Tyler Guilfoil — OGILVIE

Tyler Guilfoil P Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142133vR 125

ERA5.71

FIP5.71

K%18.2%

BB%15.6%

K-BB%2.6%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3030

CMD4040

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	1	17	62	31	7	1	14%	2.5	50.0%	11.3%	38.7%	1.6%	0.52	1.19	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	1	17	62	31	7	1	14%	2.5	50.0%	11.3%	38.7%	1.6%	0.52	1.48	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	13	84	354	123	37	4	57%	3.7	26.0%	12.3%	13.7%	1.3%	3.21	3.18	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	13	84	354	123	37	4	57%	3.7	26.0%	12.3%	13.7%	1.3%	3.21	3.18	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	13	84	354	123	37	4	57%	3.7	34.7%	10.5%	24.3%	1.1%	3.21	2.11	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	27	18	118	514	107	54	20	67%	4.4	16.9%	11.6%	5.3%	4.8%	4.81	5.78	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	27	18	118	514	107	54	20	67%	4.4	16.9%	11.6%	5.3%	4.8%	4.81	5.78	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	27	18	118	514	107	54	20	67%	4.4	20.8%	10.5%	10.3%	3.9%	4.81	4.86	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	74	339	80	53	9	0%	1.5	19.4%	16.4%	3.0%	2.8%	4.62	5.10	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	74	339	80	53	9	0%	1.5	19.4%	16.4%	3.0%	2.8%	4.62	5.10	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	74	339	80	53	9	0%	1.5	23.6%	15.6%	8.0%	2.7%	4.62	4.67	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	HOU	6	0	6	25	5	4	1	0%	1.0	18.2%	15.6%	2.6%	3.3%	5.71	5.71	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	HOU	100	0	105	442	82	66	15	0%	1.0	18.6%	14.9%	3.7%	3.3%	5.59	5.60	-1.2
2028	28	MLB MLE	HOU	97	0	102	429	80	62	14	0%	1.0	18.7%	14.5%	4.2%	3.4%	5.55	5.59	-1.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	HOU	92	0	97	409	76	59	14	0%	1.1	18.6%	14.4%	4.2%	3.5%	5.58	5.65	-1.2
2030	30	MLB MLE	HOU	87	0	91	385	71	56	14	0%	1.0	18.4%	14.5%	3.8%	3.7%	5.69	5.79	-1.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	HOU	37	0	39	165	31	25	5	0%	1.1	18.6%	14.9%	3.7%	3.3%	5.59	5.60	-0.5
2028	28	MLB CTX	HOU	57	0	60	253	47	37	9	0%	1.1	18.7%	14.5%	4.2%	3.4%	5.55	5.59	-0.7
2029	29	MLB CTX	HOU	66	0	69	291	54	42	10	0%	1.0	18.6%	14.4%	4.2%	3.5%	5.58	5.65	-0.8
2030	30	MLB CTX	HOU	68	0	71	300	55	44	11	0%	1.0	18.4%	14.5%	3.8%	3.7%	5.69	5.79	-1.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		228	0	240	1012	188	147	35	0%	1.1	18.6%	14.6%	4.0%	3.5%	5.61	5.29	-2.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	157	123	29	0%	1.1	18.6%	14.6%	4.0%	3.5%	5.61	5.29	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		105	32	293	1269	276	166	40	30%	2.8	21.7%	13.0%	8.7%	3.2%	4.05	4.65	-5.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	22	200	865	188	113	27	30%	2.8	21.7%	13.0%	8.7%	3.2%	4.05	4.65	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tyler Guilfoil (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.71	18.2%	15.6%	3.3%	—	5.61	18.7%	4.0%	303	-0.10	—	—	—
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	82
Austin Vernon R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	24	SW	5.75	22.1%	16.8%	4.3%	.325	3.69	23.2%	9.9%	100	-2.06	3.37	261	79
Jesús Reyes R 2019 · 5.71 FIP	26	SU	5.71	15.9%	15.7%	3.6%	.283	5.11	17.5%	5.6%	118	-0.60	3.85	554	79
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	79
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	79
Hunter Dollander R 2023 · 6.77 FIP	26	SU	6.77	17.6%	18.3%	5.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	106	78
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	78
Wil Jensen R 2023 · 4.88 FIP	25	SU	4.88	20.2%	12.1%	3.5%	.284	3.48	22.7%	14.3%	84	-1.40	3.48	368	78
Ranfi Casimiro R 2018 · 4.62 FIP	26	SW	4.62	16.4%	10.7%	2.8%	.285	4.93	8.4%	-0.2%	16	+0.31	3.81	420	77
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	77
Andrew Bash R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	26	SW	4.63	17.6%	12.7%	2.6%	.249	4.07	16.7%	7.2%	231	-0.56	3.52	483	77
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	77
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	20.6%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.20	23.6%	6.8%	107	-0.44	4.00	311	77
Ricky Salinas R 2022 · 5.79 FIP	26	SU	5.79	14.3%	15.1%	3.6%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	274	77
Joe Record R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	16.6%	15.3%	2.2%	.236	3.59	20.3%	8.6%	172	-1.23	2.64	280	77
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	76
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	76
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.30 FIP	25	SW	5.30	21.4%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	76
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	76
Juan Paniagua R 2016 · 4.57 FIP	26	SU	4.57	17.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.246	4.75	12.9%	-1.0%	29	+0.18	4.57	151	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	93	18.5%	14.8%	1.32	5.62
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Brandon Finnegan ('18)	1.2	80	19.7%	11.6%	1.57	4.19
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14