Player 842446 P FCL Twins
Age — —HP ROK peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 17 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINST108
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%23.4%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.2%
ROS IP17
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 41 IP
K: +1.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+1KBB: +0.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+0BBCONTACT: -5.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-5CONTACTSTAM: +1.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.22 (41 IP)-0.2WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career (MLE) + Projections

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
2026—ROKFCL Twins6324103307450%4.119.8%8.5%11.3%5.4%5.185.49-0.3
ROS—MLBMIN3317721772100%5.723.4%9.2%14.2%3.0%4.324.32+0.0
2026 Total—MLBMIN——4117547146——26.8%7.8%19.0%3.5%4.835.01-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202725MLBMIN3320842083100%6.723.7%8.9%14.8%3.0%4.284.25+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career—6324103209650%4.119.8%8.5%11.3%5.4%5.185.49-0.3
/ 200 IP—4925200847164744950%4.119.8%8.5%11.3%5.4%5.185.49-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Player 842446 (OGILVIE) —— 4.32 23.4%9.2%3.0%— — ——— — ———
Brett Gillis R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 25 SP- 3.37 20.3%8.8%1.6%.278 5.10 15.8%6.7%73 +1.73 3.37 119 83
Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 25 SP- 4.76 20.8%10.1%3.9%.380 4.51 19.3%7.9%101 -0.25 4.50 119 82
Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 — ——— — 4.42 102 79
Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 25.7%12.4%4.2%.296 3.43 18.7%10.3%40 -1.37 2.78 181 79
Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP 25 SP- 3.47 20.3%11.4%1.2%.286 3.51 23.2%10.9%71 +0.04 2.45 138 76
Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 3.81 FIP 25 SP- 3.81 19.2%5.7%2.9%.311 6.73 17.6%-0.7%51 +2.92 3.81 106 76
Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 20.8%12.2%3.5%.450 4.58 17.9%4.8%170 -0.22 3.80 187 76
Noah Gotsis R 2026 · 3.38 FIP 25 SP- 3.38 16.5%6.5%1.5%.296 4.26 15.9%8.6%90 +0.88 3.38 138 74
Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP 25 SW 4.55 21.5%9.1%3.8%.316 2.73 28.3%20.8%219 -1.82 1.96 948 73
Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP 26 SP- 3.92 24.5%9.5%3.1%.232 5.11 17.5%6.2%190 +1.19 3.92 233 73
Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 17.3%8.2%2.9%.411 3.71 15.0%7.7%91 -0.57 3.71 126 72
Daniel Federman R 2025 · 4.34 FIP 24 SP- 4.34 23.8%8.3%4.0%.311 — ——— — 4.34 119 71
Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 25 SW 4.06 18.9%9.0%2.6%.311 4.48 17.3%3.8%141 +0.42 3.63 281 71
Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP 24 SP- 4.16 17.4%6.6%3.1%.361 — ——— — 4.16 124 70
Steven Bruce R 2026 · 3.70 FIP 25 SW 3.70 14.9%5.0%2.2%.300 3.62 15.0%9.8%94 -0.08 3.62 148 69
Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP 24 SP- 4.82 24.7%13.5%3.8%.277 — ——— — 3.45 102 69
Matt Ager R 2024 · 5.00 FIP 23 SP- 5.00 17.1%8.6%4.1%.303 — ——— — 5.00 146 69
Brandt Thompson R 2025 · 4.35 FIP 24 SP- 4.35 19.9%11.0%2.8%.326 — ——— — 4.35 162 69
Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP 25 SP- 3.51 18.2%9.8%1.3%.285 4.69 16.5%5.1%59 +1.18 3.51 123 69
TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.41 FIP 25 SW 4.41 21.0%9.6%3.4%.273 4.29 23.1%14.9%172 -0.12 3.36 432 68