Rece Hinds

RF Norfolk Tides

Age 26 R/R 6'3" / 215 lbs AAA HR +9% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2029

Overview

AAA40-MANArb-1FA 2030

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	23	MLBCIN	51	.261/.333/.717	5	2	174	0.1
2025	24	MLBCIN	44	.116/.136/.279	2	0	4	-1.1
2026	25	MLBBAL	71	.143/.217/.222	0	0	20	-0.9
2027PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBBAL	112	.213/.274/.413	5	6	86	0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	27	MLBBAL	195	.214/.276/.411	9	10	86	0.0
2029PROJ52% MLB	28	MLBBAL	208	.214/.276/.406	9	10	85	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.9 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2029Service3.000First FA2030

2027Arb-1$0.4M2028Arb-2$2M2029Arb-3$2M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Chase%85

Speed84

Bat Spd71

Barrel%69

Avg EV69

Whiff%28

Form.197/.267/.371 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .209/.268/.401

CompsJake Marisnick (age 27) · Cade Marlowe (age 26) · Michael A. Taylor (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .274 / .413

PA112

HR5

SB6

K%34

BB%6

BABIP279

ISO204

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

2813.5%

xAVG

100.180

POWER60

Barrel%

6911.0

Avg EV

6990.4

Bat Spd

7173.6

EYE40

Chase%

8524.9%

SPEED55

Sprint

8428.8

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%36%▼39% over 33 PA (60d) · proj 34%

BB%8%▲12% over 33 PA (60d) · proj 6%

ISO.175▼.071 over 28 AB (60d) · proj .193

BABIP.275·.312 over 16 BIP (60d) · proj .274

SLASH.197/.267/.371▼proj .209/.268/.401

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 100 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

158

▶▶R

wOBA

218

402

▶▶R

ISO

167

383

▶▶R

BABIP

100

308

▶▶R

35.0%

31.2%

▶R

BB%

10.0%

5.0%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2024

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-2	$2M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	185	167	42	10	2	10	13	52	4	6	2	251	321	515	836	263	302	28	7	362	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	ACL Reds	—	41	34	10	3	2	2	4	13	2	1	1	294	400	676	1.076	382	400	32	10	444	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	29	29	9	2	1	2	0	12	0	0	1	310	310	655	966	345	467	41	0	413	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	274	247	58	9	4	10	23	107	4	13	5	235	310	425	735	190	369	39	8	327	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	19	16	1	0	0	0	2	6	1	2	2	62	211	62	273		100	32	11	160	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	90	84	19	5	1	3	6	35	0	5	0	226	278	417	694	190	348	39	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	461	412	111	29	6	23	34	151	7	20	6	269	336	536	872	267	358	33	7	372	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	51	46	12	4	1	5	4	16	1	2	0	261	333	717	1.051	457	280	31	8	441	174	+4	+0	-0	-5	+1	0.1
2024	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	422	380	79	18	2	14	37	160	3	20	3	208	283	376	660	168	312	38	9	294	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	44	43	5	1	0	2	1	21	0	0	0	116	136	279	415	163	150	48	2	181	4	-5	+0	-1	-5	+1	-1.1
2025	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	436	391	118	26	2	24	33	113	5	21	5	302	363	563	925	261	362	26	8	397	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	71	63	9	5	0	0	5	32	1	0	0	143	217	222	440	79	273	45	7	201	20	-7	+0	+0	-4	+2	-0.9
2026	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	326	281	74	14	2	15	36	85	6	14	2	263	359	488	847	224	321	26	11	371	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	166	152	26	10	1	7	10	69	2	2	0	171	232	388	620	217	244	42	6	269	68	-6	+0	-1	-14	+4	-1.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	185	171	33	7	2	8	9	68	4	6	2	193	250	398	648	205	256	37	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	41	36	6	2	1	1	2	19	2	1	1	167	250	361	611	194	295	46	5	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	29	29	6	1	1	1	0	14	0	0	1	207	207	414	621	207	430	48	0	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	274	253	42	5	3	7	17	130	4	13	5	166	230	292	522	126	301	47	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	19	17	1	0	0	0	1	9	1	2	2	59	158	59	217		78	47	5	101	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	461	425	93	25	4	17	21	192	7	20	6	219	267	416	684	198	326	42	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	51	46	12	4	1	5	4	16	1	2	0	261	333	717	1.051	457	280	31	8	425	174	+4	+0	-0	-5	+1	0.1
2024	23	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	422	392	66	15	2	8	25	192	3	20	3	168	224	278	502	110	295	45	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	44	43	5	1	0	2	1	21	0	0	0	116	136	279	415	163	150	48	2	174	4	-5	+0	-1	-5	+1	-1.1
2025	24	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	436	401	99	21	2	19	24	139	5	21	5	247	298	451	749	204	313	32	6	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	71	63	9	5	0	0	5	32	1	0	0	143	217	222	440	79	273	45	7	198	20	-7	+0	+0	-4	+2	-0.9
2026	25	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	326	293	62	11	2	11	24	102	6	14	2	212	285	375	660	164	275	31	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	226	207	39	9	3	9	11	87	6	7	3	188	250	391	641	203	265	38	5	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	226	201	52	13	4	12	17	65	6	7	3	259	335	542	877	284	317	29	8	377	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	412	383	63	8	5	10	24	196	5	20	8	164	223	290	513	125	299	48	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	412	376	87	16	6	15	31	160	5	20	8	231	299	426	724	194	358	39	8	320	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	461	425	93	25	4	17	21	192	7	20	6	219	267	416	684	198	339	42	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	461	412	111	29	6	23	34	151	7	20	6	269	336	536	872	267	358	33	7	372	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	473	438	78	19	3	13	29	208	4	22	3	178	236	324	560	146	297	44	6	246	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	473	426	91	22	3	19	41	176	4	22	3	214	289	413	702	200	309	37	9	310	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	480	444	103	22	2	20	25	160	5	21	5	232	281	426	706	194	307	33	5	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	480	434	123	27	2	26	34	134	5	21	5	283	342	535	876	251	346	28	7	377	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	397	356	71	16	2	11	29	134	7	14	2	199	273	348	621	149	278	34	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	397	344	83	19	2	15	41	117	7	14	2	241	334	439	773	198	313	29	10	340	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	226	207	39	9	3	9	11	87	6	7	3	188	250	391	641	203	263	38	5	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	412	380	63	8	5	10	24	196	5	20	8	166	223	292	515	126	299	48	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	461	430	93	25	4	17	21	192	7	20	6	216	267	412	679	195	326	42	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	473	437	78	19	3	13	29	208	4	22	3	178	236	325	561	146	293	44	6	246	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	480	447	103	22	2	20	25	160	5	21	5	230	281	423	703	192	298	33	5	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	397	358	71	16	2	11	29	134	7	14	2	198	273	346	619	148	275	34	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	473	437	78	19	3	13	29	208	4	22	3	178	236	325	561	146	293	44	6	246	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	480	447	103	22	2	20	25	160	5	21	5	230	281	423	703	192	298	33	5	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	397	358	71	16	2	11	29	134	7	14	2	198	273	346	619	148	275	34	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	BAL	45%	380	348	72	14	2	16	24	129	5	20	4	209	270	401	672	192	274	34	6	295	86	-6	+2	+1	-4	+8	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	BAL	45%	112	103	22	4	1	5	7	38	1	6	1	213	274	413	688	200	279	34	6	302	86	-2	+1	+0	-1	+2	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	BAL	49%	395	361	77	15	2	17	26	133	5	21	4	210	272	399	671	189	274	34	7	295	86	-7	+3	+1	-4	+9	0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	403	368	78	15	2	17	27	134	5	19	4	209	272	394	666	185	274	33	7	294	85	-7	+2	-0	-4	+9	-0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	398	363	77	15	2	16	27	131	5	17	3	209	271	388	660	180	273	33	7	291	83	-8	+2	-1	-4	+9	-0.2
2031	30	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	394	360	74	14	1	15	26	129	5	14	3	207	270	381	651	174	271	33	7	288	81	-9	+2	-1	-4	+9	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	BAL	49%	195	178	38	7	1	9	13	65	2	10	2	214	276	411	686	197	279	33	7	302	86	-3	+1	+0	-2	+4	0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	208	189	41	8	1	9	14	69	3	10	2	214	276	406	682	192	279	33	7	300	85	-4	+1	-0	-2	+5	-0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	205	187	41	8	1	9	14	68	2	9	2	213	275	400	675	187	278	33	7	297	83	-4	+1	-0	-2	+4	-0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	203	185	40	8	1	8	14	66	2	7	1	211	274	392	666	181	276	33	7	294	81	-5	+1	-1	-2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	977	891	186	41	5	42	65	337	11	38	7	209	271	407	678	199	278	34	7	293	75	-22	+5	-2	-23	+21	-2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	123	27	3	28	43	224	7	25	5	207	269	405	674	197	275	34	7	293	75	-15	+3	-1	-15	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4289	3934	801	167	27	156	261	1589	57	188	43	204	263	379	642	175	290	37	6	280	75	-41	+11	-2	-34	+43	-2.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	121	25	4	24	40	241	9	28	7	203	264	379	643	176	289	37	6	280	75	-13	+3	-1	-11	+14	-0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Scott Hairstonlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA	4.0	2,624	106	36	242	297	444	-18	-16	6.0	6.6
/162	664	27	9	-4.5	-4.1	1.5	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.6	1,047	43	44	208	268	398	-11	-2	0.4	0.4
/162	664	27	28	-7.1	-1.3	0.2	pk7: 0
#4Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
#5Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0
#6Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rece Hinds (OGILVIE)	26	55	60	55	40	207/268/398	191	274	11	13	34%	6%	86	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake Marisnick 2018 · MLB	27	43→53	54→60	50→55	41	227/285/403	176	294	22	21	31%	6%	93	+0.8	235/293/426	191	311	23	16	31%	6%	101	+1.4	223/283/403	181	301	21	16	32%	6%	92	+0.4
✕Cade Marlowe 2023 · AAA	26	46→55	53→55	57→60	42	231/298/404	172	324	20	25	34%	8%	97	+1.1	221/290/356	135	324	14	34	33%	8%	82	+0.0	229/295/350	122	329	10	40	31%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Michael A. Taylor 2018 · MLB	27	47→54	52→55	54→60	39	238/283/402	164	321	20	24	32%	6%	91	+0.6	226/279/379	153	315	15	24	31%	7%	84	+0.1	240/297/382	142	309	19	14	28%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Justin Maxwell 2010 · MLB	26	44→45	50→60	60	45	222/296/378	156	307	18	31	32%	8%	91	+0.6	221/301/390	169	320	20	25	35%	10%	95	+1.0	222/296/434	212	299	27	17	34%	9%	103	+0.7
✕Estevan Florial 2024 · MLB	26	46→56	51→50	55→60	43	225/293/388	163	328	18	28	35%	8%	91	+0.7	211/283/359	148	320	17	26	36%	9%	81	-0.1	167/249/295	128	257	15	36	39%	9%	53	-1.2
✕Stone Garrett 2023 · MLB	27	41→39	56→55	53→50	36	222/260/407	185	280	24	17	31%	4%	84	+0.1	222/284/362	140	318	16	10	33%	7%	82	-0.0	224/300/339	115	334	11	5	34%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Brenton Doyle 2024 · MLB	26	41→47	48→50	56→55	34	208/252/346	139	308	17	22	37%	5%	66	-1.1	229/279/373	144	299	17	24	28%	6%	82	+0.0	234/284/378	144	296	17	27	27%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Corey Julks 2023 · AAA	27	45→50	52→50	53→55	43	233/289/401	168	290	21	18	27%	6%	93	+0.8	232/293/366	134	294	14	20	25%	8%	86	+0.3	231/293/347	117	293	11	21	24%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Joey Wiemer 2024 · MLB	25	42→44	51→55	53→55	44	216/285/378	162	283	19	19	30%	8%	86	+0.3	200/275/316	116	285	12	15	32%	8%	69	-0.9	188/266/285	98	276	10	14	33%	8%	56	-1.2
●Tyler Fitzgerald 2024 · MLB	26	44→54	50→55	59→55	39	221/280/379	159	308	18	22	33%	6%	84	+0.2	237/297/402	165	322	19	19	31%	6%	96	+1.0	233/296/398	166	316	20	18	31%	6%	95	+0.6
✕Pedro León 2024 · AAA	26	44→49	49→50	52→55	44	214/300/365	151	312	16	24	35%	9%	89	+0.5	231/293/383	152	327	18	25	33%	7%	91	+0.6	233/290/381	148	333	19	29	34%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Jake Slaughter 2024 · AAA	27	42→48	50	52→55	41	216/288/371	154	291	19	22	32%	7%	86	+0.3	227/291/355	128	317	14	19	31%	7%	83	+0.1	229/290/335	106	327	11	21	31%	6%	74	-0.5
✕Trey Cabbage 2024 · MLB	27	48	56→55	58→55	38	238/295/431	193	357	24	24	39%	7%	103	+1.5	223/286/389	166	345	19	25	38%	8%	89	+0.5	196/267/358	162	312	17	31	40%	8%	73	-0.4
✕Brewer Hicklen 2023 · AAA	27	40→50	51→50	61→60	38	198/275/354	157	323	19	32	42%	8%	78	-0.3	198/279/351	153	289	18	34	36%	8%	78	-0.3	207/283/355	147	290	18	38	33%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Terry Evans 2008 · AAA	26	49→54	50→55	53→55	37	245/288/401	156	331	18	22	31%	5%	93	+0.8	230/273/375	145	317	16	21	31%	5%	80	-0.1	216/258/354	138	291	15	21	31%	5%	69	-0.7
✕Wilkin Ramirez 2012 · MLB	26	42→52	50→55	53→55	37	216/264/373	156	304	18	22	34%	6%	77	-0.3	232/267/368	136	310	14	12	29%	4%	76	-0.4	230/261/350	120	308	11	9	29%	3%	67	-0.6
✕Sam Hilliard 2021 · MLB	27	40→49	53→55	54→55	39	208/267/380	172	299	21	18	37%	7%	80	-0.2	204/275/381	177	280	22	15	34%	9%	84	+0.1	208/281/383	175	283	19	18	32%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Jose Siri 2023 · MLB	28	48→56	53→60	59→55	37	238/288/416	177	334	20	24	34%	6%	96	+1.0	213/269/417	204	293	28	19	36%	6%	90	+0.6	209/265/413	203	278	29	19	35%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Michael Hermosillo 2022 · MLB	27	46→49	54→55	50→55	43	231/324/417	186	318	22	15	32%	8%	111	+2.1	213/296/368	155	283	18	15	30%	7%	89	+0.5	169/233/310	141	197	22	17	28%	4%	51	-0.9
✕Kevin Smith 2022 · MLB	26	40→45	52→55	53→50	41	212/272/383	171	282	20	17	32%	7%	83	+0.1	213/260/353	140	300	17	15	33%	5%	71	-0.8	203/246/328	125	292	16	15	35%	5%	58	-1.1

Rece Hinds

Career Stats + Projections

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Career Path Comps