Ethan Hankins
P
Akron RubberDucks
Age 26
RHP
6'6" / 200 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 27 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%23.1%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.5 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 42.9% | 0.0% | 6.00 | -0.52 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.5 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 42.9% | 0.0% | 6.00 | -0.90 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Lake County Captains | 5 | 5 | 21 | 94 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 4.3 | 22.0% | 15.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.64 | 5.47 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Lake County Captains | 5 | 5 | 21 | 94 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 4.3 | 29.8% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 3.2% | 4.64 | 3.99 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.29 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 15 | 15 | 46 | 201 | 50 | 26 | 3 | 100% | 3.1 | 19.2% | 14.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 4.70 | 4.28 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 15 | 15 | 46 | 201 | 50 | 26 | 3 | 100% | 3.1 | 24.9% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 1.5% | 4.70 | 3.47 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 1.7 | 33.3% | 22.2% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.10 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 1.7 | 33.3% | 22.2% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 5 | 5 | 27 | 116 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 4 | 4 | 27 | 114 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 6.8 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.1 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.02 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 197 | 79 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 24 | 24 | 73 | 321 | 69 | 46 | 7 | 100% | 3.0 | 21.6% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 4.56 | 4.35 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 66 | 200 | 879 | 190 | 126 | 20 | 100% | 3.0 | 21.6% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 4.56 | 4.35 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ethan Hankins (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.40 | 23.1% | 13.5% | 27 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Isaac Coffey R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.95 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 287 | 79 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 78 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.56 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .362 | 5.50 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 113 | +1.94 | 2.78 | 181 | 75 |
| Stephen Fife R 2029 · 3.20 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.20 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 1.2% | .329 | 3.62 | 14.1% | 8.3% | 152 | +0.42 | 3.20 | 179 | 74 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.98 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 209 | 73 |
| Henderson Alvarez R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.98 | 15.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .306 | 5.46 | 12.4% | 4.7% | 121 | +0.48 | 3.67 | 176 | 71 |
| Mason Adams R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.23 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 3.2% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 254 | 70 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 70 |
| Brooks Auger R 2024 · 3.81 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.81 | 26.3% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 138 | 69 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.97 | 15.5% | -0.2% | 72 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 261 | 69 |
| Connor McCullough R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.62 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 2.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 222 | 69 |
| Jimmy Lambert R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.46 | 25.0% | 12.0% | 3.5% | .276 | 4.95 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 114 | +0.49 | 3.44 | 526 | 69 |
| Burch Smith R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 69 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 68 |
| Chad Dallas R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 68 |
| River Ryan R 2025 · 3.34 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.34 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 1.7% | .280 | 2.13 | 23.9% | 18.6% | 36 | -1.21 | 2.13 | 218 | 68 |
| Yariel Rodríguez R 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.80 | 25.1% | 11.8% | 2.4% | .275 | 3.77 | 24.2% | 12.3% | 89 | -0.03 | 2.60 | 196 | 67 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 67 |
| Sauryn Lao R 2025 · 3.48 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.48 | 21.7% | 7.3% | 2.4% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 182 | 66 |
| Shane Smith R 2026 · 3.22 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.22 | 26.3% | 12.3% | 1.4% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 309 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 1.16 | 4.37 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |