Tyler Guilfoil
P
Corpus Christi Hooks
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147138vR 128
ERA5.70
FIP5.70
K%18.2%
BB%15.6%
K-BB%2.6%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 1 | 17 | 62 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 14% | 2.5 | 50.0% | 11.3% | 38.7% | 1.6% | 0.52 | 1.19 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 1 | 17 | 62 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 14% | 2.5 | 50.0% | 11.3% | 38.7% | 1.6% | 0.52 | 1.48 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 13 | 84 | 354 | 123 | 37 | 4 | 57% | 3.7 | 26.0% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 1.2% | 3.21 | 3.14 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 13 | 84 | 354 | 123 | 37 | 4 | 57% | 3.7 | 34.7% | 10.5% | 24.3% | 1.1% | 3.21 | 2.11 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 27 | 18 | 118 | 514 | 107 | 54 | 20 | 67% | 4.4 | 16.9% | 11.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.81 | 5.86 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 27 | 18 | 118 | 514 | 107 | 54 | 20 | 67% | 4.4 | 20.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 4.81 | 4.86 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 74 | 339 | 80 | 53 | 9 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.4% | 16.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.62 | 5.02 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 74 | 339 | 80 | 53 | 9 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.6% | 15.6% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 4.62 | 4.67 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 54 | 46 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 15.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.70 | 5.70 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 55 | 44 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 15.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.59 | 5.60 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 54 | 42 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.0% | 14.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.55 | 5.59 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 21 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 15.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.59 | 5.60 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 32 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 14.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.55 | 5.59 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 63 | 0 | 66 | 278 | 52 | 41 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 14.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.57 | 5.21 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 158 | 125 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 14.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.57 | 5.21 | +0.4 | ||
| Career | — | 105 | 32 | 293 | 1269 | 276 | 166 | 40 | 30% | 2.8 | 21.7% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 4.05 | 4.65 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 22 | 200 | 865 | 188 | 113 | 27 | 30% | 2.8 | 21.7% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 4.05 | 4.65 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Guilfoil (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.70 | 18.2% | 15.6% | 3.3% | — | 5.60 | 18.8% | 4.0% | 136 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Stephen Johnson R 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 82 |
| Robbie Peto R 2025 · 5.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.71 | 15.3% | 13.4% | 4.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.38 | 232 | 79 |
| Jesús Reyes R 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.80 | 15.9% | 15.7% | 3.7% | .283 | 5.04 | 17.5% | 5.6% | 118 | -0.76 | 3.79 | 554 | 79 |
| Andrew Bash R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.81 | 18.1% | 13.6% | 2.8% | .249 | 4.41 | 17.7% | 5.9% | 249 | -0.40 | 3.64 | 500 | 79 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 79 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 6.73 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.73 | 17.6% | 18.3% | 5.1% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 106 | 78 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 78 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.56 | 17.8% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 259 | 78 |
| Nick Frasso R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.17 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 3.5% | .310 | 3.68 | 30.1% | 14.0% | 24 | -1.49 | 2.60 | 248 | 77 |
| Clate Schmidt R 2025 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.61 | 13.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 160 | 77 |
| Ricky Salinas R 2026 · 5.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.81 | 14.3% | 15.1% | 3.6% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.87 | 274 | 77 |
| Julian Arballo R 2027 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 77 |
| Donovan Benoit R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.61 | 18.2% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 183 | 76 |
| Joe Record R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.74 | 16.6% | 15.3% | 2.0% | .236 | 3.71 | 21.1% | 8.2% | 172 | -1.03 | 2.59 | 280 | 76 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.59 | 18.2% | 16.2% | 1.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 103 | 76 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 76 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2025 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.50 | 22.7% | 16.4% | 4.1% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 181 | 76 |
| Vanny Valenzuela R 2027 · 6.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 6.66 | 12.4% | 14.8% | 5.0% | .314 | 4.38 | 15.8% | 4.6% | 70 | -2.28 | 3.26 | 118 | 76 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 75 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 17.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% | .246 | 4.88 | 12.9% | -1.0% | 29 | +0.37 | 4.51 | 151 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 18.6% | 15.1% | 1.28 | 5.61 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |