | 62 | 266 | 80 | 28 | 3 | 2% | 1.4 | 28.5% | 10.7% | 17.8% | 1.1% | 3.48 | 2.67 | +1.4 |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 1 | 62 | 266 | 80 | 28 | 3 | 2% | 1.4 | 30.1% | 10.5% | 19.5% | 1.1% | 3.48 | 2.50 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 70 | 0 | 73 | 315 | 106 | 22 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.7% | 7.0% | 26.7% | 3.2% | 3.84 | 2.89 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 70 | 0 | 73 | 315 | 106 | 22 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.7% | 7.0% | 26.7% | 3.2% | 3.84 | 2.88 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 19 | 0 | 26 | 132 | 20 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.2% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 6.84 | 3.90 | +0.2 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 19 | 0 | 26 | 132 | 20 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.2% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 6.84 | 4.05 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 71 | 0 | 64 | 261 | 70 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.8% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 2.3% | 1.98 | 3.41 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 71 | 0 | 64 | 261 | 70 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.8% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 2.3% | 1.98 | 3.40 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 4 levels | 41 | 1 | 41 | 176 | 56 | 18 | 3 | 2% | 1.0 | 30.1% | 9.1% | 21.0% | 2.3% | 3.32 | 2.96 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 4 levels | 41 | 1 | 41 | 176 | 56 | 18 | 3 | 2% | 1.0 | 31.8% | 10.2% | 21.6% | 1.7% | 3.32 | 2.63 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 55 | 242 | 60 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.91 | 4.02 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 55 | 242 | 60 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.91 | 4.05 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 0 | 53 | 231 | 42 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 4.22 | 4.02 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 0 | 53 | 231 | 42 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 1.7% | 4.22 | 3.79 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 23 | 0 | 26 | 113 | 25 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 14.6% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 6.92 | 4.02 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | NYM | 55 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 52 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 2.7% | 4.36 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | NYM | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 2.7% | 4.36 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 34 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 84 | 358 | 77 | 45 | 8 | — | — | 21.5% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 5.15 | 4.35 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 34 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 6 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 21.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 2.7% | 4.36 | 4.11 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | NYM | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 44 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.82 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | NYM | 44 | 0 | 46 | 195 | 37 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 4.97 | 5.19 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | NYM | 38 | 0 | 40 | 170 | 31 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.34 | 5.59 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | NYM | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 44 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.82 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | NYM | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 37 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 4.97 | 5.19 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | NYM | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 31 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.34 | 5.59 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 527 | 0 | 554 | 2411 | 542 | 238 | 64 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 4.41 | 3.91 | +9.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 0 | 200 | 871 | 196 | 86 | 23 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 4.41 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 520 | 11 | 605 | 2663 | 630 | 287 | 59 | 2% | 1.2 | 23.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 2.2% | 4.31 | 3.68 | +12.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 172 | 4 | 200 | 880 | 208 | 95 | 19 | 2% | 1.2 | 23.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 2.2% | 4.31 | 3.68 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luke Jackson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 21.2% | 10.5% | 2.7% | — | 5.17 | 19.2% | 7.6% | 138 | +0.68 | — | — | — |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 80 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.83 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.59 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.83 | 208 | 79 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 77 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .309 | 4.58 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.69 | 2.51 | 251 | 77 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.67 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .304 | 3.59 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 113 | -1.08 | 2.78 | 326 | 76 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 76 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 76 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.22 | 18.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | .282 | 3.92 | 18.6% | 12.0% | 67 | -0.30 | 3.92 | 186 | 76 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 75 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 75 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.82 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.22 | 187 | 75 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 74 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.49 | 18.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .262 | 3.63 | 14.0% | 8.2% | 40 | +0.14 | 2.35 | 140 | 74 |
| Brad Peacock R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.03 | 23.9% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 533 | 73 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 3.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.41 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.36 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +0.95 | 3.41 | 144 | 73 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.77 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .294 | 3.35 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.42 | 3.17 | 225 | 73 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 72 |
| Francisco Rodríguez R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .248 | 7.10 | 19.5% | 11.0% | 25 | +3.26 | 2.85 | 141 | 72 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 176 | 71 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 104 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 49 | 19.8% | 11.3% | 1.22 | 4.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |