Gerardo Reyes
P
Las Vegas Aviators
+0.3
WAR
Age 33
RHP
5'11" / 195 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.74
FIP4.74
xFIP6.68
SIERA6.66
K%25.0%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%13.5%
IP33
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF7070
CTRL4545
CMD7070
K†7070
FB Velo
p8496.9
Whiff%
p9035.0%
K%
p9032.5%
xwOBA vs
p900.261
SL (31%)
SI (8%)
FB (62%)
CT-0.7 (8%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | 40 | 0 | 53 | 227 | 47 | 21 | 3 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 1.9% | 3.59 | 4.15 | +0.5 |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | 47 | 0 | 62 | 262 | 65 | 31 | 3 | 19.1% | 13.6% | 1.6% | 2.63 | 4.07 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 45 | 0 | 55 | 240 | 69 | 28 | 1 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 0.6% | 2.77 | 3.15 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 61 | 0 | 71 | 308 | 99 | 30 | 11 | 29.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 5.05 | 4.06 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 48 | 0 | 48 | 219 | 58 | 34 | 6 | 24.7% | 15.7% | 2.7% | 3.78 | 4.49 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 44 | 0 | 50 | 236 | 66 | 30 | 9 | 26.4% | 13.5% | 4.1% | 5.94 | 4.84 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 46 | 0 | 48 | 206 | 62 | 31 | 10 | 28.1% | 15.6% | 5.8% | 4.84 | 5.92 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 33 | — | 33 | 140 | 43 | 15 | 5 | 30.5% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 4.20 | 4.12 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 32 | — | 32 | 133 | 39 | 14 | 5 | 29.1% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 4.26 | 4.28 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 30 | — | 30 | 125 | 35 | 13 | 4 | 27.9% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 4.37 | 4.43 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 331 | 0 | 387 | 1698 | 407 | 221 | 50 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.07 | 4.34 | +4.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 171 | 0 | 200 | 878 | 210 | 114 | 26 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.07 | 4.34 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gerardo Reyes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.12 | 30.5% | 10.4% | 3.5% | — | 4.35 | 28.5% | 18.0% | 61 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| Neftalí Feliz R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 33.6% | 9.9% | 3.8% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 291 | 71 |
| Spencer Patton R 2026 · 3.03 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.03 | 27.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .305 | 5.07 | 21.4% | 9.7% | 88 | +2.04 | 2.83 | 239 | 71 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.63 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 316 | 69 |
| C.C. Lee R 2024 · 3.02 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.02 | 34.7% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 121 | 69 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.54 | 27.2% | 8.4% | 3.0% | .308 | 4.43 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 255 | +0.89 | 3.54 | 348 | 69 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 68 |
| Jay Jackson R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.11 | 31.1% | 13.3% | 3.5% | .255 | 4.55 | 26.6% | 20.6% | 105 | +0.44 | 2.37 | 261 | 67 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 67 |
| Kodai Senga R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.69 | 29.7% | 10.9% | 3.1% | .417 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 305 | 67 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 29.1% | 11.5% | 2.7% | .226 | 4.21 | 21.5% | 10.5% | 106 | +0.60 | 1.53 | 433 | 66 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.35 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.35 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 210 | 66 |
| Adam Ottavino R 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.07 | 31.1% | 13.1% | 1.7% | .275 | 2.96 | 28.4% | 19.5% | 146 | -0.11 | 2.15 | 488 | 66 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 65 |
| Vinny Nittoli R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.11 | 29.8% | 9.9% | 4.1% | .328 | 4.43 | 22.7% | 13.9% | 39 | +0.32 | 3.68 | 331 | 65 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 64 |
| Carlos Carrasco R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.44 | 29.3% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .288 | 4.25 | 20.8% | 13.5% | 296 | +0.81 | 2.64 | 1,424 | 64 |
| Nate Jones R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .279 | 5.52 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +1.44 | 2.61 | 157 | 63 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 63 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.12 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.12 | 22.6% | 8.2% | 1.6% | .358 | 4.15 | 13.7% | 6.9% | 250 | +1.03 | 3.12 | 352 | 62 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.38 | 24.8% | 12.0% | 1.6% | .356 | 4.65 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 66 | +1.27 | 2.80 | 410 | 62 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.