Gerardo Reyes — OGILVIE

Gerardo Reyes P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 33 RHP 5'11" / 195 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115106vR 98

ERA4.28

FIP4.28

K%29.6%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%19.0%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF7070

CTRL4545

CMD7070

K†6565

SL (31%)

SI (8%)

FB (62%)

CT-0.7 (8%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	53	227	47	21	3	0%	1.3	15.7%	10.7%	5.0%	1.8%	3.59	4.14	—
2016	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	53	227	47	21	3	0%	1.3	20.7%	9.3%	11.5%	1.3%	3.59	3.25	—
2017	24	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	47	0	62	262	65	31	3	0%	1.3	19.1%	13.6%	5.5%	1.6%	2.63	4.06	—
2017	24	A+ RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	47	0	62	262	65	31	3	0%	1.3	24.8%	11.8%	13.0%	1.1%	2.63	3.13	—
2018	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	55	240	69	28	1	0%	1.2	23.0%	13.1%	9.9%	0.6%	2.77	3.15	—
2018	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	55	240	69	28	1	0%	1.2	28.7%	11.7%	17.1%	0.4%	2.77	2.36	—
2019	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	61	0	71	308	99	30	11	0%	1.2	29.8%	10.1%	19.7%	4.0%	5.05	4.03	+0.4
2019	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	61	0	71	308	99	30	11	0%	1.2	32.1%	9.7%	22.4%	3.6%	5.05	3.59	+0.8
2022	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	48	219	58	34	6	0%	1.0	24.7%	15.7%	8.9%	2.7%	3.78	4.50	+0.0
2022	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	48	219	58	34	6	0%	1.0	26.5%	15.5%	11.0%	2.7%	3.78	4.44	+0.1
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	50	236	66	30	9	0%	1.1	24.9%	11.6%	13.3%	4.1%	5.94	4.72	-0.1
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	50	236	66	30	9	0%	1.1	24.9%	11.6%	13.3%	4.1%	5.94	4.72	-0.1
2023	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	50	236	66	30	9	0%	1.1	28.0%	12.7%	15.3%	3.8%	5.94	4.60	-0.0
2024	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	48	206	62	31	10	0%	1.1	26.5%	13.4%	13.1%	5.8%	4.84	5.77	-0.7
2024	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	48	206	62	31	10	0%	1.1	26.5%	13.4%	13.1%	5.8%	4.84	5.77	-0.7
2024	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	48	206	62	31	10	0%	1.1	30.1%	15.0%	15.0%	4.9%	4.84	5.15	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			40	0	42	196	50	22	6	0%	1.0	25.5%	11.2%	14.3%	3.1%	7.13	4.16	+0.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	33	MLB	OAK	4	0	4	17	5	2	1	0%	1.0	29.6%	10.6%	19.0%	3.6%	4.28	4.28	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	OAK	46	0	49	206	58	23	8	0%	1.1	28.1%	11.0%	17.1%	3.8%	4.47	4.59	-0.0
2028	35	MLB MLE	OAK	42	0	44	185	49	21	8	0%	1.0	26.8%	11.4%	15.4%	4.1%	4.72	4.91	-0.2
2027	34	MLB CTX	OAK	3	0	3	13	4	1	0	0%	1.0	28.1%	11.0%	17.1%	3.8%	4.47	4.59	-0.0
2028	35	MLB CTX	OAK	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	26.8%	11.4%	15.4%	4.1%	4.72	4.91	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		43	0	45	209	54	23	7	0%	1.0	25.7%	11.2%	14.4%	3.1%	6.95	4.06	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		192	0	200	934	241	103	31	0%	1.0	25.7%	11.2%	14.4%	3.1%	6.95	4.06	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		331	0	387	1698	400	212	50	0%	1.2	23.5%	12.5%	11.1%	2.9%	4.07	4.29	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		171	0	200	878	207	109	26	0%	1.2	23.5%	12.5%	11.1%	2.9%	4.07	4.29	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gerardo Reyes (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.28	29.6%	10.6%	3.6%	—	4.74	27.5%	16.3%	92	+0.46	—	—	—
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	72
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	71
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	71
Neftalí Feliz R 2021 · 3.61 FIP	33	SU	3.61	33.6%	9.9%	3.8%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	3.54	291	70
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	68
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	67
Tommy Kahnle R 2023 · 3.66 FIP	33	SU	3.66	29.1%	11.5%	2.8%	.226	4.06	21.4%	10.6%	131	+0.40	1.53	458	66
Jay Jackson R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	33	SU	4.14	31.1%	13.3%	3.6%	.255	4.50	26.1%	20.3%	105	+0.36	2.36	261	66
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	65
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.58	22.0%	11.7%	191	+0.06	3.08	366	65
Tony Barnette R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	22.6%	7.1%	2.7%	.335	2.61	25.0%	20.2%	26	-0.95	2.61	144	65
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	64
Mark Lowe R 2016 · 5.40 FIP	33	SU	5.40	21.9%	8.5%	5.6%	.312	5.03	16.4%	6.4%	49	-0.37	2.37	153	64
Bryan Shaw R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	33	SU	4.39	21.3%	11.4%	3.0%	.274	3.93	19.2%	8.7%	169	-0.46	2.78	596	63
Nate Jones R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	32	SU	4.09	23.4%	10.9%	2.9%	.279	5.85	21.4%	13.8%	38	+1.76	2.57	157	63
Clayton Mortensen R 2017 · 4.59 FIP	32	SU	4.59	23.2%	14.2%	3.0%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	221	63
Bud Norris R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	33	SU	3.65	27.3%	7.3%	3.5%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	316	62
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	62
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	61
Kevin Jepsen R 2017 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	24.3%	10.0%	5.3%	.279	6.61	10.4%	-2.6%	17	+1.36	3.47	160	61

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	49	28.3%	11.0%	1.47	4.48
Michael Feliz ('21)	1.2	47	30.5%	9.8%	1.48	5.05
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41