David Robertson
P
Philadelphia Phillies
Age 41
RHP
5'11" / 195 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 40 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10192vR 83
ERA3.52
FIP3.56
K%30.2%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%22.0%
ROS IP41
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1091.2
Whiff%
p4023.8%
K%
p8228.2%
xwOBA vs
p350.329
SI (5%)
CU (34%)
FB (5%)
CT (50%)
SL-2.9 (10%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 30 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 60 | 0 | 63 | 250 | 86 | 11 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.4% | 4.4% | 30.0% | 2.7% | 3.41 | 2.24 | +1.8 |
| 2015 | 30 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 60 | 0 | 63 | 250 | 86 | 11 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.4% | 4.4% | 30.0% | 2.8% | 3.41 | 2.34 | +1.7 |
| 2016 | 31 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 62 | 0 | 62 | 267 | 75 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.1% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 2.2% | 3.47 | 3.25 | +1.0 |
| 2016 | 31 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 62 | 0 | 62 | 267 | 75 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.1% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 2.2% | 3.47 | 3.29 | +1.0 |
| 2017 | 32 | MLB | New York Yankees | 61 | 0 | 68 | 264 | 98 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 37.1% | 6.8% | 30.3% | 2.1% | 1.84 | 1.99 | +2.2 |
| 2017 | 32 | MLB | New York Yankees | 61 | 0 | 68 | 264 | 98 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 37.1% | 6.8% | 30.3% | 2.3% | 1.84 | 2.16 | +2.0 |
| 2018 | 33 | MLB | New York Yankees | 69 | 0 | 70 | 283 | 91 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.2% | 8.8% | 23.3% | 2.3% | 3.23 | 2.77 | +1.6 |
| 2018 | 33 | MLB | New York Yankees | 69 | 0 | 70 | 283 | 91 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.2% | 8.8% | 23.3% | 2.5% | 3.23 | 2.87 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 34 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 7 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 3.0% | 5.40 | 5.53 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 34 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 7 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 3.0% | 5.40 | 5.95 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 36 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 1 | 18 | 72 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 6% | 1.0 | 32.0% | 8.0% | 24.0% | 4.2% | 3.00 | 3.73 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 36 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 1 | 18 | 72 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 6% | 1.0 | 38.9% | 6.9% | 31.9% | 2.8% | 3.00 | 2.27 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 37 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 58 | 0 | 64 | 264 | 81 | 34 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.7% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 2.2% | 2.40 | 3.35 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 37 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 58 | 0 | 64 | 264 | 81 | 34 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.7% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 2.3% | 2.40 | 3.38 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 38 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 62 | 0 | 65 | 269 | 78 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.0% | 8.6% | 20.4% | 2.8% | 3.03 | 3.25 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 38 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 62 | 0 | 65 | 269 | 78 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.0% | 8.6% | 20.4% | 2.6% | 3.03 | 3.16 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 39 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 68 | 0 | 72 | 296 | 99 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.4% | 7.8% | 25.7% | 1.6% | 3.00 | 2.16 | +2.2 |
| 2024 | 39 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 68 | 0 | 72 | 296 | 99 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.4% | 7.8% | 25.7% | 1.7% | 3.00 | 2.21 | +2.2 |
| 2025 | 40 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 23 | 105 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.2% | 9.0% | 19.2% | 5.0% | 5.48 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 40 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 23 | 105 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.7% | 7.6% | 19.0% | 4.8% | 5.48 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 41 | MLB | PHI | 39 | 0 | 41 | 171 | 52 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.2% | 8.2% | 22.0% | 2.9% | 3.52 | 3.56 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 42 | MLB | PHI | 33 | 0 | 35 | 147 | 43 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.1% | 8.9% | 20.2% | 3.3% | 3.80 | 3.99 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 42 | MLB | PHI | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 43 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.1% | 8.9% | 20.2% | 3.3% | 3.80 | 3.99 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 512 | 1 | 536 | 2201 | 695 | 192 | 56 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.6% | 8.7% | 22.8% | 2.5% | 3.07 | 2.93 | +15.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 0 | 200 | 822 | 259 | 72 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.6% | 8.7% | 22.8% | 2.5% | 3.07 | 2.93 | +5.8 | ||
| Career | — | 491 | 1 | 512 | 2103 | 667 | 183 | 52 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.7% | 8.7% | 23.0% | 2.5% | 3.06 | 2.88 | +15.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 192 | 0 | 200 | 821 | 260 | 72 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.7% | 8.7% | 23.0% | 2.5% | 3.06 | 2.88 | +5.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| David Robertson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.56 | 30.2% | 8.2% | 2.9% | — | 3.99 | 29.1% | 20.2% | 35 | +0.43 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 41 | SU | 3.82 | 24.6% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.07 | 23.3% | 10.4% | 48 | +0.25 | 2.67 | 295 | 59 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 40 | SU | 4.35 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 164 | 57 |
| Koji Uehara R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 41 | SU | 3.26 | 34.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | .252 | 3.47 | 28.1% | 23.0% | 43 | +0.21 | 2.27 | 130 | 51 |
| Rafael Diaz R 2029 · 3.91 FIP | 44 | SW | 3.91 | 17.3% | 10.5% | 1.7% | .301 | 3.13 | 16.2% | 9.4% | 152 | -0.78 | 3.09 | 215 | 41 |
| Gaudencio Aguirre R 2027 · 3.31 FIP | 42 | SU | 3.31 | 14.8% | 8.6% | 0.7% | .293 | 3.98 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 75 | +0.67 | 3.31 | 123 | 37 |
| Luis Ayala R 2024 · 3.94 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.94 | 15.9% | 11.7% | 1.3% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 119 | 35 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2024 · 4.67 FIP | 39 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.7% | 10.4% | 3.0% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 217 | 12 |
| Horacio Ramirez L 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.62 | 5.7% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 199 | 0 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 41 | SW | 4.46 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 1.3% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 149 | 0 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 38 | 29.7% | 8.5% | 1.20 | 3.65 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Diego Castillo ('22) | 5 | 52 | 28.1% | 8.9% | 1.07 | 3.12 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Blake Parker ('21) | 4 | 60 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 1.40 | 3.36 |
| Cody Allen ('19) | 5 | 59 | 31.3% | 10.2% | 1.19 | 3.51 |
| Keone Kela ('19) | 5 | 43 | 30.1% | 9.4% | 0.92 | 3.23 |