David Robertson
P
Philadelphia Phillies
+0.5
WAR
Age 41
RHP
5'11" / 195 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2026
ERA3.46
FIP3.67
xFIP3.49
SIERA3.39
K%28.9%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%20.4%
IP34
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL4545
CMD6565
K†6565
FB Velo
p1091.2
Whiff%
p4023.8%
K%
p8228.2%
xwOBA vs
p350.329
SI (5%)
CU (34%)
FB (5%)
CT (50%)
SL-2.9 (10%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 30 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 60 | 0 | 63 | 250 | 86 | 11 | 7 | 34.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.41 | 2.17 | +2.0 |
| 2016 | 31 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 62 | 0 | 62 | 267 | 75 | 28 | 6 | 28.1% | 10.5% | 2.3% | 3.47 | 3.30 | +1.2 |
| 2017 | 32 | MLB | New York Yankees | 61 | 0 | 68 | 264 | 98 | 18 | 6 | 37.1% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 1.84 | 2.00 | +2.3 |
| 2018 | 33 | MLB | New York Yankees | 69 | 0 | 70 | 283 | 91 | 25 | 7 | 32.2% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 3.23 | 2.77 | +1.8 |
| 2019 | 34 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 7 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | 5.40 | — | — |
| 2021 | 36 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 18 | 1 | 18 | 72 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 32.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 3.00 | 3.72 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 37 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 58 | 0 | 64 | 264 | 81 | 34 | 6 | 30.7% | 12.9% | 2.2% | 2.40 | 3.35 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 38 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 62 | 0 | 65 | 269 | 78 | 23 | 7 | 29.0% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 3.03 | 3.16 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 39 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 68 | 0 | 72 | 296 | 99 | 23 | 5 | 33.4% | 7.8% | 1.6% | 3.00 | 2.15 | +2.4 |
| 2025 | 40 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 26 | 0 | 23 | 105 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 28.2% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 5.48 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 41 | MLB | PHI | 34 | — | 34 | 142 | 41 | 12 | 4 | 28.5% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 3.38 | 3.71 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 42 | MLB | PHI | 31 | — | 31 | 131 | 36 | 12 | 4 | 27.7% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 3.69 | 3.89 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 491 | 1 | 512 | 2103 | 667 | 183 | 51 | 31.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 3.06 | 2.86 | +14.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 192 | 0 | 200 | 821 | 260 | 71 | 20 | 31.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 3.06 | 2.86 | +5.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| David Robertson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.71 | 28.5% | 8.5% | 2.8% | — | 3.89 | 27.7% | 18.8% | 31 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 41 | SW | 3.93 | 24.6% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .311 | 3.89 | 23.3% | 10.4% | 48 | -0.04 | 2.67 | 295 | 61 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 40 | SW | 4.46 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 3.5% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 164 | 59 |
| Jose Contreras R 2028 · 3.54 FIP | 43 | SW | 3.54 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 2.0% | .263 | 2.98 | 20.5% | 13.4% | 57 | -0.56 | 2.98 | 111 | 57 |
| Rafael Diaz R 2029 · 4.05 FIP | 44 | SW | 4.05 | 17.3% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .301 | 3.16 | 16.2% | 9.4% | 152 | -0.89 | 3.06 | 215 | 49 |
| Koji Uehara R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 41 | SU | 3.26 | 34.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | .252 | 3.45 | 28.1% | 23.0% | 43 | +0.19 | 2.35 | 130 | 48 |
| Gaudencio Aguirre R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 42 | SU | 3.26 | 14.8% | 8.6% | 0.6% | .293 | 3.88 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 75 | +0.62 | 3.26 | 123 | 43 |
| Luis Ayala R 2024 · 3.97 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.97 | 15.9% | 11.7% | 1.3% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 119 | 40 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2024 · 4.88 FIP | 39 | SP- | 4.88 | 16.7% | 10.4% | 3.4% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 217 | 25 |
| Francisco Campos R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 42 | SP- | 4.76 | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .303 | 4.00 | 12.2% | 7.0% | 197 | -0.76 | 3.95 | 332 | 17 |
| Tim Hudson R 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 40 | SP- | 4.40 | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 124 | 12 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 41 | SU | 4.55 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 1.5% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 149 | 10 |
| Walter Silva R 2025 · 3.67 FIP | 40 | SP- | 3.67 | 10.4% | 7.6% | 0.9% | .292 | 4.99 | 9.7% | 0.9% | 118 | +1.32 | 3.67 | 428 | 8 |
| Horacio Ramirez L 2024 · 4.64 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.64 | 5.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 199 | 6 |
| Yasutomo Kubo R 2023 · 3.94 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.94 | 20.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 152 | 0 |
| Pablo Ortega R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.38 | 13.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% | .298 | 5.22 | 12.4% | 4.2% | 14 | +0.84 | 4.03 | 375 | 0 |
| A.J. Burnett R 2023 · 3.04 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.04 | 20.5% | 6.7% | 1.5% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 164 | 0 |
| Bartolo Colon R 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 42 | SP | 3.68 | 16.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | .302 | 4.48 | 14.5% | 10.2% | 481 | +0.80 | 3.68 | 676 | 0 |
| Randy Wolf L 2023 · 3.41 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.41 | 16.6% | 7.7% | 1.4% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 174 | 0 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.