Daniel Pena

C DSL Marlins

Age 19 S/R ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	ROKMIA	55	.295/.436/.386	0	8	62	—	.191/.309/.255
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBMIA	165	.231/.309/.311	1	6	78	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBMIA	51	.227/.306/.308	0	2	82	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBMIA	142	.229/.308/.316	1	5	85	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%99

Whiff%99

Z-Con%99

Speed97

Chase%78

wOBA76

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsKevyn Castillo (age 19) · Aron Estrada (age 19) · Cristofer Torin (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj PA

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .306 / .308

PA58

HR0

K%20

BB%8

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$46M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$18M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	55	44	13	2	1	0	9	4	2	8	2	295	436	386	823	91	325	7	16	381	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	55	47	9	1	1	0	6	5	2	8	2	191	309	255	564	64	215	9	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	55	47	9	1	1	0	6	5	2	8	2	191	309	255	564	64	214	9	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	55	44	13	2	1	0	9	4	2	8	2	295	436	386	823	91	325	7	16	381	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	55	47	9	1	1	0	6	5	2	8	2	191	309	255	564	64	215	9	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	55	47	9	1	1	0	6	5	2	8	2	191	309	255	564	64	215	9	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	165	147	34	5	2	1	14	33	3	6	1	231	309	311	620	80	290	20	8	284	78	-4	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	149	133	31	5	2	1	13	30	2	5	1	234	312	321	633	87	292	20	9	289	82	-3	+1	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	293	261	62	10	3	3	25	59	5	10	1	236	315	329	644	93	293	20	9	293	85	-5	+2	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	400	356	84	13	4	4	34	81	7	14	2	238	317	337	654	99	293	20	8	297	87	-6	+2	+0	+7	+9	1.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	472	420	101	16	5	6	41	96	8	16	2	240	318	344	662	104	294	20	9	300	89	-6	+2	+0	+8	+10	1.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	519	461	111	18	5	7	45	106	8	18	2	241	319	350	669	108	295	20	9	303	91	-6	+3	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	520	462	111	18	5	7	45	106	8	18	2	242	319	351	670	109	295	20	9	303	91	-5	+3	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	520	462	112	18	5	8	45	106	8	17	2	242	319	352	671	110	295	20	9	303	91	-5	+3	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	520	462	111	18	5	7	45	106	8	17	2	240	318	349	667	108	294	20	9	302	90	-6	+3	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	520	462	111	18	5	7	45	108	8	15	2	238	316	344	660	105	293	21	9	299	89	-7	+2	-1	+9	+11	1.5
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	520	462	109	17	5	7	45	109	8	13	2	236	313	338	651	102	292	21	9	295	86	-9	+2	-1	+9	+11	1.3
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	520	463	108	17	5	6	44	111	8	10	1	233	310	330	639	97	290	21	8	291	83	-11	+2	-2	+9	+11	1.0
2039	31	MLB MLE	MIA	60%	504	450	103	16	5	5	42	109	7	6	1	228	305	319	624	91	287	22	8	285	79	-13	+1	-3	+9	+11	0.5
2040	32	MLB MLE	MIA	61%	488	438	97	15	4	4	40	108	7	2	1	223	298	307	606	84	283	22	8	277	74	-15	+0	-4	+9	+11	0.0
2041	33	MLB MLE	MIA	62%	446	401	87	13	4	3	36	101	6	1	0	217	291	293	584	76	279	23	8	268	68	-17	+0	-4	+8	+10	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	51	46	11	2	1	0	4	10	1	2	0	227	306	308	614	81	283	20	8	281	82	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	142	127	28	4	1	1	12	29	2	5	1	229	308	316	624	87	284	20	8	285	85	-3	+1	+0	+3	+3	0.4
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	217	192	45	7	2	2	19	44	4	8	1	231	310	323	633	92	285	20	9	289	87	-3	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	267	238	55	8	3	3	23	54	4	9	1	232	311	329	641	97	285	20	9	292	89	-3	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	293	261	61	9	3	4	25	60	5	10	1	234	312	335	647	101	286	20	9	294	91	-3	+2	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	294	262	61	9	3	4	25	60	5	10	1	234	313	336	649	102	286	20	9	295	91	-3	+2	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	294	262	61	9	3	4	25	60	5	10	1	234	313	337	649	103	286	20	9	295	91	-3	+2	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	288	257	60	9	3	4	25	59	4	9	1	233	312	334	646	101	285	20	9	293	90	-3	+1	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	285	254	60	9	3	4	25	59	4	8	1	231	310	330	639	98	284	21	9	291	89	-4	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.8
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	278	248	56	9	2	3	24	58	4	7	1	229	307	324	630	95	283	21	9	287	86	-5	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.7
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	297	266	60	9	3	3	25	63	4	6	1	226	303	316	619	90	281	21	8	283	83	-6	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2039	31	MLB CTX	MIA	60%	300	268	60	9	3	3	25	65	4	3	1	221	298	306	605	85	278	22	8	277	79	-8	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.3
2040	32	MLB CTX	MIA	61%	299	268	58	8	2	3	25	66	4	1	0	216	292	295	587	78	275	22	8	270	74	-9	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.0
2041	33	MLB CTX	MIA	62%	279	250	52	7	2	2	23	63	4	1	0	210	285	281	567	71	271	23	8	261	68	-11	+0	-3	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3584	3199	728	108	34	40	305	750	54	89	11	228	306	320	626	93	284	21	9	285	85	-65	+13	-9	+64	+78	8.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	132	20	6	7	55	136	10	16	2	228	305	319	624	91	284	21	8	285	85	-12	+2	-2	+12	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6504	5792	1359	215	64	75	556	1353	101	172	23	235	313	333	645	98	292	21	9	293	85	-116	+24	-15	+115	+140	15.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	134	21	6	7	56	135	10	17	2	231	310	325	635	93	289	21	9	293	85	-12	+2	-1	+12	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ray Schalk'12-'29 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,217 PA	9.4	6,217	11	177	238*	322*	355*	+111	+0	22.1	19.8
/162	664	1	19	+11.9	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 18
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.5	3,643	43	91	236	309	335	+65	+36	11.1	9.4
/162	664	8	17	+11.9	+6.6	2.0	pk7: 8
#4Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	2.5	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
/162	664	19	7	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
#5Al Evans'39-'51 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,322 PA	3.5	2,322	13	14	241*	311*	352*	+42	+0	7.0	7.0
/162	664	4	4	+11.9	+0.0	2.0	pk7: 7
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Pena (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	229/306/308	79	290	0	2	20%	8%	78	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	47	40→45	60→65	53	222/313/322	100	267	5	29	18%	9%	84	+0.1	234/309/354	120	293	11	18	23%	8%	90	+0.6	231/312/342	111	292	7	11	21%	9%	84	+0.0
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Keiner Delgado 2023 · A	19	45→49	38→45	57→60	66	205/340/297	92	247	4	26	17%	15%	90	+0.6	205/292/305	100	265	9	25	24%	9%	73	-0.6	209/287/310	101	279	12	22	28%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Johnny Ascanio 2022 · A	19	48	36→40	50→45	50	221/309/292	71	287	2	15	22%	8%	76	-0.4	212/277/284	72	291	4	10	26%	7%	61	-1.5	209/293/268	60	273	4	7	23%	9%	62	-0.8
✕Abiatal Avelino 2014 · A	19	50→54	36→45	60→55	50	229/296/300	71	270	2	24	15%	7%	72	-0.7	231/278/311	80	292	4	22	21%	5%	67	-1.1	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Juan Matheus 2024 · A	20	42→46	38→45	53→55	59	192/312/281	89	273	4	21	28%	14%	76	-0.4	215/292/311	96	283	7	20	24%	9%	73	-0.6	219/288/322	102	278	9	23	23%	8%	72	-0.5
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
✕Domingo Leyba 2014 · A	18	47→52	41→50	52→45	54	220/296/329	109	252	6	14	15%	9%	78	-0.3	234/279/319	85	286	5	8	19%	5%	69	-0.9	240/289/360	120	286	11	4	19%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Pedro Ramírez 2024 · A	20	48→57	42→45	51→55	48	234/298/345	111	291	9	14	22%	7%	82	+0.0	255/308/360	105	318	8	17	21%	6%	90	+0.6	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Ian Lewis Jr. 2023 · A	20	48→41	40→45	57→60	43	226/281/324	98	306	7	17	27%	6%	72	-0.7	215/273/311	96	289	7	22	26%	7%	65	-1.2	205/264/312	107	257	10	33	24%	7%	60	-0.9
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2024 · A	19	45→36	39→40	55→60	56	209/320/298	89	285	6	19	26%	12%	82	-0.0	221/297/305	84	297	7	25	26%	9%	74	-0.6	206/283/289	83	268	8	31	25%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Drew Romo 2022 · A	20	54→51	40→50	53→50	41	258/290/353	95	318	8	18	22%	4%	80	-0.1	229/273/341	112	292	10	12	24%	5%	72	-0.7	231/275/361	130	289	14	5	25%	4%	76	-0.3

Daniel Pena

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps