Tyler Guilfoil
P
Corpus Christi Hooks
+0.0
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2027
ERA5.12
FIP5.12
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.3%
BB%12.5%
K-BB%7.9%
IP87
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
STUF4545
CTRL3030
CMD4040
K†4550
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 7 | 1 | 17 | 62 | 31 | 7 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.52 | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 23 | 13 | 84 | 354 | 123 | 37 | 4 | 26.0% | 12.3% | 1.3% | 3.21 | 3.17 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 27 | 18 | 118 | 514 | 107 | 54 | 20 | 16.9% | 11.6% | 4.8% | 4.81 | 5.79 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 48 | 0 | 74 | 339 | 80 | 53 | 9 | 19.4% | 16.4% | 2.7% | 4.62 | 5.04 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 16 | 16 | 87 | 367 | 73 | 52 | 12 | 19.7% | 14.3% | 3.2% | 5.40 | 5.40 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 16 | 16 | 90 | 381 | 76 | 52 | 12 | 20.0% | 13.7% | 3.2% | 5.29 | 5.29 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 17 | 17 | 91 | 384 | 77 | 51 | 12 | 20.1% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 5.23 | 5.24 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 16 | 16 | 89 | 375 | 75 | 49 | 12 | 20.1% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 5.22 | 5.24 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 16 | 16 | 86 | 364 | 72 | 47 | 12 | 19.9% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 5.24 | 5.28 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 15 | 15 | 83 | 351 | 69 | 46 | 12 | 19.7% | 13.2% | 3.4% | 5.31 | 5.35 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 15 | 15 | 80 | 337 | 72 | 42 | 12 | 21.4% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 5.22 | 5.17 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 14 | 14 | 76 | 322 | 68 | 41 | 12 | 21.1% | 12.7% | 3.6% | 5.25 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 13 | 13 | 72 | 306 | 63 | 39 | 11 | 20.7% | 12.9% | 3.7% | 5.32 | 5.37 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | HOU | 12 | 12 | 68 | 288 | 59 | 38 | 11 | 20.3% | 13.1% | 3.8% | 5.43 | 5.50 | -0.4 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | HOU | 12 | 12 | 64 | 270 | 54 | 36 | 11 | 19.9% | 13.4% | 3.9% | 5.55 | 5.63 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 105 | 32 | 293 | 1269 | 276 | 166 | 40 | 21.7% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.05 | 4.63 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 22 | 200 | 865 | 188 | 113 | 27 | 21.7% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.05 | 4.63 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Guilfoil (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.40 | 19.7% | 14.3% | 3.2% | — | 5.26 | 20.0% | 6.7% | 270 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| David Lebron R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.30 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.8% | .336 | 5.70 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +1.40 | 4.30 | 144 | 86 |
| Nick Pasquale R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.74 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 2.6% | .306 | 3.81 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.19 | 308 | 86 |
| Trent Sellers R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.51 | 21.8% | 13.3% | 2.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 178 | 84 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.35 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .285 | 4.28 | 16.4% | 5.3% | 48 | -0.07 | 4.28 | 448 | 82 |
| M.D. Johnson R 2026 · 5.63 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.63 | 16.4% | 12.7% | 4.2% | .254 | 3.52 | 14.6% | 4.7% | 67 | -2.11 | 3.52 | 395 | 82 |
| Jake Bockenstedt R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.46 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 195 | 82 |
| Deylen Miley R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.26 | 22.3% | 17.5% | 3.3% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.07 | 185 | 81 |
| Phillippe Aumont R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.62 | 19.6% | 18.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 4.95 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 64 | +0.33 | 4.62 | 147 | 81 |
| Ranfi Casimiro R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.66 | 16.4% | 10.7% | 2.9% | .285 | 4.91 | 8.4% | -0.2% | 16 | +0.25 | 3.81 | 420 | 81 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.43 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .393 | 4.26 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | -0.17 | 4.26 | 166 | 81 |
| Andrew Bash R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.72 | 18.1% | 13.6% | 2.6% | .249 | 3.72 | 17.9% | 7.3% | 177 | -1.00 | 3.63 | 428 | 81 |
| Kevin Abel R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.51 | 17.8% | 12.0% | 2.5% | .264 | 5.78 | 15.1% | -7.3% | 13 | +1.27 | 4.50 | 352 | 80 |
| Reid Johnston R 2024 · 5.02 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.02 | 19.5% | 13.9% | 3.3% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 204 | 80 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 157 | 79 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.74 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .285 | 5.94 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.20 | 4.42 | 239 | 79 |
| Hansel Robles R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.03 | 22.1% | 11.6% | 4.2% | .267 | 3.59 | 25.5% | 17.6% | 145 | -1.44 | 2.71 | 469 | 78 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.11 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 4.2% | .301 | 4.21 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 80 | -0.90 | 4.21 | 378 | 78 |
| Logan Verrett R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.08 | 15.4% | 10.6% | 3.5% | .283 | 4.68 | 17.8% | 11.8% | 94 | -0.40 | 3.83 | 550 | 78 |
| André Rienzo R 2027 · 4.22 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.22 | 15.7% | 11.1% | 1.9% | .264 | 4.01 | 19.8% | 5.1% | 74 | -0.21 | 3.54 | 200 | 78 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.57 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.4% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.30 | 3.27 | 339 | 77 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.