Gerardo Reyes
P
Las Vegas Aviators
Age 33
RHP
5'11" / 195 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.38
FIP4.40
K%30.7%
BB%12.2%
K-BB%18.5%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL (31%)
SI (8%)
FB (62%)
CT-0.7 (8%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 53 | 227 | 47 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 3.59 | 4.25 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 53 | 227 | 47 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 1.3% | 3.59 | 3.25 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | 47 | 0 | 62 | 262 | 65 | 31 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.1% | 13.6% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 2.63 | 4.14 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | 47 | 0 | 62 | 262 | 65 | 31 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 1.1% | 2.63 | 3.13 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 55 | 240 | 69 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 0.8% | 2.77 | 3.24 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 55 | 240 | 69 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.7% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 0.4% | 2.77 | 2.36 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 61 | 0 | 71 | 308 | 99 | 30 | 11 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.8% | 10.1% | 19.7% | 4.2% | 5.05 | 4.18 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 61 | 0 | 71 | 308 | 99 | 30 | 11 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.1% | 9.7% | 22.4% | 3.6% | 5.05 | 3.59 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 48 | 219 | 58 | 34 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 15.7% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 3.78 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 48 | 219 | 58 | 34 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.5% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 3.78 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 50 | 236 | 66 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.4% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 4.1% | 5.94 | 4.83 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 50 | 236 | 66 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.0% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 3.8% | 5.94 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 48 | 206 | 62 | 31 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.1% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 4.84 | 5.91 | -0.8 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 48 | 206 | 62 | 31 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.1% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 4.9% | 4.84 | 5.15 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 51 | 0 | 54 | 226 | 69 | 28 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.7% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 3.6% | 4.38 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 46 | 0 | 49 | 206 | 60 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.1% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 3.8% | 4.56 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 42 | 0 | 44 | 185 | 51 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.7% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 4.1% | 4.82 | 5.00 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.1% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 3.8% | 4.56 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 27.7% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 4.1% | 4.82 | 5.00 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 43 | 0 | 45 | 209 | 54 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.7% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 3.1% | 6.95 | 4.07 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 192 | 0 | 200 | 934 | 241 | 107 | 31 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.7% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 3.1% | 6.95 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 331 | 0 | 387 | 1698 | 407 | 221 | 52 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.07 | 4.40 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 171 | 0 | 200 | 878 | 210 | 114 | 27 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.07 | 4.40 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gerardo Reyes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 30.7% | 12.2% | 3.6% | — | 4.84 | 28.4% | 15.8% | 92 | +0.44 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 70 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 69 |
| Neftalí Feliz R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 33.6% | 9.9% | 3.8% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 291 | 69 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 69 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 316 | 69 |
| Jay Jackson R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.15 | 31.1% | 13.3% | 3.6% | .255 | 4.61 | 26.6% | 20.6% | 105 | +0.46 | 2.41 | 261 | 67 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 67 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 67 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.65 | 29.1% | 11.5% | 2.8% | .226 | 4.11 | 21.6% | 10.2% | 125 | +0.46 | 1.52 | 452 | 66 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.44 | 24.8% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .356 | 4.68 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 66 | +1.24 | 2.73 | 410 | 66 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 11.3% | 2.1% | .304 | 3.43 | 22.8% | 12.6% | 174 | -0.09 | 3.08 | 349 | 64 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 64 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .274 | 3.99 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 169 | -0.41 | 2.78 | 596 | 63 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 63 |
| Vinny Nittoli R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.97 | 29.8% | 9.9% | 3.9% | .328 | 4.59 | 22.7% | 13.9% | 39 | +0.62 | 3.59 | 331 | 63 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 63 |
| Nate Jones R 2025 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.06 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 6.10 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +2.04 | 2.54 | 157 | 62 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .335 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -0.95 | 2.63 | 144 | 61 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.31 | 24.3% | 10.0% | 5.5% | .279 | 6.65 | 10.4% | -2.6% | 17 | +1.34 | 3.46 | 160 | 61 |
| Tyler Clippard R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.11 | 29.8% | 8.1% | 4.6% | .268 | 3.38 | 24.9% | 18.5% | 113 | -0.73 | 2.49 | 417 | 60 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 49 | 29.3% | 12.5% | 1.47 | 4.57 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Michael Feliz ('21) | 5 | 47 | 30.5% | 9.8% | 1.48 | 5.05 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Dinelson Lamet ('23) | 6 | 61 | 30.0% | 10.7% | 1.29 | 4.66 |