Graham Brown

OF Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 26 R/R A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	25	AAMIN	106	.267/.377/.478	5	10	84	—	.211/.292/.368
2026	25	A+MIN	112	.213/.339/.457	6	6	62	—	.152/.250/.313
2027PROJ0% MLB	26	MLBMIN	1	.214/.299/.368	0	0	88	0.0
2028PROJ33% MLB	27	MLBMIN	80	.215/.299/.367	2	2	88	0.0
2029PROJ49% MLB	28	MLBMIN	148	.215/.298/.364	4	4	87	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

wOBA82

BB%82

Chase%81

ISO78

wRC+76

Speed72

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAaron Palensky (age 25) · Andrés Alvarez (age 26) · Jonny DeLuca (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .299 / .368

PA1

HR0

K%28

BB%9

BABIP272

ISO152

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT31

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED63

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	106	90	24	4	0	5	15	26	1	10	2	267	377	478	855	211	322	25	14	380	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	112	94	20	3	1	6	16	30	2	6	1	213	339	457	797	245	241	27	14	354	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	59	46	14	1	0	1	8	13	1	5	2	304	404	391	795	87	382	22	14	348	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	106	95	20	3	0	4	10	32	1	10	2	211	292	368	661	158	271	30	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	112	99	15	2	1	4	11	38	2	6	1	152	250	313	563	162	199	34	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	59	51	13	1	0	1	5	18	1	5	2	255	333	333	667	78	338	31	8	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	277	244	49	6	1	9	27	87	4	21	5	201	291	344	635	143	267	31	10	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	277	230	58	8	1	12	39	69	4	21	5	252	367	452	819	200	305	25	14	363	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	277	244	49	6	1	9	27	87	4	21	5	201	291	344	635	143	256	31	10	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	277	244	49	6	1	9	27	87	4	21	5	201	291	344	635	143	256	31	10	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	327	290	63	11	2	10	31	91	3	9	2	214	299	367	666	153	272	28	9	299	88	-5	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	214	299	368	667	153	272	0	0	299	88	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIN	33%	245	217	47	8	1	8	23	68	3	6	2	215	299	366	665	152	273	28	9	298	88	-3	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	MIN	49%	300	265	57	10	1	9	29	83	3	7	2	214	298	364	662	149	273	28	10	297	87	-5	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.0
2030	29	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	329	292	62	11	1	10	31	91	3	7	2	214	296	360	656	146	272	28	9	295	86	-6	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIN	33%	80	71	15	3	0	2	8	22	1	2	1	215	299	367	666	152	273	28	10	299	88	-1	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	MIN	49%	148	132	28	5	1	4	14	41	1	4	1	215	298	364	662	150	273	28	9	297	87	-2	+0	-0	-1	+3	0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	183	162	35	6	1	5	17	51	2	4	1	214	296	360	657	147	272	28	9	295	86	-3	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	411	365	78	14	2	11	39	114	4	10	3	214	297	353	650	140	277	28	9	297	85	-7	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	123	22	3	17	62	180	6	16	5	213	296	350	646	137	277	28	10	297	85	-10	+1	-2	-4	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1373	1215	257	42	5	43	131	391	15	47	12	212	296	360	657	149	271	28	10	294	85	-17	+2	-2	-7	+24	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	121	20	2	20	62	185	7	22	6	210	295	357	652	146	270	28	10	294	85	-10	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jimmy Walsh'12-'17 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,100 PA	3.2	2,100	6	92	232*	326*	393*	-12	+5	5.0	5.0
/162	664	2	29	-3.9	+1.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.6	412	12	10	215	295	364	-2	+0	0.4	0.4
/162	664	20	16	-4.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 0
#6Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Graham Brown (OGILVIE)	26	31	50	63	55	212/296/364	151	272	7	6	28%	10%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron Palensky 2024 · AAA	25	37→32	54→50	54→55	44	201/287/382	182	269	21	18	33%	8%	88	+0.5	204/286/326	122	277	12	19	29%	9%	75	-0.5	169/264/227	58	238	2	28	27%	10%	44	-1.0
✕Andrés Alvarez 2023 · AA	26	39→32	49→45	56→50	45	202/280/345	143	284	17	20	34%	9%	77	-0.3	202/266/314	112	287	11	12	32%	7%	64	-1.3	193/253/289	96	272	9	8	31%	6%	51	-1.3
✕Jonny DeLuca 2023 · AA	25	39→37	56→60	56→55	46	216/279/412	196	240	25	15	23%	7%	92	+0.7	229/292/388	159	267	18	19	21%	7%	91	+0.7	230/295/377	147	270	15	23	20%	7%	88	+0.2
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	39→43	47→50	54→55	46	199/282/333	135	269	14	18	30%	8%	76	-0.4	213/290/347	134	292	16	23	31%	8%	81	-0.1	204/285/336	132	277	17	26	31%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	37→34	50	51→50	45	191/282/348	157	275	18	12	35%	10%	79	-0.2	183/265/327	144	301	17	12	42%	8%	68	-1.0	158/244/297	139	268	18	12	45%	8%	51	-1.4
✕Ryan Cordell 2018 · AAA	26	42	49→50	52→50	40	220/268/372	152	280	17	14	28%	6%	78	-0.3	210/260/335	125	284	13	12	30%	6%	67	-1.1	180/235/298	118	257	14	13	35%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Stuart Fairchild 2022 · MLB	26	45→43	49→50	52→55	47	228/300/383	155	285	16	12	25%	8%	93	+0.8	225/305/378	153	300	16	17	29%	8%	94	+0.9	219/311/363	143	283	14	27	26%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Michael Helman 2023 · AAA	27	41→42	49→50	58→55	46	213/273/359	146	256	18	26	25%	7%	78	-0.3	218/276/366	148	265	17	22	24%	6%	80	-0.2	210/266/364	154	249	17	20	23%	5%	73	-0.3
✕Joey Wiemer 2024 · MLB	25	42→44	51→55	53→55	44	216/285/378	162	283	19	19	30%	8%	86	+0.3	200/275/316	116	285	12	15	32%	8%	69	-0.9	188/266/285	98	276	10	14	33%	8%	56	-1.2
✕Brooks Conrad 2006 · AAA	26	42→43	51→55	54→50	46	220/287/380	160	273	18	16	26%	8%	87	+0.4	198/256/367	169	255	18	12	30%	7%	73	-0.6	221/291/435	214	282	28	7	32%	9%	103	+0.5
✕Anthony Norman 2011 · AA	26	42→41	46→50	54→55	48	211/290/342	131	264	13	14	24%	8%	80	-0.1	212/271/313	101	297	6	10	29%	6%	65	-1.2	229/270/343	114	336	0	12	30%	5%	67	-0.2
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA	26	37→35	47→50	50→55	40	194/258/321	126	272	15	14	34%	7%	63	-1.3	225/298/353	128	316	12	16	31%	8%	85	+0.2	240/316/371	130	330	11	18	28%	8%	93	+0.5
✕Weston Wilson 2022 · AAA	27	41→42	54→55	51→55	46	222/286/397	175	270	23	14	27%	8%	91	+0.7	208/273/352	144	285	18	22	32%	8%	76	-0.4	204/282/368	164	260	22	25	30%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Kevin Smith 2022 · MLB	26	40→45	52→55	53→50	41	212/272/383	171	282	20	17	32%	7%	83	+0.1	213/260/353	140	300	17	15	33%	5%	71	-0.8	203/246/328	125	292	16	15	35%	5%	58	-1.1
✕Blake Perkins 2023 · AAA	26	41→51	47→50	56→55	47	207/286/345	138	277	15	19	30%	9%	79	-0.2	231/309/354	123	312	11	21	27%	10%	89	+0.5	235/316/347	112	318	10	25	27%	10%	90	+0.3
✕Stone Garrett 2023 · MLB	27	41→39	56→55	53→50	36	222/260/407	185	280	24	17	31%	4%	84	+0.1	222/284/362	140	318	16	10	33%	7%	82	-0.0	224/300/339	115	334	11	5	34%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	41→40	46→50	53→55	45	203/286/334	131	286	13	16	32%	8%	77	-0.3	201/278/310	109	271	10	16	28%	8%	68	-1.0	161/249/251	90	216	7	20	27%	8%	42	-1.3
✕Brenton Doyle 2024 · MLB	26	41→47	48→50	56→55	34	208/252/346	139	308	17	22	37%	5%	66	-1.1	229/279/373	144	299	17	24	28%	6%	82	+0.0	234/284/378	144	296	17	27	27%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA	27	40→38	48→60	52→50	45	207/276/357	150	272	15	12	29%	8%	78	-0.3	218/278/402	184	292	22	15	32%	7%	89	+0.5	204/268/394	190	271	24	17	33%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	44→48	47→45	53→55	49	223/298/360	138	268	15	16	23%	8%	87	+0.4	228/297/350	122	280	13	24	22%	8%	84	+0.1	222/290/331	110	273	12	28	22%	7%	75	-0.3

Graham Brown

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps